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Messages - Drazen

#106
Hello gents

Please I would like to say something for the last time as I was assured by few people lately how my way of play is nothing but the fallacy.

OK I am attaching screenshot of my account ATM. It is the same account with which I started and nothing was deposited or withdrawn in the meantime.

If you will notice it is now very nice sum of money comparing to initial start bank of 25$ or 250 units bank as I started with 0.10$ chip as a base.

Just this morning I was at 170.00 and positive difference you see is my today's one and a half hour session profit. I haven't lost single session by now and I played over 100 of them. Shorter like mini sessions or longer ones.

All I can say is that this works even better then I was imagining successful play, but that is also due to my way of punting the money.

I really don't have big DD-s and it is very nice and pleasant play. If you add to this one`s passion for watching ball jumping and getting into the pocket, you are getting almost orgasmic feeling in the end O:-)

I already gave here enough clues and explanations for someone to understand, but I don't intend to put money directly in your pocket. Please don't even ask me that.

I had even less help then you are having now with all this.

Good things should be deserved anyhow, my philosophy.

Good luck to you all  :rose:

Drazen






#107
General Discussion / Re: Snakes!
June 05, 2013, 10:56:12 AM
Nice Grandpa

Have you ever succeed to get to the end in that game? :)

This is how it looks when this game is beaten if you ever wondered. It is hypnotising to watch :)



Best

Drazen
#108
Yes GG, maybe :)

Anyhow it is always better to be equally good at two contrasting things somehow.

Although I don't share nor belong to philosophy of Kimo Li-s teachings, but I definitely take one of his sentences about luck as my favorite: "Luck is when preparation meets opportunity..."

Regards

Drazen
#109
Quote from: Rouletta on June 03, 2013, 09:02:09 AM
I think roulette is similar to stock investing......; Rule number one is to protect our dough, cut out losses swiftly
when it does not go our way.....

Main difference between stock or currency investing and roulette are fixed odds. If something is fixed it means it has certain limits in some way, right? :)

I like your rule number one and speaking of cutting out, I would cut out here "cut out" and implement "ride out" losses until it doesn't go our way :)

Thing that defines man is patience and persistence when he doesn't have anything, and attitude when he achieved everything :)

Best

Drazen

#110
Well L/W registry is changing when those check boxes aren't marked. Because program is always displaying bet with lowest % of wins for particular betselection.

Letter always tells you what you should bet for a win on next spin.

When you mark that checkbox it means that from that point program will be monitoring only that betselection until you mark it off and press next spin. Then again bet with lowest % of wins will be displayed.

Now it is up to you what you will do with the L/W registry and how you will play it, and how strong deviation you will seek and how to fight with it.

It isn't kind of a "system" where I can say to you, search precisely this and that with tracker and you ll be fine. It really isn't, and that was biggest problem for me to understand too.

C1 numbers is BS "number of spins without double win" left marques, and 40 spins there is 3.0 std for that BS for example. When it is marked and you get 2 wins in a row, count sets to 0 and counts spins without double from that point again until you mark it off and press next spin.

For the left marques where  you see the numbers for example B/25 O/30 L/28 is percent of wins in last 40 spins.  25% is 10 wins in 40 spins or 3.0 STD.

I did my best mate, although Bays-es explanation is better definitely. Don't know...

I hope I helped at least a little.

All this software does if showing you stats, how you will use them is up to you. It isn't created for rigid mechanical play.

Best

Drazen
#111
Over the years I have read that whoever speaks about roulette is always mentioning famous house edge and how is impossible to beat the game due to that fact. I am sure deviations are much bigger problem in this game.

Lets take most simple example of playing even chances. Imagine that you have method that can somehow obtain ideal sequence giving you LWLWLWLWLWLW all the time. Zero or house edge dictates that we can't win flat bet in the long run, but would you mind for that when you could apply any simple negative progression like D Alembert and actually very easy being able to overcome losses plus that negative house edge which would give you extra loss from time to time. I think not :)

Best

Drazen
#112
Quote from: monaco on May 28, 2013, 11:59:48 AM
Do you like waiting to hit the 3SD before making your move?

Yes my friend, definitely!   :nod:

Cheers
#113
Math & Statistics / Tool for calculating Z-score
May 28, 2013, 11:57:21 AM
Hello folks

I am attaching excel sheet for calculating Z-score if someone is interested.

I don't remember where I have found it and who created it , but all kudos to the author.

IT is a nice and very simple tool to calculate if you are interested how precisely some event statistically rare or not rare is.

Just enter how many numbers you are betting and how many wins you have in some sequence and you will get z-score

It goes for "all three" roulette's and baccarat.

Best

Drazen
#114
Oh really nice. Let me congratulate you on becoming grand daddy then  :cheer: It is probably one the best feelings adult person can experience.

When your children become mature parents, then you know you succeed in one of the most important goals in life :)

About devils game.

I would lie If I would say I am not really flattered they put me in category with Bayes and Superman, but it seems I am keeping up to make some earnings without pushing my hot buttons. At least for now  ;)

Feeling is even better when free money is invested. Casinos money. And in my world, 60$ as I have now, is my 3-4 months pocket money worth. (So you bet progressions must be "mild" anyway LOL)

I got 50$ which I intended to deposit and take the bonus. And I was thinking to play it slowly but surely, as I am not in a rush anyhow to withdraw, so I would wager it eventually (or been busted lol). I had double chance for free actually, as If something unpredictable would happen I would stop at -50$.

In my testings I have never experienced DD higher then 300 units so 1000 chips was a fair deal to try twice in worst case.

My casino account was in € currency and I asked customer support can I change currency in $ to get more chips as planned. As € is higher value currency then $.

They said that is not a problem and that can be arranged as long 0.00 is at balance. So I transferred money to moneybookers and downloaded the casino. I contacted customer support about changing currency. That took 10-15 minutes and they said they have to create me a new account and I got new username and password.

Even before operater gave me my new account details over chat, I got email hit in my mailbox, as I get almost instantly notifications in mozilla when I get some e-mail in one of my electronic post boxes.

That was Joyland casino sending me new username and password and on my surprise 25$ free no deposit welcome bonus was attached with new account. Surprise was as I actually wasn't new player there... I don't know is that mistake or what but I asked operater to confirm can I withdraw that money ATM. Positive answer slapped.

Actually they are very generous about bonuses. If you are their player and playing through some time, they give you free bonus now and then. Even when you are winning actually...  :nod: Very nice of them.

(huh did this sounded like I am advertising their casino?  :scared: )

I said to myself to hell all, lets try with this. It is not 1000 chips but you didn't dropped much more then this in worst case. You have a chance and there is much less pressure as it is free money.

So I started, and now I am where I am. Every session is for itself and every enter in the casino is new fight. I  put lot of efforts into training and skills for the fight. I am very well armored and challenging opponent in the arena now.

So we will see. I still never underestimate this beautiful game and enjoy so much playing it. You wouldn't believe how much. But live tables only. Too bad this can't work in real casino with me there lol RNG maybe one day. But later then sooner.

Best

Drazen







#115
Huh Chrisbis my friend  ???   don't you see the link?  :glasses:

0.10 is my starting bet chip. In that horror sequence I lost only 2 bets, but later I got winnings from ambush ;)

I am now over 59 $

I am using negative progression, mild dough.

Best

Drazen
#116
Quote from: Blood Angel on May 26, 2013, 02:06:10 PM

hi Bayes,

Can you please upload it here or post a link to the thread on the other forum.

Thank you

http://www.rouletteforum.cc/index.php?topic=9623.msg81271#msg81271

Here it is my friend

My best advice is that you shouldn't "chase" anything for too long if start to go bad.

I attached screenshot from my today's sessions. Look yellow marque on the right. Sequence of 28 losses and just 2 wins. This is the hardest as it gets!

Be carefull and good luck  :cheer:

Drazen
#118
Quote from: TwoCatSam on May 26, 2013, 12:05:50 AM
1.  There is no bet selection that is superior to any other bet selection.  That is to say, all selections are the same.
2.  There is no money management procedure that will win.


Well Sam there is no bet selection that is superior then any other in terms that it can win flat bet (unless is based on physics) But I believe  that there is "superior" in terms of lower variance, and that is just enough for us to win in the end, and at that point your second statement becomes valid or true too (or becomes false actually and gets positive meaning lol) . They are closely correlated. Actually Bayes says that even simple DBL (decision before last) results with lower variance then playing one side continuously. So I say too that not all BS are same (at least in terms of drawdown)

You mentioned few days ago something about how people will rush onto something like lion on cabbage. And you were right.. I am more meat fan. I rushed onto it like hungry lion onto antelope and using it for a long time ago actually. I was playing with it, adapting it, twisting it with lot of trial and error experiments until I found point at which I feel safe enough to play for now. In its safer variant I pulled out 7 out of 11 Bayses horror sessions. Incredible but true. That is one of the best progressions I have seen and with some work around it, you could get extra safety glass.

I still never underestimate what could happen and it will take me some time more  to build confidence and practice to higher level. But start was good.  I am now at 56 $.

Best

Drazen

#119
Straight-up / Re: Voodoo Finales
May 24, 2013, 03:13:57 PM
Quote from: Sputnik on May 24, 2013, 11:30:54 AM
Flat In O ... i read about you mention LvF many times and wondering if you have a link to the original topic.
I would really like to read it.

I also see you mention a tweak using LvF with lines at other even money topic.
This made me very interested reading about the original topic.

Many Thanks ...

http://www.rouletteforum.cc/index.php?topic=11887.msg103834#msg103834

http://www.rouletteforum.cc/index.php?topic=12209.msg106511#msg106511

Cheers
#120
Straight-up / Re: Live Wheel Patterns Strategy
May 24, 2013, 02:01:50 PM
Quote from: ignatus on May 24, 2013, 01:56:59 PM

OK, so I studied live wheel patterns, I tried one set of patterns, they didn't work. I studied some more live spins/patterns. Now -- they won't work again :stress:


Sorry mate