Our members are dedicated to PASSION and PURPOSE without drama!

Menu

Show posts

This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.

Show posts Menu

Messages - Ted009

#16
Baccarat Forum / Re: Dare to Win--Scared to Lose
October 08, 2017, 09:35:28 AM
This is a sound advice from the real baccarat player. Thank you, Lungyeh, for sharing it! God bless!

Quote from: Lungyeh on October 08, 2017, 02:49:17 AM
Life is as you make it out to be. When can play baccarat on a social basis and the texture of the game would still be the same.

One can play baccarat on a professional basis in which case it is like running a business. And running a business, in most cases, would be life consuming. You live, breathe, sleep and eat business. Most people who has started a business or two would attest to that. Of course, you have the freedom of choice to be an employee and not consume your life with what you consider unnecessary. God bless.
#17
I saw one www2.aa2888.com with 33 seconds.
#18
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Kudos System
August 21, 2017, 09:58:26 PM
My first reaction on his every day winning claim was "if this man had won every day as he claimed", why does he need other people's money to gamble?

I have not seen his report on a loss yet and in baccarat, that is darn impressive to say the least.


Quote from: alrelax on August 21, 2017, 03:36:17 PM
I watched the earlier videos, this 3rd one I skimmed through it. 

I am concerned as I was for the members here that are not 'seasoned' and believe what they read or are easily influenced.  The same as I was in Stephen Tabone's advertisements and claims.

In this case the Videos, I see a solicitation to join the author's investment club and fuel him with gambling funds.  I do not see any evidence of results, wins, guarantees or otherwise the 'end result' of his publicizing efforts here on our website.
#19
Baccarat Forum / Re: Diminishing Probablity
April 26, 2017, 12:01:11 AM
Forgive my bad English, I meant people who bragged or gloated and claimed to know everything:))


uote author=alrelax

link=topic=7885.msg55302#msg55302 date=1493126616]
Something I have definitively defined in my own baccarat handbook of playing is, "Diminishing Probability".  I also call it 'unraveling' what has happened.  So many players, so many countless times will either wager with the streaks/chops or against them.  And of course, the newer way of playing I have talked about lately, is the players constantly wagering for the cut, wagering against the streak or repeat and then when it does cut-they wager for the repeat.  Always the opposite of the result, not the banker or player--hope you understand because that is really what the majority are doing. 

You have to look at the 1st half versus the 2nd half or the 'Sections' as I have also very explicitly defined in other threads, that is the ONLY way you can apply 'diminishing probability' to the shoe and wager on it.

The larger a trend/bias last, the less likely it becomes favorable to continue.  The trend/bias becomes depleted and simply ceases the domination of whatever it was creating and happened.  (So many will blast this and say, it is impossible to predict.  However, that is not what this does, this will allow yourself to view what will ultimately happen, as you will not have 70 Bankers and 11 Players or say 60 Bankers and 16 Players, when the Bankers get to 30 Bankers and 11 Players for example.)

Impending changes to the positive momentum.  The time to notice them and adhere to them (wager with them) is when they start, don't be amazed when you wager with the previous or current bias and then it straightened out and changed back to the classical 'normal' or no trend/bias. 

That is just an example.  It is very real and it is very workable if you truly have an open mind and stop all the wagering theory of pre-set wagers.  This is going with the shoe rather than against it or praying it keeps doing something.
[/quote]
#20
Baccarat Forum / Re: Diminishing Probablity
April 25, 2017, 11:28:32 PM
Your Asian friend is a good man. I can feel his good heart.

I learned through all these years that baccarat is also a mind game. One of our good members, Lungyeh, has spelled out the "Peace and Calm" when we play the game. Gosh, in retrospect, I feel ashamed in looking back about my mistakes at the table, LOL.
To me a good player is a consistent winner who never talks much and has the most disciplines and patience. He is calmly playing and he knows what he is doing at the table. I don't admire those who wins big and then loses all the next day but I do admire the consistent winner. Baccarat is a tough game to beat and it has to do with the peace and calm attitude as well, that is, the mind game. Just my two cent..

quote author=Wewin2222 link=topic=7885.msg55309#msg55309 date=1493159983]
Alrelax, if you play Baccarat long enough and I'm sure you have, you have to come up with something that works for you the player. I was have lunch with a Asian friend of mine and he was buying which he tends to always do not sure why but anyway I digress. I asked him a simple question, keep in mind this man has been a steady Baccarat Player going on 30 years. I asked him when the shoe does 3 Bankers in a row how do you know if it is going to break or continue to run. Answer: I don't know, nobody know's, we are all the same. I play my own style of Baccarat which is a Multii System with card reading mixed into my game. I have spent more hours studying this game than I care to admit, yes I have lost sleep, and I have a few more gray hairs. I do like the hit and run method. I have some very strong feelings and thoughts about Baccarat but I want get into them right now. I did want to mention before I close, People that I would consider good players have spent time studying and playing the game and in general they follow what is happening in the shoe.  I will asked a rhetorical question, what is the definition of a good baccarat player, would it be a player that wins the most hands or leaves with the most money? Have a good day Sir!!

Wewin2222
[/quote]
#21
Baccarat Forum / Re: Going Pro
April 25, 2017, 01:36:27 PM
I agreed with you Alrelax. Anybody who claims that he or she never losses is insane.
One pro player can lose 7- 14 days straight and what does that player do? He or she limited his or her losses to the minimum. I know it is easier said then done.
I know one man by the name of John in my area. I have played baccarat with him numerous times. His source of income is baccarat. I kid you not. By the time he made his first bet, I already lost thousands, lol. Yup, he has gotten the most disciplines that I know of.
He was not that friendly to me after I failed many times at the tables with him. I used that as my learning curve.


quote author=alrelax

link=topic=7884.msg55301#msg55301 date=1493125352]
Meaning full time, no job and relying on casino gaming wins for your income.

In short and reality:

There are numerous stories of card counters and people who study out of balance roulette wheels who did well until the casinos caught on and eliminated their edge.   Sports bettors operating with superior information, particularly Billy Walters, can make a lot of money because they actually have an edge in what is still a game of chance.  To make a living playing poker requires superior skill matched up against inferior players.   Most of the people claiming to make a living are experiencing a temporary winning streak, the longevity of which can be extended by infrequent play.   There are also numerous promoters selling their books or tout sheets who should be looked at with a healthy dose of skepticism.

As far as baccarat, all I can say is it is similar to poker.  Meaning, if you are experienced and really know what can happen--then the house becomes the other skilled player. 

The successful gamblers would be laying low.

If you go into a casino risking 10 million dollars looking to win only $100,000 a year, the odds are good you could probably be "successful" and get away with it before you ever died. If you believe you can take thousands of dollars into a casino and win tens of thousands and continue doing that week after week, you have some serious waking up to do.  Others will try, but you would just be fooling yourself.

I said it before on here, gambling, wagering, playing a game against the house, whatever it might be-it is the same thing as a bunch of NASCAR race teams all lined up to race.  Supposedly all the cars are equal.  The drivers are all great and all have a tremendous amount of skill.  Some will win and some will lose.  On the following weekend, the same ones might win once again and continue winning for a while or that same one can just as easily lose for an equal or a greater period of time. Doesn't mean the ones that did win are any more talented that the ones that lost.  Their is chance involved, which some might also call luck.  But there is definitely chance involved in all casino games that a 'system' or a 'bet placement method' can not conquer.
[/quote]
#22
Baccarat Forum / Re: Asymbacguy basic approach
April 25, 2017, 12:21:03 PM
Quote from: Patience777 on April 25, 2017, 11:02:29 AM
I gave my system to Ted only so far and he might have given it to a few people also. (no bigee)

Of course I'm worried that someday they will bar me.

If I go into my casino everyday and fleece them out of $90 like I'm trying to earn a living...
Within six months I will be a gone! (I believe)
But for right now...
The casinos' A$$ is grass and I'm the Lawn Mower! LOL
That's a saying I learned at the Texas Hold'em tables. 

Cheers to everyone and remember to Hit and Run! :)
[/quot

No, I have not given your system to anyone. I will not give it to anyone either.
#23
Baccarat Forum / Re: Asymbacguy basic approach
April 25, 2017, 02:28:24 AM
Quote from: AsymBacGuy on April 24, 2017, 11:13:01 PM
Let's say we are machines wagering against another machine.

The game seems to be a coin flip succession but we know that itlr B>P by every simple or complex BP distribution.

We know that a coin flip succession cannot be beaten by any means.

I repeat it: any coin flip succession cannot be beaten by any means.

If baccarat might be beaten it's because it isn't a coin flip succession.

I repeat it: if baccarat might be beaten it's because it isn't a coin flip succession.

B is more prevalent than P as B includes hands where it has a mathematical advantage due to the rules. It happens just 8.6% of the times.

So B won't be advantaged 100% of the times, neither 50% of the times, neither 20% of the times.
Moreover B won't be 100% advantaged on such 8.6% total hands. Just by a 15.6% percentage.

Simple deduction: regularly wagering B side won't get us any control of the game as there's a lot of variance.

In order to win we need to control the variance.

Hence we need a further hint: distribution and frequency of B related patterns and P related patterns.

Simplest next step is considering B and P patterns in term of B streaks (more prevalent than B singles) and P singles (more prevalent than P streaks).

So a B streak of 2 banker hands in a row will be considered as a B streak of 25 or 30.

The same about P singles: a P single will be considered as a succession of 10-15 or 20 P singles in a row.

In a word, any B streak and/or any P single will be our new simplest targets to look for.

We do not want to guess MANY hands. We do want to guess the least possible amount of hands favoring the construction of the simplest patterns: B streaks and P singles.

Since the random world won't accomplish our simple task everytime, besides the first stop win (the production of just one B streak and/or just one P single) we need to put a stop loss during our endeavour.
We don't want to lose many bets looking for B streaks and P singles when a shoe continues to produce the counterparts. But we need to accept the fact that many positive outcomes will be disregarded by not betting as we cannot know when and how much they will materialize.

The most deviated situations we could expect to are single shoes not presenting one B streak (impossible feature) and no one P single (very very very very unlikely situation, still a possible situation).

The probability to get two consecutive shoes not featuring such situations (no B streaks and no P singles) is not existent.

So we know that no one shoe will form only B singles and that no two consecutive shoes will rule out at least one P single apparition.

Of course we could easily get a shoe forming 10 B singles, one B streak and another 10 or more B singles and many other distributions strongly deviating the "natural" outcomes.
And naturally a couple of long P streaks happening on a single shoe will reduce the probability to get P singles as those streaks are reducing the situations to get them.

In a word, we don't know when and how many B streaks and/or P singles will take place, even if we put at minimum our goal.

To reduce the variance we need a further step.

B streaks clusters (consecutive B streaks of two or more) are more likely than single B streaks (B streaks preceded and followed by one or more B singles) and the same is true about P singles (P singles clusters are more likely than P singles interpoled by two or more P streaks).

If we hadn't to pay the 5% vig, a general plan wagering those patterns will get more B streaks clusters than the counterparts and the same it's true about P singles clusters vs the opposite situation.

Actually if we hadn't to pay the 5% vig, we'll get a sure advantage simply betting B side everytime but here the variance will be very high, so high that we could be behind after 10k or even 20k resolved bets.

So I'm enhancing the issue that in some selected situations the most likely event will be slight more "likely" in relationship of what happened in the past per every shoe.

If anyone is interested about this topic I will continue.

as. 


Asymbacguy's approach makes sense and is practical. I used his at the table while I was overseas. I won more than I lost. This was combined with how the shoe was performing according to Arelax's guidances.

I am no way an expert on this game. I am just a regular player who tries to absorb and learn from all the good folks here. Experiences (over 14 years) at the table have taught me well. Baccarat is not a one size-fit all game. I must be mindful of the table, the bad vibes or the dealer's attitude, etc. If I don't feel like playing at that particular table, I move to another one.

I am a proactive player. I am open to all the teachings and guidances. You all have been so nice and helpful to me whenever I have questions or want to learn new things.  I am forever grateful to those good men who always helped me. Thank you all.





























   


 













   
#24
Baccarat Forum / Re: Asymbacguy basic approach
April 25, 2017, 01:30:09 AM
Quote from: Patience777 on April 25, 2017, 12:16:59 AM
AsymBacGuy...  I will agree that you cannot beat the game by trying to "out guess" the shoe.

So everyone needs to invent or come up with a betting system that does not involve them trying to "out guess" the shoe.

I have a betting system that beats the game and there is no guessing involved.  I gave it to Ted. (ask him if you don't believe me)

But do I want everyone in the country using it? No of course not!

After glancing quickly thru your two posts I'm still trying to figure out what your point is that you are trying to get at.

Yes, Patience has given his system to me. Thank you Patience. 
#25
Baccarat Forum / Re: dedicated to Ted009
April 24, 2017, 03:58:54 AM
Quote from: alrelax on April 24, 2017, 03:37:42 AM
Without failure, VICTORY is..............

         Unappreciated...
" Where there is a will, there is a way."

#26
Quote from: Patience777 on April 16, 2017, 05:48:04 PM
Happy Easter to all the Baccarat Players!

I am a champion Hearts player also. LOL

The cribbage game ain't bad either.

https://cardgames.io/hearts/
The same to you Patience 777!
#27
Baccarat Forum / Re: Psych of Winning at Baccarat
April 14, 2017, 04:30:53 AM
Quote from: Lungyeh on April 14, 2017, 03:13:36 AM
DARE TO WIN. SCARED TO LOSE.

NOT

SCARED TO WIN AND DARE TO LOSE.

Peace I leave you. My peace I give you

Casinos are there to get our hard earned money. They are doing everything they can to make us falling into their traps. Be aware my fellow players. They are not our friends.
#28
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Players
April 04, 2017, 01:24:45 AM
Quote from: AsymBacGuy on April 04, 2017, 12:11:47 AM
Hi Ted!

I have to ask Vic if we could make an arrangement about offering the book right on this site.
At least I'll be insulted by people who I know.  ^-^

as.
I hope there are more support than the insults.
#29
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Players
April 04, 2017, 12:49:33 AM
Quote from: Eight Iron on April 04, 2017, 12:35:44 AM
According to Eliot Jacobsen Ph.D., counting the Dragon bet in E-Z Bac gives the player an 8% edge.

Articles on counting: 
https://www.888casino.com/blog/apheat/all-apheat-posts/
Thank you Eight Iron.
#30
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Players
April 03, 2017, 02:14:59 AM
Thank you AS. I sincerely thank you for all your help. I want to read your book. Can you please make an exception to sell one book outside Vegas?
Regards,
Ted