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Messages - Ralph

#511
General Discussion / Two days playing pennies.
January 10, 2013, 05:47:45 PM
I put 50 Euro as risk in this play and played two days. I used the bot but manual play as well. It is all together about 6500 spins. I was in danger for the bankroll once, and it took 900 spins to come out. Sometimes everything went extremly well.  I used mixed mehods, and all of them are well known, so no secrets, rather good luck. Most of the time looking for repeating numbers.


I ended up at more than 500 Euro.
#512
Quote from: albalaha on January 08, 2013, 03:49:45 PM
There is a famous quotation about statistical observation and probability:


        Then there is the man who drowned crossing a stream with an average depth of six inches.  ~W.I.E. Gates


I have learned if you put one foot in hot water and the other in ice it is on average comfortable.
#513
Most players need the hard lesson to start understand. Many new to the game think they have found something if they win 200 times using negative progressions, and it is hardly impossible to speak them out.  I think I went throught the same stage.
#514
Many methods win most of the time, and it is just "rare" events which kills it. The "rare" events use to come a bit faster than we expect. 


High bankroll and progressions stand until a "rare" events happen.
#515
Quote from: topcat888 on January 08, 2013, 06:45:44 AM
"but I have heard people say in the past that Dublinbet table number 2 is the weirdest they have ever seen and never play it because it keeps on tossing out these black swan events."

Why would that be Bryan, some sort of biased wheel, doubtful for Dublinbet..?  Must admit I never play table 2, mainly as table 1 is usually quieter / faster...

Having said all that, here's Table 2 throwing out four 4's in a row...

[attachimg=1]







How about this event, apparently the odds were 3 billion to one...

http://www.lasvegassun.com/blogs/kats-report/2012/jun/19/rio-wheel-reportedly-hits-seven-straight-19s-and-y/


It makes you wonder..!  :o 

The odds of the above four numbers in a row is  1 to 50653, the reason it is the odds of 3 in a row is we have not before decide which number should repeate, so the first four has 100% probability, and the second 1/37 and so on.
#516
General Discussion / Re: Roulette Camp
January 08, 2013, 04:24:51 AM
Quote from: sqzbox on January 08, 2013, 03:56:25 AM
A roulette boot camp!  Yay!  I'm there!

I'm also alongside Spike in terms of his stated aims in the first post.  Any big problem is best broken down into littler problems.  Or even, by using Occam's Razor, shave it down to its most basic question.  I am of the belief that the bet selection is both core and key.

Cartesian methods is very often successfull, but has some traps. The tiny part may mot give positive result unless another part of the whole is coworking.
#517
Quote from: sqzbox on January 08, 2013, 04:12:15 AM
I reckon, in bowls, the system is entirely deterministic.  Same as the ball movement on a pool table.  But the permutations are infinite because of the curvature and other factors (such as weight distributions and so on) of the objects involved.  the Terminator could figure it out.  Just my 2 cents worth.


MG - nice!  :thumbsup:




Is a bowl predictable? Then should a all (macro)psysics and that including a wheel be predictable.


Are there more than one randomness? A randomness which is not predictable due to lack of knowing, and a "pure" randomness which is impossible to crack how much we ever know.
#518
Quote from: Blood Angel on January 07, 2013, 03:02:04 PM

you will, on average, get 4 repeats in the next 14 spins.


Maybe! The average is not to much help.  You get an average red every second spin, you get a dozen every third spin, number 4 every 36 spin (on NZ). It is not easy to take advance of such knowing.


Over a range of much more spins it may be something into it.
#519
General Discussion / Re: hitting at a 200 odds bet
January 06, 2013, 07:37:22 PM
This will be the last today. consider the streak is over.


20 spins and 1.5 Euro on each of the two chances.

#520
General Discussion / Re: hitting at a 200 odds bet
January 06, 2013, 07:24:26 PM
Could not resist to give the high odds bet an other try. Hit on 19th spin. Betsize  30 cent.
#521
General Discussion / Re: Incomplete Image for you?
January 06, 2013, 06:53:59 PM
Quote from: TwoCatSam on January 06, 2013, 06:34:59 PM
Vic

I see the table fine, but the shot of the table is only one inch at the top.

Sam


Sam!


Have you clicked the picture to see if it looks better.
#522
General Discussion / Re: hitting at a 200 odds bet
January 06, 2013, 05:31:22 PM
I manage to make it for the third time today. 66 spins and some  hits on the 33 odds as well.


218 to 1 is the odds for three numbers in a row.  Bet 27 cent on it.
#523
General Discussion / Re: hitting at a 200 odds bet
January 06, 2013, 05:07:11 PM
Trying to hit a 200 odds again, this time using minimum bet of 3 cents.


Hit in 8 spins.
#524
Straight-up / Re: Last Nine -ULTIMATE-
January 06, 2013, 04:48:07 PM
Quote from: soggett on January 06, 2013, 04:33:57 PM

superman, can you run it with the progression Ralph mentionted? flatbett until hit then if not in plus +1 on all numbers, and so on and so on
maybe it makes a difference?

@ Ralph
thanks, i think it is smart to play like that and go up after a hit :thumbsup:


I add just to the number hitting, not all seven. Try to catch the hottest.
#525
Straight-up / Re: Last Nine -ULTIMATE-
January 06, 2013, 04:04:44 PM
Quote from: soggett on January 06, 2013, 03:45:58 PM

this is not a bad idea
tested it a bit and it did quite good
do you play it manually or with a bot?
how are your results with that? Is there a thread on it here?




I use mostly the bot, the script is in the bot. 


I got   a large win six month ago partly using this.  IT CAN LOSE AS WELL stop at 1000 units, the recover from 400 is very common, and 100 a session is the target.


Use fun  mode until you have confidence and know the method.