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Messages - Bally6354

#181
I thought I would start a poll on this after reading one of XXXV's posts.

The poll lasts for 10 days and you can only see the results after you have voted.

Don't be shy and post up your vote and thoughts if you wish.

cheers


p.s. This poll does not take into account any form of Visual Ballistics or using any kind of Device.
#182
General Discussion / Re: How would you know if...
June 16, 2014, 12:32:07 AM
If the Casino manipulate these results, then it's also fair to say that they manipulate everything else.

So that means the slots are fixed and the cards are fixed.

I am not buying that. Someone somewhere would have blown the whistle and I am not talking about dodgy RNG Casinos from unusual locations either.

I have known a few croupiers in my time who were sacked for minor things. They would have got revenge and blown the lid on cheating casinos.



#183
General Discussion / Re: How would you know if...
June 16, 2014, 12:10:49 AM
Ken,

You can click on the 'no zoom' button and then you don't get the screen popping out to give you a bigger picture of the wheel.

Quote from: Mr J on June 16, 2014, 12:00:34 AM
Just so I understand this....you can NOT stand there (not talking at home) and watch it spun, correct?

Ken

No! You can't do that.
#185
Chile to beat Australia at a general 4/9 looks like a good bet to me.

The Aussies have went downhill in recent times and it's telling that one of their better players hardly makes the bench (never mind a starting place) for Newcastle who would not even be considered a top 6 side in the EPL.

The days of Viduka, Kewell and a few others are long gone.

Chile to win. [smiley]aes/wine.png[/smiley]
#186
Are there better / worse systems?

Here is what somebody posted on another forum.

''There are no good shoes or bad shoes, just
bad systems and methods. I know that sounds
trite, but it's true. It must be the shoe that's
bad, it couldn't be my inadequate method of
playing. Most people develop systems that
play about 40% of the shoe, and when the shoe
isn't playing their methods game, they're
screwed. So instead of improving their game,
they wander around looking for the right
shoes.''

That just about sums things up regarding this question.

40% isn't going to cut the mustard and you are going to be spending either more time at the casino playing through 'bad' shoes and losing money or wasting a lot of time looking for conditions that could change instantly the moment you sit down and you don't know how to handle them.

It's an acquired skill to get that level up to 70% or 80% and it's every players responsibility to learn the mechanics of their chosen game inside out. The benefits are enormous. You can walk in and out and be done in 15-20 spins.
#187
Quote from: Mick on June 10, 2014, 09:19:04 AM
This will at least allow me to keep my original investment and attempt to make profit with the casinos money.

Wise words Mick  :thumbsup:

In gambling, the key is to control your losses and capitalize on winning streaks. In other words, to lose as little as possible and win as much as possible.

Simply stated, keep to a low average bet while you are losing and bet more everytime you win. Most people do just the opposite, doubling up when they are losing in a foolish attempt to get their losses back fast, and restricting themselves by becoming conservative when they begin to win. It's the old story of self-preservation. Casinos are so plush and luxurious because people don't always cut their losses but they cut their winnings.

cheers
#188
Roulette Forum / Re: advantage playing rare events?
June 09, 2014, 11:03:30 PM
Quote from: Garnabby on June 09, 2014, 10:23:18 PM

That's it, you have to beat the random game.  Forget about the edges, etc, for the specific casino games.  But, you have to beat the random game in a way in which its "edges" can negate that of the casinos'.

You are right of course Garnabby. Anything else will not last '10 minutes'.

Interestingly enough, I also have looked into working in groups of three for the e/c games and there is a lot of promise there. It makes sense to attack Baccarat with the lower vig. The only thing that would put me off is the time sitting at a Baccarat table not betting. It's no problem sitting out spins at a roulette terminal where nobody is really paying any attention.

Anyway, thanks for a very good post.  :thumbsup:
#189
Here is another angle to attack this from if you have the time!

Some numbers from today.....

[attachimg=1]

Looking at the dozens, you can see that there is a high concentration of L's over a short space of time.

So the mongoose double dozens strategy would not be turning over a profit here. (at least not using the dozens)

But the good news is that a string of L's for two dozens means there is an opportunity to attack the other single dozen.

Looking down to the number 23, the missing dozen is 1.

Dozen 1 then appears (loss) and now you have alternate 2/3.

Dozen 1 appears again (loss) and now you have missing 3.

Dozen 3 appears (loss) and now you have missing 2.

So you can choose to play these single dozens or columns when you have a high concentration of L's in the L/W registry.

It's just another string to add to the bow. It's always a good idea to have several angles to attack from forming more of a strategy as opposed to a mechanical method. You can never say how things are going to pan out beforehand and it is better to be prepared for whatever you may encounter at the tables.

cheers
#190
Hello LeapyFrog,

Raucher means smoker and nichtraucher means non-smoker. (according to my Babylon translator)
#191
I have played this a lot over the last few months at B+M casinos with some good results.

What I like to do is monitor both the dozens and the columns and see which one is just producing single losses in the L/W registry. (There is really no need to be betting every spin) I will bet the one with the least concentration of L's.

[attachimg=1]


The above picture shows how I chart in the casino.

Looking at the dozens....

The 2nd and 3rd are showing. (Therefore the missing dozen is 1)

The 1st dozen eventually shows and the last three results are 3rd, 2nd and 1st....so now it's alternating and I would be looking for the 2nd and 3rd dozen on the next spin. The 2nd dozen appears and so I am looking for the 1st and 3rd dozen on the next spin to continue with the alternation.

It's easy once you get the hang of it.

This modified 'mongoose' progression seems to work really well with the double dozens. It throws up enough wins in clumps to forge ahead.

cheers
#192
Roulette Forum / Spielbank Wiesbaden Permanenzen
June 09, 2014, 02:28:08 PM
I noticed the site has had a bit of an update with some fancy new pictures.

Here is a direct link to the numbers.

http://www.spielbank-wiesbaden.de/index.php?id=101&L=1
#193
Fourth 18.

[attachimg=1]

0/00 = 3. (-1)
1/2 = 5. (+1)
5/6 = 2. (-2)
7/8 = 3. (-1)
11/12 = 6. (+2)
13/14 = 2. (-2)
17/18 = 4. (0)
19/20 = 2. (-2)
23/24 = 4. (0)
25/26 = 2. (-2)
29/30 = 8. (+4)
31/32 = 1. (-3)
35/36 = 5. (+1)

4 splits above expectation.

1/2. (+1)
11/12. (+2)
29/30. (+2)
35/36. (+1)

So the 11/12 is a mainstay so far and the 29/30 was a bit of a late streaker.

I hope you get the general idea.  A lot of the splits will stay absent from the above expectation list.
Some will fizzle out like the 0/00. Some will coast along like the 11/12 and you will get some come from nowhere like the 29/30.

*You can also see how the 11/12 and 29/30 splits are next to each other on the wheel layout and starting to take shape as the dominant opposites.

A lot more study to be done and trying out different concepts for experimentation.

cheers.





#194
Third 18.

[attachimg=1]

0/00 = 3. (0)
1/2 = 2. (-1)
5/6 = 1. (-2)
7/8 = 2. (-1)
11/12 = 4. (+1)
13/14 = 2. (-1)
17/18 = 4. (+1)
19/20 = 2. (-1)
23/24 = 2. (-1)
25/26 = 2. (-1)
29/30 = 6. (+3) a streaker!
31/32 = 1. (-2)
35/36 = 3. (0)

Now there are 3 splits above expectation.

11/12. (+1)
17/18. (+1)
29/30. (+3)




#195
Second 18.

[attachimg=1]

0/00 = 3. (+1)
1/2 = 1. (-1)
5/6 = 1. (-1)
7/8 = 1. (-1)
11/12 = 4. (+2)
13/14 = 1. (-1)
17/18 = 3. (+1)
19/20 = 0. (-2)
23/24 = 2. (0)
25/26 = 1. (-1)
29/30 = 2. (0)
31/32 = 0. (-2)
35/36 = 2. (0)

Now there are 3 splits above expectation.

0/00. (+1)
11/12. (+2)
17/18. (+1)