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Messages - KungFuBac

#421
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
July 22, 2021, 02:44:32 PM
Hi AsymBacGuy

Good essay/thx.

Can u please expand on these sentences a little more as Im not 100% clear? Thx in advance.

"...We've already seen that transforming a 'random' BP succession into 'derived' sequences will get itlr different "general" patterns depending upon which pace of BP results we've decided to take as a trigger.

Naturally and as Alrealx pointed out several times here, a 'more likely attitude' is acting just when it seems to act at the actual shoe we're playing at. ..."



Continued Success,
#422
Roulette Forum / Re: Florida Roulette
July 18, 2021, 04:38:39 AM
Thx 8or9

I like venetian, and have plans to visit  SandsBethlehem(winds) a few times later in the year. If I remember correctly it was one of the Connecticut cas u mention (or maybe Rhode Island) casinos that Scientific Games made their debut with Stadium type games.
I think SG is ahead of its competition with the multi-game portals allowing players to wager on several games. I like the ability to view live dealers.


Continued Success,
#423
Roulette Forum / Re: Florida Roulette
July 16, 2021, 02:49:12 PM
Hi ADulay

"...Roulette has finally arrived at my closest casino here in SW Florida..."

Congrats as this was long overdue. Florida seems like a perfect environment for an expansion in gaming.
Is Florida doing compacts with each indian tribe/ collecting a predetermined %? Will cas charge players an "Ante" ?

I have been watching the Florida process for several years and have several gaming friends/relatives in Fort Lauderdale-Miami areas. The Florida process is very similar to what happened in Oklahoma,USA. They passed legislation in 2018 (HB3375 that allows Dice and Balls) instead of cards for Roulette, Craps, et al. So their approx 135 casinos allow many of us from Missouri, Ar, Ks, Tx,....etc border states to travel a few miles into Indian Country for gaming. No more traveling to Tunica, Kansas City, LV,...etc. Fantastic for daily players.

The main benefit for me personally/ from a Bac perspective is that many casinos that only had 0,1, or 2 Bac tables have now added an additional table, or their first Bac table. Same for Roulette though I would guess most already offered Roulettte due to its popularity.  Im optimistic Florida cas will experience the same increase in tables. Although many OK still don't  offer Bac. Most do offer at least one type of Roulette and many offer two or three variations of Roul(e.g., Live/e-games by Interbloc, Evolution,..etc). 

"...'ll be glad when some type of stadium baccarat comes to my local casino, but I'm thinking that won't be for some time way off in the future..."


    I agree and as 80r9 mentioned I see many gaming jurisdictions moving in that direction(For the reasons 80r9 mentions/unforunately with the side effects too).

I've found it difficult to learn which casinos offer Stadium Bac(besides driving to each one), as most casinos don't show it on their website/ inquiries by phone arent successful. I've even sent numerous emails to the developer of Stadium games requesting a list of cas offering their Stadium Bac/ no reply.

Continued Success,

#424
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
July 14, 2021, 06:04:25 PM
Good post AsymBacGuy

"...I'm implying that it'll be way more likely to get ridiculous low sd values after a given expected event hadn't come out one or two times than to steadily wager toward positive situations.  ..."


Continued Success,
#425
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
July 05, 2021, 03:14:56 AM
Thx AsymBacGuy

I appreciate the explanations/example.

I like your #two sentence:

"...#2: math values work only at real random propositions, yet we can assume that such randomness doesn't affect most part of live shoes dealt. ..."


Continued Success,
#426
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
June 29, 2021, 04:37:25 AM
Hi AsymBacGuy

Thx for replies/comments.

"...
the fact that B>P should be considered as an irrelevant factor as AB streaks are way more detectable than BP streaks.

- the probability to get a given AB pattern is at least 1.5 times higher than the BP probability to get the same pattern, .."



Can u give an example as I am not following your logic in the statement above. Is there an example for how this could actually be applied in real time within a shoe. Thx in advance for clarification,kfb
#427
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
June 28, 2021, 02:41:48 PM
Thx for replies AsymBacGuy and Alrelax.




continued success,

#428
Hi Alb

"...I have started my initial tests and it looks promising but whether it would end the uncertainty is a matter yet to be evaluated. I m pretty excited with my preliminary tests. Wish me luck.   ... "

Are you looking at doing this in Roulette or any EC game/wager? Any additional updates on your progress?
Best of luck to u. kfb
#429
Hi PatternAnalys

re: Your post above.

"...IMAGINE this,

Tom and Harry,
play as a TEAM,
(and using Albalaha's hg mm method).

Tom will bet
"Player",
and Harry will bet "Banker"...

both bet with same X units capital.

When
"within expectation hit ", as always,
both will win around some % of X " ,
and when
the EXPECTED unexpected
"harsh extreme ",
hit...

say BANKER,
hit only 30/100,

then Harry will lose all the X,
but Tom,
will hit jackpot,
but when "factoring in",
Harry's HUGE losses, resulting in minimal losses,
that will easily, neutralised,
with next one or two round of bet...

What you think?
   ..."



My earlier comment:  "...Alot of creative ideas in  your post above.

Ill have to think on it as i may have a couple Q   ..."




     If Im understanding your idea my thinking is that (although it would indeed restrict the -effects of Variance on our buyin ), it would also restrict our potential to win (when we are in sync with the results). All the while exposing double(both players' wagers), to the H.E., with only 50% of the possible potential.

     *I play almost daily with a couple older gentleman that play something similar to what you mention. One day per week(typically Fri), they will spend the whole day going to several dif casinos to play their free play, food vouchers, match play,submit entries for weekend drawings, ....etc as they don't play weekends/ so they either use them or lose them. So their main objective is to get rated higher for comps with less $ at risk, while accomplishing the above.

Somewhat similar to what u mention above (at a $50min cas), they each start out with $50 each as opposing sides' wagers(p/b). Depending on which wins, one then wagers $55/the other player always stays at $50. They do a very diluted /slow neg pro in $5 increments.
Their main objective is to get higher comps at the $50+ level while only risking approx $5(2.50 each) or slightly more if they have to extend the negpro, and they attempt to make a few +dollars Net between them.
Though it wouldn't be my "cup-o-tea"  as it would be like watching paint dry. However, it does indeed appear to satisfy their objective.

Maybe there are other ways of viewing it that I haven't considered.


Thx again for posting/continued success,

#430
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
June 23, 2021, 06:22:24 PM
Thx Alrelax--good points.






Continued Success,
#431
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
June 23, 2021, 06:09:07 AM
Thx AsymBacGuy--good thread/ post.

Your sentence:
"... An average card distribution will more likely produce clustering win situations. The more we are considering winning clusters by strict parameters, higher will be the probability to win.  ..."

Can you clarify the phrase in bold? or give an example. thx



Continued Success,
#432
Hi XXVV
Hope you are doing well. Any thing eventful for you lately?

As an addendum to albalahas post/inquiry above. 

After reading alot of your post a few months back I then went to many of the utube links you provided. I found both informative/THX.

I recall you mentioned in Fall 20' you were optimistic on an upcoming IPO but couldnt give us the ticker until it went public. Has that public offering indeed happened?

After reading your articles on crypto I started a daily monitoring on the following:

RIOT
LTC
DGB
BTC
ETH

I am still monitoring/have not purchased any of the above.


Q1

Re: Crypto markets. Do you have an opinion on what effect (if any) the money put into this asset class will affect the precious metals markets??? The physical as well as paper investments?

Q2
In recent months I seem to all of sudden be bombarded with emails from Paypal pushing PP account holders to purchase crypto via their PP account and hold in their accounts(with many restrictions).
     Any knowledge on this /personal opinions or thoughts??


Thx in advance.



Continued Success,
#433
General Discussion / Re: Happy Father's Day
June 21, 2021, 04:28:42 AM
Thank you sir.

A Happy Fathers Day to u too.
#434
Hi PatternAnalys

Thx for post.

Alot of creative ideas in  your post above.

Ill have to think on it as i may have a couple Q.



Continued Success,
#435
Hi alb
Thx for responses

I agree it(pospro) may not win to infinity trials.

"...It doesn't win average shoes as well. It needs better than average times to win..."


     It depends. If one only wagers on part of the shoe then an average shoe may (or may not) be reflective of the part that received wagers.


I also like that no casino rules that require us to play 100% of our wins back through the casino.

They do not ask us to gamble at all. We do that and lose our money too apart from any coincidental win that we got from casino. This is true for 99% gamblers. We lose money in the endeavour of winning more and not for any guilt of winning money from casino.
[/i]

     I don't know what you mean.



negative progressions if used cautiously could surpass over 10 millions spins test on roulette while I did it with Ophis.   

     that's impressive--Im guessing it was a same-side wager(e.g., black or red?)

         I did this 8 years back with one of the finest programmers on any forum, Ophis. We surpassed all data that we could put our hands over. Over 10 millions spins of roulette were beaten, mercilessly. We bet all sorts of bets from EC to single number. It was a controlled negative progressions, kind of brute force attack on all bets possible in roulette. You can feel it here:
https://betselection.cc/index.php?topic=808.0


      Thx for link as I read the first page or so today. Interesting sim. Good study by u/ophis. However, Im not sure how much is applicable to a real cas live table. It seems if it performed that well with roulette there are several other games I would hypothesize we would see superior results.  Just my quick thoughts as I have very minimal experience  w roulette so maybe it(roult) has some underlying traits within its overall  profile that lend itself to this type of wagering. Even with my lack of roulette gaming experience I would still hypothesize Bac p/b as well as Craps line wagers(e.g., Pl / dp), would perform better, all other variables being the same(due to a variety of reasons).
Good info and kudos to u/ ophis.


*Side Note: I have only played one shoe in my lifetime across thousands of shoes that neither P or B showed 3 in a row same-side wins(ppp or bbb). That particular shoe only had one 3-consec chop(near the end).


Well, probability to get a ppp or bbb is 1/8 roughly so in 72 hands of a shoe, one should get it 9 times averagely. You said you saw only one shoe of such kind where no PPP or BBB occurred, well it is actually rare and remote to happen frequently but if you get one or two such wins in a shoe, it should not be enough to get you a net profit.[/size]
[/i]

       Exactly



Continued Success,