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Messages - Sputnik

#541
General Discussion / Re: What IF????
October 09, 2013, 05:36:18 AM

Again, same topic, but different member.
During all years you always see does who gave up and make a topic about how they quit.
Many do it telling us they find a bet and become a lier, when they still had the choice to be honest.

I seen at least 30 topics with the same manner.
No one of does 30 members find the HG ,,, that is just silly ... it does not exist ...

Cheers
#542
General Discussion / Re: What IF????
October 08, 2013, 01:45:51 PM

.

QuoteI have a very serious question to make.

I have a very serious answer to make.

.

Start gambling.

Buy a new car and new house.
Quit working and live high life, just walk in to any casino in the world and rob them.
Travel around the world and see new things and meet new people.
Eat good and tasty food and get your self a younger girl friend.

Good Luck
#543

This is what i think.

Why would she sale a method that makes her money for 24$ ...
Sellers never learn, why would they need to sell there methods in any case scenario.

Just the idea of selling make it reverse.
You can not buy method for money that perform better then does you find for free.

My opinion.
#544
 
Yes every test should be based upon placed bets and not spins overall ...
The down side betting against 1M or more is that you win very little ...
You never get rich playing roulette ...
#545
Methods' results / Re: 122 method ...
October 04, 2013, 03:37:05 PM
 
The bet selection and rules.

You see one outcome, red or black and bet against it up to three times in a row.
If you lose three times in a row, then you have a series of four.
Then you wait for the next new outcome to show and bet against that one for three times.
That is the march.

We only bet once for each sequential event.
This means you have to wait for a string of events to fail three times in a row, before you can make your first attack.
You only start one attack after three loses.
That means if you win once in the beginning using the 122 staking plan, then stop and wait for a new sequence or three loses.

That is the bet selection or the march.
We continue to bet up to three attacks or a total loss of 6 bets and start over with a new day.
That has to be pretty rare, but i am sure it will happen.
That is a total of -10 units.

So if you win once and lose once then you are -4

This is how it looks like.

1
2 W
2 L
1 W
1 L
1 L
1 L

1
1 L
2 W This bet won, now wait for next sequense.
1 W
2 W
1 W
2 W
1 W
1 L
1 L
2 W
2 L
1 W
1 L
1 L
2 W
1 W
2 W
2 L
2 L
1 W
2 W
1 W
1 L
1 L
1 L

2
1 W This bet won, now wait for next sequense.
1 L
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
1 W
2 W
1 W
2 W
2 L
2 L
1 W
1 L
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
2 L
2 L
2 L


Now i will show you how to continue after a losing string.

2
1 W This bet won, now wait for next sequense.
1 L
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
1 W
2 W
1 W
2 W
2 L
2 L
1 W
1 L
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
1 W
1 L
1 L
2 W
1 W
2 W
2 L
2 L
2 L

1
1 L
1 L
1 L Three loses in a row and we continue with the march with next sequense.

2
1 W This bet won and we continue with next sequense
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
2 L
1 W
1 L
2 W
2 L
2 L
2 L

2
1 W This bet won and we continue with next sequense
1 L
2 W
1 L
1 L
1 L

1
2 W This bet won and we contine with next sequense ...
2

The goal of this test ...


01/9

+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
-5
+1
+1
+1
-1
+1
+1

31/8

+1
-5
+1
+1
+1
+1
-1
+1
-1
-5
+1
-1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1

30/8

+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
-1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1 
#546
Methods' results / Re: 122 method ...
October 03, 2013, 05:22:17 AM

Some things is better keeping private and some things you can write about in public ...
#547
Even chance / Re: lines as ECs
October 01, 2013, 01:39:12 PM

I also test variations of this and come up with a killer method ...

Cheers
#548

...

@ Albalaha

When you pick your sports bets, then what is you considerations?
What elements do you use to see if one player have more advantage then the other one?

If a player recently have been ill.
Strike ratio of winning and loses.
And so on ...

Many Thanks ....

Cheers
#549

Nice, with that hit ratio you can start sport service :-)
#550
Gambling Philosophy / Re: 10% or break even ...
September 26, 2013, 07:18:19 AM
 
This is why i like hand testing.
Here we can clearly see how positive fluctuation and negative fluctuation comes in waves.
#551
Gambling Philosophy / Re: 10% or break even ...
September 26, 2013, 07:02:08 AM
 
It fail.
100 sessions and you end up even.
+44 units
-43.5 units

[reveal=Results]
+1
+1
+1
+1
+0
+1
+0
+1
+0
+0
+0
-0.5
+1
-0.5
+0
+1
+0
+1
+0
+0
+0
-0.5
+0
+1
+1
+0
+0
+1
+1
+1
+1
+0
+0
+1
+0
+0
+1
+1
+0
+1
+0
+0
+0
-10
+1
+0.5
+0
+0
+1
+0
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+0
+0
+1
+1
+0
+1
+0
+1
+0
+0
+0
+1
-10
+1
-0.5
+0
+1
+1
+1
+1
+0
-10
+1
+0
+0
+0
-10
+0
+1
+0
+0
-10
+1
-0.5
+0
+0
+1
+0
+1
+0
+1
-0.5
+1
+0
[/reveal]
#552
Gambling Philosophy / Re: 10% or break even ...
September 26, 2013, 05:45:27 AM

You will get sup-riced how often you win +1 or break even +0.
At rare moments you get -1 and have to continue to break even within negative territory.

I will get back into loss limit after more testing.

#553
Gambling Philosophy / Re: 10% or break even ...
September 26, 2013, 05:41:01 AM

I will try to explain it .
The probability is 1 in 3.
Singles and series is events.

Example.

R

I see red and can not bet as i have no clue what kind of event i have.
Is it going to be a single or a series.

R
R


It become a series with two in a row.
Now i wait until the series stop growing.
After that i will bet that one more series will show, i bet for a repeat of the last present event.

R
R
R

B
B W

I won i hit two series in a row.
Now lets say i did not get a repeat, one series.

  R
R
R

B
R L

Then i lose my bet as the last present event did not repeat, become a series.
I got a singles event.

So now i have one series and one singles event.
That is two events.

The last present event is one singles and i will bet that it will come one more singles, one repeat.

R
R
R

B
R L
B W

I won as the singles event repeat.
Now i have show you how it looks to get +1 and break even +0 following the last two hitting events.

Now assume we lose this bet.
Then it looks like this.

R
R
R

B
R L
R L

Now you can see we have one more bet to do to prevent 3 different events to show or 1 in 3 probability.
This means that we will play that the last series will be at least three in a row.

This is because our second last present event is a series of three and we will bet for a repeat.

R
R
R

B
R L
R L
R L

Now  we lose and get three different events in a row with no repeat of the last two present events.

From this moment you just play and follow the last two hitting events for domination.
Lets look one other example.

R
B

The first event is a singles event so we play for one repeat.

R
B
B L

We lose and now we wait to the series to end so we know how our two present events look like.

R
B
B L
B
B
R

Now we would bet for a singles event to repeat.

R
B
B L
B
B
R
R
L

Now we bet that the last event of the series will be longer then three, so it will become a repeat of previous event, series.

R
B
B L
B
B
R
R
L
B L

So you always play for a repeat of the last hitting events.
It take some time to get it, even if i know the principal i had some hard time separating the events,
It needs some practice.

With dozen play it looks like this.
You see first dozen to appear.

2

Then you play it will repeat.

2
1

It did not so now you play dozen 1 and 2.

2
1
3

No repeat and you lose three times in a row.
Now you would follow 1 and 3 being the last present events.
Same with the even money bets.


Note.
You can also after each winning strike start over counting what is the becoming last two present events.

#554
Gambling Philosophy / 10% or break even ...
September 25, 2013, 07:07:59 PM
 

I am developing a even money bet where you break even or win 10% ...
I have not yet decide loss limit.

I could never forget this picture that describe the hit ratio you should expect when you aim for a small win goal or break even.
All this is flat betting.



+1
+1
+1
+1
+0
+1
+0
+1
+0
+0
+0
-0.5
+1
-0.5
+0
+1
+0
+1
+0
+0
+0
-0.5
+0
+1
+1
+0
+0
+1
+1
+1
+1
+0

Here above can you see -0.5 that means we break even but during the game we hit zero with La Partage Rule.
A direct win is +1.

The methodology is using red and black as they come, but with 1 in 3 probability.
If you win +1 you end the game.
If you end up +0 you end the game.
If you end up -1 you continue to play until you break even (here we should find a loss limit value)

Largest draw-down during this test was -4 units.
The main idea is following two dozen out of three for domination.
Will continue this later.
#555
Even chance / Re: lines as ECs
September 25, 2013, 05:50:34 PM
 
I got pretty good result testing the last three.
They are recent and present.

Then you know one line is at sleep, so you face one or two lines against your three lines.
I think regression would work with this kind of selection.

WL
WWWL
WL
LW
WWL
WL
WWWL
WL
LL
WWL
LL
WWWWWL
WWL
WL
LL
WL
WWWL
LW
WL
WL
LL
WL
WL
WL
LW
WL
LW
WL
WL
LL
LW
LL
LW
LL
LW
LL
LL
LW
WL
LW
WWWL
LW
LW
LW
LW
LW
LW
WWL
LW
WL