https://cdcgaming.com/six-straight-monthly-declines-on-las-vegas-strip-not-worrying-analysts/

Thx for picks. I like the buff bills to win this one. I do not have a wager(nor researched it).

I am in agreement with eagles pick. Go Eagles as I like phillie QB Jason Hurt in this one(Or as philadelphia mayor Cherrelle Parker would say "Go ELGSES"). As shown here:

https://www.breitbart.com/sports/2025/01/21/watch-philly-mayor-mocked-for-misspelling-eagles-during-chant-before-playoff-game/

Hope everyones' picks cover bigley.

How much would you tip in a similar situation??
Personally I am quite certain I would not tip $50k on a $1.1Mil win.
Thx in advance for your replies.

*I talk with casino personnel on the floor that say they were dealers at one time /switched to the floor(service slots, answer questions, payout jackpots,..etc). There main reason for switching to floor is that Min wage +Tips is significantly greater than what dealers generally make.
What say you???


https://www.casino.org/news/tropicana-atlantic-city-gambler-wins-1-1m-tips-casino-staff-50000/

I like this story/ the potential for other states to follow.

https://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/politics/article_a17e389c-2ddf-11e8-a8b3-e770a0169e30.html

Hi Asym.

Thx for review of this article and your personal rankings. I like an updated review as I mostly play in the Midwest,USA.My fav LV casino for Bac is probably  Bellagio. Even when I stay at other cas I still play at Bellagio some.

Asym:
"This is my list based upon the baccarat average action (number of players) in Vegas casinos (no downtown casinos are considered here).

Good action

- Gold Coast
- Palms
..."


I like Gold Coast. It has been many years since I played at Palms/ have never stayed at their property.


"...Then there are several additional factors to award a "best baccarat tables in Vegas" prize.
Mostly are related to min/max betting limits, HE, general atmosphere, propensity to deal many free hands or dealing a new shoe before the end of it, then average skills and 'composure' of the other players (generally speaking there are more good local players than good tourist players). Etc.

    Yes on free hands. Unfortunately in the Midwest very few casinos will allow free hands. A few allow <=3 per shoe. I try to wait until at least 2-3 players at table. If Im forced to play alone I utilize a 7-series of wagers(aka Gr8 type tiers up/down) that start a few increments above the table minimum(e.g If $25min then start first tier at $35, If $50min I start first tier at $60). Then when I see something I like I then wager my main Base Unit. The 7-series usually takes care of itself(approaches 0 Net), until other players arrive. Then I stop the gr8 series/just make  my main wager.


"...From a strict HE point of view, the best Vegas baccarat casino ever was (or still is, we don't know) the "D" in downtown where Banker winning bets were burdened by a mere 4% vig.
Besides of a short lived experiment made at Sahara casino in the 80s, where there wasn't no commission at all at B winning bets (lol), by far "D" casino offered the best baccarat tables in the history of this game...."

I would love that 4.0% game at D. I think one could get that down to below 3.1 Net. 

"...Besides of a short lived experiment made at Sahara casino in the 80s, where there wasn't no commission at all at B winning bets (lol),...

    They probably still made money near their typical Hold from the majority. Though Im sure a few well-heeled players exploited that situation.



Thanks again for your review/ rankings for the current Bac environment in vegas.


Continued Success,

Good trip report/congrats. I love to hear when fellow bacsters tag the casino for a quick/big W.

Im optimistic you applied a good MM to the W. Therefore, nothing wrong with leaving after an easy victory.



Congrats,

Hi Asym.
My response to your Q is below.

Asym: "...Can you elaborate this passage of yours?

Sometimes(not always) we may win FIRST (due to skill or luck). Then have the option to:Press to our win, regress to our win, set aside that wager for a perceived better entry, press higher,...etc all the while compounding our initial base unit...."

Sometimes(not always) we may win FIRST (due to skill or luck).

    Meaning sometimes we may win first in the cycles of Ws and Ls. Sometimes these Ws streak will happen irrespective of ones skill (or nonskill--luck). It is my belief it is extremely difficult to go very long without a 3IAR(in-a-row) W streak. Especially if one is not wagering for a same-event repeater.

Then have the option to:Press to our win, regress to our win, set aside that wager for a perceived better entry, press higher,

    Meaning when we win first we have several options(Win first is broadly defined but generally means such as: Get ahead greater than ones base unit, get ahead greater than ones currently pressed up pospro wager/ that is greater than ones Mean wager(or base unit) or whatever a person has deemed a reasonable goal for that shoe or session,...etc.
IMO when we get ahead first we have several options not available to the casino. The casino plays like a robot as they can only match our next move. For example if we are doing a posprogression the casino must do a negative progression. Also, vice versa when a negpro player is chasing a losing streak as the casino is matching the negpros' wager with winnings they just received from the losing player. This robotic requirement by the casino is why they like a negpro player. The player is directly challenging a larger bankrolled opponent with less funds(as well as table limits). The casino looks at the negpro player like Mike Tyson did his opponents(i.e., like a tiger circling his cage saying: "bring it on".)
All the while the casino is nicking all players with a 1.06--1.24% H.E. regardless if W or L.

So it is my opinion one will do better financially in the long run by utilizing a pospro that not only can compound out a spinoff% Yield (Not to confused with Return) that is greater than the H.E. Yet also produce a higher Return. However, one cannot backoff once that pressed-up wager is growing exponentially.
If a player can typically win >=3IAR wagers on a reasonable number of base unit buyin(Say 20-35 units). Then it is my belief one should utilize a posprog vs Flatbet/Negpro wagering regimes.

*What I often see at the tables are players that will utilize a pospro until they get back to even. Then chicken out once the pressed-up wager starts really picking up steam(i.e., compounding) which is typically on that >= 3rd,4th,5th IAR win. Sometimes they will even regress or just be thankful to be back to even/ bring it all down.
Yet the same players will automatically and without hesitation chase a losing streak from hell with everything/every $ in front of them. All the while digging in their pocket for a couple more Benjamins for one final bet. It is my thesis we will all (me too) see almost the same streaks regardless of ones bet selection prowess(or lack of). Though an experienced and skilled player will put together streaks with just a very slightly greater length.


Just my opinion and I welcome counter thoughts.


Continued Success To All,

Hi Asym--I just responded to your Q but timed out. I may have to retype as I think my response is lost. More later

Thx ADulay for your response to my inquiry(& reference to post#15 above).

*Do you or have you in the past experienced delays when withdrawing wins?

Thx in advance.


Continued Success,

Thx Asym for your response.

"...What I would think is that, generally speaking, a positive progression will concede to the house those (albeit relatively rare) overalternating WL sequences where any win is not properly balanced by the following loss, meaning that in any case in order to win we need some winning clusters to show up..."

    My advocacy for a posprogression is that we will see the same streaks regardless the amount of our wager(or if we are calling our wager a posprogression, Flat, or negpro).
I think most will agree we often go through a bac shoe with perpetual exchanges of streaks(e.g., WL WWLL LLWW LWLW WWWW LLLL,...ETC). Sometimes(not always) we may win FIRST (due to skill or luck). Then have the option to:Press to our win, regress to our win, set aside that wager for a perceived better entry, press higher,...etc all the while compounding our initial base unit.

As you mention we obviously must get some of our wins in clusters(i.e., winning events in-a-row). Which I think gives us an additional  opportunity vs only the option of winning more bet selections than losing

*I play sessions sometimes where I do not deserve to win(e.g., W=8 and L=11). Yet I may have been fortunate to put 3-4 Wins in-a-row in a posprogression, and still leave the shoe with a net profit.


Continued Success,

Thx ADulay and Albalaha for your responses.

Albalaha above: "..RNG could also be real and random and even a live wheel could be made to cheat...."

I agree.

AD above: "..We never play on ANY of the RNG table games.  Never.

  The few of us who use the online world to play baccarat only use LIVE DEALERS that we can personally verify by testing that we're getting a fair game (as such that it is)...."

    How did you verify u were getting a fair game? Just curious as obviously if they are live dealers you are receiving the same game as we would receive in a B&M cas.


My concern on RNG(i.e., non live-dealer games)  is that "what I read from online players" is that even though the overall results may fall within whatever Standard Deviation one feels is fair. The casino RNG could easily be designed to be reactive and take ones very large wager(s) at the most inopportune time,...etc. Yet still present overall outcomes within statistical expectation.

So Im glad you all are only playing with live dealers.

Fortunately(or unfortunately) I live in an area with well over 100 B&M casinos within a 5min to 180min drive. Fortunately(or unfortunately) my state doesn't allow one to register an *online gambling account. The last couple days I have been snowed in so it would have been convenient to play from home. Maybe it's a good thing as I wouldn't get a lot done around the house if I could also game from home on sat/sun, lol.

*what's crazy about my state not allowing one to register for online gaming: The fact that online Sportsbetting and Horse racing apps are indeed legal.
I don't do either mainly due to not having studied either or much desire for developing expertise in Non-Bac games. Im still trying to conquer Bac. 


Continued Success,

Hi everkerstt. I can see your logic on the convenience.
However, I don't trust online casinos as its my opinion there are too many opportunities for casino to cheat. In other words players are not playing on same RNG. Though I've never played so my opinion may be without merit.

Continued Success,

Hi AsymBacGuy. Thx for another great essay.

re:"...2) The vast majority of players think that a kind of progressive plan will make the job, in reality such "ploy" will increase the casinos' profits as those players are relying upon the mere LW patterns (in any permutation) coming out along the way.
Actually if they would know when things start to change, they should just wait for such spots without consuming money at previous worthless losing situations...."

    My opinion differs on the progression part(Posprogression is the path mi amigo). HOWEVER, the pos progression must be applied against "An increasing improbability", then set aside, then reinserted again later on. In other words, not inserted with the expectation for a single event to continuously repeat in perpetuum. Many players have unrealistic expectations for "same-event streaks". that's my opinion.

"...3) More hands are wagered and less precise will be the winning targets as most of the times anything can happen anytime.  ..."

    I concur 100%.



Continued Success To All.

I agree with the author John Mehappey(Vegas Advantage). He usually does a thorough job with his opinion stories. I like that he will actually travel to the destinations/ do his own observations and collection of intel.

?Any opinions/thoughts?

2024 Vegas Best Advantage Awards – Gambling in Las Vegas

Hi Asym.
I like the way you state that:

"...There are several ways to classify an asymmetrical or symmetrical pattern, just to make things simpler say that every streak followed by a single or every single followed by a streak is a first step asymmetrical pattern.
Whenever a homogeneous pattern happens as a single/single or a streak/streak situation, we'll wait  until a new different pattern will happen. ..."


More on this later,