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Messages - Albalaha

#631
@Sputnik,
         There is a virtual limit by our observations but there is no absolute limit to what can happen in succession. A very unusual looking streak or say 5 SD below mean may look too remote to happen but it can happen any moment without anybody can guess its arrival.
We can count SDs as per our own convenience in any span but it doesn't help much, in real play.
#632
Roulette Forum / Re: Why I fail in the long RUN ?
July 17, 2016, 04:45:05 PM
Quote from: NathanDetroit on July 17, 2016, 04:18:28 PM
Bet selection for EC like  either  Black OR Red requires  the ultimate of a  skill that one would not think  of. It is not a  bet selection for long term play and  even SHORT term requires that type of a skill better left to  experienced pros.


Nathan Detroit

          No betselection can put you in a state of permanent advantage whatever manner you choose that. It will still have the worst and the best moments and everything in-between.
#633
Quote from: Blue_Angel on July 17, 2016, 03:04:39 PM
By the way, I've made a profit of 12 units from that fictitious session with max drawdown of 245 units and 64 units max bet.

3 hits for an EC  within 37 successive outcomes ONLY in Albahala's world!!

Oh really!!!
            I never met more ignorant gambler ever.
Quote from: ozon on July 17, 2016, 03:55:38 PM
If you play against RNG, even BV no zero you see this type of sessions, they are bordering on virtual limits, RNG play against you.
I totally beg to differ here, Ozon. Rather, betvoyager is the only casino that can guarantee no foul play and complete randomness.
If you do not trust me, you may trust Bayes on this. See reply number 6 here: http://forum.roulette30.com/index.php?topic=1045.0
#634
Roulette Forum / Re: Why I fail in the long RUN ?
July 17, 2016, 12:04:06 PM
You failed to win in the long run test as you based your strategy on false notions as blue angel did when he thought a 37 step delayed martingale can beat any session under the sun. He needed streak of wins after streak of losses which may not always come before it is too late. You did something similar and lost in randomly picked normal session.
#635
QuoteBut you can tell when you are in the middle of a favorable randomness characteristic. If you can't do that, then you must be blind to the awareness of these favorable conditions. So what is it? Are you blind, having never looked at the current state of conditions, or are you never going to look at it unless there is something that must predict the future?

Hmm, so you can tell that you are in the middle of a favorable randomness characteristic? If I see WWWWW, I can't say whether I am in middle or end and if you can say so, you are a clairvoyant and nothing less. We can only do reverse engineering and think oh! this should have been handled in that manner after a session gets over. Randomness means unpredictibility and that remains absolute in short run. An estimation can be done only of numbers of wins and losses in enough long span. For example, one can say that getting only 50 wins in 200 spins of an EC is not possible or too remote to happen ever realistically.
#636
QuoteBet big while in a favorable streak and bet small while in a not favorable streak.

There is no method to guess that it is going to be a streak. It can cut in any moment. We can't push enough to win every case.
For example, a single W may take upto 30 spins, a  WW may drag till 60 spins and so on.
#637
Do we have some way to pre-guess the next outcome? We will always expect a little below equilibrium number of wins(due to the house edge) and play further accordingly.
          For example,
                 if I can pre guess that 18 successive wins will come now, I will play a reverse martingale and win all the chips of casino in a go. In a random game, a positive attitude player will never assume too rosy future outcomes but realistic and worst ones only.
#638
To me,
              wins and losses are two sides of a coin and keep coming almost equally although with varying frequencies.
Point is, we can't guess which span will get which kind of frequency of wins or losses.  Therefore, a strategy is only sound enough keeping the absolute randomness and virtual limit in mind always.
     Even if you get 20 losses in a row or say 18 wins in a row, it is not end of a life. Think of long run where things are smoother and lesser unpredictable.
#639
Quote from: Tomla on July 10, 2016, 10:26:48 PM
oh well albahala better luck next time
It happens. A single goal can change the fate of the game and two finalists can always beat each other. I did not put any 5 star lock or anything like that.
#640
Tomorrow both teams will fight to lift the prestigious cup. With the defeat of many other aspirants like England, Wales and the world champion Germany and nice underdog Belgium, which one should do the best?

France seem to do its best in form. It has home advantage as well with huge fan following.
Portugal is an underdog but who knows when a goal from Ronaldo will turn things upside down.

What is your prediction?

I can go for France as outright winner as a statistically favorable bet.
#641
Hi,
       Gambling and specially positive gambling is not meant for poor people. Two three guys approached me for buying the module and when heard the price, they pissed and wet their pants. Methods and systems that one wants for free or for $19.95 can be found on forums and on amazon. Do not contact me if you have money for only your grocery or Gasolene or utility bills. Positive Gambling is meant for those who can do it as a serious side business investing ample time, research and money. If someone wants to have fun with gambling, play with fun money or "Test" methods on excels and get the satisfaction of "oh nothing seems to work, I saved my money by not playing. Thanks God."
             The price of say Euro 1000 may look very huge to anyone but it is so to avoid cheap people like Jake who wants to get it for free so that he can sell it to others(he promised to not to do so). He offered coding to me as Bayes did while I did beat over 10 million spins. Do not forget I  have all the biggest coders ready to help me from the forum world including VLS(the admin himself) and Nickmsi. Try your luck somewhere else kids.
            There was although an interesting question from one such kids, "if my method works, why I am selling that"? My answer is, why did Thorp sell his innovation of "card counting" in a  book knowing well it works and works for sure? Answer is real simple: to earn name, fame and much more money than one player can earn himself. Besides, I would be glad to help those who lose $1000 or more in a single visit to casino. To make them realize why are they losing and how they can sustain and survive through the worst stages and try to get a net win, while coming out of casinos most days, if not everyday.
#642
It is a gift without any commitment or harm. I am totally against deposit bonuses as most of them are meant to plunder your own seed money but no deposit bonus is only harmless fun and I personally have beaten dozens of such bonuses.
           Since it is for all existing and new players whether he ever deposited or not, it is not bad to try your luck while getting a feel of casino. One can play any game one wishes. In a mail, I asked betvoyager to consider having one such offer and they accepted it gladly and hence this exclusive bonus. I thought I will be thanked for this.
#643
Those who are aware of the Betvoyager Casino know very well that they do not normally offer any no deposit bonus. I, however, pursued them to give one after a long time not just to new players but to all existing players as well.
  Those already having accounts with betvoyager just need to login to their accounts. Go to "Profile", select "My Promos" and input "10nodep"in "Promo Codes" and press "Activate". Boom......
[attachimg=1]

  You will get Euro 10 as no deposit bonus. It has 40x rollover. You can see your progress on this bonus in My Promos. The bonus will be alive only for 24 hours since you activate it so make sure to activate it when you have enough time to play.Those who do not have any existing account with betvoyager may join by clicking this exclusive link: Betvoyager Casino
Click "Sign Up" and after filling personal details, in promo code, write "10nodep".
[attachimg=2]
They will get the same bonus.
             Remember, this is an exclusive bonus not even published on their own website, so far. It may last for a few days only so grab it before it goes.
   I would love to see how far one goes with it. To the best of my knowledge, betvoyager accepts accounts from all over the world without any country restriction, so everybody can have this opportunity to try their luck and systems without any risk whatsoever. You either win or do not lose. The best thing is, with 1 cent bets one has 1000 units to try. There is no limit of how much you can win with it. Once you do the wagering required the amount of bonus will be deducted and all winnings are yours to withdraw or play further.
Best of luck.

Best of luck.
#644
Betjack,
          You are going wrong way. You can win well till lose huge, as happen to other progressions. See the topic, :"anybody think such...".

Blueangel created a similar approach as yours and it failed in simulations very badly. Your way, it may need to bet a million without winning.

In long run, it is only to fail. Your problem is, you can't simulate to assure urself that it will not work.
#645
@Betjack,
        Your method is very similar to blue angel's stepped martingale. It will have the same fate in long run simulation. Never try that at casinos. A free advice.

Harsh Session #10


   Maxbet   37   Finish   45      
             Count L   170         
WORST   -177   COUNT W   130         




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