I am breaking it down cycle by cycle because I want to take a good look at things. The danger as always with roulette is in making quick assumptions. I need to try and find something which happens consistently over all these cycles or maybe it's a case of trying to find an extreme situation which only happens at certain points.

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So just over half of all the numbers have not appeared on average 4 times over the 4 cycles.

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After the second cycle and there are 17 numbers that have not shown up the average of 2 hits over the 2 cycles.


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Here is the first cycle from a set of 370 spins I have.

There are 15 numbers that have not appeared.

I am going to go through 10 cycles just to see what happens!


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The best way to go forward with this in my opinion is to go through some cycles and see how many numbers can keep close to the average at each stage. I want to find out if there is a point where a higher proportion of numbers start lagging behind. That might then give me something to work with.

Hello Sputnik

No! However my Brother-in-law is German and I am always asking him to translate things from the 'paroli' forum that I have trouble in understanding even after basic google translation. 

cheers

The day before.....

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291 spins suggesting an average of 8 hits.

Yet numbers 11, 12 and 14 are working overtime.

None of the other numbers really get close.

There is a decent method in here somewhere.

Here is something that has always intrigued me.

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So that's 372 spins. Probability suggests each number should appear 10 times.

However three of the numbers (9, 27 and 34) have appeared 16, 17 and 17 times respectively.

I have looked at a lot of these bar graphs and it's not uncommon to see a few numbers showing 50% + of the expected hit rate.

It seems to get more out of whack once you start going past the first few cycles.

This is where I am just going to unleash some of the ideas that come into my head from time to time regarding roulette.

Feel free to add your own. 

Corals are only going 11/4 for Trap 3 and a really stingy 10/3 for trap 5.

I didn't really explain how the results are worked out.

You take the first 14 races from each meeting and give 1 point to the winning trap.

The winner of the Trap Challenge is the dog with the most points.

Of course you can get a tie and I have had a triple dead heat once.

You just half your stake on a tie.

Example.....

You put £10 on a 4/1 selection.

Half of that is £5 going on at 4/1. Return = £25.

A triple dead heat and you would divide your stake by a third.

cheers.

Yesterday resulted in a 1 point loss.

So I am down 2 1/2 points so far.

Today the Trap Challenge is at Newcastle +Poole.

Trap 3 is 20 points clear on my ratings and I make it a strong bet.

Trap 5 is also a good few points clear of the other 4 dogs if I take out Trap 3.

So my bets for today are as follows.....

2 point win on Trap 3 which is 7/2 with William Hill.

1 point win on trap 5 which is 9/2 with William Hill.

Trap 3 will be the icing on the cake or Trap 5 will take me back to all level for this particular challenge.

I really can't see past 3 or 5 today.

cheers.

The manager in Tesco's said the burgers were not flying off the shelves like they used to.

I suggested lowering them by a few pounds. 

I will get my coat! 

Great jokes by the way!

You need to be careful of some of these guys selling software.

There is an outfit in Harrogate calling themself Brimardon Racing (horseracing) and they charge a fortune as well. We can all pick our own losers. 

There are a lot of sites on the net that can teach you how to compile your own ratings.

Well yesterday was a loss.

On to today and Trap 6 is well clear on my points tally.

The Trap Challenge today (15th February) is at Swindon + Monmore.

The price for Trap 6 with William Hill is 7/2. (3/1 with Coral's  )

My advice is a 1 point win on Trap 6 to win todays Trap Challenge.

Day 1. LOSS.  -1 1/2 points. (I am including the saver bet I suggested on Trap 3)

cheers