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Messages - Dane

#31
Hi Teorule,
Some decades ago I read some German "Schedules" with "PLEIN-ROTATIONEN" (cycles á 37 spins).
Your impressive stats confirm the old truth that sleepers can sleep very long.
Your stats on the two most sleeping numbers may inspire someone to look at sleeping splits.
In area 0-36 there are 60 splits (cheveaux).
The old German roulette stats also included repeats. I hope that you´ll pay attention to repeats too!
#32
Quote from: alrelax on December 15, 2014, 05:41:28 AM
Nothing to do with gambling, just work. 

My fear is the interstate and highways.  I was pushed out of the way of a car that crashed into our wreck scene which was illumined by all the emergency vehicles present, but of course the lady driving 75mph or better failed to see the interstate filled of stopped vehicles with all kinds of blue and red lights flashing.  That was a few years ago.  Since then, it has been a fear of mine, my only fear.  Yesterday, a co-worker was killed by a car at a current scene we were working on the highway.  Yes the driver was arrested for endangering highway workers (a felony) and reckless driving, talking on a cell phone while driving, and homicide.  Now I am even more fearful than ever.  How is writing this down in a book going to help????

I don´t know if a few old quotes from his Bobness can help you. Anyway:

The highway is for gamblers, better use your sense. Take what you have gathered from coincidence.

"I´ve got a thousand telephones that don´t ring. Do you know how I can get rid og this thing?
And Louis the king said "Let me think for a minute, son..Yes. I think it can be easily done:
Just take everything down to Highway 61".
                                                                      (Bob Dylan)
#33
General Discussion / Re: Dane's jaw of the thirds
December 06, 2014, 05:40:53 PM
Quote from: plolp on December 06, 2014, 12:07:18 PM
I quote  Dane :
Sorry. What I meant  to write in my initial post was of course
that within two spins you´ll PROBABLY hit the chosen dozen.
And if we ignore zero the probability is 0.55555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555555 :)
______________________________________________________________________________________
Yes it is true but there is no avavantage to this because you hire 2 bets to win one.
You will lose 2 put a little less than half the time.
Ie 45% (excluding zero).
Sorry

My initial post plus much more can be seen on rouletteforum.cc.
#34
Street / Re: A new way to bet on streets
November 16, 2014, 09:43:01 AM
I have seen all twelve streets within twelve spins!
If you continue long enough, you may see something similar and LOSE.
Losing with progression happens sooner or later.
#35
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Classification of gamblers
November 16, 2014, 08:36:06 AM
Quote from: alrelax on November 15, 2014, 06:11:25 PM
LOL, Are there even Disco's left??? Growing up in NYC and South Florida I was disco crazy!  The days of Saturday Night Fever!   Okay on to gambling:

We don't even need to talk about the 'Casual Gambler' that's a comparison to a dirt bike racer for the first time.

Regulars, some have smarts and some don't, depends on their background and what their common sense level is, but true they are close to the Casual Gambler.

Semi Skilled, personally I would group all those into the 'Regulars' as well.

IMHO, there are skilled players, however, I can't see how you can classify them as 'always winners', etc.  Maybe if they only play the beatable games and not the unbeatable ones. But, again IMHO,  I think even skilled players have the tendency to lose.  I think you are a bit off on skilled players, but no way to accurately measure this. 



LOL Yes, we do belong to the upper class, don´t we?
I have what they call "perfect pitch".
Researchers estimate the occurence of "perfect pitch" to be 1 in 10.000 people.
[smiley]aes/headphones.png[/smiley]
And I don´t play Disco music!
#36
Dozen/Column / Re: How to stastically win
October 29, 2014, 01:14:45 PM
Quote from: RoulettePlayer on October 29, 2014, 06:28:15 AM
  In order to make some money on the long term playing roulette, you have win more than that you loose. I found a way to play where you win more often than you loose.

  Let's calculate the probabilities for dozens or row bets.

  First of all, because there is 3 dozens and 3 rows, everyone has a 33% chance of winning.
But if you bet on 2 dozens or rows at the same same time, you probability of winning is 66%.
You have a %66 chance to make a 1 unit profit, you understand so far.

  First, play the same 2 dozens or rows until you are 1 or 2 units behind.

  When you loose, you loose 2 units. Now if you go back 6 spins and write down in which dozen or row the wining number was, the chances are slim that in the next 6 spins, the winning number will fall in the exact dozen or row sequence as the last 6 spins. The chance are 1/3^6 or 1/729. That's the only way you would loose a 6 levels progression to recover your deficit. Your chance of recovering the deficit is 728/729 or around %99.86 a lot higher than %66. It's also recommended to bet on the 0 also at any stage of your progression.

  When you loose your starting bet and are behind, you can start a 6 levels progression. One thing to mention is that the more levels you have in your progression, the higher your bankroll has to be but the smaller the chance to loose all the levels in your progression.

  I will give you an example on how you place your bets on the progression. First of all, look at the pattern of the dozens that hit during the last 6 spins because we bet on dozens. The sequence might be from the last spin to the sixth previous spins. Low(1-12), medium(13-24), medium(13-24), low(1-12), low(1-12), high(25-36). You start at the first level of your progression and you bet the opposite of low which is medium and high, bet also on the 0, it's anice profit when hit. If you loose, you follow the sequence and bet the opposite of medium which is low and high. Simple but powerful. Whwn you win, you recovered your deficit and go to you starting bets again. Because you are only using your progression to recover a deficit, you chance of losing all the levels are very slim. So good luck and try it for fun first.

Roulette Player


LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOSE?
I have noticed that people to write ""LOOSE".
According to my dictionary we ought to write "LOSE".

Beginners tend to use progressions after losing in order to recover their losses.
It is simply a question of time before you lose. Sorry.

#37
Gambling Philosophy / Re: Intuition
September 18, 2014, 07:07:03 AM
"NO TREE CAN REACH INTO HEAVEN".
AND NO GAMBLER.......
#38
Quote from: plolp on September 04, 2014, 08:43:46 AM
say it another way:
36 times the same EC happens very often, but these series appear in disguise.
18 numbers = 18 numbers
It's a fact .

I see.
In order to see what could happen
inside one of the known  boxes of Even Chances
we simply have to imagine 17672631894 invisible boxes in disguise.
In this way we have almost TRANSCENDED EC!
In a way we might as well have entered the research of PLEIN (or Straight Up)
and repeated this old question: Why has noone seen all 37 numbers in 37 spins?


#39
Quote from: muggins on September 03, 2014, 10:52:56 PM
I must be cutting my hair too short, the last few posts have gone straight over my head.  What are you lot on about here?

Basic fact: The 18  known red numbers is JUST ONE OUT OF MANY
possible combinations with 18 numbers out of 37.
A combination calculator reveals that C(n, r) = 17672631900.
One of those combinations is much too common.
So I don´t think that another combination corresponds to such a long red series.

I AM NOT AFRAID TO LOOK AT THE COLOURS  :cheer: :rose: :cheer:
And with the Permanenzen from table 3, Spielbank Wiesbaden it is easy to SEE the  coloured series!
Much easier than counting spins in any combination independent of the colours
and jumping to conclusions.
                                                       [smiley]aes/coffee.png[/smiley]

#40

[/quote]
Quote from: plolp on September 03, 2014, 11:27:14 AM
T3 wiesbaden 02/09/2014 (extract)
1
20
28
20
1
13
21
34
1
26
1
26
2
26
1
31
31
9
0
3
10
19
18
25
30
14
27
28
14
31 ...........30 spins  18 different numbers
This corresponds to a séries of 30 red
I did not look long.
To make 6 more is a breeze for roulette!

I am sorry but I think that you ought to look longer!
I don´t have a degree in math,
but I am sure that there are MANY possible combinations with 18 different numbers.
#41
Straight-up / Re: Tanagra´s first repeat
August 30, 2014, 06:22:12 PM
Once again I looked at this German thread (page 13).
News: Tanagra has NOT resigned! Her hard work (70,457 spins!)
seems to have resulted in a very small profit.
But ANY profit after so many spins is impressive!
She must have been extremely lucky!

#42
Quote from: sqzbox on August 30, 2014, 01:48:52 AM
Um - a small point Dane - what do you mean by 24 unique numbers will typically appear by spin 37.


In accordance with the so-called
law of the thirds, I suppose [smiley]aes/coffee.png[/smiley]
But exactly 24 unique numbers have appeared
MORE THAN ONCE
when I leave. Closer to 85 spins than 37 spins  :)
#43
Quote from: VLS on August 27, 2014, 10:46:46 PM
"So we choose when we want to play, we choose the side we wish to play on, and we get to select the amount of our bet, and even can terminate any session at our optimal time.  Sweeeet, ain't it?"

-gr8player

"and even can terminate any session at our optimal time". For a long time
I used to stop at the latest right after the appearance of 30 different numbers.
Lately I have used another deadline: Right after 24 different numbers repeating.
(Approx. 85 spins). This is in accordance with my chosen train schedule.
If you have a train to catch, you become even more aware of the importance of time.

#44
Dozen/Column / Re: Is this unusual?
August 21, 2014, 07:06:23 AM
"Advertising signs that con you
Into thinking you´re the one
That can do what´s never been done
That can win what´s never been won
Meantime life outside goes on
All around you"
#45
Dozen/Column / Re: Is this unusual?
August 19, 2014, 11:25:21 AM
Quote from: Albalaha on August 19, 2014, 06:45:46 AM
I was once playing a dozen that came before the last one spin(it could be same to the last or different) and got 12-13 hits in a row on 2nd dozen. It was a kind of super rider positive progression(riding by amount of win, kind of martingale). My winnings went sharply high spin by spin. In about 7-8 spins, croupier got frustrated as table limit reached. It was something like:
bet 1: Np=2 unit, keep 1 unit back and bet 2 units further
bet 2: NP=4 units, keep 2 units and bet 4 units further
bet4:NP=8 units, keep 4 unit as profit and bet


and so on. So I was slowly keeping a bit of earnings and pushing hard on them with a major chunk of winning. Fortunately, I got a once in million streak and I had nothing to lose. My first experience of winning till table limit in a real casino. Had it been a no limit table and I used all my winnings+capital even 10 times, casino would have lost about 59k chips. In my 13th win, casino would had to file for bankruptcy.  :))
            Rare cases happen too.

LOVE MINUS ZERO/NO LIMITS (Bob Dylan). Nice dream!
To double or triple the amount until we reach the sky!
But we never know when to step down from this PAROLI,  do we?
I prefer to wager RED & EVEN at the same time and only double up
after winning both at the same time. In all other cases I start anew.