Thx AsymBacGuy for answering my question.

You have many excellent thoughts.


"...Thus we must set up the 'limiting values of relative frequency' of certain outcomes capable to get results more balanced or, even better, more oriented to get a back to back situation.

In a word, setting up multiple random walks more likely to form low variance lines.
..."


Continued Success,

Hi alrelax

Good thoughts/I agree 100%.

"...The mistake made is you see what you desire turning off factual based or biased available opportunities to Hope and Greed, because your mind immediately turns to:

1)  Making previous losses back;

2)  Losing sight of what is possible and focusing on unrealistic win amounts.

It is a vicious and a mean cycle that the majority of players do not understand. Once you understand it, you will add so much of an advantage that your game will change if you are strong enough to play when only within the Bias and knowing when you are outside of it while you are at the table. ..."

IMO #1 above is the biggest culprit for many players.

re: Bias and the sentence in bold--I concur, although I do see many players actually pick up on A bias. However, its easy for us to fall into the trap of  just continuing to look for the "same exact bias" thereafter in the remainder of the shoe. Im still guilty of that sometimes.
I also think there are (good, better, best) types of bias. This is an area I sometimes look back in hindsight and think "how did I miss that". Typically its because I was focused on the current bias(which was good or better (with blinders on) and miss what was the much larger /more pronounced best bias happening around or within my current bias.

e.g., Last week I was wagering deep/heavy +progression into a (pppp b ppp b pp b p) string and although I was happy to catch 6-7 wins in a row, make > buyin,..etc. What I had failed to see was the actual much larger bias which was that b singles had started prior to the current bias I had spotted. B1 and had actually produced 11 consec B singles where all I would have been required to do was: See a B1 bet a P ,...etc.




Continued Success To All,

Hi Albalaha

"...I have created a few money management that can survive even 5 SD below mean without seeking thousands of chips and win thereafter in average times, without seeking clumping wins...."   


I have created a few money management that can survive even 5 SD below mean
     I believe you as I know u have been working diligently on this or related project for many years.Congrats.


that can survive even 5 SD below mean without seeking thousands of chips and win thereafter in average times, without seeking clumping wins...."  

     Q1: Does your method win proportionally more for surviving additional SDs of - Variance? e.g., Would your net earnings for surviving a -5SD shoe vs a -3SD shoe be 5:3 ?  or other ratio?   

     Q2: Another way of viewing it since you do a negpro: Im obviously guessing one needs a proportionality of more chips to survive a -5SD shoe vs lets say a -3SD shoe (e.g., Chips needed for -5sd=50 and chips needed for -3sd=30,...etc or whatever ___________) ?
     So my question: Is this(#chips required) somewhat proportional and a f(x) of the number of -SD one chooses to survive. If yes give an example.



Thx/continued success.

Hi CameronGraham

I like the way you think.

"... Few people understand that it is better to try different slots where you will have bonuses than to use one bonus at your favorite casino and no longer have this advantage in the future. In such a big competition, there are enough good alternatives.   ..."


Continued Success,

Thx AsymBacGuy
Youre doing a great job detailing the CR. I appreciate your thorough explanations/then also giving us examples to make your points.


One sentence Im not 100% comprehending  and need a little extra clarification on:

"...In a word the 0/S ratio (0= first 3 and/or consecutive 3s; S=superior gaps) are moving around a strong balanced world (very low sd values), no matter how whimsically are shuffled the cards.   ..."

Can you give an example for the words in BOLD. Thank you.


Continued Success,

Hi AsymBacGuy
Thx for CR examples. 

"...Next time we'll see many other spots getting an astounding probability to appear, no matter how the s.tu.pi.d math experts keep to state. ..."

Looking forward to the next post



Continued Success,

Hi AsymBacGuy
Thx for your elaborate response in reply#369 above. I  agree/especially with the last 3-4 sentences.

"... The perfect plan would be to spot a betting line capable to get 7-10 all W sequences per shoe that must come out by a well higher degree of probability than what math values dictate.
Of course we need to wager two times each spot toward getting a more likely scenario.
And naturally whenever a shoe starts with a negative spot, we can't reach that aim.  ..."


Also , in the paragraph regarding the cockroach road(CR).

"... Summarizing, the cr is the best indicator about how much key cards are concentrated or diluted along any shoe.
Then it's up to us to assess whether a single or a series of  'key' results was/were mathematically shifted to prolong a b or r streak or to cut it off. ..."


I've read much of what u have written re: the CR road.

This is an area my skillset needs to improve.  I agree with much of your writings re: the CR road /its potential for  suggesting certain future events being more(or less) likely.

However, my difficulty is in being able to assign a specific(numerical value) on that perceived  increase(or decrease) probability % to a degree that would affect my decision prior to the very next event. Of course , ex post facto--Im 100% accurate just like everybody else at the table. 
Thx for writing on this topic.




Continued Success,

Hi AsymBacGuy

Good essay/thx.

Can u please expand on these sentences a little more as Im not 100% clear? Thx in advance.

"...We've already seen that transforming a 'random' BP succession into 'derived' sequences will get itlr different "general" patterns depending upon which pace of BP results we've decided to take as a trigger.

Naturally and as Alrealx pointed out several times here, a 'more likely attitude' is acting just when it seems to act at the actual shoe we're playing at. ..."


Continued Success,

Thx 8or9

I like venetian, and have plans to visit  SandsBethlehem(winds) a few times later in the year. If I remember correctly it was one of the Connecticut cas u mention (or maybe Rhode Island) casinos that Scientific Games made their debut with Stadium type games.
I think SG is ahead of its competition with the multi-game portals allowing players to wager on several games. I like the ability to view live dealers.


Continued Success,

Hi ADulay

"...Roulette has finally arrived at my closest casino here in SW Florida..."

Congrats as this was long overdue. Florida seems like a perfect environment for an expansion in gaming.
Is Florida doing compacts with each indian tribe/ collecting a predetermined %? Will cas charge players an "Ante" ?

I have been watching the Florida process for several years and have several gaming friends/relatives in Fort Lauderdale-Miami areas. The Florida process is very similar to what happened in Oklahoma,USA. They passed legislation in 2018 (HB3375 that allows Dice and Balls) instead of cards for Roulette, Craps, et al. So their approx 135 casinos allow many of us from Missouri, Ar, Ks, Tx,....etc border states to travel a few miles into Indian Country for gaming. No more traveling to Tunica, Kansas City, LV,...etc. Fantastic for daily players.

The main benefit for me personally/ from a Bac perspective is that many casinos that only had 0,1, or 2 Bac tables have now added an additional table, or their first Bac table. Same for Roulette though I would guess most already offered Roulettte due to its popularity.  Im optimistic Florida cas will experience the same increase in tables. Although many OK still don't  offer Bac. Most do offer at least one type of Roulette and many offer two or three variations of Roul(e.g., Live/e-games by Interbloc, Evolution,..etc). 

"...'ll be glad when some type of stadium baccarat comes to my local casino, but I'm thinking that won't be for some time way off in the future..."


    I agree and as 80r9 mentioned I see many gaming jurisdictions moving in that direction(For the reasons 80r9 mentions/unforunately with the side effects too).

I've found it difficult to learn which casinos offer Stadium Bac(besides driving to each one), as most casinos don't show it on their website/ inquiries by phone arent successful. I've even sent numerous emails to the developer of Stadium games requesting a list of cas offering their Stadium Bac/ no reply.

Continued Success,

Good post AsymBacGuy

"...I'm implying that it'll be way more likely to get ridiculous low sd values after a given expected event hadn't come out one or two times than to steadily wager toward positive situations.  ..."


Continued Success,

Thx AsymBacGuy

I appreciate the explanations/example.

I like your #two sentence:

"...#2: math values work only at real random propositions, yet we can assume that such randomness doesn't affect most part of live shoes dealt. ..."


Continued Success,

Hi AsymBacGuy

Thx for replies/comments.

"...
the fact that B>P should be considered as an irrelevant factor as AB streaks are way more detectable than BP streaks.

- the probability to get a given AB pattern is at least 1.5 times higher than the BP probability to get the same pattern, .."


Can u give an example as I am not following your logic in the statement above. Is there an example for how this could actually be applied in real time within a shoe. Thx in advance for clarification,kfb

Thx for replies AsymBacGuy and Alrelax.




continued success,

Hi Alb

"...I have started my initial tests and it looks promising but whether it would end the uncertainty is a matter yet to be evaluated. I m pretty excited with my preliminary tests. Wish me luck.   ... "

Are you looking at doing this in Roulette or any EC game/wager? Any additional updates on your progress?
Best of luck to u. kfb