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Messages - Sputnik

#1216
 
Do you know how many times one dozen repeat during 1 milion.

I will fix one computer with RX so i can run the simulation.
Had no time yet.

Bayes say around 13 to 14 hits during 1 milion trails.

If that is true, then i can play even money bets with out losing during 1 milion trails, pretty amazing.
Did one test in the past and i pass 800.000 and now i know why it works.

The probability and match is not 1 in 2 when i place my bets.
I apply Markow Chains Metodology.

If you have time to run RX once for 1 million that would be very cool.
Just to see the blending edge for one dozen to repeat.

#1217
Straight-up / Re: The 123-Move
February 02, 2013, 09:13:58 PM
Quote from: MarignyGrilleau on February 02, 2013, 09:10:33 PM
Principles of this bet are misleading. They must be reviewed and adjusted, otherwise there is no hope.

I agree there is no hope using this kind of selection.
#1218
Straight-up / Re: The 123-Move
February 02, 2013, 09:55:26 AM

sogget why do you continue with this topic? just curios!
Can't you see that Ignatus have much to learn about the game.
#1219
Straight-up / Re: Humble but Real
February 02, 2013, 08:34:42 AM

-

@ Victor and all ...

Like the idea very much.
I find it to be a very good sign how he mention how to deal with loses.

I wounder if you could use levels of attacks to define high and lower odds, so we could apply Marias Staking Plan.
Lets say the first bets has the highest return, middel return and low return as in high odds, middel odds and low odds.

   Maria Staking Plan So called after a username on a forum thread that turned £3000 into £100,000 in only 303 days in real-time. In total there were 3547 wins from 4131 selections = 85.88% strike rate. Like all staking plans which are essentially mathematical formulas, The Maria staking plan can be broken down into rules.
1) - There are 3 distinct odds ranges to be aware of. The following is based on a starting bank of £3000

       
  • Prices below 3.5: lay to 1% of bank - backer's stake £30 (liability is always under £75 in this price range)
  • Prices from 3.6 to 7.4: lay to 0.6% of bank - backer's stake £18 (liability is always between £46.80 - £115.20 in this price range)
  • Prices from 7.5 to 11: lay to 0.4% of bank - backer's stake £12 (liability is always between £78 - £132 in this price range)
  • Anything above 11 or 10/1 is left alone.
2) - If making profits, the stakes are increased on a daily basis in proportion to the betting bank on a daily basis. For instance, if after day 1 the betting bank is at £3300 then 1% would now be £33 rather than £30.
3) - If after a days betting the cumulative betting bank has decreased the stakes are left alone unless 35% of the highest level of the bank is lost, when the stakes are re-calculated based on the new "65%-sized bank" For example if your using £3000 as your starting betting bank, you would keep the same stakes used until your betting bank went below £1,950 when those backer's stakes would become £19.50, £11.70 and £7.80 until the bank gets back up to £3,000 again (or - even down to £1267.50 - a further 35% loss). The 35% drop is always worked out from the highest point of the bank. The image below shows how you signify the last bet of the day when entering your bet data in the software. More details can be found from within in the software.




   

#1220
Positive / Re: *REVERSED* delayed ATILA
January 31, 2013, 06:31:47 AM

Nice Topic ...

Cheers
#1221
Even chance / Re: Planning play some EC and using fib.
January 30, 2013, 08:25:35 AM

Cool, i would do it different.
Nice test results.

Cheers
#1222
Money Management / Re: 50% Money Management
January 29, 2013, 07:15:23 PM

I like this method very much.
Nice topic.
#1223

I have one bet selection based upon this principals that Gizmo mention.
It is like lotto and what is the probability that the light from the sky will strike you.

It use one static element of the bet selection and the other part of the bet selection is based upon random against random.

My opinion is that much better and effective then Pattern Breaker.
It is very flexible.

Nice topic Gizmo.
#1224
Even chance / Re: Planning play some EC and using fib.
January 29, 2013, 02:26:12 PM

When you play FTL do you have any attack sequence/window.
Lets say you attack with two attempts, if a win you continue or stop or break even.
How do you do it your way.

Also what is your ending tail, how many loses in a row before you stop chasing, when do you stop and restart or do you just go all in.

I ask this as i find pretty solid probability and math how to use the FTL march among others.
When to attack and when to stop and restart.
#1225
Straight-up / Re: The 123-Move
January 29, 2013, 06:33:04 AM

You do it all wrong.

You should develop a march that catch a sequential window of events and attack once.
Then the staking plan into different levels.

But you just listen to your self so you will never learn.
#1226
Even chance / Re: Planning play some EC and using fib.
January 28, 2013, 07:24:54 PM

Did you use FTL with your test.
I can see you using spins and not placed bets.
How does your fibo look like.
My fibo look like this 1 1 1 2 3 5 8 13 21 34 55 89
#1227
 
What is the attack window ? How many attempts do you bet to catch at least one win before you continue the march.
What is the ending tail ? How many loses do you catch before you end chasing using your march.

Illustration March.
You bet twice for one complete attack, cycle.
You play first follow the last and if a win you continue playing follow the last until a lose, then you aim for back to back.
If you lose your first bet you aim for back to back and continue until two loses.


1
2 L
2 L (LL)
2
1
1 W (LL W)
2 L
1 W
1 W
1 W
1 W 
1 W
1 W
2 L
2 L
2
1
2 L
1 W (LL WLW)
2 L
2 L
1
1 W (LL WLWW)
1 W
1 W
2 L
2 L
1
1 W (LL WLWWW)
1 W
1 W
2 L
2 L
1
2 L
1 W (LL WLWWWLW)
2 L
2 L
1
1 W

#1228
Even chance / Effective March
January 27, 2013, 01:40:53 PM

-

Forget colours.

Then you have four possibility's.

XXX
XOX
XXO
OXX

The March.

1. Follow the first formation/pattern to repeat.
If not the play that one of the two past formation/patterns will repeat.
Now if you lose then you lose three bets in a row.
Then you continue to bet that one of the previous two will hit.

WWLWWWLWLWWLLWWWWLWWWLLL LW


1
2
2

2
1 W
1

2
1 W
1

1
1 L
1

1
2 W
2

2
1 W
2

1
2 W
2

1
1 L
1

1
2 W
2

1
1 L
1

1
2 W
2

1
2 W
1

2
2 L
1

1
1 L
2 W Now you follow 112 to repeat

2
2 W
2

1
1 W
2

2
2 W
2

1
2 L
2

2
2 W
1

2
2 W
1

2
2 W
1

2
1 L X
2

1
2 L X
2 L X Three loses.

1
1 L
1

1
2 W One repeat of past two formation
2

#1229
Even chance / Re: Simple System to enjoy the evening #1
January 27, 2013, 12:49:32 PM

Nice Topic ...
#1230
Straight-up / Re: The 123-Move
January 26, 2013, 05:46:23 PM
 
TCS i alredy mention that he could add physical paramters towards it.
Like raping a wheel into parmeters that show cause and effect.
You can take release, crossovers and rotor and final drop - works with tilted and level wheels.