Quote from: Albalaha on March 29, 2020, 03:17:02 PM
Hey Guys,
        Try to provide me with at least 500 hands, in succession after the worst one.
           I want to prove that even the worst patches could be

Sir,
Why not you test the yet to broken world bm record of worst 69/200, that I believe will rtm after 800spins.

Albalaha,
Sir,
Imho, betting
"follow the last",
and /or "f-t-2nd-last",
with your unique-progression-method, ("modified labby",
or 'r-labby', scheme...)

may better, because,
simply  taking advantage,
of the streaky nature of baccarat.
Whether, you agreed/disagreed,
believe or not,
the streaky, advantage, can't be overlook!

Albalaha,
Sir,
Thanks for your insights.
I understand your view.

Gambling or
rather ,
winning in gambling,
simply mean,
you win more seasons,
than losing seasons.
Whereas,
try to keep your losses, and
drawdowns
as low possible,
as not to lose your underwear!

We need to have a strategy to
minimise losses in extreme variance...when they hit

Albalaha,
Sir,
Thanks for your valuable insight,
appreciate them!

Its true, that apart from
betting LM &RM,
we could also bet,
three figures,
albeit, horrendous staking,
when extreme hit.

Your advice ring truth,
especially, stay low when
deadly variance hit,
as they said,
you can't win... a match,
by striking a KO blow,
with a single punch...

my hg, 
will win 1u, if next 100,
has =>30hit.

this is for academic purpose only,
as unplayable in bm,
due to high staking of nearly 200...if 30/100 materialise.

you may say,
" less than 30hit may happen!",
but assured , you will never stumbled upon, in your lifetime!

30/100 is worst, and  limit in bm.
(believe it, take it or leave it)

I will not bare all,
those understand,
will of course ,
post nothing here, 
and those eager
needs to do very hard thinking.

it is very simple,
it is math correct,

labby needs
33.34%,to close.period.
30/100 can't close.

30/(33.34%)=89hand/spins,
to close...

now, a few members reading this,
already shouting eureka!...
and jumping very high ,
till head nearly hit the ceiling!

and a few already shouting...
"Fool!!!! You opened the p...box!!!"

Others newbies, may say "Jerk! You say NOTHING HERE!?"

"Nothing?!"
I already give you,
one of my hg's clue.
more to come...

Wow!

Sir,
thanks for the clues,
Very challenging,
and
exciting time,
to solve this strategy!!!
Thanks again.

I will start (0,1),
stop bet
after four losses, to avoid unnecessary,
extreme variance losses,
bet again when
a virtual win hit,
restart when +1 profit, regardless previous cutloss,

and ,maybe, for progression,
start again with (0,2)

I think, I starting  to
see/think about betting
from your pov.!!

1)Accept losses, but,
sustain the least but manageable
losses...
when worst extreme hit,
even when (the impossible)
'0/100' hit!!!  thus "X"losses.

2)win when "within-expectation", rtm hit, till that winning larger than "X".

now, very interesting time, to do hard thinking, of explore & researching,
"how to bet in small  batches", that lose ,say, only 50u in 30/100...

now 100/30=3.3, doesn't mean a hit every 3.3spin.
thus there will be STREAKS of long losses and hits.
If we start with labby of single 1,then,
( ten losses in row",
will be -55u,

if (0,1), then -10u.
and needs =>33.34%hit to close.
thus the winning will be less than and you need toake sure <30u plus the losses, shouldn't larger than you could sustain...
(just my 2cents)

Argalim247,

Albalaha, main purpose,
is to control losses to
manageable minimum,
when the worst 30%/100 hit.

and the winning will take care of itself
when expectation hit.

Many still can't GRASP this concept.!!!

Its FUNNY,
I start to think hard how to
LOSE 60u when 30/100 hit ...
INSTEAD of
how to WIN when 30% hit.

30/100 will hit anytime, but FORTUNATELY,
the ratio of (30%)versus ( within expectation)
is very good!

no, I didn't mean hp.Jhonny
but normal labby

but another assumption,
I guessed, you bet with labby ,
sort of starting with ( 0-1), or (0-0-1),(0,xx,1)
and bet only, say, 10spins only, then
cutloss, restart, stop at first 1u profit, restart.

thus when only 60/200, you sustain -+120u losses,
and ,if within expectation, you win -+30u./100

I guess, your progression,
must be labby, with string of , thirty '1',
since every within expectation, could land you ,30 units, but less than 33.34%, causing severe losses.

but  I see that you must have ,stop bet ,after certain x losses, to avoid extreme variance and resume when a virtual won hit.

Thank you so much.
appreciate your reply.

15/100 indeed very extreme,
and hard to win with any progression
.
(but what the worst you had in your files.
We really need a confident booster.)
thanks.

Dear Albalaha,
Sir, with due respect,

Since you the best and
knowledgeable here,

may I ask one question.

in all your files,
what the worst ever ,
single dozen hit, per 100 spins?

your answer will very helpful
to build a strategy around the virtual limit.
thanks in advance

hg doesn't mean
you bet straight away
when you sit at the table.

1)waiting for extreme variance to pass.

you wait out, for advantage,
in oversimplified eg.
streak of losses is often recurring event.
you often see 4,5,6,7..
even 10 losses in row.
why take the obvious
losing risk?
thus only fools won't wait.

2) understand the logic of rtm.

in simple logic, after extreme,
win lose ratio will move toward, "math expectation", in long term.
thus become a  more 'stable' ratio.

3)random virtual limit.
understand something won't
happened ...
in your lifetime...

four zeros won't hit when you bet green.
40black in row won't happen,
in EC, only 30hit/100 and  68hit/200spins won't happen when you bet,(69/200 record still hold).
simply mean an extra extreme variance,
you won't see when you bet in your lifetime!

4) progression that withstand the extreme virtual limit , if the 'unexpected' expected virtual limit variance hit, your progression can withstand it.

5)bet selection that
always selective to ,
wait to bet and stop bet, when extreme and virtual limit hit.

oversimplified eg.
we know 30/100 or 69/200 the known limit in EC.
now i wanna bet, say, 'player', baccarat.
i wait for ,say, 7,8,9, or even 10 banker.
if i wait for, say,  after 10 banker hit,
(then v-limit 30/100, simply mean
there "would be " at least ,
30player in next 90hand, that's 33%.)

and applying Albalaha's variance avoidance strategy, stop betting after say, 4losses in row, thus outwait potential, streaks of losses...and resume when a win hit.

Sir,
With due respect.
I try to make some
interesting
analysis.
The 345/800 is within math
rtm expectation.

With your method,

you bet 749attempt
out of 800,
waiting out 51spins,

hit 338winning out of 345/800.
that's waiting 7win as trigger..../345win.

the first 200 extreme variance,
caused
-119u losses,/200
=60losses per 100round.

then the next 600 make +119+52=171u/600=28u (per 100increment).

Thus, the reward risk ratios 60/28=2x.
great as long as extreme not hit.... frequently.

now if you could look at billions spins, how the 30/100,or,60/200,visavis, expectation/200