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Messages - Albalaha

#1756
Dozen/Column / Re: *******7 on 1*******
January 13, 2013, 04:54:57 AM
Again bigger gambler's fallacy coupled with most insane progression ever played by mankind. Tell me one thing, JL, how do u think of playing anything like that? It is even worse than Pattern Breaker.
           
                                                I always thought that Gizmotron and Spike are doing too much criticism against you, but I can see they were totally correct. You may win even with this JL but you may lead many to commit suicide, believing you.
#1757
Great.  :applause:  I love people who challenge themselves.
#1758
Dozen/Column / Re: *******7 on 1*******
January 12, 2013, 03:50:27 PM
QuoteRESULTS UPDATE FOR 7 ON 1 FOR 12/01/2013 TOTAL GAMES PLAYED 925 TOTAL GAMES WON 925 TOTAL GAMES LOST ZERO STRIKERATE 925/0 LONGEST WAIT FOR A WINNER STEP 4 of the progression 6 times. Most wins come in the first two steps of the progression.

                                  What is the bankroll requirement for this? Should I give a sample session to elaborate it?
#1759
Good Job, Ralph.
#1760
great job. keep informing.
#1761
what is  your net win/loss, so far?
#1762
Well begun is half done.
#1763
Best of Luck, buddy.
#1764
Hey Ralph,
        You are more than lucky. Once I made a spin same way and won $5000.
#1765
MG,
      I mean to say, probability and randomness may go against each other at any moment and that is what we call as "variance". If you bet on corrections, u need not benefit from it. In long run, every bet is almost same but u can't say so about a session that we are going to play.
#1766
There is a famous quotation about statistical observation and probability:


        Then there is the man who drowned crossing a stream with an average depth of six inches.  ~W.I.E. Gates
#1767
Quotealbalaha, I wouldn't say it's "very much" possible. That scenario represents 6.3 STD below the mean, which would be incredibly rare, if not impossible. I would certainly have doubts about the fairness of a coin which generated those results. If randomness knows no rules then why not 200 head in 1000 tosses?, or 50?


Bayes,
           What is the probability of getting 5 or 7 reds in a row? Don't u feel that they can appear more often in a session than the mathematical probabiility says?


See 75 Blacks, 105 Reds and 5 Zeroes.
#1768
It is very much possible to get 600 heads vs 400 tails in 1000 trials/tosses. A coin has no memory to balance things out. 500 heads and 500 tails are merely rule of probability. Randomness knows no rules.
#1769
It seems that everyone is having one's own set of fallacies.
#1770
Rare things do happen.