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Messages - Sputnik

#61
AsymBacGuy / Re: Baccarat unbeatable plan #1
November 29, 2018, 09:21:14 AM

Jimske you have to understand that I have not developed or made a weighted count system, I only show examples of regression.
I want to explore this territory and see if I can create a weighted count system and share it.
But nothing is complete or under construction.

Cheers

 
#62
General Discussion / Re: Function of a Roulette Forum
November 07, 2018, 05:37:13 PM

Kimo Li I read the first post of this topic and want to make some comments.

I don't feel there is anything wrong with selling and think such section should be allowed at all gambling forums.
Roulette-forum dot cc has one.

Problem with selling is that you only have the creators word and promise that there is a working method.
It is very rare that you find some members backing up such creator in public.

For example, Hi, I buy Doctor Tom's Baccarat system and it works.
In reality, you see someone that wants to trade Doctor Tom's losing system for something else or just posting a free copy of the strategy for everyone to see.
That method goes for 700$

I spent over 10 years on gambling forums and I have never seen anyone say, Hi my name is X and I buy this system and win more then I lose.
And no one has shared such a thing in private, the word should go around if there was such a method.

But I have seen free topics from different creators where they have become several pages long with several thousands of views.
Where members report success and among them.
With decent knowledge, you can win using that particular method.

Here are two examples.

I once read an old test from a roulette competition and the winner was Izak Dozen System.
And in second place another method.
I email the person who was involved in this test and the systems were given to me for free.

At forum Roulette-Forum dot com you have a person who won 30K using his method.
That is everything else than pure luck and other members report success using the method.
Is free and anyone can copy and paste the information and simulate and practice before real play with real money.

I know this is rare, but anyone who is prepared to do their homework can find great things on gambling forums.
First, you look for a post with several thousands of views and then you look and confirm that the topic has several replies that indicate long discussion.
Those topics include tweaks and the original and improvements that can make a complex roulette mind happy.

It takes time to find such topics, some are pure garbage and some are a goldmine, my opinion.

Cheers
#63
AsymBacGuy / Re: Baccarat unbeatable plan #1
November 06, 2018, 05:19:50 PM

There is no need to tell anything, you are just like all the others.
Hello, my name is and I can flat betting and win more then I lose, nonsense.
You can not outguess 50/50 that is just ridiculous.

But I will not offend you and say that you are lying, I will just say that we can agree on that we disagree with each other.

Cheers
#64
AsymBacGuy / Re: Baccarat unbeatable plan #1
November 02, 2018, 05:38:30 PM
Quote from: Eight Iron on November 02, 2018, 11:22:14 AM
I am up net 60 units this year, flat betting.  I had similar results last year as well.

Was up net 74 units until yesterday, when two virtual machines beat me.  Lesson learned.

I buy in for ten units, and use a twenty unit bankroll.

Progressions, and systems such and Lebouchere and Oscars Grind, D alembert, and others, will destroy you. They add nothing to overall wins, and increase risk of ruin and variance exponentially.

That is why casinos love system players.

Unlike Blackjack, there is never any mathematical reason to justify using a progression in Baccarat.

You just post words that add nothing to the subject, AsymBacGuy shows a very nice way to tackle even money bets and you just go on with nonsense.
I don't want to offend you, but I saw so many wannabes posting there success flat betting, but never have i seen anyone of those posting how they flat betting.

Hope you get the picture.
Next time you might want to add something with substance to the discussion.
#65
AsymBacGuy / Re: Baccarat unbeatable plan #1
October 31, 2018, 03:12:05 PM

Well 75% strike ratio give you two wins W W and one break-even LW and two loses LL
When the 3 in 4 ratio chop you get at least two wins in a row in most situations to allow you to use a very smooth staking plan.

I am testing this using a variant of the Star-progression, Carsh variant.

Cheers
#66
AsymBacGuy / Re: Baccarat unbeatable plan #1
October 10, 2018, 07:06:30 AM

Hi AS I like your method very much, I will just share one thing I notice - the LW does not have to generate a win, they can be left as break even when wagering and one single win after a LW create two in a row LW W and is very common or you get two direct wins W W. This means you can wagering 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 and so on ... very smooth progression winning two in a row.

I have been testing both sides at the same time to speed up the selection process to get a quicker feel for what I am up against.
Been using 300 trails samples with TRNG.

The selection works great and I sometimes peak at +6 or +8 with a 300 sample that would be several shoes in a row.
But I also have been having samples with strong variance, but then I did not have to place higher bets then 2 units and peak at +2 or +4 units.

Cheers
#67
AsymBacGuy / Re: Baccarat unbeatable plan #2
October 06, 2018, 06:55:00 PM

Jimski I am not talking about P single or double P after 3+ I talk about the doubles method.

Quote
PPP (LL)
B
PPPP (LL)
BB
PPPPP (LL)
BBB
P (W)
B
PPPPPPP (LL)
BB
P (W)
B
PP (LW)
BBBB
P (W)
BB
P (W)
BBBB
PPPP (LL)

My note ...
Lugi post this shoe and AsumBagGuy give a clear explanation and I follow and understand.

Quote
In the shoe you posted Lugi (thanks for your interest) and not taking into account additional important shoe per shoe long term statistical situations, I would have won every hand with my #2 plan.

First BB is followed by BBB (W)

Second BB is followed by B (W)

Third BB is followed by BBBB (W)

This is just a "normal" deviation as a fictional player betting after any B double against another B double is W=3 and L=0


When I read this I understand that he only played for three doubles in a row, one double as a trigger and the other two should become 3+
Using 1-2 progression or multilayered progression.

Quote
Notice that a second fictional player betting against a BB, BB sequence hadn't the opportunity to bet and the same is true for a fictional player betting against a third BB, BB, BB sequence.

After the cutoff point of BB, BB, BB my plan is over, I'm not chasing or hoping to get situations coming out very unlikely. (Strings of 5, 6 or more B doubles could come out sooner or later.



#68
AsymBacGuy / Re: Baccarat unbeatable plan #2
October 06, 2018, 01:08:14 PM

AssymBacGuy I have a method based upon this principals, it dictates to wait for two doubles to hit, then bet for 3+ for the next three coming doubles.
So you betting against five doubles to show in a row without hitting a 3+.

Now I want to grasp your method and fully understand your concept.
You say that we should use a 1-2 progression, what do you mean by that, should we wait for two doubles to hit before attacking against four in a row or do you mean we should start after one fictive double and bet against three doubles not becoming 3+.

Cheers
#69
AsymBacGuy / Re: Baccarat unbeatable plan #1
October 02, 2018, 02:22:21 AM

Hello AS ... I have some question and I hope you can help me solve them.

You wrote in the beginning:

Quote
We'll bet a 1-2 unit progression whenever a P single or a P double had come out, in order to get at least a two P 1-2 clustered succession in any order. After winning the first (single) or second (double) event, we stop the betting waiting for another 1 or 2 P situation and going over and over. Meaning we have to wait a 3+ appearance cutting the pattern.

And in the reply above you say that you are conservative and flat betting.

Question 1: Assume I want to stick to the original idea of playing 1-2 progression, then what happens after two losses, in some way I need to use a smooth progression without implementing Marty 100% I mean I can not start flat betting after using 1-2 progression, there has to be another way wagering the money?

Question 2: You say you use a conservative method flat betting. Do this mean you win and break even with WIN and LOSS WIN patterns W/LW and only raise the money when you encounter negative variance?

Cheers
#70
Even chance / Re: Lost
September 30, 2018, 07:01:02 AM

Welcome to the forum!

I watch your excel sheet, but can not help you, if you don't explain the method.

Cheers
#71
AsymBacGuy / Re: Baccarat unbeatable plan #1
September 27, 2018, 04:56:46 PM
Let me put it like this, how would you wagering your money ...
For example multiple levels:


1 2

1 3

2 4

2 6

3 6

3 9

4 8

4 12

5 10

5 15

7 14

7 21

9 18

9 27

12 24

12 36

15 30

15 45

Soxfan always talks about big bankroll and all in ...
#72
AsymBacGuy / Re: Baccarat unbeatable plan #1
September 27, 2018, 03:11:48 PM

AsumBacGuy I want to say thank you for a nice topic.
Wondering if you could give a concrete example of the staking plan.

There are so many variations!

Cheers
#73
General Discussion / Re: Regarding Beatthecasino.
September 24, 2018, 02:55:28 PM
Quote from: CT70 on September 22, 2018, 04:51:10 PM
Glen,for your information, BTC does not sell or endorse systems. It is just a forum where players can chat about baccarat. Novices have access to professional players who enjoy helping new players. Like any business, the owner Keith is entitled to charge a fee for membership. He must be doing something right if 42% of his members are paying members.
There are several professional players there that play for a living.
I think it's time your members stop bashing BTC and call it what it really is, "a great Baccarat forum where you can learn from professional players".

Problem is that some members have been around for several years and still can not flat betting and win that way, for example Brad.
That is 600 Euro a year community and you don't learn from others than just your common average methods.

My opinion
#74
Math & Statistics / Re: 3 different dozens within 3 spins
September 16, 2018, 04:22:38 PM

There is a nice selection process betting both repeats and tripel.
I will see if I find the topic, is a classic old school system that can be to some inspiration to develop further.

Cheers
#75

Nick, I send you a personal message!

Cheers