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Messages - Bally6354

#751
General Discussion / Re: Understanding Random Outcomes
November 29, 2012, 11:33:01 AM
I suppose what I am saying is that you could play your own permanence at anytime and the wheel you are playing on makes no difference. I could go along with that.
#752
General Discussion / Re: Understanding Random Outcomes
November 29, 2012, 11:30:46 AM
Why not say then that you don't need to write any previous spins and the bet you were about to make on table A in Las Vegas could just as easily be placed on Table B at the Ritz in London. It has the same probability to appear wherever you place the bet. So what is the point in measuring anything?
#753
I agree. You are only limited in this game by what you can't see.
#754
Here is where it is at now and this is where I think the Red will break down.

The Black clumps are gradually taking over the smaller Red clumps.

I would be keeping an eye out here for a healthy string of Black and jumping on it.

[attach=1]

#755
ok, so here is what it looks like now.

[attach=1]

The interesting thing for me which I notice a lot is how it tries to correct itself but Red then goes on another long winning streak.

They call it the 'dealers bet' in America. A lot of old time gamblers swear by it.

You might see RRRRRRB and then it switches back to R again.

#756
Gizmo

I just took a quick snapshot of results so far at spielbank wiesbaden on table 4.

You can plainly see Red is dominant and the Second Dozen and Second Column are very weak as well.

Is this the sort of thing you would be looking to attack?

[attach=1]

#757
Even chance / Re: *PATTERN BREAKER*
November 28, 2012, 02:11:39 PM
What makes me laugh is some casinos I visit have a £5 minimum bet on the dozens/columns and yet 10p on the inside numbers. You could just bet 6 splits at 10p each and cover any dozen or column you wanted for 60p. Works great if you are a progression fanatic.

I was going to start playing at BV this week on the no zero wheel but this thread has talked me out of it. There are plenty of live wheels out there. I would rather up the bets and play a slower game than risk any dodgy goings on with RNG software.

I have read threads on a few gambling forums where some long term posters have a lot of statistical analaysis showing the percentages are way more in favour of the casino than what they should be. Some of these are not just the disreputable firms you read about either.

At least we have the choice to play where we see fit. I would always go by the rule that if it doesn't feel right, don't play!

I get that feeling with a few 'live' dealer wheels as well. Namely the 'supercasino' studio live dealer wheel and the 'smartlive' autowheel. Just my opinion.
#758
Even chance / Re: *PATTERN BREAKER*
November 28, 2012, 01:47:12 PM
Quote from: JohnLegend on November 28, 2012, 01:14:44 PM
I've been thinking why does a company like BV let you bet pennies when another company BET365 has a minumum bet of £5 on their RNG for the outside bets.

The devils advocate in me says that you could win 6/10 even money bets playing pennies and the guy betting £5 wins 4/10. That makes it a 50/50 game.

The casino get rich and the players betting pennies think they are going to get rich and start betting £5.....you know the rest.  >:D

Of course I could be completely wrong and hope I am.
#759
General Discussion / Re: The ideal Dynamics Of The Site
November 28, 2012, 08:56:52 AM
Quote from: Ophis on November 28, 2012, 07:15:32 AM
When i was making S9 bot (this unlucky which u had so many problems with, because it was compressed by default to enchance security, and this made your antywir crazy because he didint knew what he was dealing with) this was discussed with FlukeyLuke as to authorize only people which have donated.
End result was that this bot just like a system become free for all.

I agree with you Ophis and I would not make that mistake again. Besides it doesn't cost much if a few people who are interested chip in.
#760
10. keep changing strategies.

I think it's a good idea to stick with something and refine it as you go along.

Starting from scratch every other week with something new is not the way to go.

Imagine if you could add a couple of % improvement every so often through new knowledge and experience. This would gradually take you through the ranks as a player.
#761
General Discussion / Re: Magical Thinking
November 27, 2012, 09:25:52 AM
Quote from: Bayes on November 27, 2012, 09:18:58 AM
Gimme a break! At this rate, it will soon be "normal" to be mentally ill. Call me a cynic, but it seems that if you can't do maths, you're suffering from a disorder and need help from mental health professional (who charges $120 per hour).

LoL, I don't disagree with you Bayes. A lot of the guys I mentioned above completely changed their stance at one point or another to suit the flavour of the day (in other words....keep the research funds coming)

#762
I think number 4 is a biggie!

A lot of players think they can take the casino home with them every night.

People who make money out of gambling have a more long term approach.

There was a professional gambler in the U.K by the name of Phil Bull in the 60's.

He worked on the fact that he could make 5% profit each year on his turnover.

He would need to wager 1 million in a year just to make 50k. (In today's money)


Think more longer term and try and set some kind of sensible targets or have a few goals you would like to achieve through your gambling. This can provide a bit of discipline which is needed.
#763
Gambling Philosophy / Re: The 3 6 9 Phenomenon
November 26, 2012, 11:27:52 PM
You are right Sam! It needs to be played with a few other ideas.

I just checked on table 4 today at Wiesbaden and there were not many bets for it. It did finish up +8. However that is after 296 spins.

#764
That's a good question esoito

1) Flat bets. (RWD hot number system)

2) Gentle progression. (Lanky's divisor)

3) Inside numbers. (Winkel's G.U.T)

4) Even Chance. (SPIKE's 72% method  :))  )

I was serious for about 75% of that post. Honestly, I have never found an E.C. method I like. Some people go on about 'Marigny'. I don't know because I have never really studied it.

cheers

p.s. Lanky's divisor does not really get talked about much anymore but some clever people back in the day like 'number 6' praised it's worth compared to some of the other boom + bust progressions. I would put a link to it but you just get taken to spam adverts nowadays.
#765
Off-topic / lol
November 26, 2012, 06:57:53 PM
I was thinking about our struggles to beat roulette and wondered what other people would make of our almost obsessive fascination with the game....

....Then I watched this and it's kind of ironic.

These 2 guys live in the middle of nowhere (uttoxeter) and are managing a health centre and yet you would think they are in charge of the bank of england.

It's hillarious.

http://youtu.be/Y7o8FbGCR9U