Quote from: Tomla on September 06, 2013, 04:39:22 PM
wow that was a really terrible pick---im sure your next attempt will be better?

My picks are logical picks and not on any intuition or voodoo. I knew that Murray can't beat Wawrinka so easily but Wawrinka will do 3-0 was impossible to guess. It had a rate of 10/1.
             Nowhere in the world this was predicted to happen.

Ha Ha,
Wawrinka won 3-0. He really turned the match upside down. Unfortunately, I could not monitor this match while running and could not put cover bets.

GGP,
        Nice to see you here. Actually, I wanted to know whether you have any interest in sports betting or not.
   I try to put results of my bets myself for everyone to see. See my high probability sports picks too.
         I work very hard to find the best picks among the thousands of option in my choice of sports alone.

Quote from: Albalaha on September 05, 2013, 03:35:29 AM
SNOOKER:
Six Red World Championship:

In the match between Stuart Binghamvs Robin Hull

bet on the win of Stuart Bingham
05:00, 5th September 2013
* Starting soon

Yesssssssssssssssss
  Stuart Bingham won.

Andy Murray is favorite to win but anything can happen between the two today. Losses of Ferrer and Federer indicate that even those players who is looking weaker statistically can turn match upside down at such stages.
          Anyways,
                    I am not taking sides. Only going rationally. I am getting following odds on paddypower for set bettings:
[attachimg=1]


I am taking risk of Andy Murray or S Wawrinka beating his counterpart at 3-0, for now.


I am opting set betting as follows:
A Murray 3-1 (rate 5/2) 4 units; if it wins it will return back 14 units
A Murray 3-2 (rate 13/2) 2 units; if it wins it will return back 15 units
S Wawrinka 3-1 (rate 8/1) 1 unit; if it wins it will return back 9 units
S Wawrinka 3-2 (rate 9/1) 1 unit; if it wins it will return back 10 units


So, in a nutshell, I am risking a total of 8 units and I can earn anything from 1 unit to 7 units of net profit unless, any of the two does 3-0.


*If things look going one sided in the first set, covering bets may lessen the risk.

SNOOKER:
Six Red World Championship:

In the match between Stuart Binghamvs Robin Hull

bet on the win of Stuart Bingham
05:00, 5th September 2013
* Starting soon

Can Wedding explain as to which kind of progression formula he used here since KAV is denying this to be his way? I have PMd wedding too for this but no progress.

Dear Wedding can you simulate LLWLLW................. till 100 spins with same set of rules?

So, it finished with 1 unit win, to end with. Very interesting. Please explain it fully for more interesting simulations.
and do not forget that it was 90 Losses vs 33 wins only, much more tougher than 67:33.
        After a very long time, I can see an useful debate. Let's carry it further.

Can someone check this with 30L-10W-30L-11W-30L-12W distribution of wins/losses?

Nick,
Don't you feel that the real challenge is of random sessions having 30 wins randomly scattered? How can we get such spins to test whether this progression is working or not?

Yesssssss.
     England finally won in this dramatic match.

England recovering fast. At 124/4 now at 28 overs. If it could save wickets further for 50 more runs, it can turn the game in its favor again.

Dear Nick,
           What exactly is the progression in the excel tracker? Are you using sessions having only 30 wins randomly spread?

I put a nice recovery bet on the win of Ireland and now England being at 48/4 at the end of 15 overs looks like a clear loser.