All those Jl- challenges last too long for now that even biggest optimists and ignorants of roulette should figure out what is here about 

Quote from: Ralph on February 20, 2013, 12:07:09 PM
We can not have use of anything but the likely

What about very likely? 

@billion loudspeaker

The pic is epic! lol

Cheers

Oh I re-read and saw he said in average.. But without knowing worst possible scenario you don't know anything..

BTW he plays straight, but on how many numbers? One?



Drazen

Is that 21 win in 1000 spins the worst possible scenario?

Do you maybe have L/W sequence of those spins?

Drazen

Quote from: Sputnik on February 12, 2013, 12:47:53 PM

I show it to others, they did jack stuff and continue with roulette systems with out any kind of advantage.
This is why - they don't have time, they don't have the money and they are not fanatics.
Yes that is true, you have to be fanatic taking data for several days with out playing to spot where the cause and effect manifest before you can play for real.

Hello

Can you count me in this too please? Oh I would so like to learn more about BIAS. That is at the moment weakest link in my knowledge but as I know the strongest you can rely on when trying to gather advantage over casino.

I learned a lot from you and I would like to learn this too. Last time when I asked you about BIAS you said you don't want to speak about it... I sincerely hoped this has changed now. At least will  for my case anyway

You know that I have sent you over 20 000 manualy collected spins for each dealer by name from DB separated to CW and CCW. Over 90% of those I collected by myself so it isn't hard to calculate how much time I have spent on that.

So I just laughed when I saw you said you need several days.. lol I was doing it for several months.. This  is baby play for my patience discipline and will...

Speaking of fanatics you can count me in there somewhere I think 

Cheers

Drazen

Good self-control is for me greatest skill any human can develop for himself. I am still young and trying to improve more and more each day.

The problem with any democratic system anywhere is that fools voice and voice of the smartest, most educated man are taken as same value when those voices are raised.

One just must to deal with it.

Here from now on, apparently Victor tryes to solve this problem.Nice 

Regards

Drazen

Quote from: ignatus on February 02, 2013, 01:06:39 PM
Play on table 1 because I had bad luck on table 2! 

   

I create it "on the fly" depending on strength of deviation and what I expect

Cheers

Drazen

Quote from: Ralph on January 26, 2013, 05:31:56 PM
I get some more red now, but not catching up yet. Sometimes it takes the time.

Excatly. This is called Regression to the mean and this is a real phenomenon in random process. It only says that given an extreme event, the following event will be less extreme - the most of the time. The stronger deviation it is, next sequence will be closer to the average, and you are on almost far end of deviation strenght. That's a long way from saying that events are  going to be somehow pulled  back to balance in the short term. In fact the opposite is the case - RATIOS will tend to balance, but not absolute numbers, which is actually diverging as you get more results.


In this case you shouldnt expect that red will catch up soon, but you can be sure that in the next sequence won't be more deviation as this was. You can't expect anything for sure but average distribution, so around 20 for each EC.


Cheers


Drazen

z = (w - np) / √(np(1 - p))

Z= (4-42) / sqrt (0.48(1-0.48))

Z=5.13

Impressive one, I have personaly seen this also.

Beauty of this game!!! 

Too bad you can't avoid this, like with hit and run as some are saying it is possible haha

Cheers

Drazen

Wait, are those two marques one after another or separate sequences of 21 spin???

Everything in roulette recurrs, true. But unfortunately not so ideal as you would like to. don't worry soon you ll spot that also.

Good luck

Drazen

Ignatus why do you think wheel based dozens should and will  "behave" different then carpet ones?

Becasue you played jus few spins and it worked? 

I can tell you one thing. I have seen simulations of few different dozen methods, where first were used carpet and then wheel dozens.
Concerning any, even slightest significant difference in behaving, results were like this yellow fellow tells you...

But I agree with you in one thing for sure: Never give up! (but don't victoriously claim something what isn't true, and tested on no more then 10 spins)


Cheers

Drazen

Philosophy again, no references to fact evident things...

I am sorry I missed to understand how do you mean to prove that? And that your proof will be possible to test I suppose? Not some picture or video or someone else speaking for you?

It is interesting how in your posts you say you show respect, patience, understanding (even love to say so) to random and next second you smash it hardly in the face saying: You are not random anymore, when I did this to you, won't have the variance as you naturaly must have!

It is all about that John. You allegedly manage to avoid that variance in so great, simple and "cheeky" manner which defies all basic laws of this game. Incredible! 

And be sure that when you prove this is possible like you are saying,with the way you are saying I ll make you a statue in the center of my house. And then be sure you will get Nobel prize in mathematics for significant reducing variance in random process.

Great part of your whole philosophy is in some kind od waiting, expecting, bowing heads and breaking egos when you prove your stuff to your "opponents", but almost nothing on obeying real laws in nature that can't be avoided, with the way you are saying.

Cheers

Drazen

The best ones would be with edge like advantage play or any with significantly reduced variance.

Cheers

Drazen