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1
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: An eyeopener challenge and query
« on: February 20, 2020, 08:40:58 am »

Have no time to argue, but I will make a short note about the topic, there are different styles of playing tactics and is combined with a players personality.
My trading personality is to win many times with small amounts on a regular basis with very hight strike ratio and take occasional loses.
The small wins add up over time and overcome the occasional loses, even if they hurt, but are part of the game.
That is one way to tackle the game and is based upon players personality, where some players want to win occasional but big and then we talking about other tactics.

I don't need to convince people how to play because I don't care if others lose or win - does who know - know.

Have a great day.

Cheers Patrik

2
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: An eyeopener challenge and query
« on: February 19, 2020, 07:15:08 pm »
 
 I just glance and one reply and know the whole topic - you don't need to win every bet to win - read that again - just one simple comparison if you trading tennis you would be an unintelligent to think you could predict each game correct and win them all - same apply to EC - the biggest and most silly mistake from most members - my opinion ...

For example, let's say you use a simple count system and flat betting 1 unit - then 87% of all sessions and attacks (hit and run) will win +1 unit or break even (if you stop).
It has been proven for 60.000 placed bets and is statistically significant.

Now let's say you make six placement for each sequential attack and lose -6 units and staking 2 units for the next six attempts (attack).
Now you only need to make +1 unit three times to break even with 2 units stake (simple)

That is 2,5 STDV if you lose again and now you can be realistic and start accepting loses.
Repeat and do the same thing with 4 units and win three times (the most common small regression sequence you will find) my experience.

That is 12 units if you win and are now -6 units, there is no reason to chase or try to win or break even because you are fighthing against a sequence worse then 3,0 STDV and should be happy with a three step regression during that sequence from hell.

Now assume you lose again, then you will face above 4,0 STDV sequence and should be more then happy if you find and catch a three step regression - that is Jackpot.
Lets say you staking 6 units and that would be +18 units with a three step regression.
You have lost 42 units and reduce that to 24 units - almost half the stake facing a 4 STDV sequence or worse - that is clever gambling to HEDGE a situation with realsitic expecataions.

But lets say you reach the 5 STDV territorum once in lifetime or maybe twice, then you staking 8 units.
My point is that you will lose but not bust - that is a hudge difference - and even if you bust you hade made some heavy and clever ways to minimize loses and try to hedge every given situation with realistic expectations.

Now the secret lies in that you only need to win twice within six attempts during any given sequence and start over until break even or reaching a three step regression.
All the situations you win your first bet or second bet you take the win or tie and start over with next table.

This way you can play BJ - Baccarat - Roulette - Sic Bo - Craps or any other game that offers 50% probability ....

Cheers Patrik

3
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat
« on: November 23, 2019, 04:02:36 pm »

Spartabookie and all ...
Hello, I want to apologize for my posting error - the method is the same as MDB with the difference that you use cycles or waves or specific sequences for each particular attack.

When I have time I will get back posting a sample ...

Cheers


4
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat
« on: November 12, 2019, 03:14:07 pm »

 60.000 placed bets with 1.7 House Edge
 Each 100 placed bets sample has an 87% reversal (back to back) break even after one negative result.
 So when you reach +2 units without being in the negative you stop and start over and when you get into the negative you break even.
 That is flat betting.

 Now the worst during one 100 placed bets sample among 60.000 placed bets with 100 placed bet samples is minus 35 units (happen once during 60.000 placed bets with 100 placed bets samples.)
 The average loss peak during 100 placed bets samples is minus eight units.

 My theory and understanding are that all systems lose.
 But you soften the negative to get back to back and you increase the 87% with a smooth progression like 111 222 333 444 555 where you win twice at each level and are the same benchmark you recommend to beginner betting sports, maximum 5% of your bankroll.

Another theory is when you win half the money you are prepared to lose your regress and play with casino money.
This means two things in real life.
You need to lose twice to bust and you will not feel stressful over the fact that the losing sequence will hit you because the way toward the losing sequence has been shortened into half where you have your comfort zone and don't risk your own money.

Is very simple to illustrate, assume I am taking 111123 a total of nine units.
The selection need to win twice during six attempts.
When I reach +4 or +5 units I can regress and operate with casino money and be in my comfort zone.
Then if I bust i need to bust very soon again to lose twice in a row, if not then I will be operating with casino money again, which is a delay factor.
During this delay, you capitalize and use Up As You Win and push for more winnings using a more complex staking solution.

Cheers

5
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat
« on: November 11, 2019, 08:58:47 am »

Well, I will implement this and will test with real results using Baccarat Buster 2 and post the results.
You have to understand that Baccarat Buster 2 is not a random RNG generate baccarat results.

Quote:
The card numbers are kept in a text file just as though they were stacked on the table. When the game starts
The program reads the values of the cards into memory. Now the deck is in memory. I have created code that will
physically shuffle those cards per the user?s definition (any casino shuffle definition). Two default shuffles
come with the software. You can define and save as many shuffles as you wish and play against any of them.
As long as the program has been on the market no one has been able to duplicate this process, it took me over
A year to develop the code.

Understanding the playing deck

There is a file on your hard disk that contains all of the numbers of the cards. There are eight files, 1 has 52 cards another has 104 (for 2 decks) another has 3 decks etc. up to 8 decks.

When you start a new game the program opens one of these files and reads the contents into memory. For as long as you play the current session, they are kept in memory. When they are shuffled, they are shuffled in memory. The cards in the file on your hard disk are still in their original order. This is important to understand. This is how you use this feature.

For example, you set your players to play a certain logic and after viewing the Analysis screen you want to tweak it up a little and play again using the same sequence of cards to test your modifications. Or maybe you want to use the same deck of cards at a different casino to see what effect the shuffle has on the outcome.

This is where the Scramble feature comes in. Maybe you don't want to continue where you left off. By selecting to Scramble the deck, the program will do a wash on the cards after they are read into memory and start you off with a completely fresh sequence.

This is helpful when you modify your player logic and test it against the exact same sequence to see if it produced a greater profit. And it did. So, do it again but, Scramble the cards to see if it produces a profit against a different sequence of cards. Scrambling the cards does not affect the cards stored on the disk, just the cards in memory.

Cheers

6
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat
« on: November 11, 2019, 07:57:22 am »
Hi ...

Well, that is the catch and the underlying reasons why this work.
Someone could say that is similar betting against two's not becoming five in a row.
But then you have the expectation of one event to show, you bet for one single isolated event to show.

In Sputnik's March, you have three events that define the random distribution and each section of random bits.
You get waves with two events happening with the odds onE in three, that is how the random bits are sorted and no other world exists.

With your example above we would have maybe lost three bets depending on how you would play.
If we would play Banker side by it self we don't know if that sequence would won or lose.
B P B P B P BBB P B P B P B - L L ?
If we would play both Banker and Player side we would lose three bets.
B P B P B P BBB P B P B P B - L L L


Here is a random org file where 1 stands for Player and 2 stands for Banker.

2
2
1
1
1
2


1
1
2
2
2
2
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1


2
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1
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7
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat
« on: November 10, 2019, 07:00:42 pm »

This is the expectation with 300 RNG outcomes playing one sequence by itself.

Singles and series of three or higher in any combination - LW W LLL W LLL W W W W W LW W - 12 attacks

Singles and series of two in any combination - LW W W LW W W W LW W LW LLW W - 12 attacks

First had two losing sequences and the second one none.

Cheers

8
Baccarat Forum / Baccarat
« on: November 10, 2019, 04:55:32 pm »
 Now great minds will read this and understand the concept.
 I will show two things and if you don't understand you can look at the Spuntik's March topic at this forum board.

 Personal I considering using both, with real money at my local casino.
 This is only a blueprint and you need to develop and tweak with a personal touch.

 Raw explanation.

 Method 1

 I got inspired by Asymbac when he talks about his doubles to become three in a row using the banker side.
 Then I come up with a pretty amazing solution for any even-money game.

 Two sequences out of three will be used with this method.

 Singles and series of two.
 Singles and series of three or higher.
 And we skip Series of two and series of three or higher.

 Each event is by itself one event.

 Singles are one event.
 A series of two are one event.
 Series of three or higher are one event.

 There are two things that can happen using the two sequences above when you cut the random bits into sequences, each sequence by itself, own section.
 One sequence can have one event each showing to become a triplet and if not you will have a bias sequence with at least two events repeating for three times or more in a row.
 
 Now we have a raw explanation again.
 In the long run, do we have 1000 singles and 500 series of two and 250 series of three, but as we use series of three or higher as one event they are equal or greater than series of two with the amount
 500 with my example, so figure 250 is not correct.

 And in the short run, you can expect a series of two and series of three or higher with the same strike ratio as singles, because there are as many singles as there is series.
 Let me repeat the above again, 1000 singles and 500 series of two and 500 series of three or higher.
 1000 versus 1000.

 The odds are 1 in 3 to get one of the events to show in the short run.
 We are betting against each sequence to not getting a greater bias then five or more in a row, with a particular touch.
 The singles in each sequence are not going to grow more than four or more times in a row and the whole sequence minimum amount with two events will be five.

 For example B P BB P

 Now we bet there will be one more series of two or a series of three or higher for the next three attempts.
 They have a very high likelihood of strike once within the next three attempts because two events to strike five times or more in a row has less likelihood.

 Look at the Asymbac approach where you have one banker double and you bet that one of the next two bankers double will become three in a row, due to the slight advantage of the banker.
 But I only need a series of two or three or higher to achieve the same thing, betting against a bias sequence to become less than five in a row.

 Let me twist it, let's say you have to single bankers B B and one double banker BB within the next three attempts I will have at least one double banker or three or higher in a row.
Because the slight advantage of the banker side hitting more frequent overall where a series with that particular situation has a higher likelihood to happen.

A short RNG sampel

LW LW W W W LW LLL W W W LLL W W LW W W W W W LW LLW LW W LW

Another good thing about this approach is that you can use a smooth variant of Hollandish Progression - staking 111 222 333 444 555 and so on - I have very difficult to see this way of playing to lose money.

One more example with the other sequence.
BBBB B P her you would for a series of two or three or higher, betting against a bias sequence with five or more in a row.

The reason this work is that you can expect the odds 1 in 3 in the short run with variance and fluctuation.

Pst ... here is a little secret the 50/50 need to make at least five swings (singles) to the other side to lose the three attempts and among them, you have at least one series.
And a tight players use one sequence only to get less variance and more reliable periodic cycles overall.

Next, I will post method two ...


Cheers


 




9
General Discussion / Re: Frank Barstow
« on: November 09, 2019, 05:10:58 pm »
Thanks Bally ...

I took the real Casino result and test this method.
What I like very much is the small loses and thinking that I will add one additional rule to this method.

If there is no forth repeat and no winning bet after eight attempts I quit and start over.

This never happend, but if it happens I will not go deeper into the whole.
Because this is a Bias number method and three numbers have a 50% probability to hit within eight attempts.
That is the binomial probability calculation and means that would I continue betting after eight attempts I have less than a 50% probability to hit.

Summary:

Bet on the first 3 numbers that repeat
If you get a win (any of those shows a third time) start over.
If you get a 4th number qualified and none of the 3 you're playing has won, start over.
And my rule: If you don't get a 4th repeat or a winning bet after eight attempts, start over.


17 Sessions
Won +98 Units
Loss -15 Units

PROFIT +83 Units

EDIT i calculated wrong

+27
-3
+27
-3
-9
-3
-3
-3
-15
-3
+24
-6

WON +78
LOSS -48
PROFIT +30 Units

One more test

-6
-3
-9
-3
-9
-3   
+24   
-9   
-24   
+24
-3
-6
-3
-15
+30
-3

WON +78
LOSS -96
LOSS -18

10
General Discussion / Frank Barstow
« on: November 09, 2019, 01:23:11 pm »

Back in 1984, Frank Barstow published, "Beat the Casino".  Within the book, there should be a hot number method with the name Pyramid System.
If you have, could you post that particular method or send me a private message.

I can give something really good in return.

Cheers Patrik From Sweden

11
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Does playing after a very bad patch helps?
« on: September 14, 2019, 05:20:50 pm »

The worst after several million of spins - 5.35 - same as winning the lottery :-)

12
General Discussion / Re: LABBY AND RTM...
« on: September 08, 2019, 03:40:33 pm »
PA, where do you, play? are you based in Europe/US ...
I don't think  Albalaha can help you with anything as he keeps his solution in private, but he sometimes posts some sequence about the worst imbalance that is fun to beat, if you know how :-)

You need to understand RTM and see how it unfold, here are some simple examples.

Wait for six events versus one event in any combination, can be XXXOXXX
Now your expectation depends on your benchmark, the window of events above can grow to 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 STDV
And yes there is staking plans that can avoid such sequence to win and recoup of the comming regression.

But let's say you want to know what happens if a 1.25 STDV window does not grow stronger and there is RTM, then what is your expectation.
If you get another six events you have 3.0 STDV rare, but happens

Now your expectation is two events for the next six events and you will have RTM and not reaching a 2.5 or 3.0 STDV window.
That is two events with any combination among the future outcomes or sequence.

The RTM don't know what strikes or chopping means, they come as an independent reaction from a strong imbalance and can come with very large gaps between them.
This is the reason why most progression and staking plans fail.

Look at this sequence XXXXOXXXXXXOXXXX this is a 3.0 STDV window and we know that most of the times we will get minimum two winning bets as part of RTM but we don't know where or when for the next six outcomes as they can show in any combination.

This means that all triggers are worthless and you need to look at the ECART in sections/groups of events to see how things balance out or recoup.
One other misunderstanding is that you will get 100% to recoup sequence, this might happen during several thousand of trails.

You need to look at small, medium and large RTM and tackle how to catch them and profit.

Cheers

13
General Discussion / Re: What to do with the BetSelection.cc forum?
« on: June 17, 2019, 07:19:01 am »

 This forum is dead - you did not grasp what has been posted and you are doomed to fail - your coding will not bring this forum to life and let it stay as it is without taking action is a big mistake.
 
 Cheers

14
General Discussion / Re: What to do with the BetSelection.cc forum?
« on: June 16, 2019, 04:12:37 pm »

Slotlady was only one example - I told Victor how to make money because he is well known by several thousand all over the internet - but it takes commitment.
Victor could start a Podcast (radio show for gambling) and make different shows and interviews with both Casinos and gambling punters and in the same way get advertisement money.
Star to play strategies of his own, both live (twitch) and Youtube - subscribers will become several thousand and advertisement money and make a hook to the forum explaining the methods that have been playing to draw attention. Twitter and gambling tips and Facebook for more personal interment personal exposure.

I bet that Victor could do the same as Slotlady set up with the internet and make a living from viewers and subscribers rather than from gambling itself.

Cheers

15
General Discussion / Re: What to do with the BetSelection.cc forum?
« on: June 15, 2019, 08:06:56 pm »

 One more thing - change the board for the present posts/topics - so when one member makes 10 posts it with the same topic it only shows as one new post on the present board.
 Because sometimes you only one member post twenty times and dominate the present and recent post board at the forum, this is wrong.
 You want variations of different categories of the gambling board being presented on the recent post board and not allowing one member to spam the forum.

 Cheers

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