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#47
Even chance / Re: Flat Bet for correction
July 13, 2016, 04:18:30 PM
If you have excel just pm your email and i will send it to you
#48
Even chance / Flat Bet for correction
July 13, 2016, 02:25:39 PM
I test my own algorithm to catch correction.
1024 Spins from Random.org, pre-generated randomization 13/07/2016.
I test 12 groups of 18 vs 18 numbers using 3double-streets for each side.
The playing model is based on Cut Point Method
Test is flat-bet until +1 or -3
Judge for yourself and think if you remember getting this kind of LW registry based on any other bet selection.
I can make proof of the results.
W
LWW
W
W
W
W
W
LWLLWLWLWWW
W
LWW
W
LWW
W
LLWWW
LLL
LWW
W
LWW
W
LWLLL
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
LWLWW
W
W
W
LWW
W
LWW
1024 Spins from Random.org, pre-generated randomization 13/07/2016.
I test 12 groups of 18 vs 18 numbers using 3double-streets for each side.
The playing model is based on Cut Point Method
Test is flat-bet until +1 or -3
Judge for yourself and think if you remember getting this kind of LW registry based on any other bet selection.
I can make proof of the results.
W
LWW
W
W
W
W
W
LWLLWLWLWWW
W
LWW
W
LWW
W
LLWWW
LLL
LWW
W
LWW
W
LWLLL
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
LWLWW
W
W
W
LWW
W
LWW
#49
General Discussion / Re: Worse than numerology
June 14, 2015, 10:40:23 PMQuote from: nowun on June 14, 2015, 03:30:24 PM
Ignorant people who are not prepared to open thier minds have a habit of putting down that which they cannot comprehend or do not understand. The earth was flat according to simular thinking people in the past.
Yes and the numerology people provide them wrong!
#50
General Discussion / Re: Strange question about roulette
April 20, 2015, 10:04:08 AMQuote from: Kav on April 20, 2015, 09:23:47 AMTake the money and run!
No, they are totally different questions.
Maximize your winnings in a losing session could be impossible.
But minimizing your winnings in a winning session could be possible.
Now let me put in in a different way:
There are you and another guy on a roulette table. That day the Black has a higher hit rate that Red, something like a 60% hit rate, in every 100 spins, 60 are Black.
Now there comes a guy with a gun in his hand and tells you that you all should keep betting on Black and after 100 spins he will kill the guy the most chips.
What method would you use?
#51
Even chance / Re: Return to the Mean
April 17, 2015, 11:09:03 PMQuote from: Rolex-Watch on April 17, 2015, 09:14:09 AM
Well stated. I was discussing this with sqzbox earlier, soon afterwards I was walking past a Baccarat table and noticed an 8 Player streak, a rare / extreme event I would conclude, this was followed by a few chops, then a 16 P streak,
(only took me 20 mins to type that sentence due to lockups, hey Vic if you produce great software, why is the back engine of this site such a bag of sh1te?)
Yes. And after those 16P streak, there were a few B's for sure, not another 16p streak for sure. And from those B's we are trying to take profit. =)
#52
Even chance / Re: Return to the Mean
April 17, 2015, 12:01:36 AM
Comparing 10vs10 is just a way of gettin a wl string. it works like an ec. And when you seek strong devitation as a trigger, 3 are not enough RB EO HL. this way you can speculate on the win/loss registry of as many ec's you want, making betting more frequent
#53
Even chance / Re: Return to the Mean
April 16, 2015, 11:44:42 PM
23 spins
20 wins
3 losses
20-3/sqrt23 <=> 17/4.79583 = 3.5447
As Win is the overreprsented event and Loss the underrepreseted.
20 wins
3 losses
20-3/sqrt23 <=> 17/4.79583 = 3.5447
As Win is the overreprsented event and Loss the underrepreseted.
#54
Even chance / Re: Return to the Mean
April 16, 2015, 12:49:06 AM
https://www.random.org/integers/?num=5000&min=1&max=2&col=1&base=10&format=plain&rnd=date.2015-04-15
---
spin 462 bet W
+1
---
spin 963 bet w
-9
+7
-3
+5
+1
---
spin 972 bet w
+1
---
spin 3030 bet w
-1
+2
---
spin 4515 bet w
-1
-3
+7
+1
---
spin 4521 bet w
+1
---
spin 4968 bet w
-1
+2
---
+10
---
spin 462 bet W
+1
---
spin 963 bet w
-9
+7
-3
+5
+1
---
spin 972 bet w
+1
---
spin 3030 bet w
-1
+2
---
spin 4515 bet w
-1
-3
+7
+1
---
spin 4521 bet w
+1
---
spin 4968 bet w
-1
+2
---
+10
#55
Even chance / Re: Return to the Mean
April 16, 2015, 12:37:13 AM
https://www.random.org/integers/?num=5000&min=1&max=2&col=1&base=10&format=plain&rnd=date.2015-04-16
---
-21
+22
+7
+1
---
-1
+2
---
+1
---
+1
---
-1
+6
---
+17
---
-21
+22
+7
+1
---
-1
+2
---
+1
---
+1
---
-1
+6
---
+17
#56
Even chance / Re: Return to the Mean
April 14, 2015, 11:19:03 PM
and this is what i observe:
1 - 1 W
2 - 2 L
3 - 2 W
4 - 1 L
5 - 1 L
6 - 2 L
7 - 2 W
8 - 1 W
9 - 1 W
10 - 1 W
11 - 2 L
12 - 1 L
13 - 2 W
14 - 2 L
15 - 2 L
16 - 1 L
17 - 2 W
18 - 2 L
19 - 2 L
20 - 2 L
21 - 1 L
22 - 2 L
23 - 1 L
24 - 2 W
25 - 2 W
26 - 1 W
27 - 2 W
28 - 2 W
29 - 1 L
30 - 2 W
31 - 1 W
32 - 1 L
33 - 1 W
34 - 2 W
35 - 2 W
36 - 1 W
37 - 2 W
38 - 1 L
39 - 1 W
40 - 2 W
41 - 1 W
42 - 1 W
43 - 1 W
44 - 2 W
45 - 2 W
46 - 1 W window of 23 spins +3,54 ecart bet 1 unit on loss
47 - 1 L +1
48 - 1 W
49 - 1 W window of 26 spins +3,53 ecart bet 1 unit on loss
50 - 2 W window of 26 spins +3,53 ecart + window of 27 spins 3,66 ecart -1 / bet 2 units on L
51 - 1 W window of 26,27,28,29 spins with ecarts 3,53 | 3,66 | 3,78 | 3,53 -2 (-3 total) | bet 4 units on L
52 - 2 L window of 29 spins +3,53 ecart +4 (+1 total) | bet 1 unit on L
53 - 2 L +1 (+2 total)
54 - 1 L
55 - 2 W
56 - 1 W
57 - 1 W
58 - 1 W windows 35, 36, 37, 38 with exact same scenario as above ...
59 - 1 W
60 - 2 W
61 - 2 L
62 - 1 L
63 - 1 L
64 - 1 W
65 - 2 W
1 - 1 W
2 - 2 L
3 - 2 W
4 - 1 L
5 - 1 L
6 - 2 L
7 - 2 W
8 - 1 W
9 - 1 W
10 - 1 W
11 - 2 L
12 - 1 L
13 - 2 W
14 - 2 L
15 - 2 L
16 - 1 L
17 - 2 W
18 - 2 L
19 - 2 L
20 - 2 L
21 - 1 L
22 - 2 L
23 - 1 L
24 - 2 W
25 - 2 W
26 - 1 W
27 - 2 W
28 - 2 W
29 - 1 L
30 - 2 W
31 - 1 W
32 - 1 L
33 - 1 W
34 - 2 W
35 - 2 W
36 - 1 W
37 - 2 W
38 - 1 L
39 - 1 W
40 - 2 W
41 - 1 W
42 - 1 W
43 - 1 W
44 - 2 W
45 - 2 W
46 - 1 W window of 23 spins +3,54 ecart bet 1 unit on loss
47 - 1 L +1
48 - 1 W
49 - 1 W window of 26 spins +3,53 ecart bet 1 unit on loss
50 - 2 W window of 26 spins +3,53 ecart + window of 27 spins 3,66 ecart -1 / bet 2 units on L
51 - 1 W window of 26,27,28,29 spins with ecarts 3,53 | 3,66 | 3,78 | 3,53 -2 (-3 total) | bet 4 units on L
52 - 2 L window of 29 spins +3,53 ecart +4 (+1 total) | bet 1 unit on L
53 - 2 L +1 (+2 total)
54 - 1 L
55 - 2 W
56 - 1 W
57 - 1 W
58 - 1 W windows 35, 36, 37, 38 with exact same scenario as above ...
59 - 1 W
60 - 2 W
61 - 2 L
62 - 1 L
63 - 1 L
64 - 1 W
65 - 2 W
#57
Even chance / Re: Return to the Mean
April 14, 2015, 10:55:49 PM
To clarify what i am sugesting. This is how i get the string of wins and losses, a W L registry. I always compare present spin with the 10th last.
example:
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
1 L
1 L
2 L
2 L
2 W
2 L
2 L
2 L
2 W
1 L
1 W
1 W
2 W
1 L
1 L
2 W
2 W
2 W
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 L
1 L
1 W
1 W
2 W
1 L
2 W
2 W
2 W
2 L
example:
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
1 L
1 L
2 L
2 L
2 W
2 L
2 L
2 L
2 W
1 L
1 W
1 W
2 W
1 L
1 L
2 W
2 W
2 W
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 L
1 L
1 W
1 W
2 W
1 L
2 W
2 W
2 W
2 L
#58
Even chance / Re: Return to the Mean
April 13, 2015, 10:06:30 PM
Say u always compare last ten with next ten decisions.
After that u measure std or ecart (as marigny) and you decide to start play at 3.5 std.
I test this in random.org
13/04/2015
L(LL)(wwwww)+2
W +1
W +1
W +1
LL -2
WWWWWW +6
L -1
WWWW +4
----------------
12/04/2015
L
LL
LLLL
LLLLL
WWWWWWW
WWWW
W
(W)
----------------
11/04/2015
L
WW
L
WW
W
W
L
WW
W
L
WW
W
After that u measure std or ecart (as marigny) and you decide to start play at 3.5 std.
I test this in random.org
13/04/2015
L(LL)(wwwww)+2
W +1
W +1
W +1
LL -2
WWWWWW +6
L -1
WWWW +4
----------------
12/04/2015
L
LL
LLLL
LLLLL
WWWWWWW
WWWW
W
(W)
----------------
11/04/2015
L
WW
L
WW
W
W
L
WW
W
L
WW
W
#59
Even chance / Re: Return to the Mean
April 13, 2015, 12:12:25 AM
using ftl to match last 10 outcomes, one can get a string of WL results. Those results act as an additional even chance outcome. Following this logic we can use 11vs11, 12 vs 12, etc... Generating as many EC possible bets as we want, shortening the periods of tracking.
This is particularly usefull for those who seek extreme events, std, marigny, rtm principles.
Cheers
This is particularly usefull for those who seek extreme events, std, marigny, rtm principles.
Cheers
#60
Even chance / Re: Return to the Mean
April 06, 2015, 11:28:43 PM
when you take for example 10 random outcomes to match 10 future ones, what you are getting is a string of wins or losses. On both extremes LLLLLLLLLL or WWWWWWWWW. So what we are really measuring is FTL bet result.
The example for ten random outcomes is 3,16std.
observing 10.000 outcomes, comparing 14 vs 14 on a rolling basis, these are the number of wins i got:
0 2
1 13
2 79
3 260
4 632
5 1214
6 1851
7 2081
8 1726
9 1169
10 633
11 234
12 69
13 10
14 0
The example for ten random outcomes is 3,16std.
observing 10.000 outcomes, comparing 14 vs 14 on a rolling basis, these are the number of wins i got:
0 2
1 13
2 79
3 260
4 632
5 1214
6 1851
7 2081
8 1726
9 1169
10 633
11 234
12 69
13 10
14 0