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Messages - Albalaha

#871
Casino is definitely a battleground but I take it as battle on chess board where strategy is the most important thing. This battle needs a calm and calculative brain and aggression or worries will only have negative impact.
#873
Gambling Philosophy / Re: Interesting Article On Grails
September 19, 2014, 05:52:00 AM
I don't have X(no) factor, I do have Y(Yeah)factor.
#874
Math & Statistics / Re: The Punter's Revenge
September 18, 2014, 03:59:23 AM
QuoteReading the posts is practically given that Slacker is Bayes.

I feel the same. Atleast someone alike. I consider Bayes to be one of the most reasonable person on any forum. He was like a simplified encyclopedia on gambling related mathematics.
#875
Quote from: Superman on September 15, 2014, 06:35:28 AM
windows phone, Iphone android, all easy to code for BUT more difficult and takes longer, why would you want it coded just for android, wouldn't it be better to just code in RX or similar?
Android is the most popular and it can be used in a casino too. Also easier to use in live dealer casinos online.
#876
Do we have anybody skilled enough to do this?
#877
Money Management / Re: MM Help acording to strike rate
September 15, 2014, 03:07:36 AM
@Mohit,
              Your bet of 6 numbers doesn't go past 12 spins ever??????????????
If it is so, just keep a bankroll of 22x6 =132 units and bet like this:
1) Bet: $ 1
2) Bet: $ 1
3) Bet: $ 1
4) Bet: $ 1
5) Bet: $ 1
6) Bet: $ 1
7) Bet: $ 2
8) Bet: $ 2
9) Bet: $ 2
10) Bet: $ 3
11) Bet: $ 3
12) Bet: $ 4
#878
Money Management / Re: Best MM to use?
September 15, 2014, 02:52:29 AM
Remember the 5% event will kill you in more cases  than A and B. MM can be suggested if you elaborate your bet.
#879
Straight-up / Re: Love thy neighbour
September 07, 2014, 03:17:31 PM
@ND,
             It is not about 0 bankroll. 0 means the beginning of the game and the balance could be shown in negative for the sake of testing. All figures in positive may show wins and likewise, negative figures may show losses with relation to 0.
#880
Actuals/Hands / Re: Dublinbet baccarat shoes
September 06, 2014, 02:19:27 AM
Next Shoe: 6th September
[attachimg=1]
#881
Actuals/Hands / Re: Dublinbet baccarat shoes
September 06, 2014, 01:53:51 AM
6th Septmber
[attachimg=1]
#882
+2 on a loss, -1 on a win.
#883
Gambling Philosophy / Re: Statistics vs roulette
September 04, 2014, 06:55:37 AM
The gambler who expects to see "average" results grossly underestimates how large a sample size is needed for convergence to the average. The gambler's fallacy arises from the mistaken belief that mean reversion happens much quicker than would be predicted from the law of large numbers.
#884
Gambling Philosophy / Re: Interesting Article On Grails
September 04, 2014, 03:18:23 AM
A grail comes from the deep study of the game and by knowing all the statistical and probability related issues that are connected with this game. There are certain problems that do not let you win, in a session or as a whole, in long run:

1. Ignorance of what can happen with you. Like many players are just not aware that a bet may go so bad, any moment that it can eat even a million chips without giving you back even one unit profit. You may not see such things for years but it can happen any moment.

2. Poor Money management/progression: If someone get hypnotized by the use of martingale or labouchere or fibonacci and consider them as panacea, they are sure to get bust before they play their 100th session. Someone surviving with them for longer, is surely luckiest person on earth.

3. Planning to win in short time: law of small numbers is a must read theory for all who desires to win in all sessions by any betselection or MM

4.Negative Variance: If every bet runs smoothly around mathematically expected hit rate, every Tom, Dick and Harry will beat the game. A session may be very good for your bet, it can be average, poor or horrible. Randomness brings positive and negative variance to different bets. You can't guess which bet will get what kind of variance,in the next session.

5.House Edge: I feel it is a factor but a comparatively weaker factor for losses, in short session. Although, in long run, it is the main defense of casinos against you. With the help of this, casino sucks punters money, in almost invisible way.

                      If you have a strategy that keeps all these factors, in the mind and you have the ability to simulate that in at least 100k placed bets(not spins count but 1 placed bet means u bet in that spin, ignoring empty spins) and if it gets better than break even, you are most likely, having a grail. It is pertinent to mention here that any co-incidence or temporary positive variance won't let you win till 100k placed bets unless you reverse engineer the data to create an approach that can beat exactly that data.
#885
Off-topic / Re: Re: Our Player's Edges
September 02, 2014, 03:43:58 AM
Those posts were as off topic as your talk of Steve, in this debate.