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Messages - BEAT-THE-WHEEL

#106
Thanks Kattila, for your ideas.
Waiting for special streaks and formation, a good idea, need more brainstorming.
#107
Thanks Han,
Your method using , preset random ,
to bet random, which will adhere to , math expectation. in long run.
If we could avoid horrible variance,  then mild progression, could win constantly.
#108
Seriously,
No progression can win, even with whatever virtual bet, delayed bet, avoidance of all sorts variance, IF, your bet selection, is not stable!
Face the hard painful truth, the hurtful reality, casino has the last laugh because, every method will hit horrible variance, and the gambler lose their upperwear and underwear, sooner or later...


The truth is, we must HAVE, a very stable selection, in medium spins, 300+- spins,

1)the end result will hit around mathematics expectations
Or,
2) in 300+- spins, the horrible variance alternate with winning streaks...


Impossible! ?
Naive!?

Daydreamer?!
Then forget gambling,
Go do honest job, don't ruin your life!

For me, personally,
If I bet EC, at the end, the result lose around 3% after 300spins of bet risked,
We can see variance, streaks, and clustering of variance and streaks.


You test your selection, by bet flat 1u, after a certain amount, preferably 370spins, 37x10cycles,
If in the end,
losses always -3%, then u can assured it a stable selection,
But, if it win huge, then lose huge in next session, then it unstable.

.in stable selection, we outwait the horrible variance, and risked the horrible won't hit back to back.
#109
Thanks Ozon,
I think, we need a stable bet, that hit -3%, in say, 300spins, (or 370spins, that ten cycles of 37spins),

If we can have a bet selection, that always produce only 10+ units, in 300spins, that  stable,
If it lose 50u, in 300spins,
then win 50in 300spins, that unstable.

The certified record for Ec, is, 69hit/200 spins.
That is 62u losses in 200spins.
#110
Thanks Ozon,
Since we have no choice, we could only wait till that destroy ing sequence variance to arrived  first.
#111
And u can change the VirtualLosses parameter to, say , -20unit, then u avoid horrible variance losses, of cluster of losses, or streaks of losses sequences,
We are not rushing to lose money, but wait PATIENTLY, TO BYPASS LOSING SEQUENCE.

Thus betting 1u, till it reach a preset losses, is a simple way  to avoid  horrible variance, and the mild progression, help to win, when streaks or winning cluster arrives
#112
In OVER SIMPLIFIED example.

Progression=1, 2, 3, 4, 5..so on till win.

Bet 1u, virtually, reset at every positive 1u win,


Bet till you have virtual loss of -10u.
(thus u lose, but save -10u, and you avoid the variance)


Then bet 2u, till u win, or -20u losses.(actually, lose only -10u)
Then bet 3u, till u win or 30u losses, and so on...

This is oversimplified example of , avoiding horrible variance,
without need to note down your bet, only losses, in unit term.
#113
So we must have mm that outwait the losing cluster of loser streaks,
And a progression strategy,

that OUTWAIT THE HORRIBLE LOSING IN PROGRESSION!!!

How?
By waiting for the losing in progression, to happen first!
Virtual losing in progression.
#114
Thanks Ted009.


And since only one deadly horrible streak kill the br, the only way to maximize hits, is to outwait the loser streaks, hoping the next streaks will be winning streaks...
#115
Members and guests here, had read thousands of post here, many will noticed that,
if someone says...ber EC....

1) bet the single color to streaks..
Others will say the other side may sleep for 30spins..

2) bet the chops
Others will say the other side may previal...

3) follow the last..
Others will say, the chops may prolong...

4)Then follow 2nd last..
Others will say, the long killer sequence may show up...

5) bet strictly, only a color..
Others will say , horrible ecart may hit ...

6) bet the leader..
They say, leader suddenly become follower..


What method, that could win,
When ...

streaks hit, (bbbbbbbbbb ... )
chops hit,(brbrbrbrbr....)
Imbalance ecart hit...

I think, follow 2nd last, is the answer.
Because,  only a specific sequence can kill ft2nd last.


bbrrbbrrbbrrbbrrbb
brrbbrrbbrrbbrrbbr

and short sequence in clusters...

bbrr, r,bbrrb, b,brrbbrrbb
#116
Thank you Nickmsi, for your xlx,
& couplet strategy.

Very interesing indeed.
Appreciate them.

(Noticed that , there no Zero.?)

Thanks.

#117
If your selection win 10+unit this season, then lose10+ units next season, then it is not stable, it is unstable, and if you bet with progression, soon you lose your upperwear and underwear!

Bet a fixed EC,  is deadly, since they could swing from winning huge to lose huge.

I tried testing , albeit only short sseasons,  few method , which I "found" quite stable.

(No, puhleeeez, I not promoting or affiliates, nor selling anything anytime here)

Pinwheel , quasy random dz, ..are  quite stable in 300spins
Ftl  and ft2nd last  could take advantages of long streaking, when you outwait the losing sequences.


#118
Nickmsi,
Thank you so much.
I can't understand your couplets method,
Please teach.
Thanks in advance
#119
Quote from: Sputnik on March 07, 2018, 03:39:04 PM


The question should be when to enter and exist each bias to catch the next coming one.
You will only get valid and true answer from me with hard core facts and real examples.



Cheers

Please teach, when the students are ready, the teacher appear!
#120
Quote from: alrelax on March 07, 2018, 02:11:36 PM
I have tried my best to explain.   Realize they only come in 'sections'. 
There trully need identifying!