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Messages - Albalaha

#196
Who among us plays live dealer baccarat on a daily basis? I am looking for a team of real players( even one will do) who has experience online and prefers live dealer baccarat. Please name the casinos where you play(PM me if you do not prefer to disclose that openly). Had it been my choice, I would have asked Victor, Lungyeh, asymbac and even Alrelax (I know he hates online gaming) to make a dream team. Only known members may approach me. This forum has been very silent for long. Let's make some noise.
#197
I do play RNG roulette in ................. as well as live dealer one in other casinos. I have never played baccarat RNG and believe most of the baccarat players opt live dealer than RNG.
Quotethe result of a decision ( player or banker in baccarat, or the spin of a roulette wheel etc ) is not dependent on the hand dealt by a deck of cards or the spin of a roulette wheel, but the result is determined by the RNG and the cards or the roulette ball is displayed according to the result of the RNG

Result of a decision is always random irrespective of your expectations be it RNG or real casino. RNG can manipulate is an easy excuse for losses. If you win in the long run in real casinos and RNG makes you lose forcibly, cursing RNG could be justified. Further, online casinos do not just have RNG for roulette and Baccarat but live dealer too with common results for all.
#198
Quote from: Atlantis on May 29, 2020, 09:11:14 AM
Seems the results are good on the horror if just betting ONCE only after wLL...?

A.
Nothing works for all cases to avoid variance but betting too much after third consecutive loss doesn't look good or even wise enough.
#199
On line casinos are nothing different than landbased casinos at fundamental level. Those who can not win decisively could blame that very easily. So far as unregulated casinos are concerned, they should be avoided. Apart from predatory RNG they do have payment related issues too and could easily avoid paying and answering too.
                I have experience with over 300 online casinos wherein I have played with over 50 casinos for long stretches of time and found them non problematic except certain hiccups. So far playing RNG is concerned, it can easily be manipulated. If we talk of live dealer ones, specially to play baccarat, I would anytime prefer them for landbased ones. It could be my own perception based on my experiences. I found landbased casinos more offensive and unfriendly for a regular player specially if he wins regularly as well. Those high rollers who go to casinos for entertainment and do not mind losing some money, land based casinos are the best place to play. Fun of a real casino is not comparable to any online casino.
               If someone is looking to play online there could be certain parameters that has to be evaluated beforehand. They include the mode and speed of deposits and withdrawals, their limits, issue of banning winners, internet stability while playing, maintenance etc.
In nutshell, randomness is common among all and unless one knows how to win in the long run, he has same fate be it online casinos or landbased real one.
#200
I would just say that the drawdowns were nothing horrible with both 6 units and 12 units max bets. Max bets were used very sparingly.
#201
IF I RAISE THE MAX BET LIMIT TO 12, THE SAME SESSION FINISHES IN NET PROFIT, FAR EARLY: 35 WINS VS 53 LOSSES
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#202
ANOTHER SESSION:  93 WINS VS 120 LOSSES:
IF MAX BET IS 6 UNITS ONLY.
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#203
Quote from: sean on May 27, 2020, 08:15:32 AM
Hi Albalaha, is the sentence (in red) a key consideration when you design the MM? Are there any tips/hints to leverage on this when we design MM? Thank you for your guidance.
Yes. Absolutely. We need to focus most on that span only where we are destined to win 90% of the times, for sure. We can opt to pause over that, that is what most people opt or may bet flat 1 unit, if pausing is not feasible. I prefer later. Mind it, this rule will cause occasional losses too but help in the long run. Mini stop losses (I have elaborated in details ) and absolute stop loss help us handle extreme as well. I have left enough hints to help anybody make his own personal grail. I still believe there could be some better ideas but none will share them.
#204
Quote from: sean on May 27, 2020, 08:02:23 AM
Hi, of course I wasn't expecting you to tell me how you bet. That will be unreasonable. I was curious about how the size of each bet changes over time (i.e. When u hit max bet). I can only see how the bankroll changes over time but is more interested in how the size of each bet changes over time.

Another question is that you have been posting multiple horrible sessions but the method used to overcome those sessions are exactly the same or have your method improvised over time? I noticed that some supposedly easier sessions have higher max bet while the tougher ones have lower max bet.
In my most recent way, I could opt a max bet of 6 or 12 whichever suits me( while in earlier version there was no such limit), so it can not surpass that, come what may. I have improvised my method a bit but then I recheck all sessions, if they still hold or not. The core idea has been same and just tried to make it more playable.
#205
Quote from: sean on May 26, 2020, 04:11:29 PM
Hi Albalaha, can you kindly show us the number of units gained/loss during each bet/hand?
Lol. You want to know how I bet? Sorry, can't help you that way but could give you a graph of how my bankroll moved, if you want that. If you have any true tough session for an EC, put the LW of that.
#206
Ladies and gentlemen! Presenting a session directly from hell which I believe to be unheard and unseen forever. First 100 trials have only 16 wins. Another super bad stretch in the middle of the session of 50 trials. Overall 245 Wins vs 345 Losses. It won with 6 units max bet, Worst balance=-100. No compensatory or clumping wins.

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#207
Quote from: sean on May 26, 2020, 09:25:22 AM
What's the overall profit in terms of units in the end?

        Just a net profit from 1 to 4 units in all such extremely horrible sessions. These are no ordinary ones. In an average session of 100 trials, I can fetch upto 25 units easily with the same methodology. These sessions can not be beaten flat nor by any playable martingale or any published MM idea ever. If you have ever heard of any MM that can handle these sessions with a reasonable bankroll and max bet units, please let us all know.
#208
Encountered a very tough looking session, specially, in the beginning. First 50 trials were ultra tough and later no clumping or compensating wins but usual below average session. 128 Wins vs 175 losses. -2.23 SD overall. How many of you think of winning such sessions with a realistic bankroll? Worst -47, max bet= 6 units.
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#209
Wagering & Intricacies / Re: L.I.S.T. & MMM
May 23, 2020, 04:08:07 PM
QuoteYou need to figure something into your own M.M.M. that will allow you to keep playing if you are winning, all the while holding a certain portion of the continued win money.

              A true pro player should have everything well determined, meant for the long run. Be it the best or the worst or an average session, he should do the best possible.
#210
Quote from: alrelax on May 21, 2020, 09:57:43 PM
You clearly misunderstand and/or misinterpret my Money Management Method along with its positive progressions and parlay wagers. 

I have done very well with exactly those since I began allowing those things to govern my sessions and play.
I haven't said a word about your MM, rather I got it now that you do positive progressions and parlays etc. I only answered statements purportedly said by myself and I stand by that.

              Since we started to discuss MMs and specially positive progressions, I know a few positive progressions:
1. Reverse Martingale or its slightly different versions as parlay betting
2. Reverse Labouchere or reverse fibonacci
3. Oscar's Grind.
              These presuppose a nice streak or clump of wins to fetch a net profit. We all know that they keep coming too.
Let's take a case of 3 step reverse martingale or a straight parlay where we ride upon a win thrice.
We start with 1 unit bet, if we win, we have 2 units, we wager 2 units in the second bet and if successful we have 4 units now, in the third bet, we bet 4 units and we get a total of 8 units wherein only 1 unit is our own money and we got a whopping 7 units net win. Eureka.
              but wait. It is not as good as it may sound. When we do it realistically over and over like anything we face exactly same issues as with any other positive or negative progression. Yes, my dear its variance. A three step WWW that should come every 8th trial averagely may take as long as 100 trials in one stretch or even more. Similarly, it may go south for hundreds of trials with average sliding to 1/16 or even worse averagely for too long. Unless one is very lucky, winning a net profit with positive progression is as much tricky as with a negative progression. Long run simulations or long run play experience will confirm the same. Any classic negative or positive progression doesn't win on its own. Had it been so easy, the game would have ended a few hundred years ago.