Menu

Show posts

This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.

Show posts Menu

Messages - Bally6354

#691
Thank you very much for uploading this software Gizmo. It's very generous of you.  :thumbsup:

Can you input your own numbers as you go along?

edit: I sussed it!

Thanks.
#692
Gizmotron / Re: Collision, When Worlds Collide
December 23, 2012, 10:23:40 PM
 Here is a 100 spins showing you the very furthest back column or dozen in ( )

Sometimes you get both a dozen and column as the equal furthest back. They can both stay missing for a while!


[reveal]

26 3B
26 3B
17 2B
2 1B
3 1C (A)
26 3B (A)
18 2C (A)
36 3C (A)
32 3B (A)
20 2B (A)
7 1A (C)
11 1B (C)
20 2B (C)
30 3C (A)
17 2B (A)
35 3B (A)
6 1C (A)
4 1A (2)
1 1A (2)
14 2B (3)
29 3B (C)
15 2C (1A)
23 2B (1A)
30 3C (1A)
16 2A (1)
13 2A (1)
21 2C (1)
35 3B (1)
35 3B (1)
31 3A (1)
11 1B (2C)
28 3A (2C)
34 3A (2C)
9 1C (2)
36 3C (2)
21 2C (B)
13 2A (B)
36 3C (B) 
9 1C (B)
5 1B (2A)
13 2A (3)
9 1C (3)
23 2B (3)
30 3C (A)
4 1A (2B)
16 2A (B)
11 1B (3C)
6 1C (3)
10 1A (3)
29 3B (2)
20 2B (C)
31 3A (C)
10 1A (C)
20 2B (C)
33 3C (1A)
32 3B (1A)
20 2B (1A)
14 2B (1A)
3 1C (C)
12 1C (A)
26 3B (A)
35 3B (A)
6 1C (A)
23 2B (A)
7 1A (3)
14 2B (3)
26 3B (C)
19 2A (C)
29 3B (C)
28 3A (C)
23 2B (C)
33 3C (1)
20 2B (1)
19 2A (1)
1 1A (3C)
21 2C (2)
14 2B (3)
23 2B (3)
19 2A (3)
28 3A (1)
7 1A (C)
4 1A (C)
9 1C (B)
34 3A (B)
23 2B (1C)
6 1C (3A)
31 3A (2B)
3 1C (2B)
2 1B (2)
35 3B (2)
8 1B (2)
6 1C (2)
28 3A (2)
27 3C (2)
2 1B (2)
27 3C (2)
1 1A (2)
15 2C (B)
27 3C (B)
17 2B (1A)
[/reveal]
#693
Gizmotron / Re: Collision, When Worlds Collide
December 23, 2012, 10:12:36 PM
Quote from: Gizmotron on December 23, 2012, 08:58:27 PM
It's almost impossible to not go on a win streak with these type of bets used in a sequence.

That's right! There are win streaks running most of the time in one form or another. The wheel can't help itself and you don't need to worry about the dealer because they can't see it happening right in front of them.
#694
Math & Statistics / Re: Why Hit & Run is absurd
December 23, 2012, 06:12:37 PM
Quote from: JohnLegend on December 23, 2012, 05:28:23 PM
If you gift wrapped a HOLY GRAIL. And gave it to 10 million gamblers. How many of them do you think would even try it?

There is no holy grail! You may be able to get lucky and win more than you lose over periods of time. That's the best you can hope for in roulette.



#695
Math & Statistics / Re: Why Hit & Run is absurd
December 23, 2012, 12:28:04 PM
Here is another form of PB where you won't have to wait 6 months to see any results (if you are lucky!)

http://baccaratforums.com/t7202/

@ JL

PB has been around in one form or another for years. I first wrote about it on a forum about 5/6 years ago. A lot of people have tested it and reported it as a failure. The reason I don't knock it is because the basic premise can be improved upon. There is no point in going down with the ship. You wouldn't need to prove anything to anybody if it actually worked in it's basic format. Roulette would no longer exist if it worked like that.






#696
Math & Statistics / Re: Why Hit & Run is absurd
December 22, 2012, 10:25:23 PM
"I cannot imagine being down 2k Bally."

I was speaking in general terms JL.

A card counter with a 3% edge and a 10k bankroll could be easily down 1k-2k after a really bad shoe.

So us guys facing 2.70% or 5.40% are going to run into some right nightmare situations (hit and run or not)

But I agree with you about attitudes and discipline. It's a much tougher game without them.

#697
Math & Statistics / Re: Why Hit & Run is absurd
December 22, 2012, 09:06:00 PM
I was thinking about all this tonight....

Suppose a card counter has a 3% edge over the house! So the guy is likely to win $9 for every $100 he throws over the table.

Now let's say the guy is playing and is down about 2k after some pretty bad cards. Would this not be a great time for the casino to ban this player from ever playing BJ with them again. The guy is expected to win long-term but now the casino has him by the proverbials. This would be the ideal time in my opinion for the casino to execute their own 'hit and run' policy.

The same thing happens in sports betting. Trading decisions are made to terminate an account even if the player has had a few losing bets based on the players MO. This also strikes me as a kind of 'hit and run' policy to limit potential damage further down the line.

I am getting to my point.......

So the gambler who is playing a negative expectation game and who is up a certain sum of units may decide to execute his own 'hit and run' strategy just based on the fact that he has hit a nice positive swing and does not want to push his luck and face the inevitable 'gamblers ruin'. You could argue that the more times you do this could save you money in the long run.

(I don't think this is going to fly but thought I would share it anyway)  :))
#698
Horse & Greyhound Racing Forum / Re: @ Bayes and Esoito
December 21, 2012, 06:12:46 PM
Quote from: monaco on December 21, 2012, 05:51:41 PM

Also read the Betfair forum page on Laddies & 365, do you ever feel this is a hard way to make an easy living??

I don't think there is an easy way to make money at gambling. I would say the majority of the 1 or 2% who do make money from it are obsessed and would get a shock if they broke down the winnings into an hourly rate.
#699
Here is wishing your Mother a very speedy recovery Proof.
#700
Horse & Greyhound Racing Forum / Re: @ Bayes and Esoito
December 21, 2012, 02:51:50 PM
Bubbly Bailey finished 9th.  :cheer:

This one never drifted in the market and hovered around the 5/1 mark for most of the day.  I don't think it was wanted today as it was beaten after about 3 furlongs never getting in a blow!

#701
Horse & Greyhound Racing Forum / Re: @ Bayes and Esoito
December 21, 2012, 10:55:51 AM
I thought this was an interesting thread to start because it is not really just a system as such.

The markets have always been manipulated by the big players for their own ends.

Now why go to the trouble of studying form when you can let the 'experts' do it for you.

All you then need to do is learn to read the signals.

I joined a racing forum a few years ago because they had a casino section. They wanted to burn me at the stake after I tried to explain a few of my ideas  ;D

They told me roulette was a negative expectation game!  :zzz:

That I could never win at the game!  :nope:

So I went over to read what they had to offer! It was the biggest load of curve fitted nonsense that I had ever seen. I got banned after telling them that.  :forbidden:

I have a book on an old hard drive which was going to be published some time ago about horseracing and how to read the markets. It was actually banned from publication. The major bookmakers in the UK took out an injunction because they did not want this information made available to the general public. It did go into great detail about the relationships between different factions in racing and spelled things out pretty clear. That PC crashed but I will take the hard drive out and see if I can retrieve the data. I will put that up here if the hard drive was not damaged and the file lost.

All gambling is not really as it appears. At least that's the way I look at it now.

Casinos and bookmakers are offering you a losing proposition if you follow the herd.

It really is a case of developing your own style and playing a different kind of game to everyone else if you want to come out on top.

cheers
#702
Horse & Greyhound Racing Forum / Re: @ Bayes and Esoito
December 21, 2012, 10:03:33 AM
The lay today is 'Bubbly Bailey' in the 13.35 at Lingfield.
#703
That's a good idea Wannawin

I was thinking something similar the other day. I had in mind something like 'system of the week' where it could be explained and then tested. It could then be given a rating by the testers. That would then build up a nice library of systems which had some research behind them. I suppose it would be easy enough to setup. Let the members who want to participate put their name down and then randomly pick one members name out of the hat each week. We can all learn something from each others ideas.  :thumbsup:
#704
I hope you are right AMK  :nod:

#705
It's well into the 21st down under and they are still all there!  :(