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Messages - Sputnik

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1
General Discussion / Re: What to do with the BetSelection.cc forum?
« on: June 17, 2019, 07:19:01 am »

 This forum is dead - you did not grasp what has been posted and you are doomed to fail - your coding will not bring this forum to life and let it stay as it is without taking action is a big mistake.
 
 Cheers

2
General Discussion / Re: What to do with the BetSelection.cc forum?
« on: June 16, 2019, 04:12:37 pm »

Slotlady was only one example - I told Victor how to make money because he is well known by several thousand all over the internet - but it takes commitment.
Victor could start a Podcast (radio show for gambling) and make different shows and interviews with both Casinos and gambling punters and in the same way get advertisement money.
Star to play strategies of his own, both live (twitch) and Youtube - subscribers will become several thousand and advertisement money and make a hook to the forum explaining the methods that have been playing to draw attention. Twitter and gambling tips and Facebook for more personal interment personal exposure.

I bet that Victor could do the same as Slotlady set up with the internet and make a living from viewers and subscribers rather than from gambling itself.

Cheers

3
General Discussion / Re: What to do with the BetSelection.cc forum?
« on: June 15, 2019, 08:06:56 pm »

 One more thing - change the board for the present posts/topics - so when one member makes 10 posts it with the same topic it only shows as one new post on the present board.
 Because sometimes you only one member post twenty times and dominate the present and recent post board at the forum, this is wrong.
 You want variations of different categories of the gambling board being presented on the recent post board and not allowing one member to spam the forum.

 Cheers

4
General Discussion / Re: What to do with the BetSelection.cc forum?
« on: June 15, 2019, 05:17:38 pm »

I agree with Bally and I notice one nice future at another gambling forum - make monthly gambling competitions where the punters who want to join pay 10 Euro each.
Could who can present the best monthly system or any other gambling-related competitions, who will win NBA sports.

Assume you get twenty punters to join, then you can make a first, second and third price of the punter's money - an easy way to create some action and life into the forum.

Cheers

5
General Discussion / Re: What to do with the BetSelection.cc forum?
« on: June 15, 2019, 04:18:52 pm »

I will try to write quick - last time I got interrupted with several live sports picks.

This is what you do - my opinion.

More even spread between Sports section - Slot section - Roulette section - Baccarat section among others.

Invite famous people to get life into the forum board, they get advertisement and new followers and the discussion will take place in different areas.

For example Roulettman on Youtube - he makes videos about systems and selections and general talk bout roulette.
Make him or you post his videos on forum and give him exporsure.
Reckon he will take part in discussions about videos and genaral gambling talk.
At the moment he making a new video about scams online casinos and those has been cheated - contact him.

Slotlady has Youtube channel with many followers, Facebook, Twitter, Youtube, Patreon.
And live stream sessions online and real casino with Twitch among other things.
She might like forum board exposure.

I belive there is great bunch of Youtubeers and others who could bring life into this forum, but if they get there own sections the spread and space between different categories has to be even and not one game dominant.
I think this could be a new great set up for forum.

Make list of people with many followers and you will draw anttention to this forum.

Cheers

6

audionot - I understand your point of view - but this is a pure investment instead of the stock market.

I took 500 Euro from my bankroll for casino gambling and invest them into sports betting service - marketbeaters dot se -
Now I gamble with my money and bet 2% of my bankroll - 10 Euro flat betting - the recommendation is 1% of bankroll and that would be 10 Euro flat betting with 1000 Euro.

I buy two tipsters with an edge - Daniel 112% ROI and Inside 110% ROI - together they place around 200 bets for two months period and I can expect 560 Euro or more in pure profits.
The stock market doesn't even get close to those numbers.

Markeatbeaters has a spreadsheet with 7500 placed bets and 107% ROI - compare that to any other service that doesn't show you there stats.
This is a great opportunity for those who have a Europen time zone.

Cheers


7
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Talk
« on: June 14, 2019, 01:36:59 pm »

 I get back to you about this - do some extensive sports betting this weekend - I am up +220 Euro and aim for +300 for this month.

 Cheers

8
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Talk
« on: June 12, 2019, 01:40:22 pm »
The length of the sequence with two dominant events following a certain amount of strength.
This is how the sequences look with the natural random order TRNG
100 sequences - short term observation for variance

2 1 3 4 5 1 2 2 3 3 2 3 9 1 2 11 1 2 5 2 9 2 1 21 3 1 13 8 14 1 10 1 1 3 4 3 1 1 3 1 4 5 1 1 6 2 2 2 2 7
3 5 3 12 2 1 2 6 12 2 6 4 5 4 5 1 2 2 2 3 1 3 4 2 2 2 6 1 1 2 1 5 1 2 4 2 20 5 10 3 1 1 9 13 6 15 2 4 7 1

Now if we put them into the order we will find the median value where the sequence has 50/50 likelihood going into less or more.
When I use this with singles versus series I got the value of two singles equal one series of three and both had 50/50 likelihood to happen once.

Now with this example, we are measuring both singles and series of two versus series of three and the median value is different, it reaches 3.

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ( 3 ) 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 10 10 11 12 12 13 13 14 15 20 21

Cheers


9
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Talk
« on: June 12, 2019, 07:09:47 am »

Koetsch simulated the statistical expectation for even money with 100 placed bets session samples for 600 times, total 60.000 placed bets with 1.7% house edge.
The following pictures show the stats and the expectation for each session.
1700 session or 17% out of 60.000 placed bets did not have a back to back result during 100 placed bets session, reversal.
43.000 played 100 placed bets session had at least one reversal during the session, back to back results, break even.

I implement this with my testing.
Each time a session starts with a negative or I get one negative during the session without reaching my win target.
Then I know that the majority of times I will get back to back results and break even.

Cheers

10
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Talk
« on: June 11, 2019, 04:22:34 pm »

Here is a short sample - 20 session - flat betting

+20 units
-4 units
9 reversals

+0
+0
+0
+2
+0
+2
+0
-4
+2
+2
+0
+2
+2
+2
+2
+2
+2
+0
+0
+0




11
Baccarat Forum / Baccarat Talk
« on: June 11, 2019, 01:38:23 pm »
Asymbacguy post a strategy and I cannot forget about it.
But I see the approach with different observations.

I ask my self how many times does singles and series of two-strike before a series of three strikes.
Also how many times does a series of two and a series of three strikes before a series of four?

The match and probability are the same for both.
Equilibrium and imbalance/balance and the figures of the law of series.

Singles has the value of 1
Series of two has the value of 0
Series of three has the value of 1
Series of four has the value of 2
Series of five has the value of 3
And so it continues...

Series of two has the value of 1
Series of three has the value of 0
Series of four has the value of 1
Series of five has the value of 2
Series of six has the value of 3
And so it continues...

Now if you want to experiment you can make an observation list where you write down how many times singles and series of two-strike before a series of three.
Same for series of two and series of three against series of four.

This would even work using a series of three and a series of four versus a series of five.
Same math and probability.

The strike ratio is very high.
I been testing +2 units or break even with great success.
Don't forget that you get 83% reversals after a negative result flat betting.

Cheers



12
Wannawin's Library / Re: hot numbers method by turbogenius
« on: June 06, 2019, 01:16:14 pm »

 Turbo admits he using a Marty and I have been trying to solve this puzzle, but I will never know if I have the same solution.
 There is a march that you can follow to catch repeaters and new single outcomes that are forced to fill the gap sooner or later.

 This is how the results look like, been thinking to test this online, but the charting and tracking take time for each bet.
 But I find a live wheel from London Casino - Hippodrome - with live streaming from Unibet.
 That has a very nice function, the dealer does only spin the wheel after the punters and the Casino has placed their bets.
 So it can take 2 to 3 minutes or more between each spin depending on how crowded the table is at the Casino.

+15   7 spins
+44   16 spins
+32   4 spins
+7   10 spins
+15   7 spins
+26   5 spins
+26   5 spins
+20   10 spins
+21   6 spins

Cheers

13
www.Roulette.tools / Re: 98-unit parachute
« on: June 05, 2019, 12:51:04 pm »
 Hello Victor - I always use the binomial probability with parachute methods.
 Where each location has a 50% chance to hit like the EC.

 A EC has 50% with one attempt
 A Dozen has 50% with two attempts
 A Line has 50% with four attempts
 A Split has 50% with twelve attempts

 Look at this:

 Half      +1

 Dozen   +1
 Dozen   +0

 Line      +2
 Line      +1
 LIne      +0
 Line       -1

 Split     +10
 Split     +9
 Split     +8
 Split     +7
 Split     +6
 Split     +5
 Split     +4
 Split     +3
 Split     +2
 Split     +1
 Split     +0
 SPlit     -1

Now I know the binomial distribution work with the same probability as EC bets.
You only need to write down the results into groups of four and you will get sixteen different patterns to emerge.
Same as 4 EC bets.

Other solutions are to use eight patterns into groups of three.

A line has 50% to win with four attempts
The street has 50% to win with eight attempts
Single nr has 50% to win with twenty-five attempts.

Line+5
Line +4
Line +3
Line +2

Street +7
Street +6
Street +5
Street +4
Street +3
Street +2
Street +1
Street +0

Single +23
Singe +22
Single +21
Single +20
Single +19
Single +18
Single +17
Single +16
Sinlge +15
Single +14
Single +13
Singe +12
Single +11
Single +10
Single +9
Single +8
Single +7
Single +6
Sinlge +5
Single +4
Single +3
Single +2
Single +1
Single +0
Single -1

Same as 3 EC bets.
Now the patterns is same as EC where you get XXX XOO XOX OOO OXX OXO and so one.

Cheers

14

Taking Statistical Calculated Risk With Sports Betting Service

I have a gambling bankroll for Casino games with amounts at different online casinos.
Now I pull out 500 Euro to put into Sports Betting.

I pay 19 Euro for one Tipster with 112% ROI each month.
Now I been active for five days and are plus 140 Euro.
Placing 10 Euro bets flat betting and risking 2% of the bankroll.
That is 50 Units.

Now Koetsch simulated 50/50 without edge for 60.000 placed bets.
He simulated 100 placed bets sessions.

The worst drawdown during 600 x 100 placed bets sessions was minus 34 units.
And the average loss during 100 placed bets session was minus 8 units.

That means I have a pretty good chance to make 1000 Euro risking 2% of the bankroll ( 50 Units).
So when I reach 750 Euro I will start flat betting 15 Euro until I reach my goal.

After that I not sure what to do - I have three options.

1) I can bet the recommendation 1% of bankroll with 1000 Euro flat betting 10 Euro.
2) I can continue risking 2% of bankroll and bet 20 Euro flat betting.
3) I can regress and play with the sportsbooks own money without risking my own.

Option two feel tempting to reach maybe 2000 Euro
Option three feel like a stable small income with no risks involved, where you can boost a % to make the bankroll slowly grow and pull out money each year as return on investment.
Option one feels like a long term strategy where you slowly grow your bankroll with small risk.

Cheers Patrik


 

15
Real-World Casino Action / Re: Koetsch G3M1
« on: May 13, 2019, 07:01:42 pm »

Thanks, Lugi for posing this, I have the book :-)

Cheers

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