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Messages - Ralph

#556
Straight-up / Re: Testing 2 straight up
January 03, 2013, 02:29:32 PM
105 spins. Some bets were higher tha 10 units. Total bet 658. Plus 716.  Went very well.


Total: 6308.



#557
Straight-up / Re: Testing 2 straight up
January 03, 2013, 02:00:40 PM
Did  216 more spins. I tweak the mehods a bit, experimental still, so I will not tell until I have decide it is of use.


I have put aside 10000 units for this, I will lose it or double it.



Total bets are 992. Plus 882.


Total  5592  Total spins: 2673







#558
Straight-up / Re: Testing 2 straight up
January 03, 2013, 12:48:04 PM
239 more spins. Went down, give it up or step up the progression? I did the latter and come out.  The max bet was a few on 30 units a number.  1768 total bets. Plus  1076.


Total: 4710  Total spins made: 2447.
#559
Straight-up / Re: Testing 2 straight up
January 03, 2013, 11:00:38 AM
50 more spins. Max bet 2 units each. Plus 94. Good hit rate.
Total: 3634
#560
Straight-up / Re: Testing 2 straight up
January 03, 2013, 10:39:41 AM
242 more spins. Max bet 4 units on each. Plus 425.

Total: 3540.
#561
Straight-up / Re: Testing 2 straight up
January 03, 2013, 09:21:39 AM
332 more spins. max bet 9 on each number. Total bet 1477. Plus 937.

Total 3115
#562
Straight-up / Re: Testing 2 straight up
January 03, 2013, 07:10:33 AM
326 more spins. Plus 370. Highest bet 20 on each number, Quite deep draw down. 
Total: 2178
#563
Straight-up / Re: Testing 2 straight up
January 02, 2013, 07:55:42 PM
Some more spins before bed time. 195 spins, total amount bet:557, plus 275. Most stake 3 units a number. 1143 spins total.


Total: 1756.
#564
Straight-up / Re: Testing 2 straight up
January 02, 2013, 06:57:50 PM
337 more spins. Total bets 29.64. Plus 348.


Total: 1481.


#565
Quote from: Bayes on January 02, 2013, 01:01:07 PM


The average appearance rate is just the reciprocal of the probability (ie; turn the probability fraction upside down). e.g., a single number will appear (on average) once every 37 spins, a particular double street will appear every 37 / 6 = 6.17 spins, a particular street will appear every 37 / 3 = 12.33 spins etc.


It is right, but in a very large sample.  I see the average very seldom (if ever in some cases).
#566
Straight-up / Re: Testing 2 straight up
January 02, 2013, 04:53:37 PM
Got time to make some more spins. 297 spins. Total betting amount is 1358. max  bet 5 unit each two numbers. Plus 406.


Total: 1011.


#567
Straight-up / Re: Testing 2 straight up
January 02, 2013, 03:50:41 PM
Quote from: soggett on January 02, 2013, 12:35:19 PM
why up the units on both? why not only on the winning number so its kinda like running 2 of your "old" systems at once?
or do you think this will work better?


I suspect the split was safer, and two is as a split, 2 units on a split.
#568
Straight-up / Testing 2 straight up
January 02, 2013, 12:28:37 PM
I did a test using one straight up, I think I have done 500 sessions which just one become a loss. I have tested the method without any bet selection, just pick a number or in order on the table.  I did the same using a split for some hundred session, which had one loss.


In the testing the loss was not a small part of the winnings, but still it come out very well. It will soon or later cluster some losses, and then I have to try to improve the methods, to increase the hit rate, if it is possible.


The test I am running now, is two straight up, which cover as a split. The betting will be on the two last shown numbers. It start with two units, one on each two numbers. If a hit and plus, we just continue or end the play. If back we add a unit to each of the two bets.


The play I have done up to now is  297 spins, which have a total betting of  1358 units and maximum 16 units in a spin (8 each number).


The result is plus 406 units.
#569
Split / 1000 spins on splits
January 01, 2013, 04:54:23 PM
I did 1000 spins (about) on three different splits. 0#1,0#2,0#3. The zero is in all the bets. About 1/3 of the bets are on each split, and I played one split at the time. The chip value was 0.1. The higest bet was 10 units and the deepest down was 230 units.


Method: One up on win reset on plus.





Plus 696 units (69.60 Euro).
#570
Quote from: TwoCatSam on January 01, 2013, 02:52:12 PM
OK, I let the thing cool off a bit and started over.  The 1#4 split made .46 in 250 spins.

How is that possible?  The bot runs 10,000+ spins and nothing and then only 250.

Sam


I think you know the answer!  In this game everything can happen more often than we think. For example a new to the game use to think martingale is a winner. Six red in a row is soo rare.  The fact is I have probably just a few times seen 150 spins without it.


10000 spins without a win is possible, you need for long time just average hit rate, and the HE takes over there the fluctations even out.


With a bot you do so many more spins, so the rare cases will come.   The question of stop loss, I think is the harder part, to low, you lose in cases you could win, to high the bankroll can be in serious danger in the rare cases.


Even if an event is 1 to a million, we will see it, we do a  million spins faster than we think we do.