I agree 8OR9 and Asym.

As an addendum thought. I'm always amazed at people that will attend the casinos "FREE" class to learn how to play certain table game (i.e. Bac, BJ, Craps,..etc). Its funny the casino will often offer these free classes on a Tuesday(slow day) to also benefit from getting more patrons.

My second amazement is that a gamer would show up at a casino with money to "learn" how to play a game against their nemesis(casino) and taught by said nemesis.


Continued Success,

"Nobody has ever bet enough on a winning horse." – Anonymous

I've probably spent >40,000 minutes studying Bac(And Still Learning).


https://www.caesars.com/casino-gaming-blog/latest-posts/table-games/baccarat/how-to-play-baccarat?awc=21867_1695478186_0eb33a61d4dcc39c0d1c7ad208ad5a23&sn=1&utm_source=awin&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_campaign=AFF_show&utm_term=407399-Wildfire+Systems%2C+Inc.

Two Vegas casinos fell victim to cyberattacks

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/two-vegas-casinos-fell-victim-to-cyberattacks-shattering-the-image-of-impenetrable-casino-security/ar-AA1gNhsO

Hi Asym. I hope all is well.

In your post above #887:

"...At a given binomial succession, one of the simpler ways to ascertain randomness is to register the number of "runs", that is how many times a given side will shift to the opposite one...."

I like that statement. I also like to think of it as Distance-Between-Runs. I also like to view other outcomes as "Distance Between". For example, "Distance-Between-Sevens", et al #s. Even if this (Distance Between) concept doesn't always tell us exactly when an exact event is more probable it may still tell us if this shoe (thus far) is acting normally (random) or an outlier (significantly NOT random).

I find the outlier shoe more difficult to consistently prosper from because one MUST be in sync with the outcomes, or one digs a hole. A reason I'm also against wagering a static bet at a predetermined specific spot. If incorrect we can't climb out of the hole or must spend several shoes climbing out. I call these shoes erratic and will sometimes cease wagering or wait on next shoe if I'm not in sync early. 





Continued Success,

Hi AsymBacGuy--I've enjoyed reading your algorithm posts.

"...Good news is that when both algorithms are in action, in the vast majority of the times the positive clustering effect of one al. will overwhelm the other performing bad and not by a kind of 'opposite' way of considering things...."

    Are you applying your algos in real time at a live table?
It also seems your methodology would be a good match for the Stadium Bac live dealer games.I've observed players entering ongoing data into an online app via iphone in real time.


"...Therefore whereas there's a point to bet toward a positive streak as the main goal is always oriented to achieve a homogeneous winning streak per shoe, ...

    I like the above/ much of my game lives/dies on early detection of said streaks.


...there are no reasons to 'limit' a negative occurence of any kind...."

    QQQQ--Please elaborate on this last part.



Thx as always,kfb

In alrelax post above:

"...No matter what he wins or loses, he cannot paint a picture with a decent relevant game plan that can bring him back around.  If we went tomorrow and he won $100K + he would give it all back..."

Much of what successful gamblers do to win more than they lose is very similar to the same personal attributes that makes one successful occupationally (Owning a business, investing,.etc). It does not matter as the same discipline, patience, observation, and willingness to exploit are all correlated.

Often it is how one handles the "bad" days that suggest how one handles the really great days. If a small business owner understands that certain months or quarters are slow, they may decide to cancel that expensive vacation or new car purchase, simply so they can pay employees and bills,...etc.

On really good days when a certain product lets say is really selling and maximizes profits what does a business owner do?? They buy more of that product and sellsellsell until the sales slow down.

Gambling success is much the same. If we want to be available(have the funds) on the great exploitive days, we must endure the really bad days. In other words do not go on tilt on the really bad days.

*A couple days ago across multiple shoes  and at one stage was down (-2400 Net), never positive, and recovered to (-500 or so) Net for the day. My hit rate wasn't really that bad and I never busted an individual buyin. However, I simply couldn't get that one extra win-in-a-row. Several bets if I had won that next wager then the above would have been reversed and I would have been Net+ maybe 1200---3600 or so. No big deal as the next morning I started my day the same way(just like a day trader, small business owner, doctor, mechanic,...etc).

Its my opinion our winning more than we lose (Net Longterm) has more to do with ones mindset, discipline, and patience. Versus some wizzardly bet placement or mechanical betting style.

Personally, I am prouder of myself on bad days when I do not buyin again in that same very awful, really bad shoe, then on shoes or days that are really easy. Everybody handles the really easy days well.

As in life everything is cyclical. Don't dwell on the bad days. However, and more importantly, be willing to accept and exploit the really good days. We shall see both.






Continued Success,

"The most difficult subjects can be explained to the most slow-witted man if he has not formed any idea of them already; but the simplest thing cannot be made clear to the most intelligent man if he is firmly persuaded that he knows already, without a shadow of doubt, what is laid before him."
                                                              ---Leo Tolstoy, 1897

Hi AsymBacGuy

Thanks for your many fine posts.
re:post#871 above:

"...Algorithm action


The algorithm is set up by two levels:

a) a mechanical classification about the probability of getting this or that by math features applied to a coin flip proposition;

b) an evaluation of the above results by statistical standards more or less deviating from an 'average' card distribution so enticing or not the betting.
I've utilized the word 'evaluation' (a topic already touched in a previous post), as the actual action must be calibrated upon the goal the players aim for: there are people who wants to play a quite number of hands (I hope mainly for comp reasons) and there are players who want to be right at very selected situations by wagering huge sums...."

To help clarify my understanding:

Can you give an example of how many units is in your buyin?

Do you exhaust all of buyin within one single shoe?

Do you make a predetermined number of attempts within a shoe and then stop?

Do you make a predetermined number of Wins > than Losses and then stop?

Do you make "paper" bets until you see "Not a win", then commence your wagering--In other words wait and then expect a slight RTM?

If you miss a few do you start a slight neg progression to recoup a "less-than-desirable" hit rate?

Thx in advance

Thx Asym for recommendation on Billy Walters book.
I purchased tonight.


Cheers,

Hi AD
That would be a great motorcycle trek from your end of the country. Also nearby (approx 1 hour from Winstar) is the worlds "3rd or 4th largest casino" @ (Choctaw tribe) in Durant, OK (19miles from Texas state line) and approx 55miles from the Winstar.

Hi 8OR9
Yes live-dealer Bac tables at Winstar.
They may also have some electronic Bac with RNG though I've never seen them.


Cheers,

Hi VLS/Thx for reply.

"...You only need to register if you wish to participate (post) or subscribe to the FULL software...."

 RouletteIdeas.com is a very nice site. However, I'm a novice roulette player (only dabbled some in past couple years), so my posts probably wouldn't help most of your members over there. It seems like you have many expert/veteran members.

I like Albalahas latest method posted above: 4 straight up numbers betting.

I perceive four individual numbers has merit.

His selection method is creative/intriguing.



More later,

I had never heard of this crypto (Nano--XNO) until now.

I've researched some recently and perceive it could actually have some intrinsic value and purpose. Unlike most cryptos.

I like several of its attributes.

What Is Nano (XNO)?
Billed as "digital money for the modern world," nano is a lightweight cryptocurrency that is designed to facilitate secure, practically instant payments, without fees, and addresses some of the major limitations of both legacy financial infrastructure, and many modern cryptocurrencies.

Who Are the Founders of Nano?
Nano was founded by Colin LeMahieu, a heavily experienced software developer and engineer with a wealth of experience working for prominent tech companies, including Dell, AMD and Qualcomm.

Self-described as an inventor, LeMahieu has interests that range from space technology to physics and environmental sustainability, and is a well-known name in the digital currency space.

What Makes Nano Unique?
As we previously touched on, nano is designed to be fast. So fast, in fact, that most nano transactions reach absolute finality within less than a second — compared to several minutes or even longer for many other major cryptocurrencies.

This speed makes nano suitable for commercial payments, since merchants and retailers no longer need to worry about transaction delays when accepting payments.

Moreover, nano transactions are completely fee-less. Since representatives do not receive financial compensation for their efforts to secure the network, there is no need for a transaction fee. This makes nano an ideal solution for processing micro-transactions, since users no longer need to worry about fronting a potentially expensive transaction fee when making small payments.

These features are enabled by its unique architecture. Unlike many cryptocurrencies which are built on top of a distributed ledger known as a blockchain, Nano is instead built around a similar ledger technology called a directed acyclic graph (DAG).

This structure is highly reliable, and it can scale to support 1,000 transactions per second (tps) with the right hardware — without requiring an energy-intensive mining network to maintain its integrity, positioning nano as an eco-friendly digital payment option.

Where Can You Buy Nano (XNO)?
Since nano cannot be mined, the most popular way to get your hands on some is by purchasing it from one of the more than 50 exchange platforms that support it. Binance, OKEx and Huobi Global are currently among the most popular exchanges for Nano to crypto trading pairs, whereas it can also be bought with fiat on Kraken and Binance.US.




More later,

Asym above in post#863:

"...Get rid of your gambling attitude before thinking to play baccarat successfully

Whereas at poker an educated gambling attitude may transform a good player into a great player, at baccarat gambling must be completely tossed through the toilet with no exceptions...."



I agree 100% and along the same line of thinking.

IMO many players play with a very faulty gambling attitude. They play mostly to lose less.
An elder Bac mentor once stated it to me like this.

One should play to control losses and capitalize fully on wins. The common problem is that many feel the necessity to choose one or the other at the expense of the end goal. "To Win".

The majority of the ones who choose only one facet end up choosing simply to "play to lose less".
Thus, they end up losing by playing the WRONG game.



Continued Success,

Hi Albalaha

I like the idea of selecting only the top 20 or so cryptos if one is investing long term.

I track five of the more commonly accepted cryptos/ currently own a very small stake in BTC,ETH, and Doge. Though I plan on purchasing more BTC when it hits 14k.

Mainly because the following five cryptos are accepted by many precious metals dealers that I  do business.
I like to utilize crypto after it pops >=7% and then I buy precious metals, which obviously has a historically much higher intrinsic value and much less volatility.

The precious metal dealers (or any business) don't care how one makes a transaction as they instantaneously convert to U.S. Dollars. Generally, the best discount is to pay with an echeck, ACH, or Cashier's Check. As obviously they don't want to pay the banking fees/ clearing house fees from Visa and others. One of the main reasons I perceive cryptos and blockchain technology will never completely go away. Just an opinion.

Generally, when I use crypto it will be roughly 1.5% higher vs the three options above (Thus the desire for a pop up in the volatility of crypto). My best purchase was after a 13% crypto increase. That day it had actually popped up 16% but I couldn't get a buy in quick enough.

Five most commonly accepted: Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Dogecoin (DOGE), Litecoin (LTC), and Shiba Inu (SHIB). Other than the first three I don't perceive any others having but only the slightest intrinsic value as an investment. However, they can be used for other purposes, IMO.

Most also accept the following five USD-pegged stablecoins (GUSD, USDC, USDP, DAI, and BUSD) and Circle Euro Coin (EUROC) a stablecoin backed by the Euro.


Another reason to only invest in the top 10-20 or so cryptos:

How many cryptocurrencies are there? In short, there were over 9,000 as of 2023, although there were many more digital coins in the early months of 2022. Note, however, that a large portion of cryptocurrencies might not be that significant. There are other estimates of roughly 20,000 cryptocurrencies being in existence, but most of these are either inactive or discontinued. Due to how open the creation process of a cryptocurrency is, it is relatively easy to make one. Indeed, the top 20 cryptocurrencies make up nearly 90 percent of the total market.

Per the following link:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/863917/number-crypto-coins-tokens/



Continued Success,