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Messages - BEAT-THE-WHEEL

#271
If a perfect bet selection exist, then HG already exist.

Since no perfect bet selection exist, thus no mm could be HG...

We could only risked near perfect bet selection, and then, risk with near perfect mm.

Just my thought.
#272
Since Albalaha very sure that streaks of losses, always happened,
then we could bet both ways, since no casino rules, say we can't bet both sides!

Below I see them the WL as baccarat's decision, and forget the "half-payout".

==================

bet , if win, +1,
if lose, -1, play both sides,
=====================
Albalaha's

Session 1:

-1L/[w+1]
-1L/w2
-1L/w3
-1L/w4
-1L/w5
-1L/w6
-1L/w7
-1L/w8
-1L/w9
-1L/1w0
-1L/w11
-1L/w12
-1L/w13
-1L/w14
+1W/L-15
2Lw14
1Lw15
1Lw16
1WL-17
2L/16
1L/17
1L/18
1L/19
1L/20
1L/21
1W/22
2L/21
1L/22
1L/24
1L/25
1L/26
1L/27
1L/28
1L/29
1L/30
1L/31
1L/32
1W/L33
-2L/32
1L/33
1L/34
1W/35
2L/34
1L/35
1L/36
1L/37
1W/38
2L/37
1L/38
1L/39
2W/40
1L/39
1L/40
1W/41
2W/40
3L/39
1L/40
1L/41
1W/42
2L/41
1W/42
1L/41
1L/42
1L/43
1W/44
1L/43
1L/44
1L/45
1L/46
1L/47
1W/48
2L/47
1L/48
1L/49
1L/50
1W/51
2L/50
1L/49
1L/50
1W/51
2L/50
1L/51
1L/52
1W/53
2L/52
1L/53
1W/54
2L/53
1L/54
1L/55
1L/56
1L/57
1W/58
2L/57
1L/58
1L/59
1W/60
2L/59
1L/60
1W/61
2L/60
1W/61
2L/60
1W/61
2L/60
1L/61
1W/62
2L/61
1W/62
2L/61
1L/62
1W/63
2L/
1L/
2W/
1L/
2W/
3W/
2L/
1W/
2L/
1W/
2L/
1W/
1L/
1W/
2L/
1W/
2W/
3L/
2W/
3L/
2W/
3W/
4L/
3W/
2L/
1L/
1W/
2L/
1L/
1L/
1L/
1W/
2W/
3W/
4L/
3L/
2W/
3L/
2W/
3L/
2L/
1W/
2L/
1W/
2W/
3L/
2L/
1W/
2L/
1L/
1L/
1L/
1L/
1L/
1W/
2L/
1W/
2L/
1W/
2W/
3L/
2W/
3L/
2W/
3L/
2L/
1W/
2L/
1W/
2L/
1L/
1W/
2W/
3L/
2W/
1L/
1W/
2W/
3W/
2L/
1L/
1W/
2W/
3L/
2W/
1L/
1W/
2W/
3L/
2W/
3L/
2L/
1W/
2L/
1W/
2W/
3L/
2W/
3L/
2W/
3W/
4L/
3W/
2L/
1L/
1L/
1W/
2W/
3W/
4W/
5L/
4W/
5L/
4W/
5L/
4W/
5W/
6L/
5W/
4L/
3L/
2W/
3L/
2W/
3L/
2W/
3W/
4W/
===============
WHAT IF W/L ABOUT THE SAME?


1L/1=0
1L/2=1
1L/3=3
1W/4=0
2W/3=-1
3W/2=-2
4W/1=1
5L/1=-3
4W/2=-1
5L/1=-5
4W/2=-3
5L/1=-7
4W/1=-4
5W/2=-1
6L/1=-6
5W/2=-3
4L/1=-6
3L/1=-8
2W/2=-8
3L/1=-10
2W/2=-10
3L/1=-12
2W/2=-12
3W/1=-10
4W/1=-7
#273
Dear Albalaha,
With Respect.
=====================
single dozen,
bet every spin,
flatbet 1u, and parlay.

risked 118unit, up to 118spins.

bet1,w=2,br=3+1u=br=4
bet4,w=8,br=12+1u=br=13
bet13,w=26,br=39+1u=br=40
bet40,w=80,br=120-1=119

now don't say 4streaks of dozen...
won't hit in next 200spins.
#274
 
Dear Albalaha,
with Respect.

bet1=win=1=br=2+1=3
b3=w=3=br=6+1=7
b7=w=7=br=14+1=15
b15=w=15=br=30+1=31
b31=w31=+62

above a very simple 5streaks, which will last till 61bet with no hit of streaks EC .
You may add up unit, for next 61spins, and so on

Please don't say, 5streaks won't hit in 100, or 200pins.
#275
Dear Albalaha,
with respect.

It is true that all three streaks, won't hit in next 200spins.

we should try ANY SEVEN streaks,

PPPPPPP,
BBBBBBB,
PBPBPBP,
PPBBPPBB,
PPPBBBPPP,
PBBPBBPBB,
BPPBPPBPP,
PPPPBBBB,
BBBBPPPP,
PBBPPPB,
BPPBPPP,
BPPPBPPPP,
PBPBBBPBB...ETC


and may you please do a simulation,

It very interesting,

to see if all seven not hit in 200spins increment,
after a million spins.
thanks in advance.
#276
since series/single of baccarat is
50series/50single,
albeit whatever EDGE...the mathboy may says...


then the losses=50x1=-50,
and the capital recoup=...

thus in 200bet taken, and no streaks hit,
the losses=-100u.

#277

simple mm.
BET1=1, keep 1u.parlay the only the winning 1u.

bet1=win=1

bet2=win=2
bet4=win=4

bet8=win=8

bet16=win=16
bet32=win=64u
#278

Dear Albalaha,
With respect,
You are right.

But if we bet ONLY a single streaks. that risky.
====================

BUT if we bet 3, or more streaks at the same time,
say, if we bet for .

7streak of PPPPPPP,
and BBBBBBB,
and PBPBPBP, AT THE SAME TIME,

we can't say all three streaks won't hit after 200spins.

what if we add in PPBBPPBB, and make that four,
will all four streaks won't hit at all.???

But of course, a sustainable mm to sustain, anticipated losses.
if only one streaks hit at the very last of the 200spins!!!
#279
Not only PPPPPPP...

We always see,

eg.
PBPBPBPBPB..

PPBBPPBB
PPPBPPPBPPPB

PPPBBBPPPBBB

and many more,


Thus we can anticipate, a few pattern, at once...



We cannot dispute, these streaks won't hit, since they are part of the permutation.



#280
We do not need to predict, no forecasting, no voodoo,
no hocus  pocus,
Just mm, to anticipate, the streaks to happen...

The only risk is when,
the anticipated streaks, fail to hit,
And we lose our br,
#281
Gentlement,
We need to see streaks of losses, except the zero-green, as a SET- OF-PATTERN...

That must happen, in the permutation, of hit.

eg.
Baccarat PLAYER,
P
PP.
PPP.
PPPP.
PPPPP.
PPPPPP.
PPPPPPP.
PPPPPPPP....so on.

All of us had see, streaks of hit, in casino, and how many time ,say,

"OH MY,if only
I had parlay them..!"

Since every expert here strong advocater, staunch believer,

Of streaks to hit.
then, why not we take full advantages of this HAPPENNING.?

#282
Quote from: Albalaha on August 08, 2016, 03:45:25 AM
What fanciful complex bet selection can't help with:

1. It can not avoid long streaks of successive losses: LLLLLLLLLLLL

Dear Albalaha,
With due respect,

I am with you , that , every selection,
cannot avoid long streaks of successive losses LLLLLLLLLL...

Thus I think,
we should take the set, of "LLLLLLLLLLLL...,"
The unavoidable,
as a set of opportunity, to parlay,

eg,
Baccarat PLAYER, will



have X count of (PPPPPPPP...streaks)
IN certain X of spins count.

Single dozen, will , streaks DDDDDDD ...in certain spins set ..

Thus we may parlay, the streaks of hit.

The problem in roulette, the ZERO, will cut the parlay short, thus losses.

And the mild mm...needed.

In baccarat, the PLAYER, IS the best bet , I think.

Maybe some could make a simulation, of say, 200spins increment,
Of millions spins,
to see how, the X streaks of PLAYER,  hit in every 200.
#283
Haloo 39,
The tool, purpose,
is to know,
when,
and,
where,
the termite bite!

When, is the frequency of bite..

Where, is places most bite happen...


Thus in roulette,
Whether the wheel, balanced or bias,

either way, the casino doomed...
===========================
if the wheel balanced,
then every part will hit, almost equally...
then you know how to bet...
and,
if the wheel biased.....
#284
@Gizmo,
After a quick look at a few 200spins,
of mine selection.

It really awe me to see that streak of 4,5,6..very common,
And streak of 7,8,9 even 12, hit too!

If streak of 10, happen every 200, then that huge killing!!!
#285
Dear Gizmo,
With respect  ,

One pertinent question.
You may choose, not to answer, and I understand.

After reading some of your postings, 

I deducecd that,
Your bet selection, alway reverting to rtm.
You wait for EXTREME VARIANCE,
AND THEN
" RIDE THE VARIANCE WAVES CORRECTING TO RTM"?