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Messages - alrelax

#106
A few thoughts and quotes from Mahomes.

"The Kansas City Chiefs are set to compete in a second-consecutive Super Bowl, and their third in the last four seasons.

After going through the process of preparing for the championship game so many times throughout his career, quarterback Patrick Mahomes understands the importance of dialing in his strategy ahead of Kansas City's matchup against the San Francisco 49ers.

While speaking to the media on Thursday, Mahomes explained the significance of understanding Andy Reid's entire game plan.

"We're pretty locked in this — I mean both weeks, but you're really locked in this week," Mahomes said. "You want to make sure you get the whole game plan in, get all your questions asked and answered so next week when you're reviewing you can just go into the fine details that you might not have the chance to do in the regular game week. I'll have that mindset all through practice. I'll make sure the guys have the same mindset."

The Chiefs will have their hands full against a stacked 49ers team that possesses hall-of-fame talent throughout the roster. Kansas City's coaching staff and players must have everything organized if they want to defend their Super Bowl title and claim yet another Lombardi Trophy."
#107

KungFuBac's pick is the 49'ers.

My pick is the Chiefs.

I have to go with Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes to get it done.

Any thoughts?

#108
Off-topic / Re: What else besides baccarat?
February 02, 2024, 07:25:21 PM
QuoteWell, let's try this again.

What else do you guys do besides hang out here and hit the casinos from time to time.

Saw this gem making the run south out of Minneapolis on I-35.

Of course I had to stop and get the "photo op".  That's what I do!

AD






I pass this all the time, it is on the west side of Interstate 35 in Owatoona, Minnesota.  Here is the story behind it.  And I pay special attention within eye-sight of this display because people that never seen it before have tendency to decelerate pretty darn quick!!

"In 1996, the City of Owatonna acquired one of these jet planes, a T-38 Talon "Thunderbird" Jet, from the U.S. Air Force to be used as a monument at the airport. The cost of the project exceeded the City's budget at that time, and the plane was put in storage. In 1997, R.W. "Buzz" Kaplan proposed that the plane become part of a signature display outside Heritage Halls Museum, which was ¼ mile north of the airport. Buzz thought the display should consist of three planes flying formation. The City proceeded to acquire two more jets from Davis-Monthan Air Force Base in Arizona."

The jets, after being stripped down to reduce their overall weight, and repainted to make them resemble 'Thunderbirds' were then waiting on the engineers to figure out the best way to mount and showcase them. The engineers spent several months creating a design for the display that would not only be unique, but also practical as it would have to withstand the high winds that sometimes sweep through Owatonna and Southern Minnesota. Waymarking states that the current design "withstood 113 miles-per-hour winds when tested in a wind tunnel."

The formation the jets are in is called the 'bomb-burst formation' and is a truly unique display that hopefully gives others the same thought as R.W. "Buzz" Kaplan had to "create a breathtaking realistic display of aerobatic flight and to honor our United Stat United States fighter pilots who help protect our great country."


A fun fact you might not know about the three jets is that the pilots of tail-number 1 and 2 are Owatonna residents. Tail 1's pilots are "R.W. "Buzz" Kaplan and Betty "Bunns" Kaplan. Pilots of the #2 plane are MaryAlice "Bunky" Hanson and Capt. Jim "Cool Hand" Hanson.




#109
Al's Book Reviews / Re: Fools Die, By Mario Puzo
January 30, 2024, 12:46:57 PM
Again, highly recommended.  Gambling is included in this Mario Puzo book.

Probably not in Barnes & Noble, but you can easily get a copy on EBay for $4.00-$7.00 paperback.

"Fools Die starts in Las Vegas, where a group of close friends, including John Merlyn, Cully Cross, and Jordan Hawley, spend several weeks gambling at the Hotel Xanadu. None of these now close friends have met before meeting in Vegas, and indeed they are not long term friends, but simply people who for their own personal reasons have decided to stay in the hotel to gamble. The trio has adventures both gambling and womanizing in Vegas. One night, after a huge $500,000 baccarat and craps win, a depressed Jordan kills himself in his hotel room. Jordan's suicide was in spite of tying a dramatic winner take all $500,000 hand of baccarat, betting against the casino's owner, Alfred Gronevelt. After Jordan's death, Merlyn returns to his family in New York City and continues his life. Cully Cross decides to stay in Las Vegas permanently, and through his prowess as a gambler and a hustler, he has caught the eye of Alfred Gronevelt, the Xanadu Hotel owner. Gronevelt eventually recruits Cully as a key employee, and as time goes on, he grooms Cully as his second in command, and Cully prospers running the casino, and acting as a casino host."
#110
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
January 22, 2024, 03:53:28 AM
I understand.

Just to throw it out there, bankers side wagers might very well be a 55%, even a 60% or 70% advantage in a shoe.  I have posted them. 

But..............and However, on the other hand so is the players side, the players side might be a huge percentage over the bankers side.  I have posted those also.

And if it's not a solid bankers or players when the gambler starts wagering it, the forthcoming hands can immediately change in the opposite direction. 

Problem being, most bac players can not read randomness in a sense to give them an advantage.  Some can, most can not. 

This is why I lean towards (at least try to) building up a few wagers with positive progression and then following my strict M.M.M. That does give me a concrete barrier and advantage with win money.

But as far as 'mechanical triggers', 'betselection strategy', etc., there is none that will work consistently and repeatedly more than 50% of the time, IMO.

Hence, the fewer wagers the better. 
#111
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
January 21, 2024, 11:55:51 PM
QuoteHi KFB!  :)

Actually not every successful player will bet as huge as 10-20k per hand, surely all successful players will bet very few hands per shoe, the best being just one-two (or zero) bets per shoe.


as.

With all due respect Asym.  I have played dozens and dozens of high limit rooms with high limit tables, anywhere from $100-$300 minimums and $10,000 to $25,000 maximums per hand.

I have never witnessed any single bac player wagering one or two hands and calling it a day.  I have witnessed numerous bac players absolutely, 'turning it on' with much larger wagers after a while, or at a certain point, and only for a few hands, say 2-3-4 or 5 for the larger wagers, but they will also wager smaller amounts as well.  But never coming in, wagering 1 or 2 and that's it.

As well, a few shoes to the people I play/played with, per shoe would be something like about 12-15. 

All B&M experience from the previous 3-4 decades. 
#112
General Discussion / Re: Gambling Quotes
January 20, 2024, 03:46:02 PM
Nothing in life is to be feared it is only to be understood.  Now is the time to understand more, so we may fear less.

By, Marie Curie

NOTE:  Marie Curie was not an actor or in entertainment or gaming. She was an 1800s physicist and chemist engaged in pioneering research on radioactivity. She was also the first woman to ever win a Nobel prize and won two in fact. Her honors and tributes are amazing.
#113
General Discussion / Re: Gambling Quotes
January 20, 2024, 03:41:41 PM
It's not what you do when you lose that matters, it's what you do when you continue to play the game.

Alrelax

#114
You take your quick profits, cash it out and lock it up, 99% of the times anyway.  Here is what I do between shoes.

Oh and for everybody's information I'm not trying to show off. If I can help just one person it's worthwhile.
#115
QuoteLike many things in life one can only learn by doing. We can run sims, watch youtube videos, read books, read on forum, ...etc and that indeed is likely to help. However, the "tricks-to-the-trade" will only be discovered by doing(losing and winning). Most all "tricks-to-the-trade" will boil down to money management of wins, self control, and managing our emotions.


Continued Success, 



You are 100% spot on!  Also, the winning and the losses have different affects on each of us.  From becoming emotional and causing one to wager stupidly and crazy, to being overcome with frustration and not being able to concentrate or stick to any kind of good plan, etc.

This not only applies to beginners, but very much so the experienced bac player. 

My buddy H-Money lost a sizable sum of money the other day within a few shoes.  Senseless in every aspect.  He pushed and pushed and played with an unclear and frustrated mind. 

As well, I believe we all have done the following. I know I certainly have, taking sizable wins back to the same casino or another, the same night or the next night, etc., and feeling bulletproof and losing every stinking dime of it plus additional funds in the attempt to recoup.  I admit I have. 

I will never do it again and I cannot, as long I religiously stick to my M.M.M., which I do.  The very most that I lose of my wins are approximately 1/3rd.  Then I reset and forget the previous win and I DO NOT build and increase the bankroll as so many believe should be done or they claim to do.  Why do I say those things?  Because we all have a level and a plateau we need to stick to, that is where the comfort and the clarity will come from in the sessions that you move forward and play, after your wins.

In other simple words.  Forget the past, play with the same bankroll, buyin, wagering stakes accordingly to your session plans.  IMO, at the vey most, take a buyin from a previous win and risk that as your buyin risk capital.  But no greater than a 1/3rd set aside from the win or a few wins collectively. 
#116
KFB,  That cash extraction was NOT from that shoe with the 6 F7s.  It was from 2 other shoes in one session.

Ref age.  YES!  YES & YES!

Side Note.  Love those other forums where all the bac experts are going into simulation detail and writing about their discovered holy grails of W's and L's that all equal up to 50 some percent and how they can sit for a little bit here and there and make all kinds of money.  Or, how they go in and wager 3-5 wagers here and here with stop losses and stop wins and usually make profit and if a loss, how they recover quickly, etc. 

No pictures, no proof, nothing technical except an occasional screen shot of an online score board or a score card they drew up on a computer, etc.

Of course, that is all in between all the degradation and humiliation with truckloads of name calling.
#117
No matter what you use to guide you through playing Baccarat, will ever repeatedly work and allow you to win with consistency. Nothing at all!

Your wins will be the result of a proper Money Management Method, that gives you advantages with concrete buffers (which include buffers to cut down, increase safely as well as stop), if you have the wherewithal to follow it-without thinking it will turn around losses or allow you to continue Wagering shoe after shoe after shoe.

Even when you are winning and you have multiplied your buy-in numerous times, mistakes are unavoidable. Do not blame yourself, if you do you will allow disadvantages to enter your play very quickly. Then you will be off track and you are certain to lose, or give back large portions of your win money.

I will tell you something, from years of baccarat play reference mistakes. It is not a problem to make them. The only problem is, if you never learn from them. And learning from them is not figuring out the placement of a wager after a trigger occurred. It is a bit more complex than that. It is actually reading randomness, capturing what is being presented and being guided by a real Money Management Method. Call me out on that, but I don't really see any other way one can make money at the game Baccarat. At least on a continuous basis.

I witness players actually fear failure at the tables all the time. I know if you are afraid of failure, you cannot win at the game Baccarat and do what needs to be done with wagering.

It took me a while to figure out the difference between a successful master and a beginner at the game of baccarat. And that is not always measured by the years of play. But I do know for sure, that a Baccarat Master has failed more times than the Beginner has even tried.

If you are a beginner, drum it into yourself you will fail. If you can recognize that and use that, you will add valuable pieces to the puzzle of baccarat most all people can never ever recognize, let alone use.

There is no rock-solid way, trigger system, or scheduling of wagering to continuously win, or even win small hit and run sessions with 51% +, as so many seem to believe. The same goes with triggers and scheduling that wins a few hands, but every person playing that way will lose far in excess of what he has won attempting to re-capture the wins with the beliefs subconsciously adopted for all the wrong reasons.

But, just because it is not happening at a certain time, one shoe, three shoes, eight shoes, a few weeks here or there, in no way means it never will. You have to learn the way while you are playing. Some things will be wrong at varying and unknown times, mistakes and losses must occur before you will have the confidence and be able to tackle the shoe challenges, doing it all with sheer passion and purpose along with a way to consciously understand randomness, employ a good GREAT M.M.M., and leave your emotions/frustrations at the door. 

FINAL THOUGHTS:  1) To myself, success is being able to win greater amounts monthly than I lose.  2) Being able to maintain my true passion and purpose when I play. 3) Maintaining my bankroll with occasional increases from wins.  4) Using my win money (cashed out win) for other things than gambling.  5) And most importantly, accepting both mistakes and losses with a Baccarat Masters frame-of-mind and attempt to learn from those.

(Taking advantage of presentments you understand, with a M.M.M., you follow results in the attachment I posted here).
#118
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
January 10, 2024, 01:52:38 AM
Quote from: AsymBacGuy on January 10, 2024, 12:50:31 AMLOL  ;)

What about IHOP hiring girls with one leg but getting big boobs?
 
as. 

Can't top that, lol!

#119
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
January 09, 2024, 10:54:00 PM
Reference 'Real Numbers':

Not only what you said, actual shoes played, etc., but Real Numbers to me, are those numbers that happen.  Not the millions of numbers from stat research. 

Real Numbers are those within each shoe at the table.  All the other numbers really do not matter. 

On the lighter side, if girls with big boobs work at Hooters, where do girls with only one leg work at?  IHOP.
(International House of Pancakes).
#120
What so many people do not, or will never recognize is the minimum and maximum numbers versus real numbers.

For the math freaks there is something called 'Set Theory'.  But, that can only apply if there are no 'real/reality numbers'. 

In mathematical analysis, the maximum and minimums of a function are, respectively, the largest and smallest value taken by the function. Known generically as extremum, they may be defined either within a given range (the local or relative extrema) or on the entire domain (the global or absolute extrema) of a function. >>>But not how each hand, or the order of each hand will be presented from any shoe.<<<

As defined in set theory, the maximum and minimum of a set are the greatest and least elements in the set, respectively. Unbounded infinite sets, such as the set of real numbers, have no minimum or maximum.

In statistics, the corresponding concept is the sample maximum and minimum.  Please Note:  Statistics are a theoretical sampling of 80 hands of Baccarat, played out approximately 1,000,000 times. 80,000,000 hands and then each minimum and maximum result figured out for whatever valued defined, etc. 

So in reality and more importantly, in relationship to wagering at the game, you can have maximum and minimum in statistical analysis.  However............But............in the game of baccarat and how each and every shoe will present its presentments, 80 + - times a shoe, will be 'real numbers'. 

And 'Real Numbers' have zero corresponding adherence to statistical results the highest of the highest amount of times.  And more likely, IMO the relationships, if any, can safely be classified as coincidental rather than statistical presentment.