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Messages - Albalaha

#1141
Gambling Philosophy / Re: Dispersion kILLINg
December 18, 2013, 12:13:25 PM
Dear GGAsoft,
         How your approaches help to win more and lose less in a random session?Would you mind elaborating that?
#1142
Money Management / Re: MM Suggestions
December 18, 2013, 05:24:27 AM
Quote from: Buffster on November 30, 2013, 01:56:46 AM
Addressed to anyone willing to answer...

I'm looking for best MM to use on a EC system on Euro Roulette (0)

The average stats of the system flutter in this neighborhood:

Total Spins: 499
Total Bets: 465
Total Wins: 260
Total Losses: 205
Total Wins in a Row: 9
Total Losses in a Row: 9
Win Rate: 55.91 %


Thanks in Advance

B


        With this win rate(55.91%), flat betting will earn itself. If you continue to get such hit rates and successive hits, any positive progression like oscar grind or parlay will do the trick.
P.S.: If I am sure of getting so many hits in succession(9) for sure, I will go for a 5-6 steps parlay. If I am only sure of getting more wins than losses, I may try D'Alembert.
#1143
Math & Statistics / Re: Variance question
December 18, 2013, 05:10:41 AM
Playing after a particular SD or z- score has no inbuilt advantage. It is only an attempt to get near "virtual limits" of randomness which is a fallacy than reality. Rather, waiting for such variance to occur, we miss winnings of "positive variance" whenever they occur in a session and gets very few opportunities to bet or win.
         For instance, if we are betting an EC and get 1 hit in 9th spin, we have a Z-score of -2.33. If someone feels it advantageous to wait till this happens, statistically, he needs to wait till 250+ spins to get one such opportunity to bet.
            There are a few so-called experts here who mislead all that playing after 3.0 STD has an advantage while there is no such thing, in reality.
               
#1144
Math & Statistics / Re: Variance question
December 17, 2013, 05:03:43 PM
This is a hypothetical question and it has only hypothetical answers. There can be a bet with lower variance at one point of time but there can be none with no variance or that can stay protected from large variances always.
#1145
Quote from: PratikPokerpop on December 15, 2013, 04:18:30 AM
only martingale or grand martingale is the real way to beat roulette... :cheer: don't know how much time it will last though


YES. If we play hypothetically having infinite chips and unlimited table, they are sure shot way to win. In real world where we can not have any of these (infinite chips or unlimited table/bet spread), they are the worst way to play.
#1146
Quoterandom numbers are nonsense.



QuoteAnd the obvious corollary to that is that playing games based on random numbers is also nonsense.

First statement is perception, second could be truth for losers.
#1147
Randomness and uncertainty is absolute truth in gambling. Can someone deny?
#1148
Even chance / Re: £100 in to £135,000 in 365 sittings
December 13, 2013, 06:46:18 AM
Quoteusing the martingale betting system


This is the worst piece of comedy that I have seen in years.  :-*
#1149
Risking money on slots is one of the most unwise idea. That too to clear such huge wagering requirements makes it further worse.
#1150
I have done this more than two dozens times but all were no deposit bonuses. The time constraints that u have is the biggest hurdle and the wagering that they are asking is ridiculous and pretty difficult.
#1151
Quote from: Number Six on December 09, 2013, 01:28:20 PM
It would be easy to add some credence to your reputation by undergoing a public test. The test can be set up in such a way to preserve anonymity of any bet selection.
It has been done earlier too in public test. Have a look :
http://albalaha.lefora.com/topic/4336241/Entering-hall-of-fame#.UqXGH9IW1A4


Any doubts of fabrications? Go and ask the admin of that site.
#1152
QuoteIf you do, also read the posts where it all fails eventually, Sam has posted it a few times after good long runs.I agree the comment (Follow him, then) is unjustified.


            Every method have same fate. What good it made to all that this action is being cited? When a method loses principally, it is useless to make a video of that. Better simulate that in excel and save your time and that of others. Unless a method can better be understood visually,I do not feel it is any good to make video of that.
#1153
Whenever someone speaks that the game is not beatable I feel like crying, "then why the hell are you over here"?

If you believe in this theory then quit gambling forever and don't lurk around places to get a ready to use HG to become a millionaire.

           Only statement that is true about roulette or any game of chance is, "you can not win in all probabilities that can appear in gambling due to randomness and unpredictability caused thereby".


Whatever you concept is, if you bet and keeps on getting losses, even the wisest approach will look foolish there. LLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL

#1154
We do not need to beat the game. We need to extract profit from it as we churn milk to extract cream without destroying the milk.I believe it is easily doable. At least,I can do that.
               The game itself is not beatable,in all probabilities but it is winnable.
#1155
If a method is not winner in itself, why do u expect a bot to win anything for you? Such bots with limited applications are useless. Ralph's bot was better. At least he coded many popular methods and gave the bot for free too.