Harsh Session #19: offered by a friend of mine. He said he lost -300 twice in this session and no net profit to finish with

              Wins: 449 vs Losses: 522  (positive gambling module beats it and ends positive without any stop loss, not even -200)

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QuoteI've been trying to teach everyone here for years that some sessions are just difficult and others are easy. If you plan to play professionally you must come to grips with the notion of session difficulty.

Exactly. Unless you teach how to face harsh ones, you are teaching nothing.

Roulette is the most fascinating game offered in casino( at least it appeals the best to me) and I think investing a nice sum in roulette is not bad if you have any strategy that can last beneficial in the long run and can stand the worst that can be offered. Fun of inside numbers is just like havenly.

Good for having fun with Play Money. A video of a winning game with high progressions with fun money is the least convincing thing to show.

If you elaborate the betselection/MM or  your theory of why it is better than anything else, people may be attentive.

All betselections are good or bad only to the extent of their respective coverage of probability. Momentarily, it can go bad or good but in long run it is always at its mathematical expectancy. In a random game, no betselection is good or bad unless a bet has different House edge than others. For example, 0-00-1-2-3 basket bet is a bad bet in itself as it carries higher house edge than any other bet.
                   Only a very wise MM that can handle most of the(if not all) probabilities and can get a net win without much harm can beat this game.

Harsh session #18:
            132 Losses vs 106 wins


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Quotebet , if win, +1,
if lose, -1, play both sides,

This won't work buddy in a random session. Do not fool yourself by reverse engineering only harsh situations where losses and wins are very unbalanced and differential betting or betting the difference will help. Normally, due to the house edge, each EC bet will hit lesser than what it should, so playing even both may not help.

Remember: trying to predict in a random  game is as foolish as going with a fishing rod in Sahara Desert. Either it is not truly random i.e.unpredictable) or  we can not predict.

Betvoyager is coming up with the biggest roulette tournament of recent times with prizes worth E100,000.
Prizes range from Euro 100 to Euro 5000 and 319 winners will be paid. It is a grand opportunity. The entry cost is merely E20 and the greatest thing is, they will start tournament just after 500 players joining in. So they can not gather more than E10k through entries and more than half players will win at least E100. It is like betting an Even Chance bet with minimum 5x payout.
It is a big throwaway with roulette games.
They will let every player play 4 kind of roulette: No zero roulette, American roulette, European roulette and european roulette with no house edge(fair payout) and ranking will be done with overall performance and score in 4 games.

They call it Grand Goldfish Bonanza Tournament.
I participated in the earlier Goldfish Bonanza Tournament and won too. Hope to win again.
Are you joining too?

Quote from: BEAT-THE-WHEEL on August 09, 2016, 05:38:48 AM
Dear Albalaha,
With Respect.
=====================
single dozen,
bet every spin,
flatbet 1u, and parlay.

risked 118unit, up to 118spins.

bet1,w=2,br=3+1u=br=4
bet4,w=8,br=12+1u=br=13
bet13,w=26,br=39+1u=br=40
bet40,w=80,br=120-1=119

now don't say 4streaks of dozen...
won't hit in next 200spins.

the probability of getting four consecutive hits of a dozen is 1/3x1/3x1/3x1/3= 1/81 if we ignore house edge or presence of 0.

Now, as per my principle of virtual limits of variance, it could even take 1000 spins max to get a WWWW of your desired dozen.
I hope this will help you a bit. Do not think what should happen only. Think what can happen too.
Those ignore this play silly loser aggressive progressions and bust with huge losses at last.

You are not getting my point. What is the purpose of this simulation? There can be hundreds of ways a seven step combination of ECs be made. How many you can play at once? In 200 spins, there may be 10-20 left among them and those can be any combination possible.

Simulation is done to test any idea with some objectivity and concept. Simulating the well known thing is not a wise thing. Even if we test 2-2 a million times it will always get the value of 0.

You are again missing the most crucial thing. Making complex or fanciful bets won't help at all. Only a very wise MM that works like a well trained and experienced truck driver who can driver in hills and arid zones, jungles and deserts and on a nice highway alike can get you past a long tough journey. Rest are destined to die.

QuoteBUT if we bet 3, or more streaks at the same time,
say, if we bet for .

7streak of PPPPPPP,
and BBBBBBB,
and PBPBPBP, AT THE SAME TIME,

we can't say all three streaks won't hit after 200spins.

Probability to get either of them(forgetting house edge) is once in 128 spins

so, technically there can be about 5 hits of them in 200 spins but we do not know for sure which streak will hit in which ratio and it is quite possible to not get any of them in 200 spins too. Variance may work on one bet or more upto its virtual limits and no amount of guessing can work.

Quote from: BEAT-THE-WHEEL on August 08, 2016, 05:23:30 AM
We do not need to predict, no forecasting, no voodoo,
no hocus  pocus,
Just mm, to anticipate, the streaks to happen...

The only risk is when,
the anticipated streaks, fail to hit,
And we lose our br,

             Even streaks are subject to variance at both sides. Hence if we wait for a streak of 7 hits of player, it may take more than 1000 hands at one point of time, or it may come twice in merely 50 hands. Positive progressions looks lucrative at a glance but it doesn't better the game by itself.

What fanciful complex bet selection can't help with:

1. It can not avoid long streaks of successive losses: LLLLLLLLLLLLL

2. It can not avoid getting tricky and bad rate of wins: LLLLLWLLWLLLLLLLLLWLWLLLWLLLLL

3. It can not even win a single unit in the long run, flat betting.

4. It can't predict anything with any accuracy, in short run.


                      Then why do we waste our time on waiting for a trigger with complex formulae and lots of calculations, tracking etc? Except Physics based bias analysis or ball and wheel speed cloaking, there is no empirical evidence of winning with the betselection only.

@Mike,
     I said no betselection is good or bad permanently and same goes to any style of betting. Still there can be rooms to beat the randomness in the longest stretch one can imagine.
       It is true that every spin in 10 millions might not have bet my way but it is also likely to have 10 or more bets running together in a single spin. Hundred of thousands of chips can not be won betting a few hundreds or thousands spins only. Drawdown of 8k looks so scary to you but I bet u won't get across 10 million spins even with 100k chips bankroll. I told about gamblers' ruin if you cared to read my answer. Regarding the authenticity of my results and graphs I openly offered the admin to take bot and test himself that he chose not to. Read the full thread again. My methodology did not prefer one bet over other but worked on certain conditions and progressions that can be within table limits.
        A mechanical way of playing can beat the odds in the longest run but it is not everybody's cup of tea.

If you really want to educate people, be open with your concepts that you think work.
Tracking software, where is that?

Can you try to create a simulator/tracker that can automatically analyze a large set of data as you want us to play?

Is it flat betting?