*Its great to see the forum back up and running.

Thanks AsymBacGuy

"...Important shoe production considerations are coming soon.

No fake randomness can beat us..."

I look forward to your future posts on this topic. Your posts are always a great read.



Continued Success To All,

The link to the whole article is at the very bottom of this post. Much of the article is mostly "elementary-level" info and suggestions. However, a couple of interesting suggestions on betting systems down about 2/3rds of the article. Though I don't wager in this manner/I'm not an advocate for any type of hedging. I still found it interesting.

Any of u play a similar approach to suggestions in the article?
Any thoughts or comments? Yea or nay??
Thanks in advance,
---------------------------------------------------------------

How to Win at Baccarat: The James Bond Strategy

This fixed betting system, inspired by Ian Fleming's character, involves covering multiple outcomes:

Place 70% of your total bet on the Banker
Place 25% on the Player
Place 5% on the Tie
For example, with a $100 total bet:

$70 on Banker
$25 on Player
$5 on Tie
This approach guarantees a win if Tie hits (typical profit of $35 with 8:1 payout) and a small win if Banker wins (profit of approximately $40 – $25 – $5 = $10). You lose only when Player wins ($70 loss offset by $25 win = $45 net loss).

The system offers frequent small wins but doesn't overcome the house edge in the long run.
__________________________________________________________________________________

Exploring the 3-2 System
This straightforward approach focuses on diversification:

Bet 3 units on the Banker
Bet 2 units on the Player
Skip the Tie bet entirely
For example, with a $50 betting round:

$30 on Banker
$20 on Player
Outcomes:

Banker wins: Profit $30 – 5% commission – $20 = $8.50
Player wins: Profit $20 – $30 = -$10
Tie: Both bets push, no gain or loss
This system produces a small profit more than half the time but still has a negative expectation over time.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

https://www.casino.org/blog/how-to-win-at-baccarat/

Hopefully the consequences for the perps will match the crime/ be rendered expeditiously. Society runs more efficiently when that occurs on a consistent basis.


https://www.casino.org/news/robbers-who-targeted-casino-winners-face-life/

This is an interesting list if one likes the luxury treatment. Link at the bottom.

*Probably the nicest I recall is Bellagio in L.Vegas. I was with a group that included two high rollers and the other four of us in the group were avg. So the casino treated our whole group with extra niceties. 

It was a couple levels above my typical room. Though not a penthouse suite or multiple bedrooms suite,..etc.


Another time I was in Tunica and the lady checking me in asked: Would you like an upgrade to a Penthouse luxury suite? Me: Yes that would be OK.  .

 I wasn't a high roller and hadn't given them much action that year. However, I thought it was a classy move (& smart business) on her part. It was during the week. I'm sure they had several luxury rms that were going to be empty anyway.
 

https://www.888casino.com/blog/worlds-poshest-casinos


Continued Success,

Along the same topic of regulating gambling and gamblers. I recently read a good article titled:

A Modest Proposal: Let's Regulate Shopping Like We Do Sports Betting

Link below:

https://www.casinoreports.com/shopping-gambling-media-coverage/

"...There are enough warnings up in all casinos about 'over' gambling and self banning options, etc...."

I concur. Everytime I enter a casino I typically see a placard or sign near the entrance showing: ("Problem Gambling" call 1800-xxx-xxxx)

I always think about suggesting to the casino: They would get a larger number of callers by offering incentives. For example: The 8th caller wins a $10 Free Bet. Maybe the 15th caller gets an entry into a sweepstakes, $10 Freeplay....etc.

 

Of course Im being a little facetious.
However, IMO a casino acting like their goal is to help patrons with a gambling problem is similar to:
A) A bar offering patrons a program to quit drinking,
B)A tobacco co. trying to keep youngsters from trying tobacco,
C)A restaurant fat shaming customers and telling them Sir you need to order smaller portions without desserts and no alcohol,...etc.


Cheers,

"...Over 100 triple zero tables!!!!..."

I agree that number was surprising.
I've only seen one (000) in the Midwest. Although I don't really look around at all my casinos. 

I was recently at a casino and wanted to play my freeplay(That required playing FP in a slot machiner or ETG). I found an ETG roulette. After two spins I then realized it was a (0,00) layout. I simply cashed out and took the residual$ to an ETG Craps stadium-type game.

I still see several single 0(i.e., Euro) games on ETG setups. I perceive the majority of dealer (000) games are in vegas.


Cheers,

Where to Play Single Zero Roulette in Las Vegas.

I found this factoid concerning: "..It may seem like triple zero roulette has taken over Las Vegas. There are almost 100 triple zero tables in the market these days and over 200 double zero ones...."


More ways to win, 


The following was Written by John Mehaffey on Vegas Advantage.

https://vegasadvantage.com/single-zero-roulette/

I concur with the courts on this one. Any thoughts or opinions??

From the link below:

"...Court upholds that MGM Resorts isn't legally obligated to prevent compulsive gamblers from betting

Plaintiff Sam Antar lost nearly $25 million on MGM platforms

Lawsuit claimed MGM violated the Consumer Fraud Act by offering bonuses despite his addiction

A New Jersey federal appeals court has upheld a lower court ruling that MGM Resorts – and US casino operators in general – have no duty of care toward compulsive gamblers...."



https://www.casino.org/news/mgm-no-duty-of-care-towards-man-who-gambled-25m-court-affirms/

Thx Asym for your reply in post #1295 above.




Cheers,

Hi AsymBacGuy.

re: "...Overall we could accept the idea that asym=sym, yet we should be more interested about how many sym events will shift into asym events or vice versa and, more importantly, at which level of asymmetry or symmetry. Per every shoe played.  ..."

Qs: Lets say you have tracked intra-shoe streams of info and concluded the next "spot" is a + bet. So you have concluded the current Sym patterns will change to Asym.
     So my Q is do you give more credibility to a "spot" if that very next potentially winning spot would be in row one (per tote board layout)  vs lets say that spot would be at say row four or six, eight, or whatever Non-One row,..etc. ??

Thx as always,

Thx Vic for the links. You are correct as they are great reads.

*I like the RouletteIdeas site. Very crisp/clean format with an abundance of wise words from veteran gamers.

Cheers,kfb

It is my opinion FREEPLAY is very important to most players. Although I do not play to get free play or more free play. However, in recent years I do pay attention to free play and that may sway my decision about playing at a particular property vs another(less free play) property. All other variables being equal. I never play any more or less(wager size or play longer) as a function of free play. So if two casinos require a 50mile drive in opposite directions and one offers $200 and the other $100, then Im likely to visit $200Casino. If Bac tables are the same,...etc.

E.G., I'm currently on a multi-day gaming trip. On the first day I had the following FreePlay amounts at three casinos shown with my net conversion: $100--163, 100--100, 60--99. Historically, I have always played the same wager size and buyin at each of these properties.
These amounts may seem miniscule. However, the EV is obviously very high on free play/
FP should be optimized as a part of any serious gamers' arsenal. Although one shouldnt play above their budget just for FP, IMO.

*I once received a $500 free play(and the casino allowed one to take back the free play voucher on a win). My point of view is that I would prefer free play/a free room over all other incentives such as food offers, giftshop, upgraded room, special dinner/drawings, limo rides, chocolate/fruit basket in the room..etc.


An excerpt from the article:
"...The study doesn't necessarily label free-play as categorically bad or ineffective, Lucas said, it just shows that casinos are not doing a very good job of measuring it...."


https://vegasinc.lasvegassun.com/news/2024/aug/05/are-free-play-offers-a-waste-of-money-for-casinos/


Continued Winning To All,

Thx Bally6354 for you comments/ I agree.

"... When you reflect on things looking back, it's clear to see now that Gizmo was well ahead of the curve in relation to where a lot of other guys were at and what's impressive about that is that it was all mostly self taught as well. ..."

Several times in gizmos' commentary through the years he made generic type references that I didn't understand clearly. Do you or anybody else have thoughts on this.

Q: What did gizmo mean or what was he referencing when he stated generic phrases such as "the elegant pattern" or "its been happening since 2006",..etc.


Thx in advance,

edit

ACV= Average Card Value


thx,kfb