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Messages - spike

#1
Are there any active gambling boards? They all
seem dead as hell.
#2
Quote from: Gizmotron on January 21, 2016, 12:56:28 PM
Spike is a very crafty fellow...  Perhaps human nature is the holy grail, and it only favors the casino. What percent of a house's edge is that I wonder.

Same old Gizmo. A 500 word post saying
nothing. It's an art form.
#3
Quote from: iplayforaliving on April 24, 2014, 12:58:39 PM
Yes, I'm dead serious! And what will I gain from inventing such story?

Let me get this straight. The casino considers you
such a dangerous player that they slowed the deal
down to a crawl and closed the other tables so
you couldn't play at them.

I can't top that for a story. I don't believe a word
of it, I think it's pure fantasy, but it's obvious you
don't take this seriously, so forget I said anything.

Now, if they had restricted your bet to the table
minimum, that I would have believed, because
that's a normal thing to do.
#4
Quote from: iplayforaliving on April 22, 2014, 01:25:38 PM
Have you played a baccarat shoe of less than 54 plays that lasted 5 hours because you were ahead by +90 units? Where the dealer kept on doing nonsense stuffs like counting the chips on the money tray after every hand. And when you tried to look for another table there were NO baccarat shoes available on all areas? I did. You can ask the management of Hyatt Hotel & Casino.

First of all, why would you sit there for 5
hours, that's crazy. You looked for another
table and they were shut down because of
your play? So what you're saying is, the casino
slowed the game to a crawl at your table, and
shut down all the other games, just to control
YOUR play?

Are you serious? I've been going to casinos since
1975, as I've stated many times. In almost 40
years of play, I've never seen or heard of this
happening. Are you sure this is the story you want
to put forth? I'm skeptical to the point of disbelief.
#5
Baccarat Forum / Re: NOR baccarat system
April 21, 2014, 03:38:44 AM
NOR relies heavily on the progression, the bet
selection it uses works and doesn't work, just
like every other method. If it was as good as
Ellis says, he'd be a billionaire instead of an
old guy holding teaching sessions.
#6
Quote from: iplayforaliving on April 10, 2014, 08:00:21 AM
You made a  move against the casino (you won 7 straight days) and then, they (casino) countermoved you on the 8th day.

I play bac, what 'countermoves' are you talking about.
They took all your money with a countermove? How?

The only thing a casino could do, if they understood
your system completely, would be to slip in a special
shuffled deck just to defeat you. But it wouldn't work
because the other players would slaughter it.

So what are you talking about. The only move the casino
has is to ban you, or limit the amount you can bet.
If you use a progression, they can flat bet you. But that
won't make you lose, just win less.

So give us a countermove. Just one.
#7
GR8, is that you? He's famous for making long posts
that cover everything from how to bet to where to
park in the parking garage. Not a word on bet selection,
never tells you where to place the winning bet. Which
is all everybody wants to know.
#8
Gambling Philosophy / Re: Is there a causeless effect?
August 10, 2013, 07:46:15 PM
Its all about variance. Small edge = large variance.
Like in BJ card counting. They have such a small
edge they can have losing streaks that last for weeks.
Even the casino has a small edge in its games and
can have losing months because of it. Identifying your
edge, be it negative or positive, is what's important.
That's the starting point, finding out why your edge is
what it is.
#9
Gambling Philosophy / Re: Is there a causeless effect?
August 10, 2013, 07:28:03 AM
Quote from: Bayes on August 10, 2013, 05:45:16 AM

Expectation depends upon the mean, not the variance, which means that there is no mathematical 'law" which says that you can't affect the variance through bet selection...t you can't affect the payoff/variance by betting multiple locations alone, you need to find a real edge.

With a good edge, variance almost disappears. Meaning luck no longer enters into the equation, luck and variance being the same thing.
#10
Quote from: Gizmotron on August 08, 2013, 12:58:06 PM
Interesting work you've done here.

The secret is in finding moments when the bet selection method works and avoiding making bets when they don't. It all boils down to watching for the more consistent conditions.

I don't know what this means, please elaborate, give examples.

Thanks.  [smiley]aes/angel.png[/smiley]
#11
I'm trying to remember what I said about Legend/Fender right from
the start, and what he said about me. And what was said about laughing
last. But I don't recall any of it, best forgotten..
#12
If you have good bet selection, most MM schemes work
very well. But they also put you more at risk. So it always
comes back to flat betting. There is nothing MM can do that
flat betting can't if you have the right bet selection. Just last
week I saw 4 zeros in 6 spins. This will screw up any MM plan,
except flat betting. For FB, its just a blip. Bottom line is, always
risk as little as possible, you never know what's coming.
#13
General Discussion / Re: CALLING JOHN LEGEND !!!!
July 12, 2013, 05:02:49 AM
And he seemed so sure of himself, like that's all it takes.
Blustering and bravado. Takes a little more than that.
Just a smidgeon more...
#14
Even chance / Re: With regards to even chance
June 15, 2013, 07:33:21 PM
Quote from: Gizmotron on June 15, 2013, 08:36:20 AM
Wow, why should I.

Yes, why change now at this late date..
#15
Even chance / Re: With regards to even chance
June 15, 2013, 07:31:48 PM
Quote from: Gizmotron on June 15, 2013, 05:28:26 AM
Big deal. It's all unsubstantiated, as I said. And yes. You made me a $10,000 offer.

So is what you say and do unsubstantiated. And no offer was
made, you're a liar. Stop it.