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### Messages - Sputnik

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16
##### www.Roulette.tools / Re: 98-unit parachute
« on: June 05, 2019, 12:51:04 pm »
Hello Victor - I always use the binomial probability with parachute methods.
Where each location has a 50% chance to hit like the EC.

A EC has 50% with one attempt
A Dozen has 50% with two attempts
A Line has 50% with four attempts
A Split has 50% with twelve attempts

Look at this:

Half      +1

Dozen   +1
Dozen   +0

Line      +2
Line      +1
LIne      +0
Line       -1

Split     +10
Split     +9
Split     +8
Split     +7
Split     +6
Split     +5
Split     +4
Split     +3
Split     +2
Split     +1
Split     +0
SPlit     -1

Now I know the binomial distribution work with the same probability as EC bets.
You only need to write down the results into groups of four and you will get sixteen different patterns to emerge.
Same as 4 EC bets.

Other solutions are to use eight patterns into groups of three.

A line has 50% to win with four attempts
The street has 50% to win with eight attempts
Single nr has 50% to win with twenty-five attempts.

Line+5
Line +4
Line +3
Line +2

Street +7
Street +6
Street +5
Street +4
Street +3
Street +2
Street +1
Street +0

Single +23
Singe +22
Single +21
Single +20
Single +19
Single +18
Single +17
Single +16
Sinlge +15
Single +14
Single +13
Singe +12
Single +11
Single +10
Single +9
Single +8
Single +7
Single +6
Sinlge +5
Single +4
Single +3
Single +2
Single +1
Single +0
Single -1

Same as 3 EC bets.
Now the patterns is same as EC where you get XXX XOO XOX OOO OXX OXO and so one.

Cheers

17
##### Sports Betting Forum / Taking Statistical Calculated Risk With Sports Betting Service
« on: June 04, 2019, 02:09:08 pm »

Taking Statistical Calculated Risk With Sports Betting Service

I have a gambling bankroll for Casino games with amounts at different online casinos.
Now I pull out 500 Euro to put into Sports Betting.

I pay 19 Euro for one Tipster with 112% ROI each month.
Now I been active for five days and are plus 140 Euro.
Placing 10 Euro bets flat betting and risking 2% of the bankroll.
That is 50 Units.

Now Koetsch simulated 50/50 without edge for 60.000 placed bets.
He simulated 100 placed bets sessions.

The worst drawdown during 600 x 100 placed bets sessions was minus 34 units.
And the average loss during 100 placed bets session was minus 8 units.

That means I have a pretty good chance to make 1000 Euro risking 2% of the bankroll ( 50 Units).
So when I reach 750 Euro I will start flat betting 15 Euro until I reach my goal.

After that I not sure what to do - I have three options.

1) I can bet the recommendation 1% of bankroll with 1000 Euro flat betting 10 Euro.
2) I can continue risking 2% of bankroll and bet 20 Euro flat betting.
3) I can regress and play with the sportsbooks own money without risking my own.

Option two feel tempting to reach maybe 2000 Euro
Option three feel like a stable small income with no risks involved, where you can boost a % to make the bankroll slowly grow and pull out money each year as return on investment.
Option one feels like a long term strategy where you slowly grow your bankroll with small risk.

Cheers Patrik

18
##### Real-World Casino Action / Re: Koetsch G3M1
« on: May 13, 2019, 07:01:42 pm »

Thanks, Lugi for posing this, I have the book :-)

Cheers

19
##### Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Flat Betting
« on: April 29, 2019, 05:21:47 pm »

I don't care so much about negative energy from others, so I wish you a nice evening and happy winnings.

Cheers

20
##### Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Flat Betting
« on: April 29, 2019, 04:14:40 pm »

I work for a living and don't want to live on gambling money.
You can share your opinions and I am free to share mine.

I play online and been thinking to make a youtube channel and offering live sessions with Twitch TV.
We all have different conditions in our city's, I only have one local international casino in my town where I play.

If you play for a living that your way of life and keeps up the good work, I don't mind, or should I say I don't care.

Cheers

21
##### Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Flat Betting
« on: April 29, 2019, 02:51:55 pm »

Stratege - I have been warned about posting to much sensitive information that others steel and try to sell - also get several private messages about the question of how to play.
To be honest I only feel I been meeting two that are on a similar level.
That is you and the member AsymBacGuy at betselection cc.

Now I stop revealing sensitive information and can only talk in general, I feel I moved from Marigny more and more and concentrate my research and development on my discovery.
The basic idea has already been posted as Sputnik's March and you can google it, the deeper understanding behind the concept I am willing to share with you and AsymBacGuy who I email yesterday.
The reason is that I might be missing some angle or tweak or other information that I might be unaware of where you could contribute - give and take.

No one has discovered such strong bias with random bits using any similar concept.
There have been close attempts that did not work - Like Ellis NOR method.

I reach a level of understanding where i can claim to know why and where larger series will unfold based upon math and probability with such likelihood that my odds is better than the average punter.
When you follow the norm and the traditional thinking you end up on no man land where there is no solutions.

I can isolate one bias among other bias sequences and pinpoint out what will happen next or I can use a march to try to take advantage of all angles because I understand how to read random bits.
This means that I been working on solutions to play Baccarat Tournament and try to win the first price - there you have the serious money.

Cheers

22
##### Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Flat Betting
« on: April 27, 2019, 01:02:39 pm »
Well, the problem with flat betting is that you will win maybe eight out of ten shoes overall.
Then you need to figure out the peak that makes you stay ahead overall.
We can not win them all.

I test my variants using Sputnik's March and say to my self, now I need to be satisfied and stop tweaking.
Maybe so many fail using flat betting principal because they don't know how and when to accept loses.
Also that each and every attack involves reversals and sometimes is better then continue playing for a profit.

This is today's random org file using one variant of Sputnik's March.

LW LLW W W W W W W LLL W W W W W LW W W LLL W LW LW LW W W W W W W LW LW LW LLW W LLW LLL W W W W W LW LLW LW W LLW LLW W LW LW W W LLL W LLL W W LLW W W

Now I say to my self it does not get better than this and still, I find my self tweaking and come up with different solutions.
This one those not work long term using flat betting, but I triple my bankroll several times using a smooth progression similar to Hollandish.
Two wins within three attempts staking 111 222 333 444 555 ...
Most of the times you make +2 units flat betting 3 units without placing higher unit values.
I have been up 4 units and then down to 3 and 2 and back to 1 to break even.
it's a grind and very stable with La Partage Rule.

Cheers

23
##### Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Flat Betting
« on: April 23, 2019, 06:14:25 pm »

How about conditional probability or should I say the fictive conditional probability to control the overall performance of each shoe.
Let me explain, you have 37 numbers and around 12 will sleep for each and every cycle and no one have reported seeing all number hit once each for one full cycle during roulette history.
Now assume I know how to catch each and every repeat without tremendous losing sequences (without many attempts doing so) well i cannot do it with roulette numbers but I can do it with 50/50

You can create and cluster patterns based upon the same principal for baccarat and take advantage of the same situation with a 99.9% probability of success, my opinion.
This is not the same childish attempt by Eriscott to catch repeaters, this is based upon true bias within each and every shoe based upon Sputniks March using patterns and not regular outcomes.

Here is a sample for 550 trails: wlwwlwwwwwlwlwllwlwwlwwlwlwwwwwllwll

I have been warned to write to much details in public, so I will send this method for a private discussion with someone having the same skills as my self.

Cheers

24
##### Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Flat Betting
« on: April 18, 2019, 02:05:44 pm »
This reminds me of the Carch variant of the Star progression.

25
##### Baccarat Forum / consistent analysis
« on: April 14, 2019, 01:29:02 pm »

Did you know that the random bits are connected in waves?
One past event is among future events.

For example, I have singles and a series of two chopping.

P B P BB P B PP BB P B P B PP B PP B P B

When this sequence or wave stop with a series of three or higher, then singles or series of two will be part of the future sequence/wave

P B P BB P B PP BB P B P B PP B PP B P B - - - PPPP B PPP BBBBBB P B P BBB P B P B

This means that after two loses you will win one of the next two attempts if you were aiming for singles as your main dominant.

P
B
P W
B W
B L
P W
B W
P W
P L
B W
B L
P W
B W
P W
B W
P W
P L
B W
P W
P L
B W
P W
B W
-
P W
P L
P L
P
B
P W
P L
P W
B
B L
B W
B
B
B
P
B W
P W
B W
B L
B W
P
B W
P W
B W

All three waves or sequences are connected, you might name them turning points or sections, same thing.

a) Singles and series of two
b) Singles and series of three or higher
c) Series of two and series of three or higher

How do you catch the red line, the dominant event that is part of the past and the future?
Well if you first get singles and series of three and higher and next wave or sequence is series of two and series of three or higher.
Then the third wave should be one of both as two out of three dominant more than not overall.
This gives you a sense of knowing what comes next.

I will show you today's random org file where you can see for your self.
To the right, I will write 1/2 for singles and a series of two.
1/3 for singles and series of three or higher
2/3 for series of two and series of three or higher.

Section and turning points:

1/2 A
2/3 C
1/3 B
2/3 C
1/3 B
2/3 C
1/2 A
1/3 B
1/2 A
Triplet
Triplet
1/2 A
1/3 B
1/2 A
1/3 B
1/2 A
1/3 B
1/2 A
2/3 C
1/3 B
Triplet
1/3 B
1/2 A
2/3 C
1/2 A
2/3 C
1/3 B
1/2 A

Above we have 2 waves or sequences following each other with past and future results for ten times in a row.
Amazing bias, a true large bias that connected two sequences with each other.

More to come ...

26
##### Baccarat Forum / Baccarat Selections!
« on: April 13, 2019, 05:03:37 pm »

This topic is about baccarat selections, with explanations when and why to bet.
First out will be one side play using the "most common" using the shoe bias sequences.

Cheers

27
##### Baccarat Forum / Re: Hit & Run
« on: March 23, 2019, 10:31:12 am »
This is the Sputnik's March Delux.
There is three no more or less.

Then we can call them three waves, events, elements, sequences.
One sequence/event is where you have one isolated single between two series.

BBB P BB or PP B PPPP

The second sequence/event is where you have two series after each other.

PPP BB or BBB PPP

The thirs sequence/event is where you have two singles or more after each other.

B P B P or P B P

Now if one sequence repeats you have a double.
Each sequence/event has a 33% chance to show.
And you can cover two with 66% with two attempts, win or break even.

That is the selection.

Reversal is something else, when you reach -2 units and doesn't win or break even.
Then you have 83% chance to get back to zero, break even, one reversal.

I test two different selections and end up with good results.
This can be random fluctuation and luck.
So is up to you to do the same.

I start Roulette Extreme and begin a session.
If I win I stop and start a new session.
Same if I break even.

This way you simulate your personal permanence.
Hit & Run.

Here is a short sample from random org today. One shoe +7 units flat betting.
But I would not play this way on a rolling basis, win and change table.
Then the bad sequence has to catch up with you and not the other way around.
So this example is only for illustration.

2
1
2
2
1
1 W +1
1
1
2
1 W +1
2
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
2
2 W +1
2
2
1
2 W +1
1
1
2
2 W +1
1
2 W +1
2
2
2
1
2 L -1
2 L -2
1
1
2
1 W -1
2
1
1
2
2 W +0
1
2 W +1
1
2
2
1
2 L -1
1 L -2
1
2
2
1
2 W -1
1
2
1
2
2
1
2 L -2
2 W -1
1
2 L -2
2 L -3
1
2
1
2
2
1
1 W -2
2
2 L -3
2
1
2 W -2
2
1
1 W -1
2
1 W +0
1

28
##### Baccarat Forum / Re: Hit & Run
« on: March 21, 2019, 04:54:30 pm »

One other way to use Sputnik's march is to play against bias sequence to develop.
Then you have 66% to win or break even.

Again I like the idea to stop after one reversal as you get 83% of them.
The last test gave me two losing sessions with -8 units and 98 sessions that won or break even.

The main idea comes from one topic talking about the Johnson Progression where one member state that you will get less variance where the selection is tilted in your favour.
In this case, you would play against one event/sequence to repeat twice or more.

You can compare the situation to dozens on a roulette table.
Each time you get a new dozen to hit you win and each time a dozen repeat you lose.
Only convert that into 1/3 principal using sequential betting.

Cheers

29
##### Baccarat Forum / Re: Hit & Run
« on: March 21, 2019, 03:24:18 pm »

That's correct - I also notice some difference with theory and real play.
Even one famous legend says the same thing - Playing the game change the game.

Cheers

30
##### Baccarat Forum / Re: Hit & Run
« on: March 16, 2019, 10:14:10 am »

There is no selection that he uses, but I test one among others and they all should have the same results.

Cheers

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