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Messages - Albalaha

#646
Quote from: Denzie on June 22, 2016, 01:16:40 PM
Oooh really?   :-\

Oh no! It is you but unfortunately none says so. I am not an expert but merely a researcher or a student of randomness.
#647
Quote from: Denzie on June 22, 2016, 01:13:03 PM
Progressions are dangerous. Yup. Unless. ...
That variance. .... does it have limits ? If it does then how would we attack?

Wait something to happen?  Bet with 1unit bets. Lost? Wait some more and try again with 2unit bets ?


Hello P.A.  :)

Everything has a virtual limit. If you have never heard of them, you can refer to: http://albalaha.lefora.com/topic/13069557/Virtual-limits-of-dispersionvariance#.V2qRiPl97IU

and this too:

http://betselection.cc/albalaha's-exclusive/if-roulette-has-no-memory-why-there-hasn't-been-succesive-36-hits-of-an-ec/
#648
Alrelax,
         There are three kinds of members here.
1. Lurkers and clappers: This is the absolute majority. They do not and can not contribute anything valuable and they are very well aware of that. They join to ask their queries and PMs. Least harmful class.

2. Mediocres: A few dozen members belong to this class. Many of them feel themselves superior to most but deep inside they either do not play or play and lose. They write more topics and posts here than the number of sessions they played. Many of them are quarrelsome too. This is a dangerous class of members,. They behave as if they invented this game.

3. Experts and winners: Most of them either do not write much or write only substance. Many behave like lurkers. A very few in numbers.

4. Fallacy Mongers and copy-paste guys: They are experts in stealing ideas and writing silly daily systems without ever thinking if they are helping others or making fast and big losers. They show small simulations to prove their point and have long debates upon them. Give them a little adverse session and they start cursing and deleting you. Indeed, that is most dangerous class and they do lots of mudslinging and leg pulling. They do not have even a single topic worth writing but they not just write systems daily but copy-paste in all the gambling forums around.

             You will find almost no sensible methodology or direction that increases anyone's chance to better him games.
  Nevertheless, forums go on and we being a part of that for one reason or more.
#649
             In my main Sales page I mentioned that one person my get that for free as well. Who will be that person? Someone who can beat each and every session mentioned in : http://betselection.cc/albalaha's-exclusive/harsh-sessions-won-by-positive-gambling-module/
playing each and every spin in a clear pre defined manner within a bankroll of 300 units and max bet 50 as I did. Such person deserves to exchange his system with that of mine and gain mutually. I believe there is none among the members here who has any such MM and even if someone has that will never think of sharing that. I would love to be proved wrong on this point.
#650
QuoteOk, but that doesn't sound very practical or realistic for actual play if you need 500 spins in order for things to even out.

To win in the cases where u get only 7 wins in 50 spins or 20 wins in 100, what u need most is patience. If you think gambling is all about having fistful of chips and earning for sure in an hour, you are talking of negative gambling that is a sucker. Positive gambling corrects all fallacious thinking and provide the most accurate approach to play that has a positive expectation to win in/after the worst too apart from regular sessions. If you do not have enough patience or chips you should have too much of good luck to win. Sadly, even people with the best luck do not stand a winner in long run by their luck alone.
#651
@BTW,
     I am not saying there can be a streak of 100 but there can be anything else upto the virtual limits, any moment.
#652
Harsh Session #8:

   Maxbet   9              Finish   1   
               Count L   61      
WORST   -31   COUNT W   46      






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#653
Dear Janos @ Audiokinesis,
         Indeed the last two sessions are not so harsh with compare to earlier 5 but it all depends on the MM you chose to play with. Bet of 93 or 79 units should not have been needed but Drawdown is not that big with compare to the variance we are getting.

You are closer to perfection, yet need to work more to make it better.
;)
#654
Quote from: alrelax on June 21, 2016, 12:35:35 PM
If a player can't get through the short run he will never get to the long run. 

Large and lengthy progressions at baccarat is the most absurd thing ever.  The most patient players and those with large bankrolls will hit it extremely hard and quick in short blasts.  Such as 1-3-2-6 or 1-5-10-20.  At least the ones I am acquainted with and the more successful ones. 

You can come up with these 25 or 28 or 32 hand progressions, but they will fail the upper, and I mean upper like 99% or more of the time.

This game can not be won playing long repetitive hours on a consistent basis.  Not by you, not by me not by anyone.

Alrelax,
             I respect you for your experience and humorous approach but applied gambling mathematics is not as simple as 1+1=2.
You have only gone through the old rhetoric of Einstein that only way to win is to steal chips from the the table when croupier isn't looking but there are much more better ways. If you look at my section you will find a thread called, "Holy Grail: randomness can be beaten....."
It is only about understanding why old progressions failed to perform in long run and you will have a new insight to look in other directions.
Until Aeroplane wasn't invented, think of regular air travel across continents were only a fairy tale but finally it was achieved. To do that you just do not need to change the maths or probability or pay out or the house edge, you just need to see them from different angles.
               Old classic progressions and way to play are proven failures, hands down. Either one can innovate to make something better and more logical or just try your luck in a casino and have fun.
#655
Quote from: Jake on June 21, 2016, 12:31:11 PM
Albalaha,

Most progressions which I've experimented with that do well over longer stretches don't do so well in the short sequences. This is because you are always anticipating the run from hell so don't raise your stakes too quickly.

Although the run from hell has to be provided for, most sessions will be average, so does your money management make reasonable profits for the overwhelming majority of average sessions?

I can provide you with some bad runs and would be interested to see how your progression does with them.
Jake,
My progression does great in good and average times too and it is not tailor made only for bad stretches. It is a dynamic approach of play that is tough even to imagine for 99.99999% of players.
           You can post tough sessions but the toughest patch will also smooth down later, so u need to send me atleast 500 spins starting from the start of the bad stretch. I do not claim to win each and every permutation and combination or every possible scenario but can hold in the most or lose 300 units max.
            An MM meant only for a particular style of variance is sure to lose in others as Martingale, Laboucher, HP Johnson, D'alembert etc does. Those who are unable to simulate long enough, get trapped in those easily.
          Jake, you also need to specify if you and Betjack are one and same and who among you wrote me recently on my email?
#656
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: There is no CWB
June 21, 2016, 08:19:23 AM
Finding patterns in a random game is worse that finding a needle in a heap of garbage. Patterns are visual illusions only. Come out of that before it swallows you.

I have written another topic on patter play, check that to know the reality, if you want. If you want to enjoy your hallucination, I am none to interrupt. Find your CWB if you can.
#657
Session7:

   Maxbet   23   Finish   8   
               Count L   82      
Worst   -77   COUNT W   63      





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#658
Session 6:
   Maxbet   15   Finish   1
              Count L   57   
Worst   -89   COUNT W   43   





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#659
5th Session:
   Maxbet   13   Finish   6
                Count L   57   
Worst   -59   COUNT W   43   






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#660
4th Session:
   Maxbet   29   Finish   19
                Count L   69   
Worst   -88     COUNT W 56   






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