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Messages - Bally6354

#676
Merry christmas to everyone on here and I hope 2013 brings you all that you wish for!
#677
General Discussion / Re: casino shills on the internet
December 24, 2012, 05:47:23 PM
That's funny Gizmo because he (Saliu) had the cheek to say others ripped off his work later down the line.

Thanks for the link.  :thumbsup:
#678
General Discussion / casino shills on the internet
December 24, 2012, 04:13:47 PM
Albalaha was talking about Ion Saliu on another thread and it got me thinking about shills who deliberately put out false/misleading information on the internet to muddy the waters.

They come in all different guises and I can't ever remember reading a thread on the subject. I suppose we have to be careful what we say but there is nothing to stop us posting our general thoughts without naming names.


Regarding Ion. He is certainly an interesting character! 

One thing I notice is that he is attacked from a lot of different quarters within the gambling community. Now this could be a good thing meaning he is on the right track and people who think they might have something to lose will bash him.

I was watching a short video the other day of one guy in a vegas casino showing how to play all the games. No doubt this guys books are in all the casino book stores as well.

Now one of the questions you have to ask yourself is would the casinos let Stanford Wong shoot a video in their casino explaining the subtleties of shuffle tracking? NOT ON YOUR LIFE!

It would be like me letting the guy who broke into my house give demonstrations in my living room to wannabe crooks how he did it!  :))

So what should newbies be looking out for and what are the tell tale signs that give the game away?


#679
Gizmotron / Re: Collision, When Worlds Collide
December 24, 2012, 12:49:40 AM
I was just playing around with your software Gizmo loading some numbers from some of my files. The even chances added to the dozens and columns can give some nice wins for a low outlay. I had a situation where the 1A RED +EVEN were missing. That just leaves 15, 17, 29, 33, 35. A nice win streak ensued. What I particularly like about this is the opportunity to use some kind of positive progression. You can afford to go up a level after every winning bet and still retain a lot of the profit.
#680
Gizmotron / Re: Collision, When Worlds Collide
December 23, 2012, 11:42:12 PM
Look at your example AMK

XX,XX,XX
XX,XX,XX
XX,XX,XX
XX,XX,XX
-- -- --
XX,14,15
XX,17,18
XX,20,21
XX,23,24
-- -- --
XX,26,27
XX,29,30
XX,32,33
XX,35,36

You had 1A, 1A. (assuming these are missing)

So I have crossed them out. That leaves 16 numbers you can cover with 8 splits.

Now let's look at it again and also assume RED is cold.

XX,XX,XX
XX,XX,XX
XX,XX,XX
XX,XX,XX
-- -- --
XX,XX,15
XX,17,XX
XX,20,XX
XX,XX,24
-- -- --
XX,26,XX
XX,29,XX
XX,XX,33
XX,35,XX

You now have 8 numbers left. 15, 17, 20, 24, 26, 29, 33, 35.

Of course this is just one example and the possibilities are endless of the type of bets you could look for.

This IMO is one of the areas where we should be looking to win at the game of roulette.

#681
Gizmotron / Re: Collision, When Worlds Collide
December 23, 2012, 11:04:18 PM
Gizmo

I never really looked at it with the B/R, E/O, H/L angle before.

That opens up more than a few possibilities. Thanks.
#682
Gizmotron / Re: Collision, When Worlds Collide
December 23, 2012, 10:38:35 PM
Hello AMK.

These are from my files. I just pasted this batch.

I am a big fan of this sort of play.

cheers
#683
Thank you very much for uploading this software Gizmo. It's very generous of you.  :thumbsup:

Can you input your own numbers as you go along?

edit: I sussed it!

Thanks.
#684
Gizmotron / Re: Collision, When Worlds Collide
December 23, 2012, 10:23:40 PM
 Here is a 100 spins showing you the very furthest back column or dozen in ( )

Sometimes you get both a dozen and column as the equal furthest back. They can both stay missing for a while!


[reveal]

26 3B
26 3B
17 2B
2 1B
3 1C (A)
26 3B (A)
18 2C (A)
36 3C (A)
32 3B (A)
20 2B (A)
7 1A (C)
11 1B (C)
20 2B (C)
30 3C (A)
17 2B (A)
35 3B (A)
6 1C (A)
4 1A (2)
1 1A (2)
14 2B (3)
29 3B (C)
15 2C (1A)
23 2B (1A)
30 3C (1A)
16 2A (1)
13 2A (1)
21 2C (1)
35 3B (1)
35 3B (1)
31 3A (1)
11 1B (2C)
28 3A (2C)
34 3A (2C)
9 1C (2)
36 3C (2)
21 2C (B)
13 2A (B)
36 3C (B) 
9 1C (B)
5 1B (2A)
13 2A (3)
9 1C (3)
23 2B (3)
30 3C (A)
4 1A (2B)
16 2A (B)
11 1B (3C)
6 1C (3)
10 1A (3)
29 3B (2)
20 2B (C)
31 3A (C)
10 1A (C)
20 2B (C)
33 3C (1A)
32 3B (1A)
20 2B (1A)
14 2B (1A)
3 1C (C)
12 1C (A)
26 3B (A)
35 3B (A)
6 1C (A)
23 2B (A)
7 1A (3)
14 2B (3)
26 3B (C)
19 2A (C)
29 3B (C)
28 3A (C)
23 2B (C)
33 3C (1)
20 2B (1)
19 2A (1)
1 1A (3C)
21 2C (2)
14 2B (3)
23 2B (3)
19 2A (3)
28 3A (1)
7 1A (C)
4 1A (C)
9 1C (B)
34 3A (B)
23 2B (1C)
6 1C (3A)
31 3A (2B)
3 1C (2B)
2 1B (2)
35 3B (2)
8 1B (2)
6 1C (2)
28 3A (2)
27 3C (2)
2 1B (2)
27 3C (2)
1 1A (2)
15 2C (B)
27 3C (B)
17 2B (1A)
[/reveal]
#685
Gizmotron / Re: Collision, When Worlds Collide
December 23, 2012, 10:12:36 PM
Quote from: Gizmotron on December 23, 2012, 08:58:27 PM
It's almost impossible to not go on a win streak with these type of bets used in a sequence.

That's right! There are win streaks running most of the time in one form or another. The wheel can't help itself and you don't need to worry about the dealer because they can't see it happening right in front of them.
#686
Math & Statistics / Re: Why Hit & Run is absurd
December 23, 2012, 06:12:37 PM
Quote from: JohnLegend on December 23, 2012, 05:28:23 PM
If you gift wrapped a HOLY GRAIL. And gave it to 10 million gamblers. How many of them do you think would even try it?

There is no holy grail! You may be able to get lucky and win more than you lose over periods of time. That's the best you can hope for in roulette.



#687
Math & Statistics / Re: Why Hit & Run is absurd
December 23, 2012, 12:28:04 PM
Here is another form of PB where you won't have to wait 6 months to see any results (if you are lucky!)

http://baccaratforums.com/t7202/

@ JL

PB has been around in one form or another for years. I first wrote about it on a forum about 5/6 years ago. A lot of people have tested it and reported it as a failure. The reason I don't knock it is because the basic premise can be improved upon. There is no point in going down with the ship. You wouldn't need to prove anything to anybody if it actually worked in it's basic format. Roulette would no longer exist if it worked like that.






#688
Math & Statistics / Re: Why Hit & Run is absurd
December 22, 2012, 10:25:23 PM
"I cannot imagine being down 2k Bally."

I was speaking in general terms JL.

A card counter with a 3% edge and a 10k bankroll could be easily down 1k-2k after a really bad shoe.

So us guys facing 2.70% or 5.40% are going to run into some right nightmare situations (hit and run or not)

But I agree with you about attitudes and discipline. It's a much tougher game without them.

#689
Math & Statistics / Re: Why Hit & Run is absurd
December 22, 2012, 09:06:00 PM
I was thinking about all this tonight....

Suppose a card counter has a 3% edge over the house! So the guy is likely to win $9 for every $100 he throws over the table.

Now let's say the guy is playing and is down about 2k after some pretty bad cards. Would this not be a great time for the casino to ban this player from ever playing BJ with them again. The guy is expected to win long-term but now the casino has him by the proverbials. This would be the ideal time in my opinion for the casino to execute their own 'hit and run' policy.

The same thing happens in sports betting. Trading decisions are made to terminate an account even if the player has had a few losing bets based on the players MO. This also strikes me as a kind of 'hit and run' policy to limit potential damage further down the line.

I am getting to my point.......

So the gambler who is playing a negative expectation game and who is up a certain sum of units may decide to execute his own 'hit and run' strategy just based on the fact that he has hit a nice positive swing and does not want to push his luck and face the inevitable 'gamblers ruin'. You could argue that the more times you do this could save you money in the long run.

(I don't think this is going to fly but thought I would share it anyway)  :))
#690
Horse & Greyhound Racing Forum / Re: @ Bayes and Esoito
December 21, 2012, 06:12:46 PM
Quote from: monaco on December 21, 2012, 05:51:41 PM

Also read the Betfair forum page on Laddies & 365, do you ever feel this is a hard way to make an easy living??

I don't think there is an easy way to make money at gambling. I would say the majority of the 1 or 2% who do make money from it are obsessed and would get a shock if they broke down the winnings into an hourly rate.