The four step double dozen progression is very effective. It also includes the once in a while perfect combination that kills it. I know. I tried to perfect a most unlikely pattern that could be the only way to kill it.

Consider this too: 1, 4, 13, 40 -- where you win one unit for every step of the progression.  Example 1,2,3,4. BTW it's possible to lose this the very first time you play it. I did.

Quote from: Albalaha on July 24, 2014, 05:14:17 PM
@gizmo,
                Are you referring to regression towards Mean and its strategic use?

No. I'm using the balance of the odds. You have  65% chance of winning each bet. You have a 40% chance of winning two bets. If you win the first bet then you can only lose half of the balancing from the two bets to one method. It takes two wins to equal one loss. I'm betting on the two other dozens or columns to win while the third is sleeping. With flat bets at $500 or $1,000, two wins are enough. The trick is to not start out in a downturn.

TC, download my practice software, make 150 spins, scroll down the charts for dozens and columns, identify the sleeping dozens and the sleeping columns. Identify the context of the current conditions for how long sleepers are occurring. You now have knowledge of the current state of the conditions. Place a bet according to the current conditions when the next sleeper begins to form. One of two things will happen. The conditions will either continue or they won't. You need acquired playing experience to learn how to best deal with changing conditions.

I hope you can see this as an example.

Ten sleeping dozens in a row are common. Playing a game of balance against them, using flat bets, and using a goal of just two wins to establish balance and fulfillment of session results is easier than depending on progressions to prop up wishful thinking.

" This is related to what Gizmotron tries to teach in his posts."

It is impossible for me to not see real opportunities as well as real pitfalls. Even though others can't see them as clear as a bell, I can. Many years ago, it seemed like I was completely on my own. Example my discussions over the years regarding Elegant Patterns. Most people don't get it. That's fine. Try to ignore a sleeping dozen that sleeps for more than 30 spins. I dare the scoffers to test for how often they occur. That number might surprise even the most ardent of my critics. Not taking advantage of them by a player seems to be some kind of disservice to proper gaming style.

Quote from: Albalaha on July 24, 2014, 06:29:56 AM

               Such misconceptions lead a player to think that a positive progression or regression could be a remedy to all gambling uncertainties but in long run playing for a "ride" or "streak" doesn't win by itself. If they could win, casinos would have dried a few hundred years ago.

You are correct that riding win streaks is not enough. In fact you must overcome the impulse of greed. If you stay, because it's not enough, then you will probably play until you lose your already won gains.

Quote from: Albalaha on July 24, 2014, 06:17:24 AM
        Only a clairvoyant having mystical powers can guess what is going to happen in the near future and can claim to win, flat bet. Normal human beings need to either take risk with money management or totally rely upon luck to get a positive variance which can let him win flat.       

You have know idea how close to an advantage this is. I've already shared what that is at this forum. There must be a price. You can find it on your own. Or you can ignore it altogether, perhaps it will remain somewhere in the back of your mind.

Quote from: Rinzler on July 23, 2014, 09:23:29 PM

Gizmotron, what if all this in and out fast doesn't change anything?  A lot of superstitious, albeit correct, players.

There's nothing fast about it. It's carefully chosen times. It's about reading the context of the current state and adapting to the conditions. The actual degree of difficulty has nothing to do with probability. Everything is circumstantial coincidence. I'm just taking advantage of coincidence.

" Winning flat bet, in long run, is absurd and not possible."

Everytime there is a sleeping dozen that sleeps from 15 to 30 spins in a row, and I'm there and see it, then I win big. It only takes getting in to take advantage of it. You must have a good exit strategy to play this way.

No to progressions. I'm suggesting that you have enough bankroll to make up for downturns caused by first bet attempts that tend to swarm for a while. Things will change. You will be able to enter times where your first bets win in swarms. you get to capitalize on all those streaks. Many streaks will pay off the few first bet losses. My favorite is the sleeping dozen. These streaks last from 10 to 30 spins in a row.

Nobody knows when six reds in a row will occur. The same is true for three in a row or ten in a row. The trick is to win the first bet and to ride the rest. You have a 50/50 chance of winning the first EC bet. Trying to ride the wave of a win streak is the idea. Each first try loss is a signal that your starting bets might be in a phase of all bad starts. This happens sometimes. You must play a game of money management that allows for streaks of bad starts. If you can out live the bad streaks then you can ride enough win streaks to finish in the positive.

Let's face it: "Those who can, do; those who can't, teach."

You just don't get it. The flat earth experts of their time proclaimed their truth. It took others to show them the real facts. I expect a few of you to prove me right. I know it will happen. What I do is so simple that those that seek a complicated expertise will be astonished at what they overlooked. I have every enjoyment in watching this phase of forum discussions.

Thank you XXVV.

I shared my previous secrets  to watch critic's disbelief  and others to think about it.  The key to me is that I already know what works. I'm totally fascinated by those that can't see it.

Quote from: Sputnik on June 22, 2014, 02:01:15 PM
Yes you can guess but you can not out guess 50/50 - if you claim you can do - then you lie and no need to feel sorry for me :-)

I guess you have told me. So what exactly do you expect to get from these gambling forums? ... please don't let it be that you are here to help poor us. Someone will need to open up a spandex shop.