What unit values do you use for your regression bet?

John Legend, my opinion is that you would take the next step reformulating your ways of attacking the game. By now it is obvious something is not working well, i mean you lost every public challenge until today, other than your closed results.
So, in the sake of evolving upwards, study a bit more on the game, and come up with something slightly better or safer. Don't get me wrong, your persistence can turn into something more than entertainment.


Cheers

Quote from: Sputnik on March 03, 2013, 07:14:56 PM

So clustering series have a bias ?

I read about some math experts who explore the law of series and come to the conclusion that clustering series where slight more common.

So you have three possibility's, only three existing states, 1 in 3 with no other possibility's.
And you say that FTL has a slight higher strike ratio ...

Then Spike and others would be correct when they state that you be better of following the wheel.

Now why do you say it is a flaw when you have 1 in 3 - that is not a flaw - that is what it is.
But that the distribution clustering into 1 in 3 show a bias towards FTL is just that, slight more common and also not be a flaw.

So the conclusion on developing a march is to aim for FLT and hovering state or FTL and series of singles and not hovering state and series of singles.

That is the best way to explore it. As per thousands of sessions i tested before pen and paper.
"...aim for FLT and hovering state or FTL and series of singles and not hovering state and series of singles."
Basics is that one should aim for series always.


The "bias" comes from the way we identify the states.
Series of singles
11 2 1 22 ends in a series
Hovering
(and here is the trick)
11 2 11 -- one hovering state also ends in a series
11 2 11 2 11 -- two hovering states, ends in a series ...


We often name hovering state as "Isolated Single"
It should be also "Isolated Series"


2 11 2 11 2 1 2- so here we would have two isolated series but only one isolated single followed by one series of singles (that did not end yet).
*****************************************************************************
Even if we change the way we identify the hovering state to be = Isolated Singles + Isolated Series
we can not solve the discrepancy towards series of singles.

One other common flaw when someone starts to count states in a binomial distribution (markow chains) is in small detail: - is that we count ONE series of singles despite its length but do not do so regarding series of series. at the 3rd series in a row we count another series of series state. Causing the count to be much bigger.


The strategy would remain the same and it does not matter, as there is clear bias towards series of series??


Does the distribution of this states have the same frequency as 12 numbers???


Thanks for this discussion even if it went a bit off-topc


Cheers

@Ralph -There is no std of 3 or 4 on those screenshots. but i get what you mean.
@Sputnik - What about all other positions?
@Razor - "a fixing deviation of a previous deviation", [/size]it does not matter as the measurement is independent for every window of events.

NICE STUFF. The most decent stuff here this year i have to say.
Looking forward for your results.
Cheers

Suppose one would only interact with the game whenever a certain position (Even Chance, Dozen, Column, Double Street, Street, Split, Straight) reaches 4 Standard Deviations.
Would the fluctuation be the same as with any random entry point?

Quote from: MarignyGrilleau on February 20, 2013, 08:31:22 PM
Is there any strategy or solution that you openly shared here?

I am not albertojonas...

Is there any strategy or solution that you openly shared here?

Quote from: Ralph on February 17, 2013, 01:52:34 PM

Knowing we can expect about  7 in a run in 200 spins It should be possible to make some use of that knowledge. Seven run can a Martingale easy fix, but nothing says it can't be several more, and then the loss is as it use to be when a negative progression bust, the bankroll is wiped out.

In fact it is more likely to be more than less. The distribution of the longest run is a logarithmic histogram.
It is interesting and yet this thread seems to old only a few views.
Cheers

it is around 95% likely to have a run between 5-11 in 200 spins.


From my experience parlay is very effective..

i see and i get it. So You end a session when you hit LLL. Cool. 

Quote from: Ralph on January 16, 2013, 11:46:57 AM
Winning one unit a session on an EC flat betting, is to bet until 1 plus, is there other ways?. It is to find the moment to start.

No less...

It does not change fluctuation. Unless we can find a "better" entry point.
Cheers

And here starting with one unit:

				WL	Balance
2	1	2	2		0
2	2	2	2	WWL	1
2	2	2	1	LLW	1
1	1	2	1	LWL	2
1	1	1	2	LWL	3
1	1	2	1	LWL	4
2	1	2	2	WLW	5
1	1	2	2	WLL	6
2	1	1	1	WWL	7
1	1	1	1	WLL	8
2	2	1	2	LWW	9
2	2	2	1	LWL	10
2	1	2	2	WWW	11
2	2	2	2	WWL	12
1	1	2	2	LWL	13
1	1	2	2	LLL	7
2	2	2	2	LWL	8
1	2	1	1	WWL	9
1	1	2	1	WLW	10
1	1	2	2	LLW	10
2	2	1	2	LLW	10
2	2	2	1	LWL	11
1	1	1	1	LLW	11
2	2	2	1	LLW	11
2	1	2	1	WWL	12
2	2	2	2	WWW	13
2	2	1	1	LWL	14
1	1	1	1	LWL	15
2	2	2	2	LLL	9
1	1	1	2	LLW	9
1	1	2	1	LWL	10
1	1	1	1	LWW	11
1	1	1	2	LLW	11
1	1	1	1	LLW	11
2	2	2	1	LLW	11
2	1	1	2	WLL	12
2	1	2	2	LWW	13
1	1	1	1	WWL	14
1	1	2	2	LWL	15
2	1	1	1	WWL	16
1	2	2	1	LLW	16
2	1	1	1	LLW	16
2	1	2	2	LWL	17
2	2	1	1	WLL	18
2	2	1	2	LLW	18
1	2	2	2	WWW	19
2	1	1	2	LLW	19
1	2	2	1	LLL	13
1	2	2	1	LLL	7
1	1	2	2	WWW	8
1	2	1	2	WLW	9
2	2	2	2	WWW	10
2	1	1	1	WLL	11
1	2	2	1	LLW	11
1	1	1	2	WLL	12
1	2	2	2	WLW	13
1	2	2	2	LLL	7
1	2	1	2	LWW	8
2	2	2	2	WWW	9
2	1	1	2	WLW	10
2	1	2	2	LWW	11
2	2	1	2	WLW	12
2	2	1	1	LLW	12
2	2	2	1	LWW	13
1	1	1	2	LLL	7
1	1	1	2	LLL	1
1	2	1	1	WWW	2
2	2	1	2	WLW	3
2	1	1	2	WWL	4
1	2	2	1	LLL	-2
2	2	2	1	WLL	-1
1	2	1	1	WWW	0
1	2	1	2	LLW	0
2	1	1	1	LWW	1
2	2	1	2	WWW	2

It seems to me that if you do not hit the first ten units profit the result would be the same as playing starting from 1 unit in the beginning.


Here is random.org from today.EC's.

				WL	Balance
2	1	2	2
2	2	2	2	WWL	10
2	2	2	1	LLW	10
1	1	2	1	LWL	11
1	1	1	2	LWL	12
1	1	2	1	LWL	13
2	1	2	2	WLW	14
1	1	2	2	WLL	15
2	1	1	1	WWL	16
1	1	1	1	WLL	17
2	2	1	2	LWW	18
2	2	2	1	LWL	19
2	1	2	2	WWW	20
2	2	2	2	WWL	21
1	1	2	2	LWL	22
1	1	2	2	LLL	16
2	2	2	2	LWL	17
1	2	1	1	WWL	18
1	1	2	1	WLW	19
1	1	2	2	LLW	19
2	2	1	2	LLW	19
2	2	2	1	LWL	20
1	1	1	1	LLW	20
2	2	2	1	LLW	20
2	1	2	1	WWL	21
2	2	2	2	WWW	22
2	2	1	1	LWL	23
1	1	1	1	LWL	24
2	2	2	2	LLL	18
1	1	1	2	LLW	18
1	1	2	1	LWL	19
1	1	1	1	LWW	20
1	1	1	2	LLW	20
1	1	1	1	LLW	20
2	2	2	1	LLW	20
2	1	1	2	WLL	21
2	1	2	2	LWW	22
1	1	1	1	WWL	23
1	1	2	2	LWL	24
2	1	1	1	WWL	25
1	2	2	1	LLW	25
2	1	1	1	LLW	25
2	1	2	2	LWL	26
2	2	1	1	WLL	27
2	2	1	2	LLW	27
1	2	2	2	WWW	28
2	1	1	2	LLW	28
1	2	2	1	LLL	22
1	2	2	1	LLL	16
1	1	2	2	WWW	17
1	2	1	2	WLW	18
2	2	2	2	WWW	19
2	1	1	1	WLL	20
1	2	2	1	LLW	20
1	1	1	2	WLL	21
1	2	2	2	WLW	22
1	2	2	2	LLL	16
1	2	1	2	LWW	17
2	2	2	2	WWW	18
2	1	1	2	WLW	19
2	1	2	2	LWW	20
2	2	1	2	WLW	21
2	2	1	1	LLW	21
2	2	2	1	LWW	22
1	1	1	2	LLL	16
1	1	1	2	LLL	10
1	2	1	1	WWW	11
2	2	1	2	WLW	12
2	1	1	2	WWL	13
1	2	2	1	LLL	7
2	2	2	1	WLL	8
1	2	1	1	WWW	9
1	2	1	2	LLW	9
2	1	1	1	LWW	10
2	2	1	2	WWW	11