Slacker...you know my christian name but I don't think you know my surname I will PM
No Im not a scot....lol...and btw...the other half of Harley Davidson was English.

6th attempt to type this.I am actually typing in the dark and waiting 30 seconds to see what I typed
I think the site looks cluttered. I much prefer the simple VLS or CC. But before you fix all these annoying basic typing issues, can you priorotize an icon that depicts a sad chicken holding a grapefruit dressed as Henry VIII (the chicken not the grapefruit) This is by far the most urgent.

I always like this piece....gawdd...even half of Harley Davidson was Scottish!!

Wha's Like Us - Damn Few And They're A' Deid


The average Englishman, in the home he calls his castle, slips into his national costume, a shabby raincoat, patented by chemist Charles Macintosh from Glasgow, Scotland. En route to his office he strides along the English lane, surfaced by John Macadam of Ayr, Scotland.

He drives an English car fitted with tyres invented by John Boyd Dunlop of Dreghorn, Scotland, arrives at the station and boards a train, the forerunner of which was a steam engine, invented by James Watt of Greenock, Scotland. He then pours himself a cup of coffee from a thermos flask, the latter invented by Dewar, a Scotsman from Kincardine-on-Forth.

At the office he receives the mail bearing adhesive stamps invented by James Chalmers of Dundee, Scotland.

During the day he uses the telephone invented by Alexander Graham Bell, born in Edinburgh, Scotland.

At home in the evening his daughter pedals her bicycle invented by Kirkpatrick Macmillan, blacksmith of Dumfries, Scotland.

He watches the news on his television, an invention of John Logie Baird of Helensburgh, Scotland, and hears an item about the U.S. Navy, founded by John Paul Jones of Kirkbean, Scotland.

He has by now been reminded too much of Scotland and in desperation he picks up the Bible only to find that the first man mentioned in the good book is a Scot, King James VI, who authorised its translation.

Nowhere can an Englishman turn to escape the ingenuity of the Scots.

He could take to drink, but the Scots make the best in the world.

He could take a rifle and end it all but the breech-loading rifle was invented by Captain Patrick of Pitfours, Scotland.

If he escapes death, he might then find himself on an operating table injected with penicillin, which was discovered by Alexander Fleming of Darvel, Scotland, and given an anaesthetic, which was discovered by Sir James Young Simpson of Bathgate, Scotland.

Out of the anaesthetic, he would find no comfort in learning he was as safe as the Bank of England founded by William Paterson of Dumfries, Scotland.

Perhaps his only remaining hope would be to get a transfusion of guid Scottish blood which would entitle him to ask "Wha's Like Us".

@Slacker
I recon Bayes could have you in a scrap.

Al.....

You can't change people. You can only change yourself. You have to keep your friends close and your enemies even closer.

Everyone is a teacher and everyone has a use.

A forum is diverse. Some can't help being aggressive, some can't help trying to make a joke out of everything.

Just chill out over peoples comments. It just makes you more grumpy.

You are grumpy enough as it is 

Quote from: Albalaha on September 01, 2014, 01:51:58 PM
Please show one such strategy of yours that does, we simulate it and you will no longer be a winner. [smiley]aes/stop.png[/smiley]

But you can say that....lol

Rolex...if its offensive, then delete...agreed?...but I see stuff (like slacker wrote) , I will refer to it at a later date....so I don't agree in deleting good content.


Shame the one I posted where I offered to BACS £200 into everyones account was lost....never mind.

I did the same  for lines in statistics. Seeing all 12 lines is useless. Should be a tick for Show only Natural lines. Same for splits, like they did with sectors (show only contiguous sectors)



never heard a thing.

Slacker..... variance makes a Monkey out of Maths was an attempt at sarcasm.....a failed attempt it would seem.

Slacker..  Im loving the new roulette wheel analogy....and on his 37th test....he would notice around 24 numbers had shown and 13 hadnt

@ leapy....I'll take 8-1
@ iggiv...your view is based on belief not maths. You wouldn't get numbers like that because of normal distibution....they are too high standard deviation from the mean to exist on the bell curve.

Slacker puts the same thing I said another way...and his right.


But....what does become easier to comprehend is the fact that a normal looking RRBRBRRRBBRBRBBBBBRRBBRRRBRRRBRRBRBB had a 0.0000000005% chance of showing.

Quote from: Albalaha on August 20, 2014, 07:01:48 PM
         Why such minuscule chance to happen if it is no way connected to past spins and results? Are you trying to redefine probability? I have heard that if there are 10 reds in arrow, 11th is equally likely and roulette wheel or ball can't recall past happenings. There should even be 100s of hits in succession, this way. Is there a boundary that roulette looks at without eyes and mind?
   All past events are unconnected and every spin is having same chances to hit red or black. Are we missing something?
                Mathematically, I am hearing two things, first say even 100s in a row possible since we should not take past into account, other saying 36 in a row is once in billions. Which one is correct?

Nice post subject by the way


Well, its hard to understand I know....and harder to explain.


Forgive me if you know this, but the probability of the next 2 coin flips being both heads is 1/2 x 1/2= 1/4 or 25%.....for a fair coin


Now more basically ...the probability of 1 coin flip is 1/2. One possible outcome = H or T (we are only interested in H, but there is T also)
But to predict 2 flips, there are 4 possibilities = HH, HT, TH, TT (we are only interested in HH, but there are 3 others also)


You have to account for those 4 possibilities, and the way to do that is multiply the 2 odds.


0.5 x 0,5 = 0.25, or....(speaking about my second flip) my 50% chance now has a 50% chance = 25%"


So imagine 36 heads in a row? what are the combinations? (remember HH, HT, TH, TT for 2 flips?)


well lets start, and I will be here until next year.


1. HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH (we are only interested in this...all Heads...but there are millions of others)
2. THHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
3. HTHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
and so on millions of times.


Now can you see how the chances of 36 blacks in a row is 0.0000000005%, but every spin is 18/37?


Any help?

Quote from: Leapyfrog on August 20, 2014, 03:59:28 PM
Best answer possible without getting into the philosophies of cause and effect, memory etc etc

well...if I pick a number from random.org (1 number pick) then another, and another writing them down, after 37, there will be around 24 hit and 13 not


it didn't have a memory did it?


It just followed the laws of normal distribution and will fit into the 68% +/- 1 Standard Deviation around the mean on the Belle Curve, or may be a bit rare and sit near the top of +/- 2 SD ....perhaps 17 hit, 20 didn't....something like that.


Because a wheel is an open system for all to see, and all the number generation is in the same place, we imagine it has a past. Thinking the past moves to present and on to the future is a human illusion.....in life in general. Yesterday, tomorrow...planning for the future, I wish I was 21 again (I do actually lol)

Quote from: Mr J on August 20, 2014, 02:50:40 PM
Because I don't bet 28 numbers like 73% of the other members......I guess that's why.

Ken

86.34% of statistics are just made up  [smiley]aes/wink.png[/smiley]