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Messages - Sputnik

#31
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Flat Betting
April 29, 2019, 02:51:55 PM

Stratege - I have been warned about posting to much sensitive information that others steel and try to sell - also get several private messages about the question of how to play.
To be honest I only feel I been meeting two that are on a similar level.
That is you and the member AsymBacGuy at betselection cc.

Now I stop revealing sensitive information and can only talk in general, I feel I moved from Marigny more and more and concentrate my research and development on my discovery.
The basic idea has already been posted as Sputnik's March and you can google it, the deeper understanding behind the concept I am willing to share with you and AsymBacGuy who I email yesterday.
The reason is that I might be missing some angle or tweak or other information that I might be unaware of where you could contribute - give and take.

No one has discovered such strong bias with random bits using any similar concept.
There have been close attempts that did not work - Like Ellis NOR method.

I reach a level of understanding where i can claim to know why and where larger series will unfold based upon math and probability with such likelihood that my odds is better than the average punter.
When you follow the norm and the traditional thinking you end up on no man land where there is no solutions.

I can isolate one bias among other bias sequences and pinpoint out what will happen next or I can use a march to try to take advantage of all angles because I understand how to read random bits.
This means that I been working on solutions to play Baccarat Tournament and try to win the first price - there you have the serious money.

Cheers
#32
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Flat Betting
April 27, 2019, 01:02:39 PM
 Well, the problem with flat betting is that you will win maybe eight out of ten shoes overall.
Then you need to figure out the peak that makes you stay ahead overall.
We can not win them all.

I test my variants using Sputnik's March and say to my self, now I need to be satisfied and stop tweaking.
Maybe so many fail using flat betting principal because they don't know how and when to accept loses.
Also that each and every attack involves reversals and sometimes is better then continue playing for a profit.

This is today's random org file using one variant of Sputnik's March.

LW LLW W W W W W W LLL W W W W W LW W W LLL W LW LW LW W W W W W W LW LW LW LLW W LLW LLL W W W W W LW LLW LW W LLW LLW W LW LW W W LLL W LLL W W LLW W W

Now I say to my self it does not get better than this and still, I find my self tweaking and come up with different solutions.
This one those not work long term using flat betting, but I triple my bankroll several times using a smooth progression similar to Hollandish.
Two wins within three attempts staking 111 222 333 444 555 ...
Most of the times you make +2 units flat betting 3 units without placing higher unit values.
I have been up 4 units and then down to 3 and 2 and back to 1 to break even.
it's a grind and very stable with La Partage Rule.

Cheers

#33
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Flat Betting
April 23, 2019, 06:14:25 PM

How about conditional probability or should I say the fictive conditional probability to control the overall performance of each shoe.
Let me explain, you have 37 numbers and around 12 will sleep for each and every cycle and no one have reported seeing all number hit once each for one full cycle during roulette history.
Now assume I know how to catch each and every repeat without tremendous losing sequences (without many attempts doing so) well i cannot do it with roulette numbers but I can do it with 50/50

You can create and cluster patterns based upon the same principal for baccarat and take advantage of the same situation with a 99.9% probability of success, my opinion.
This is not the same childish attempt by Eriscott to catch repeaters, this is based upon true bias within each and every shoe based upon Sputniks March using patterns and not regular outcomes.

Here is a sample for 550 trails: wlwwlwwwwwlwlwllwlwwlwwlwlwwwwwllwll

I have been warned to write to much details in public, so I will send this method for a private discussion with someone having the same skills as my self.

Cheers
#34
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Flat Betting
April 18, 2019, 02:05:44 PM
This reminds me of the Carch variant of the Star progression.
#35
Baccarat Forum / consistent analysis
April 14, 2019, 01:29:02 PM

Did you know that the random bits are connected in waves?
One past event is among future events.

For example, I have singles and a series of two chopping.

P B P BB P B PP BB P B P B PP B PP B P B

When this sequence or wave stop with a series of three or higher, then singles or series of two will be part of the future sequence/wave

P B P BB P B PP BB P B P B PP B PP B P B - - - PPPP B PPP BBBBBB P B P BBB P B P B

This means that after two loses you will win one of the next two attempts if you were aiming for singles as your main dominant.

P
B
P W
B W
B L
P W
B W
P W
P L
B W
B L
P W
B W
P W
B W
P W
P L
B W
P W
P L
B W
P W
B W
-
P W
P L
P L
P
B
P W
P L
P W
B
B L
B W
B
B
B
P
B W
P W
B W
B L
B W
P
B W
P W
B W

All three waves or sequences are connected, you might name them turning points or sections, same thing.

a) Singles and series of two
b) Singles and series of three or higher
c) Series of two and series of three or higher

How do you catch the red line, the dominant event that is part of the past and the future?
Well if you first get singles and series of three and higher and next wave or sequence is series of two and series of three or higher.
Then the third wave should be one of both as two out of three dominant more than not overall.
This gives you a sense of knowing what comes next.

I will show you today's random org file where you can see for your self.
To the right, I will write 1/2 for singles and a series of two.
1/3 for singles and series of three or higher
2/3 for series of two and series of three or higher.

Section and turning points:

1/2 A
2/3 C
1/3 B
2/3 C
1/3 B
2/3 C
1/2 A
1/3 B
1/2 A
Triplet
Triplet
1/2 A
1/3 B
1/2 A
1/3 B
1/2 A
1/3 B
1/2 A
2/3 C
1/3 B
Triplet
1/3 B
1/2 A
2/3 C
1/2 A
2/3 C
1/3 B
1/2 A

Above we have 2 waves or sequences following each other with past and future results for ten times in a row.
Amazing bias, a true large bias that connected two sequences with each other.

More to come ...
#36
Baccarat Forum / Baccarat Selections!
April 13, 2019, 05:03:37 PM

This topic is about baccarat selections, with explanations when and why to bet.
First out will be one side play using the "most common" using the shoe bias sequences.

Cheers
#37
Baccarat Forum / Re: Hit & Run
March 23, 2019, 10:31:12 AM
This is the Sputnik's March Delux.
There is three no more or less.

Then we can call them three waves, events, elements, sequences.
One sequence/event is where you have one isolated single between two series.

BBB P BB or PP B PPPP

The second sequence/event is where you have two series after each other.

PPP BB or BBB PPP

The thirs sequence/event is where you have two singles or more after each other.

B P B P or P B P

Now if one sequence repeats you have a double.
Each sequence/event has a 33% chance to show.
And you can cover two with 66% with two attempts, win or break even.

That is the selection.

Reversal is something else, when you reach -2 units and doesn't win or break even.
Then you have 83% chance to get back to zero, break even, one reversal.

I test two different selections and end up with good results.
This can be random fluctuation and luck.
So is up to you to do the same.

I start Roulette Extreme and begin a session.
If I win I stop and start a new session.
Same if I break even.

This way you simulate your personal permanence.
Hit & Run.

Here is a short sample from random org today. One shoe +7 units flat betting.
But I would not play this way on a rolling basis, win and change table.
Then the bad sequence has to catch up with you and not the other way around.
So this example is only for illustration.


2
1
2
2
1
1 W +1
1
1
2
1 W +1
2
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
2
2 W +1
2
2
1
2 W +1
1
1
2
2 W +1
1
2 W +1
2
2
2
1
2 L -1
2 L -2
1
1
2
1 W -1
2
1
1
2
2 W +0
1
2 W +1
1
2
2
1
2 L -1
1 L -2
1
2
2
1
2 W -1
1
2
1
2
2
1
2 L -2
2 W -1
1
2 L -2
2 L -3
1
2
1
2
2
1
1 W -2
2
2 L -3
2
1
2 W -2
2
1
1 W -1
2
1 W +0
1
#38
Baccarat Forum / Re: Hit & Run
March 21, 2019, 04:54:30 PM

One other way to use Sputnik's march is to play against bias sequence to develop.
Then you have 66% to win or break even.

Again I like the idea to stop after one reversal as you get 83% of them.
The last test gave me two losing sessions with -8 units and 98 sessions that won or break even.

The main idea comes from one topic talking about the Johnson Progression where one member state that you will get less variance where the selection is tilted in your favour.
In this case, you would play against one event/sequence to repeat twice or more.

You can compare the situation to dozens on a roulette table.
Each time you get a new dozen to hit you win and each time a dozen repeat you lose.
Only convert that into 1/3 principal using sequential betting.

Cheers
#39
Baccarat Forum / Re: Hit & Run
March 21, 2019, 03:24:18 PM

That's correct - I also notice some difference with theory and real play.
Even one famous legend says the same thing - Playing the game change the game.

Cheers
#40
Baccarat Forum / Re: Hit & Run
March 16, 2019, 10:14:10 AM

There is no selection that he uses, but I test one among others and they all should have the same results.

Cheers
#41
Baccarat Forum / Re: Hit & Run
March 15, 2019, 03:16:02 PM

I use Philip Koetsch book as a reference when testing to compare results.
If I am not hovering around +10 units and -8 units overall I know I have something.
But we all know that all selections should have an equal chance, that is why Philip Koetsch results apply to anything you test.

Cheers
#42
Baccarat Forum / Hit & Run
March 14, 2019, 08:42:17 PM

I have a book that says that average loss is -8 units flat betting for 60.000 trails.
Around 83% include at least one reversal.

Test one selection and won 99 sessions out of 100.


Won +60
Lose -8
break even 39


Cheers
#43
Baccarat Forum / Re: Sputnik's March
March 13, 2019, 07:18:27 PM
 I take small steps in the right direction with Sputnik's March.
Now two losses or less is the threshold.

I will explain the following observations so you understand when and where and why to bet.
This is the sections and turning points.

When you see one sequence starts with two singles or more you skip that sequence as non-playable.
Let me list them one by one.

a) Singles and series of two is one entering point that results in two losses if it fails to become bias.
b) Singles and series of three or higher is one entering point that results in two losses if it fails to become bias.
c) Series of two and one single is one entering point that results in two losses if it fails to become bias.
d) Series of three or higher and one single is one entering point that results in two loses if it fails to become bias.
e) Series of two and a series of three or higher is one entering point that results in two loses if it fails to become bias.
f) Series of three and higher and series of two is one entering point that results in two loses if it fails to become bias.

When you see singles and any kind of series you follow both with two bets to cover both situations to repeat once more and avoid triplet (one of each) following the principal of 1/3.

W LW W W W LW W LW W LW LW LW W W W LW W LL LW W W LL W

Today's random org file.

1
1
2
2
1 W
1
1

2
1
2
1
1
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
1

2
2
2
2
2
1
2
2 L
2 W
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
1
1

2
2
1
2
1 W
2
1
1
2
2
1
1

2
2
2
2
1
2
1 W
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
1

2
2
1
1
2 W
1
2
1
2
1
2
2
1
2
1

2
2
2
2
1
1
2 L
2 W
1
1
1
2
2
2
2

1
2
2
2
1
  W
2
2
1
2
2 L
1 W

2
2
2
1
2
1 W

2
2
1
2
2 L
1 W
2
1
1

2
2
2
1
2
2 L
2 W
2
1
1
1

2
2
1
2
2 L
1 W
1
2
1
2
1
1

2
2
2
1
1
1 W
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
2

1
1
2
2
1 W
1
2
2
1
2

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2 W
2
2
1

2
2
1
1
1 L
1
1
1
2
2 W
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
1
1

2
1
1
1
2
1 W
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2

1
1
2
1
1 L
1 L
1
1
1

2
2
2
1
2
2 L
2 W
1
2

1
1
2
1
  W
2
2
2
2
1
1
1 W
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1

2
2
1
2
2 L
2 L

1
1
1
2
2
2 W
1
2



#44

+1 and reversal +0 works most of the times, but sooner or later the sequence comes and gives you -8 or any value you set as stop loss.
You might win +13 and get -8 and then again +10 and again -8 and sooner or later you will find your self at even plus-minus the house edge.

The test has already been done with 1.7 house edge for 60.000 trails flat betting.
I can only see one way around this dilemma and achieve one-year gambling with no loss or even more, but then is not flat betting anymore.
My conclusion is that you can use a level accumulation strategy.

Cheers
#45
AsymBacGuy / Re: Baccarat unbeatable plan #1
February 21, 2019, 07:55:06 PM

Assume you not betting and just want to see the true bias of shoe.

Then singles are by them self as outcomes.
Series of two are by them self as outcomes.
And series of three and higher are treated as the same outcome.

Then you get the principal of 1/3

Now assume you would split each sequence into blocks of two events.

For example you see B P B PPPP BBBBB P B PPP then this is a sequence with two events/outcomes - singles and series of three and higher.
Now look at this sequence BB PP B P BB P B P B P B is a sequence with singles and series of two.
The third sequence is series of two and series of three and higher BB PPP BB PPPPPP BB PP BB PPPPPP BBB PP.

Now if a sequence not include two events/outcomes for three times in a row - a true small bias sequence you will have a triplet - no present bias.

Triplet look like this.

One single and serie of two and one serie of three or higher.
The triplets can come in any combination, one of each.

This means you can compare sequence with two otucomes hitting three times or more creating a true bias or you get a triplet.

Cheers