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Messages - Albalaha

#1396
Sports Betting Forum / Re: My sports betting picks
June 29, 2013, 01:56:11 AM
Quote from: Albalaha on June 28, 2013, 02:08:03 AM
Wimbledon, Tennis: 28th June 2012 , Time: 15:00


In the match between:


Petra Kvitova  vs. Ekaterina Makarova

bet for the win of Petra Kvitova


              Lots of disturbance in the game due to rain and bad weather. Currently, both have won 1 set each and Makarova has a little edge in the last decisive set. You can put insurance bet on Makarova too. Match will resume today evening.
#1397
Sports Betting Forum / Re: My sports betting picks
June 28, 2013, 02:08:03 AM
Wimbledon, Tennis: 28th June 2012 , Time: 15:00


In the match between:


Petra Kvitova  vs. Ekaterina Makarova

bet for the win of Petra Kvitova
#1398
my blog address: www.albalaha.lefora.com

[mod]Link Added[/mod]
#1399
Quote from: Sputnik on June 26, 2013, 02:34:46 PM

Placed bets is the only thing that counts, that's it.

Progressions and flat betting is the same thing, but i assume you know that.
When I hear anything like this, I have to ask to myself as to why do I write here.
Nothing can change you guys. You are happy with losses, you are happy with fallacies and you are happy in darkness.
#1400
Long term doesn't only mean betting thousands spins in a stretch. It may  mean many sessions taken together and we may analyse any method, in long term, that way too.
          Hit and Run and martingale kind of proven failures are the effects of thinking of short term in wrong sense.
#1401
Good only for casual and once in a while trial of luck. It doesn't earn in long term. I have simulated it for a very long data. It loses.
#1402
General Discussion / Re: Au revoir
June 25, 2013, 06:36:48 PM
GGP,
           You will surely come back with healhier and sharper brain. We will miss you. Try to write about your well being. :rose:
#1403
Sports Betting Forum / Re: My sports betting picks
June 25, 2013, 03:08:37 PM
Quote from: Albalaha on June 25, 2013, 03:08:46 AM
Wimbledon, Tennis:
25th June 2013
In the match between:
                     I Dodig  Vs P Kohlschreiber
bet for the Win of P Kohlschreiber
Bet Void, Money Refunded.
#1404
Sports Betting Forum / Re: My sports betting picks
June 25, 2013, 03:08:46 AM
Wimbledon, Tennis:
25th June 2013
In the match between:
                     I Dodig  Vs P Kohlschreiber
bet for the Win of P Kohlschreiber
#1405
Which game do you consider most predictable where certainty to win of a favorite bet is relatively very high?
      Which game looks most volatile to you?
#1406
Nigeria Vs Spain
Spain won.  :cheer:
#1407
Football: Confederation cup
23rd June 2013
Nigeria Vs Spain
Bet on the win of Spain
(match going to start in an hour)
#1409

Debate closed with a conclusion that "law of large numbers" and "regression towards mean" both talks of things going smoother in long run than short run in terms of "proportion" and not in terms of "count". These principals are applicable to all short of gambling which has fixed odds and specially useful for the game called "roulette".
                                  Never forget that nobody has so far defined "long run" so playing after 3.0 STD or 9.0 STD has no difference. When we play only after so much dispersion, we always miss all early hits that come in good times and at small or regular intervals. So play after certain number of losses is not a winner concept in itself. After a push of negative progression, although, it may do well.
#1410
Will regression towards mean help anyways in winning with flat bet? Does it offer more winning opportunities to play after 3.0 STD than not? This is my last query.