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Messages - Albalaha

#616
QuoteDid you know that in the phenomenon of the Elegant Pattern a sleeping dozen can sleep for more than 30 spins in a row? You can validate this for yourself if you want.
In my observation, the virtual limit of a dozen to sleep is upto 45 spins. I have done all these years back. http://albalaha.lefora.com/topic/13069557/Virtual-limits-of-dispersionvariance#.V5GHOPl97IU

Quote1.) Do I need to be a clairvoyant to know that I'm in the middle of a common win streak? (Answer) No
Answer: Yes, definitely. You can only talk about the streak's length after it has passed. If you are at WWW, you can not say with any precision that it will last here with WWWL or go WWWWWWWW or WWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW. Can you? Answer: No. That needs clairvoyant capabilities.
#617
Quote from: Sputnik on July 21, 2016, 06:10:34 PM
Yes you can but i don't Selling any solution and will not talk more about the subject.
You can continue this topic and i will not be part of it.

Cheers

   Nice way to run away when have nothing to prove what you said.

I did not invite you to participate and put your dream fallacies without any mathematical basis.

Even if we know for sure that the next 24 spins will have at least 4 wins, we can't win with this knowledge alone. 4 wins could come in any scatter and there is no way to beat them in any reasonable table lime. So how did playing after certain SD help? It does not.
#618
QuoteFor example if i have 14 contra 1 event - then we know for the next 24 events we will recive at least 4 hits - we know this for a fact.
wow!! havenly revelation.From where did u get this wisdom?
nothing in past can indicate anything about future. Anything else you learnt is pretty fallacious.

and even if you know there will be atleast 4  wins in the next 24 spins, you can't win then by knowing that.
#619
Dear BA,
  Even I had a similar approach earlier for my positive gambling module as you can still read that but after lots of introspection I found that:
1. No waiting can give you very good time later. Even if you wait for 10 successive losses and play just 1 spin thereafter, u will still get the same amount of wins/losses as in a random game. So why wait?

2. No trigger can safeguard you from getting tough long stretches of losses or below average number of wins. So why wait?


      Only exception to this is, if you attack a virtual limit by waiting for its 70%-80% going virtually and then attacking with a brute force do or die progression. As you can see here: http://betselection.cc/baccarat-forum/hg-for-baccarat-and-all-even-chances-bets-for-free/

Hence playing after 3SD doesn't offer any advantage by itself.
#620
Even chance / Re: simple Parle progression
July 21, 2016, 04:20:26 AM
Quote from: MarkTeruya on July 21, 2016, 03:58:31 AM
Wayyy you deleted my post in your blog harsh session about the harsh treatment you are getting over at GF.

Nice suicidal way to make an entry on a gambling forum Ali. 

You can't get away with things over there, like you can here.  I'm surprised soxfan hasn't joined up yet, he'd be drunk as a skunk and out of cashews in no time, the entertainment is boss.  There is a tab linking the site on the home page of this forum (hey hey)..

@Markteruya,
              This is not GF where you can speak anything. Being oversmart and speaking foul could land you in trouble here. If you think I have deleted any post of yours from my topic and that is very important for you to talk of, start a new topic of your own. In this forum, none is allowed to forcibly enter other's bathroom and piss there. None is exception to this, even me.
#621
Even chance / Re: simple Parle progression
July 21, 2016, 03:30:18 AM
My style require 300 units stoploss in worst of the worst cases. Hey Hey.
3000 units is lifetime bankroll. Hey!Hey!
#622
Even chance / Re: simple Parle progression
July 21, 2016, 02:40:08 AM
Nice suicidal way to play.
#623
QuoteThis session is easy to win, you only hit 3.0 SD once or 14 contra 2
And 15 contra 2 once which is 3.15 SD - nothing extreme about that sequense, very common.

He is caculating the SD wrong and don't understand that the imbalance happend within a window around 16 to 25 events or you skip that particular imbalance.

              Which book of maths you refer that tell u it is only 3.0 SD?
65 hits of an EC in 200 spins is 4.5 SD below mean, one of the toughest situation ever recorded in ECs.

It is easy to win? Show us how u can win this easily playing every spin.
#624
Session #13: This may be the worst one ever seen:

    446 Losses vs  354 wins

ONLY 65 WINS IN FIRST 200 SPINS
NEXT 200 SPINS BRING 89 WINS ONLY
NEXT 100 SPINS GOT 46 WINS ONLY
NO BIG WINNING STREAK EVER TO HELP with compare to losing streaks




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#625
Roulette Forum / Re: Why I fail in the long RUN ?
July 19, 2016, 03:39:05 AM
Making a plan to beat a particular data after seeing that, finding its peculiar weaknesses is what we call as "reverse engineering". That is no way to go ahead. Every session is different and every session pose a different set of challenge. The degree of variance may vary too. All these are not important. By putting a variety of variance through tough sessions(where losses surpass their natural ratio)we try to see if we can actually do with any idea in "not so good" cases too.
                 In two of my topics, viz. "anybody think..." and "Harsh sessions.." both one can see in my section I compiled various sessions touching even the boundary line of virtual limits and hardships that we keep facing time to time. I believe that these sessions together could make a nice compilation of "acid test" for any EC system. Unless a method can surpass most of them without needing tonnes of chips, that is no method.
#626
SESSION #12: 

                              138 LOSSES VS 109 WINS



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#627
It seems you are too much into counting SDs and playing that way. May look good as you get betting opportunities after too many spins, the way you want, even if you track a few dozens bets together. So, to see the bets being devastated with whatever MM you use, u need to simulate with high end tracker capable to track millions of spins.

Playing after super harsh times have two in-buit disadvantages:
1. It gets you negligible spins to bet in, practically not doable in any real casino
2. Even if you chose 3 SD below mean as an  opportunity to start, it can not guarantee winning flat or with most of the MMs known.
3. It will still have all the troubles that comes in all over play. Only thing by your side is the virtual limit.

  I did work a lot in "Regression towards Mean". While it is a statistical truth but the difficulty in using that practically is we can never guess the span where regression will start to work. We can rather get disillusioned with pseudo temporary regression as well.
#629
@Sputnik,
         There is a virtual limit by our observations but there is no absolute limit to what can happen in succession. A very unusual looking streak or say 5 SD below mean may look too remote to happen but it can happen any moment without anybody can guess its arrival.
We can count SDs as per our own convenience in any span but it doesn't help much, in real play.
#630
Roulette Forum / Re: Why I fail in the long RUN ?
July 17, 2016, 04:45:05 PM
Quote from: NathanDetroit on July 17, 2016, 04:18:28 PM
Bet selection for EC like  either  Black OR Red requires  the ultimate of a  skill that one would not think  of. It is not a  bet selection for long term play and  even SHORT term requires that type of a skill better left to  experienced pros.


Nathan Detroit

          No betselection can put you in a state of permanent advantage whatever manner you choose that. It will still have the worst and the best moments and everything in-between.