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Messages - Albalaha

#496
QuoteSeriously................I have played this game for the better part of 35 years plus. 
QuoteAt this point I believe I am right, you rarely or never have played in a live real casino. 
Buddy, I have taught people of your age and experience from all the continents of the world. I have played a lot in real and live casinos but can not play daily there as they are far from me and I have my profession to carry as well. I play in real casinos in long stretched trips and published many of the trip reports since last 8 years on Victor's and many other forums. Now I feel that instead of wasting my time in travelling, I can play online with my pace and comfort. I believe a fair RNG is as good as a real wheel(I primarily play roulette and seldom baccarat be it real casino or online) as a roulette wheel and ball do serve as mechanical RNG. If someone says online gambling is not real it is comparable to say that an e-mail/sms is not a real mail and I will handwrite a mail, buy tickets for that and put that in a post box and wait for that to be delivered safely and read.
                           What people are missing here badly is to understand the reality of a random game. Poor understanding of how randomness works and how house advantage slowly kills us, there is no room for becoming an informed player. A player can neither control the random good and bad times, nor can reduce the house edge. It could still be possible to win a net profit with correct money management approach.. Sadly people know of the Archaic MMs only and they are meant to plunder players even faster. Those ill made progressions/MMs are pretty silly as they are meant for short sessions where one can get very hostile sessions too and that will put things upside down for any progression player and cause irreparable losses.
             Seeing trends and patterns in a purely random game is pathetic and willingly or unwillingly their advocates are manufacturing a new set of problem gamblers. See: https://www.problemgambling.ca/EN/ResourcesForProfessionals/Pages/WhyWeSeePatternsinSequencesofRandomEvents.aspx
#497
General Discussion / Re: New moderator: alrelax
December 30, 2016, 10:51:48 PM
I welcome this step as Glen is one of the most interactive(of course very active too) in this community and have nice experience of the games and he seems to be very unbiased as well. Good decision, Victor.

          Earlier a few global moderators were made that admittedly never played in any real casino. Luckily they are out of the league and got busy into their real occupations.
#498
QuoteThanks and hope your new year is of course lucky and may you sheer guess correct each and every time because there is no other way................................
If you gamble in the belief of being lucky, sadly you can not be lucky in the long run. http://albalaha.lefora.com/topic/19400636/Long-run-in-gambling#.WGagRFN97IU
QuoteWhat do you do with this: BBBB PPPP BBBB PPPP BBBB PPPP BBBB PPPP BBBB PPPP

Lol. there can still be both probabilities of P and B in the next hand and a chance of getting PPBB is as much after this as of BBBB or BPBP or any of the combinations possible. Patterns are illusions only. You can not extract from  emerging patterns in the long run and will lose ultimately. This is extreme ignorance only and nothing else.

"Gamblers are more impulsive and 'see patterns' where there are none." https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/04/150429100937.htm
#499
I can only conclude my argument by saying, "every guess or method of guessing" is equally like to help or kill. Claiming of gaining an advantage from any wild method of guessing or identifying the running trends is as frivilous as it could be. Be real guys.
#500
QuoteIf you are merely saying, one cannot identify when it is going to happen, you are correct--of course.  However, in reality and in live casino play, players all the time can and do, identify a cluster or section or 'short playable' that will produce winner after winner.

If you are now seeing say BBBB what can you identify seeing this? If you guess this is streak, the chance of ending the streak right here and goin one more time is equal. How can you utilize that? After the end of a session it is easier to analyse but identifying an "opportunity" at correct times could be done only with clairvoyance. Sadly I do not have clairvoyance. I work on logic only.
#501
We can predict only one thing with some kind of accuracy. In long run(enough trials that can be numerically defined) things would be closer to the average expectancy. Identifying trends or patterns or any other kind of fanciful guessing doesn't work in a short playable sessions. I am not talking of the so called "advantage gamblers".
#502
We do not need to predict the future outcomes. It is just not possible and hence not worth trying. What we need is an approach that is dynamic enough to handle the variance of all sorts without losing much foolishly. With Regression towards mean we should be able to win in the long run. That is what I am pointing out here.
        All money management approaches that we see around failed to ignore this vital truth and hence worthless.
#503
Harsh Session #25:
               60 Wins vs 71 Losses

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#504
Harsh Session #24:
                Wins 42 vs Losses 51


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#505
General Discussion / Re: Merry Christmas 2016
December 25, 2016, 10:41:10 PM
Merry Christmas, Happy New Year and my best wishes for all your plays. Play wise, play safe.
#506
When advent of a streak can neither be predicted nor it can be identified till it passes, how can one take benefit of them conclusively?
For example, if we are playing say two dozens, a 7 step streak could come in  a few spins or in 100s. How will one plan to extract from that in all those cases? You won't get near perfect cases always but opposite mostly.
#507
QuoteYou look to me like the kind of person that just looks for confirmation of your own interests. I see a person that doesn't actually have a working plan for losses. Forget about what "we" need to do and please figure out what you need to do. Learn this if nothing else: You don't need to see the future in order to be able to live with the inevitable losses.

           Lol. It is not me but you that try/claim to see future by past behaviour. I have strategy to handle even the worst. I do not need clairvoyance in order to win. Read the title of this topic to clarify this.
#508
[quote]It is all about staying out of bad sessions.[/quote]

That is not even possible. Whatever you do, you can not filter out all the bad moments from the game. We need to learn to live with them than having a dream of getting none. Nothing can see future in a purely random game.
#509
Gizmotron's way to play, in no way answers variance. It presupposes good or average sessions only. Any methodology can beat those but tough times will still take away all. We need to focus there instead of dragging the old rhetorics.
#510
 I may not be competent enough to read randomness and predict anything on the basis that you are elaborating but I am kind of very convinced that gambling is all about speculations and never about predictions in a short session. In a very large span, things go very close to the expected average but one may not play considering that in a session. So, the most practical way that I consider is having a dynamic MM that can adjust to all the good and worse times in the best possible manner.