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Messages - BEAT-THE-WHEEL

#61
Quote from: Albalaha on August 03, 2018, 06:22:14 AM
we need to have an MM that takes care of extremes without going too deep ever
This quote worth millions,
isn't this mean stop betting when facing losing sequence, till virtual hit to resume....?
#62
Quote from: Albalaha on August 03, 2018, 05:16:33 AM
a strategy that goes according to the number of wins and losses.

How?
#63
In other word,
If we could have a
of non random,  bet of 1000placed bet, that ALWAYS,

Have little edge, or ZERO edge, or EVEN -3% edge,

Then, winning with variance management virtual bet, and mild progression, is not a problem...
The trillion dollar question,

Can we create that 1000spins strategy? That with HE not over -3%?
#64
Hi Nickmsi,
It very interesting that " combination of doublet and triplet, better than triplet alone, "..(.please tell more., how to play the combination.)

Lets pretend that we have edge, or zero edge in 1000placed bets, then imho, this a way to bet....

Virtual bet till extreme variance hit, huge drawdown, say -30 to -50, in first 250 placed bet,
then  bet 1u, for next 250, then 2u for next 250, then 4u for next 250bet......

If it definitely ,  has edge, zero edge, or even -1% edge, then it must win,

It like 500black&500red  balls, in a bag, take out a ball, and cast aside, lookout whichever color drawn out the most in the frst 250, then bet the other color.
#65
Dear Albalaha,
You mean we need a very efficient progression strategy to survive the worst possible?

And you have this strategy?

Thanks.
#66
Dear Albalaha,
With Respect,
Thank you so much for your thought.

2000spins for EC is manageable,
But 74000spins for single number is too long for bm bet.

If 2000spins for EC,
Imho,
We wait for virtual losses for say, 500 spins, where very extreme variance formed,
Then bet 1u for 2nd 500spins, then 2u for 3rd 500spins, then 4u for last 500spins, stop at positive.

Of course, extreme variance management applied too.

Thanks.
#67
Hi Nickmsi,
I wonder if we could bet Vdw, for short term,

(Bet every trigger@9spins....reset win or lose)
Say, 2person play both sides, as a team,
with positive prog.1, 2, 3, 4, 5 ...that
add 1u, when win, (but stay at 1u, when lose from beginning).
Stop at single profit.

eg,
RRBBBBBBB

red lose 1u, B won more....

Please test.
Thanks in advance.
#68
Off-topic / Sore throat remedy, without medecine.
August 01, 2018, 04:18:31 AM
When it too hot and sore throat developed, simply breathing through your mouth till the sore subside.
Sore throat,  caused by swelling membrane around the throat when the body heat increases,
Thus breathing through your mouth release the trapped heat..and..drink lots of water too.
#69
Thanks Nickmsi for your charts and thought,
appreciate them.

May you please test this Non Random bet for double dozen, to see whether it is stable,  or streaky in nature.

If the last spin=dozen1, then bet dz1&dz2,
If the last spin=dozen2, then bet dz2&dz3,
If the last spin=dozen 3, then bet dz3&dz1,
If zero hit, then the previous last dozen  hit will be the indicator.

I tried to test,  by hand , small sample though, and found it rather stable, and streaky.

Thanks in advance.
#70
Thus, except heavily tilted wheel, or cheating RNG,

straight numbers, eu, 37x100spins=3700spin,
mathwise have 100hit expectation,
the worst, if you research , may only hit 60hit/3700spins.
If  if see few number sleep for, or only hit once or twice in, say 500spins,
Then you bet them for next 2500spins, and you bet 2 or 3, or 4 numbers at the same time,
With variance-avoidance strategy, and progression, you may produce profit.
#71
8OR9,
In the long run, everything may smothen within probability expectation, thus we bet the bias, after it happen, hoping for it to catch up.
if you can't wait long run,
Then you have 3 options,

1. Look for shorter run that less fluctuate,  or stable, with progression to boot.

2. Forget gambling, go do honest job.

3. Bet the run run.

Flipping tossing for long run, will not hit exact 50%, it may or may not hit within math.
Thus, you need to have a stable method.
What Albalaha mean, is everthing in long run, will hit WITHIN MATH EXPECTATION.

If we can't accept this, then choose option 2.
#72
Dear Albalaha,
With respect,

How long is long run closer to average expectancy?

I read somewhere,in your threads, it 3700spins for european roulette?
Thanks.
#73
Hi Nickmsi,
Just my 1cent,
(As you, and many members here already know this method,)
If you very sure that your vdw, will have EDGE, in 1000placed bet, flatbet, or even zero edge, or -1% edge,

Then simply play virtual, restart at every virtual profit,
till it show reasonable drawdown,  (without any profit, or losing,
from the begining of virtual bet),then start bet, flatbet till profit.

#74
General Discussion / Re: Sequence
July 10, 2018, 04:43:34 PM
S141211

You mean you wait for TWO single to happened, then wait for it to happen again

Thus S14, mean ...if bet both side
pb, x, pbpbpbpb ( four set of two singles)

S14 mean, if bet player only...
pxpxpxpxpxpxpxpxpxpx
#75
General Discussion / Re: Sequence
July 10, 2018, 03:59:39 PM
Hi Sputnik,
My brain can't understand,

Please make a simple example .
Thanks