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Messages - Albalaha

#451
Beating a game of house edge in absolute sense is not possible. We can still earn from it, suffering temporary setbacks and losses. Gizmotron @ Mark has been a nice contributor to gambling community and although I do not personally agree with everything he says but he is one of the best, nevertheless. Gizmo, if you are good at what you do, time will tell you and all. Similarly, if you got illusioned by any misconception, you will face the adverse effect of that too. Do not get too much distracted by naysayers. Just keep your messages to the people who believe you. Good luck for your real money sessions.
#452
Quote from: BEAT-THE-WHEEL on October 17, 2017, 01:36:53 PM
Bet risking 1u every bet, parlay the win plus 1u.
1st win=2
1+2=3, w=6
1+6=7=14
1+14=15=30
31=62,
63=126
127=254
That 7win streak, anyone dare say 7win streak win won't  happen?

It will happen for sure at some point of time but till then u could be losing much more than you gain from this parlay. Parlay looks attractive but it may not work as per your convenience. Be it a single Win or a set of seven wins, all could go far far from where you expect it.
#453
Bayes suggestion could be an interesting way to play but it can not be the best as nothing is better or worse permanently. It is as random as it could be. The warmest could go choppy or cold when you start to bet that and vice versa.
#454
Very nice and thought provocating topic. Law of large numbers talk of likelihood of a large sample to be closer to mean, in each bet. If you say, toss a coin 10 times, all heads could happen but can it happen 10x10 times? Answer is, the sequential probability of such events are so remote it could take gazillions of tosses to find one such sample. Realistically, we can safely presume that such things can't happen. Larger the data, closer we get to mean. It can only be proved untrue with some physical bias but never in a truly random outcome.
            There is a bigger question of how to utilize even if law of large numbers is eternally a truth. There are very few strategy meant to work for long run and most known ones are proven failures by one reason or other.
#455
Bayes has been one of the most intelligent and rational guy arounds forum and I have heard lesser irrational things from him than anybody else. What he is suggesting is to put 3 units as 1 on the coldest doublestreet, 1 on hottest doublestreet and 1 on average. There are lots of trouble deciding them. At times, there will be two hottest or coldest or average doublestreets together. So, it is easier said than done. There can be cleaner parameters like farthest hitting  line, the latest hitting line and one in the median leaving the last line i.e. 3rd in nearness. That can be played with decisive pick.
                                    All these won't seriously help in any manner, in my humble opinion. I have worked on these for pretty long time and found that no way of picking bet is superior by itself than all others. It is impossible. Hence, although it could be interesting to pick three doublestreets instead of RED, it won't matter in short or long run and it can not reduce variance by even an iota. Trying to find a better bet in a purely random game is a joke. We better make strategies to survive the worst cases(whenever they come in our bet) and how to win if there are average wins after a horrible drag.
 
#456
                                    Instead of saying that maths says that the game is unbeatable, one should say that no known math has so far worked to effectively and conclusively beat the game. House edge is there in blackjack too. That was conclusively beaten with card counting by Thorpe and everybody accepts that. Similarly, through bias analysis and advantage play people like Pelayo, Eudeamonic Pie did it. Some recent university level researches prove some sort of cloaking wheel and ball does help to determine where to bet with success. House edge wasn't different for them, yet they turned them down and won.
                               And if someone is smart enough to know that it can not be beaten and loss is inevitable, why the hell he is a member of a gambling community like this?
#457
Roulette Forum / Re: 108 step progression
August 09, 2017, 02:08:11 AM
Dare not play such progressions. You will always win 1 unit till you lose a few thousands.
#458
QuoteAs per Math no bet selection or progression can beat casino games with negative house advantage.
Maths or science are neither static nor flawless. New knowledge evolves with scientific out of box thinking and researches. Pluto used to be a planet just a few years back, not any more. By the way, which maths book said that bet selection or progression can not beat this game?
#459
It is only partially true. Money management is the key to beat a game with slight edge. Not in short run but definitely in a long run. Before claiming this I did over 10 million spins of simulations. Since you are aware of only old school failure MMs, your presumtions are very narrow. Remember, unless an aeroplane started to carry people across world, it was considered a bad joke only. If you don't know something do not claim that it does not exist.
#460
VRSEDGE / Re: CONGRATULATIONS!!!!!
August 01, 2017, 06:04:30 AM
RNGs do not make anybody lose. It is basically a fault in the strategy itself. Anybody can simulate over a considerable random data to verify the feasibility of his strategy. If he wins there and loses easily by number of sessions in any RNG, one should doubt the RNG. I must congratulate on his success and believe the same to continue for very long.
:thumbsup: :thumbsup: :thumbsup: :thumbsup: :applause: :applause: :applause:
#461
Every spin has the same, static odds that none can change with rules, guesswork, calculations or speculations.
#462
Lots of talks over spins getting disturbed due to connectivity or playing each spin in continuity. It is not required to play spins in continuity. You can play 100 spins today and can play 100 more some other day at some other time. All of them will offer same odds. Rather, each spin, irrespective of them being together or far, offers same odds so do not bother about disconnections or missing a few spins. It won't change anything in long run.
#463
Indeed any betselection arrived after lots of tracking and triggers and complex rules and calculations bears same level of risk as playing a simple bet as Red.
#464
What you opined made many play progressions like martingale and lose what can not be earned back. Things are not so easy and simple.
#465
It was very easy. The answer will be 96

It is like (a*b)+a

I do not understand why should it be considered a tough question or if I am wrong.