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Messages - BEAT-THE-WHEEL

#136
For example,
Mr.J stop the bet when hitting losing sequence at "6", then waiting for few more spins, as for them to stabilized,  before resume.
Thus if we wait for 6 to hit, then, it may goes on to hit 8, 10 or more!
We just outwait the losing sequence as long as it want to be, and only resume bet when it break, or stabilized to math expectation.
Just my 2cents.
#137
Thank you Mr.J,
Since we cannot foresee or predict random and variance,
We fear that losing sequences will hit when we start to bet,
So we reduce the risk, by waiting, for the losing variance and random to form first,
at least we avoid the losing sequence till it BREAK,  and the risk of not hitting within math expectation,
greatly minimized.
Waiting for losing sequence to formed, and wait till it break is not trigger, it is a strategy to avoid losses, when we can help it.

We don't know when a losing sequence will break, thus we wait for it break, no matter how many spins it may streak.
#138
As they said, extreme variance and losing random causes huge losse.

But we cannot predict variance and random behavior,
Thus we wait for the losing sequences to happen first, thus we save the virtual losses.
#139
Thank you Mr.J,
Seems that your variance management is "6",...
And wait for few more spins,  for them to "stabilized", before resume betting.
Why not wait for "6", to happened,  then wait till it "BREAK", and start to bet, at least we "save" many valuable units...
A million dollar question, does this ft2nd last, always near rtm after a few hundreds spins, or having the risk, similiar to betting a single color,
which may not rtm, even after a 100, 000 spins?
Thanks in advance, keen to learn from you.
#140
If a selection, is stable, or quite stable, end result, will always hit AROUND HE EXPECTATION, after a 100, 200, or 300spins,
Simply mean, if we bet 1u, for 100spins, the losses for roulette, is just a few units, within HE expectation.

Of course, that not always happen, thus we need MANAGEMENT,  so every risk bet,
we take, we expect the end to hit within math expectation.

We can't beat random, we just wait and see for it to happen.
We can't beat variance, we just wait and see for it to happen.
#141
Thanks Vic,
Thanks Mr.J, for your view.
Appreciate them,
Seems that follow 2nd last, is good vis a vis ftl,
It also take advantage of STREAKS! Which always happen, in roulette and baccarat.

Anyone here has charts of,
flatbet, follow last, and 2nd last?
Please post them here, so we could brainstorming,  to random management, extreme variance management,
And most important, to see whether they are STABLE selection.!

Thanks in advance!
#142
General Discussion / Follow last , EC, please help.
February 28, 2018, 04:05:09 PM
Hi,
Follow the last, for ec, is interesting, for...
1) streaking nature...
2) low br, or flatbet.
3) extreme variance avoidance...
4) variance stop loss management.
5) random management

Ftl, strategy, long existed, since baccarat and roulette were invented, nevertheless, I think we could, tweak this strategy,

Could anyone here,  please help,
post,  few CHART, for follow the last..flatbet 1 unit, 
.preferably more than a thousand spins, or baccarat,
Thus we could see how the line move, snaking up and down,  to southeast, ..due to HE.



IF the ftl,  is STABLE, then we could apply, random management, extreme variance management, virtual loss strategy, ...to take advantage of the STREAKING NATURE , of ftl
Thanks in advance

#143
Bet risking 1u every bet, parlay the win plus 1u.
1st win=2
1+2=3, w=6
1+6=7=14
1+14=15=30
31=62,
63=126
127=254
That 7win streak, anyone dare say 7win streak win won't  happen?
#144
Azy,
We may also bet with matrix4,
1111
1112
1113
1121
1122
1123 and so on.

Bet against the four, to repeat.
Especially,
three unique dz in four spins.
Thus, if , say,
1, 13, 25, 2
That,
1231
bet against that to repeat
#145
General Discussion / PINWHEEL, TRACKING FOUR.
April 02, 2017, 08:58:01 AM
BELOW SHOW THE THREE DECISION,
OF MATRIX THREE, OF DOZENS,
WHICH PROVIDE GOO BETTING OPPORTUNITIES.

THE BRACKET SHOW HOW THE DZ BEHAVE IN SIX SPINS.


DECISION====PINWHEEL.
A A A      300 
C C  C     003 [303]
A A  B     210=[213]
A A  C     201=[411]
A B C      111=[312]
B A B      120=[231]
B A B      120=[240]
A C C      102=[222]
B C A      111=[213]
C C C      003=[114]
C C A      102=[105]
B A A      210=[312]
C C C      003=[213] 
C B B      021=[024]
B C C      012=[033]
A A C      201=[213]
C A A      201=[402]
C A B      111=[312]
B A B      120=[231]
C C A      102=[222]   
C C B      012=[114]
A B B       120=[132]
B A A       210=[330]
C A A       201=[411]
B C B       021=[222]
A C B       111=[132]
A C C       102=[213]
C B C       012=[114]
A A B       210=[222]
A C A       201=[411]
C B   B     021=[222]
ZERO C B    011=[032]
B B B       030=[041]
C C B       012=[042]
B C B       021=[033]
C C A       102=[123]
A C A       201=[303]
A B B       120=[321]
B A C       111=[231]
B C C       012=[123]
B C C       012=[024]
ZERO B C    011=[023]
A B B       120=[131]
C B C       012=[132]
B A B       120=[132]
B B C       021=[141]
C B C       012=[033]
A C B       111=[123]
B C B       021=[132]
A C A       201=[221]
C B A       111=[312]
A C A       201=[312]
B C C       012=[213]
B B B       030=[042]
A C B       111=[141]
A A A       300=[411] 
B A B       120=[420]
B A B       120=[240]
B C C       012=[132]
A C  A      201=[213]
ZERO B A    110=[311]
A A B       210=[320]
B B A       120=[330]
B A B       120=[240]
A A B       210=[330]
B C C       012=[222]
A A B       210=[222]
C C B       012=[222]
B B A       120=[132]
A B B       120=[240]
A A A       300=[420]
C B C       012=[312]
A B B       120=[132]
A C A       201=[321]
A A C       201=[402]
C B C       012=[213]
B A C       111=[123]
A B B       120=[231]
A C B       111=[231]
B C A       111=[222]
A B  B      120=[231]
A A C       201=[321]
B B B       030=[231]
ZERO B A    110=[140]
B A A       210=[320]   
B B C       021=[231]
C A A       201=[222]
C B B       021=[222]
A B A       210=[231]
A B C       111=[321]
C B A       111=[222]
C B C       012=[123]
C B B       021=[033]
B B B       030=[051]
B B B       030=[060]
B B A       120=[150]
A A  C      201=[321]
B A A       210=[411]
ZERO A B    110=[320]
C B A       111=[221]
A B 
====
Anahl Spiele:  302
#146
Even chance / Re: EC, in event bet.
March 07, 2017, 11:15:16 PM
Another way to read single series,
in strict matrix sense.


RRR=series, in matrix of three sense or scope.
BBB=series
RBR=single
BRB=single

BBR
RRB
#147
Even chance / Re: EC, in event bet.
March 07, 2017, 07:30:01 PM
Another way to read single series,
in strict matrix sense.


RRR=series, in matrix of three sense or scope.
BBB=series
RBR=single
BRB=single

BBR
RRB
#148
Even chance / EC, in event bet.
March 07, 2017, 12:06:45 PM
Gentlement,
This idea already stale since first casino open  shop.
But nevertheless, interesting.

say, Red/Black, or Player/Banker,
we arrange as a matrix of three.

and...
in over simplified example...
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

in nine spins...

in first 3 spin
RED,RED, RED=one event...

then, next 3spins
Black,black,black= another different event...

and next  3spin...
Red,black,red = another event.

thus we have , after 9spin, arrangge in matrix of three=


RRR
BBB
RBR...
what the chances probability...that in next 9spins
that the above three different "event", REPEATED AGAIN?


Thus,
if..
RRR
BBB
RBR...then...
RRR
BBB
RBR....YOU LOSE!
===================

Another example, but in 18spins..
in over simplified example, for easy eyes visualization, and understand.


first 6spin, IN MATRIX OF THREE.
RRR
RRR...one event

NEXT 6SPINS...
BBB
BBB...another event

THEN NEXT 6SPINS
RBR
RBR. yet another event.

thus you have after 18 spins...

RRR
RRR.............an event
BBB
BBB..............another event
RBR
RBR................yet another event..
thus what the chances probability that the above will repeat exactly?

in the long RUN,
we will have ...hit WITHIN MATH EXPECTATION,
meaning, there will highly unlikely that,
the extreme variance will hit.

and take advantage of this result.
Remember,
it the extreme variance,
that cause huge losses to whatever progression...ever invented.

#149
Hi Ozon,
Stable bet,
only mean, that possibility, of  HORRIBLE VARIANCE, to hit, is SLIM.
Thus, we have the luxury, or previlege,
to wait for a " losing attack",
to happened first,
that one losing attack avoided,
thus 'enhance',
the chances of winning.

it is not
solely DD attack,
as..
132 trigger...
then fourth spin,

1,........ hit, thus bet 1 will repeat,(bet one dozen only)
1,2...lose, thus we bet 1 and 2...(bet double dozen)
123..lose all.
#150
Gentlemen,
We bet when a TRIGGER OF,
"three unique dozen" in 3spins,
(TUD) PERMUTATION HIT.
123,
321,
213,so on...three different dozen in 3spins.

We bet after a TUD , hit, another permutation, of TUD, won't hit.

eg.
123,...trigger.
123=another TUD, we lose,


123,
132...lose.

123
231...lose.

123,
213...lose...and so on, you get the idea.
So , when and how we win?

eg.
213...TUD, as trigger.
112...we win, as the 1, repeat..

213, trigger.
122, ...we win, as the 2, repeat.


213...
111...we win, as the 1 ,repeat..

Thus, a TUD, followed,
by another TUD ,(of any permutation),
cause losing bet.

then, what the chances of win/lose ratio.
if we bet as,
SINGLE/SERIES (OF 2, AND MORE)?
answer...within math expectation,
with very slim, of the horrible variance. to happen.

REMEMBER!
TUD, TUD,TUD ,...
will go on to 5in row!
thus we bet as single versus series, only,
as the expectation, is STABLE.
========

interestingly,
we could also bet, after a TUD, IN 4SPINS.

SAY,1231 DOZEN! hit in 4spins,
what the chances, that TUD, WILL HIT IN NEXT 4SPINS?
THINK HARD!