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Messages - alrelax

#136
Allow me to back up a bit. Reality. Reality is what it is when you walk up to a casino gaming table, reach into your pocket and put your cash onto the felt. It is not getting fake chips on the Internet, it is not Internet free play practice, it is not clicking a button for $10,000 of fantasy chips to engage your fantasy play with. It is not wagering in every which way, flat betting-pro parlay-negative martingales, etc., to win or catch up with absolutely zero risk and as well, far in excess of what you would ever really bet if you were at a casino gaming table. Walking up to a casino with real money and putting it on the table is pure reality.  Risking your buy-in is pure reality.  Winning or losing sessions are pure reality. 

And in a casino with real play it is a combination of things; your psych, the noise, others you observe winning and losing, advice coming at you from various sources. All kinds of things that are absent, when you are sitting in your living room with free practice chips on a RNG game being played on your computer, tablet or your phone.

I have won, I have lost. I have won and gave it all back chasing larger wins that would never ever come. I have bought in with extremely small buy-ins and won countless times over what I would have with larger buy-ins. I have bought in with large buy-ins and played shoe after shoe after shoe, stopping after sheer exhaustion and never winning a dollar.  I have experienced every type of buy-in and re buy-in that anyone can imagine shy of being a whale in the casino world.

True, the most beautiful and energetic times are those times where I have won numerous times the size of my buy-in. And sadly, the worst times are those times I have lost my buy-in as well. That is what I call the reality of gaming.  And it cannot be matched in anyway with $10,000 of free fake chips you can get on a practice game on the Internet.

However, all of the gobbledygook one reads on the Internet forums about initiating stop-wins and stop-losses without proper protocol of a solid MMM, are so ANTI-Advantaged Experienced Knowledge, it is ludicrous to the max!  As well as all of the other mathematical and statistical applied mechanical triggering wagers, that so many believe will rake in the fortunes it makes my head spin. 

Bac is such a flip-flop game in reality. Real reality. How one handles just that is key. If you believe you can pick a table out of many on any casino floor and if not immediately producing wins, just move to another is a given, you need to realize the fallacy you are  surrounding yourself with. You will sink and sink hard with losing your funds the highest majority of the times.

Anything is possible in the game of Bac as well as, anything is not possible. Half a shoe of pure chop-chop, 12 or 14 doubles in a row, every single natural cuts to the opposite side, every single tie cuts to the opposite side, 1s and 2s for 10-20 hands and then a streak of 12 players followed by a streak of 11 or 12 Bankers, a shoe with 50+ Bankers versus 20 or 21 Players, Etc., Etc., Etc.  Anything is possible in reality and reality is what happens all the time at the table in a casino.

What so many fail to really digest about reality is; 1) Nothing is guaranteed. 2) Everything will change again soon. 3) Changing your response puts you in control. 4) Your decisions do not have to match the winning hands. Once you digest those, you are believing in reality.

But when you are there at the baccarat table, with your real chips in front of you and constantly gazing at the dealers rack of hundreds of thousands of dollars of casino chips, you are not playing fallacy any longer, you are not playing with fake chips or practice RNG hands, you are not playing to statistics completed and sworn by gambling mathematicians thinking they will reproduce >50% winning wagers in one, two or three shoes. If you think you can, I got some advice for you that is sure to save you some money. The advice I have for you, is to walk into the casino, change half of your desired buy-in money and do not bet, give it to the dealer as a tip and walk straight out.  BINGO!  You just saved half of your money.

Please look at the following two pictures below I will post. It's not a lot of money (about $10k and $18k), but it was a great return on the buy-ins that I had risked. And that is reality! I have won a lot more in my few decades of playing Baccarat. Most of the casinos especially on the East Coast and West Coast you cannot take pictures at the table. A few of them in the Midwest allows us to take pictures of the scoreboard and once in a while we sneak some pictures of some of the off-the-wall hands on the table but it's not easy to accomplish that. I'm not posting to brag, I am posting them for reality purposes.

The felt is reality and unlike sitting behind a computer, tablet or phone and playing free practice RNG games of baccarat with no investment, it is a totally different world. It is a world of REALITY where you win money or you really lose what you brought to the casino.

Seriously.  :nod:

#137
Cryptocurrency forum / Oxford Gold Group
August 21, 2024, 10:16:12 AM
A San Diego couple thought they'd invested in gold. Instead, they and hundreds of others say they were scammed.

Oxford Gold told clients their assets would be deposited with Equity Trust Co., an Ohio firm specializing in so-called self-directed investment accounts focused on precious metals, cryptocurrency and other alternative assets.

https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/2024/08/19/a-san-diego-couple-thought-theyd-invested-in-gold-instead-they-and-hundreds-of-others-say-they-were-scammed/
#138
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
August 14, 2024, 04:27:33 PM
1s and 2s to me are very dangerous, IMO.  However, and NOT double talking, I do well on doubles.  But repetitive and IAR doubles, not sporadic 1s/2s. 

You guys know my style by now, (I would think). I weigh in zero/low ties, any obvious repeating event like every natural cutting or every tie cutting, etc., my invention of One More, Equalization and so on. 

But most importantly and foremost, with clear mind, playing what is happening rather than what I desire or experienced in previous wins and all those types of things. 

All in all though, what wins will also lose (reference events). 

Limiting what you see to small Sections as I used to outline and totally being oblivious to Sections prior, is a huge advantage IMO. 

#139
JUST ONE MORE

Reality Play to the Max.

Something I have pondered for quite a while and discussed with several people and I will tell you, I've done quite well with it. Let me explain.

I favor a press early and stay/remain consistently until whatever it is falls off. I calculate winning the 'initial risk wager' or 'initial risk plus win one time', then pull down all the repeating wins. There might be a second full parlay but that depends on what is happening.

I might increase later in the sequence/event if not falling off with a partial win, after already winning several times.

It is not a system. I engage in playing what is being presented, unlike so many people who play and wager what they are desiring to form a certain something.

Just One More has served me very well, with higher than a 50% hit/win rate. Just One More is simple, it is an out of the norm break in presentations occurring. It can be a deviation either way.

Just One More is something different and against the current flow of what is happening within the Section. And I lean towards Just One More because I call it, a quick hit and stay, type of wagering.

As we all are aware, equalization happens extremely frequently within the game of Baccarat. And I will have to say, equalization or darn close to it, happens more often than not in most shoes. Just One More might be the cause of the fourth coming equalization or it might be the equalization event itself. You have to seriously sit and ponder what I just said in this paragraph!

Hence, IMO-there are multiple reasons Just One More happens of course. But I am not saying Just One More with subsequent IAR's, is a more likely flow to happen, because it is not. But Just One Mores after a substantial section or even two sections of 1s-2s-3s, that has maintained no Just One Mores (past a 3 IAR) is something I really love to see and start wagering heavy on.

REMEMBER:  Trends are likely to continue and trends are likely to break. Both happen. Both happen to what the shoe is set to present, not to what you desire or believe in. 

Some examples of Just One More are posted below.
#141
Interesting that the state Gaming Authority mandates background checks for wins above a certain amount.


https://fox2now.com/news/missouri/rapper-nelly-arrested-in-maryland-heights-wednesday-morning/
#142
Adding Further Advantaged Skills and Understanding.

Being a better and more profitable player is what I am about, how I think, how I play and what I generally write about.

Reality and instant reality is what is Paramount.  PERIOD.

MEAN AND VICIOUS CYCLES

Do not believe you are right or wrong if you are winning hands. You are simply winning. You must not take a side. Think about that statement for a minute.

Picking sides for reasons/reasoning is detrimental to your wagering 100%!

Because when a player consciously is thinking he was right on a winning hand, he begins to wager for what he just won and then enters a mean and vicious cycle once he loses a repetitive wager.

Something else I have discovered with physical visualization after years of play.  Flat betting and negative progressions will lead you to loss of bank rolls.  PERIOD. 

5 THINGS

The ability to identify situations/events presented by a shoe.

Understand hands change value with no rhythm, rhyme or reason, as well as possibly follow rhythm, rhyme and reason.  Understand that and grind that into your trend of thought.

One must take advantage when the shoe is presenting hands that fit into anything that can be deciphered by the player.  The key is anything and that includes things that you generally do not believe in or subscribe to, because those things win as well.

One must leave a winner if he has won anything sizable by employing a concrete Money Management Method without deviation.  A MMM that will allow the player to continue playing if he is winning and force him to end the session when he loses a certain percentage of the win.  (Don't kid yourself, that is one of the hardest things to actually do at a baccarat table!)

One must never say, I'll win it back tomorrow or next session or anything following that trend of thought.

STOP THE COMPETITION YOU ARE CAUSING

With others.

With the dealer.

With yourself.

Following advice you received from others regarding  systems or mathematical and statistical writers.  Reason being, you are only sitting down to play 1 or 2 or 3 or 4 shoes, etc., not millions of hands where they gathered their reasoning from.  Anything and everything can and probably will happen in the short time of your session. 

If you have advantaged skills you will be able to push yourself into a bragging mode. An alpha mode-a #1 player stance that wins more than he loses.
#143
Off-topic / 16 Great Scenes From Cop Related Movies
August 03, 2024, 02:50:25 AM
OUTSIDE OF THE CASINO ENTERTAINMENT.
:P  :applause:  :nod:  :glasses:  >:D

IMO these are spot on and great scenes!

Two from Die Hard:

BAG IT, BIG TIME!  Gotta love it.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ncqyBPVxwfg&pp=ygUfQW1QbSBnYXMgc3RhdGlvbiBzY2VuZSBkaWUgaGFyZA%3D%3D

WELCOME TO THE PARTY PAL!  Come the frick on, can't get much better than this, no?

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=I6wRZCV7naE&pp=ygUhRGllIGhhcmQgdGhyb3dpbmcgb3V0IHRoZSB3aW5kb3cg

INSPECTOR CALLAHAN,  OH YEAH!

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=KqgGihIfq5U&pp=ygUac2lkZXdhbGsgc2NlbmUgZGlydHkgaGFycnk%3D

HEAT.  2 of the BEST!  Deniro and Pacino.  What a scene!

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=LUy2Wx_r0_w&t=60s&pp=ygUVaGVhdCByZXN0YXVyYW50IHNjZW5l

Black Mass. Cop Pull Over scene. 

https://m.youtube.com/results?sp=mAEA&search_query=black+mass+cop+pull+over+scene+

NYPD BLUE.  GOTTA LOVE SIPOWICZ!  He was a real person.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=4qdT3qs-jFo&pp=ygUaTnlwZCBibHVlIHRoaXMgaXMgYSB3b3JraW4%3D

SICARIO.  THE OPENING SCENE.  I SAW THAT AND WAS HOOKED.  PERIOD.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=8yTwbMMO_VI&t=299s&pp=ygUVb3BlbmluZyBzY2VuZSBzaWNhcmlv

BEVERLY HILLS COP.  Come on man, this was acting, look at their eyes, their faces.  Many great scenes from the original movie, but gotta love this one.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=lKE3zh_Hxqw&pp=ygUeQmV2ZXJseSBoaWxscyBjb3AgZm91bCBtb3V0aGVk

SCARFACE.  Man, once again, so many great scenes, but gotta love this one!  You want a job Ernie?

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=XjLd8V_B9eg&pp=ygUXU2NhcmZhY2UgeW91IHdhbnQgYSBqb2I%3D

STEVEN SEAGAL.  Love this one!  Anybody Seen Richie?

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=4Zu1YIukylw&pp=ygUiU3RldmVuIFNlYWdhbCBhbnliaWR5IHNlZW4gcml0Y2hpZQ%3D%3D

THE BLUES BROTHERS.  SHI*T, Rollers.  No.  Yes.  SHI*T.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Abmwmg_tx0A&pp=ygUYYmx1ZSBicm90aGVycyBtYWxsIGNoYXNl

A BRONX TALE.  Gotta include this one, even though it not a cop scene.  "Now youse can't leave". 

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=4UBXTC24T8g&t=23s&pp=ygUhQnJvbnggdGFsZS4gTm93IHlvdXJzZSBjYW50IGxlYXZl

LETHAL WEAPON.  "I'm too old for this stuff".  Man, so many great scenes in that movie, but this one has a few within a couple of minutes. 

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=vcxEgyiu16Q&pp=ygUiTGV0aGFsIHdlYXBvbm1lZXQgeW91ciBuZXcgcGFydG5lcg%3D%3D

AMERICAN MADE. THE LIFE OF BARRY SEAL.  "I'm gonna walk out of here and there isn't nothing anyone of you can do".

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=h6XCQUuZQU4

AND MY FINAL ONE. 

MIAMI VICE.  THE FINAL SCENE OF THE FINAL SHOW.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=YH0BJ8baUkA&pp=ygUWbWlhbWkgdmljZSBmaW5hbCBzY2VuZQ%3D%3D



#144
Gizmotron / Re: A Very Special Apology To Alrelax
August 02, 2024, 03:48:57 PM
Gizmotron last posted here on BetSelection.CC August 5th, 2023.  So it's been right at 1 year now with his absence. 

That is why I posted the other thread with my attempt to contact him. 
#145
Gizmotron / Gizmotron you around?
August 02, 2024, 03:41:19 PM
Well, I don't know what to say.  Every once in awhile I email Gizmotron (Mark) and ask if he is okay.  Awhile back I got a short answer of yes, but not writing any longer on forums. 

I have not heard from him in quite awhile so this morning I emailed him and received this back:

"Address not found
Your message wasn't delivered to g1234567@...........com because the address couldn't be found, or is unable to receive mail."

I called his cell phone number and it says, "I'm sorry the person you called has a voice mail box not set up yet", with no ring tones.  My experience is those are phone numbers either out of order or not assigned yet by the cellular company that controls them. 

Anyways, we had our share of drama and fights for well over a decade plus between the two of us.  Mark is a great guy 24/7!  Hope all is well!
#146
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
July 29, 2024, 05:46:26 AM
"Are we wrong? Good, casinos have plenty of money to challenge us. LOL."

Casinos are there all the time, 24/7/365 never moving, waivering, being scared or shutting down because players are winning too much at baccarat. 

We beat ourselves.  What the highest majority of all players fail to realize is, that random will always be random and the game is 100% random, if you are attempting to figure it out with a mechanical wagering triggered plan, based on statistics of any kind.  It is just that one can jump on a definable and exploitable section or series of hands in the gamblers favor.

How the player builds up his win and how he holds it (if he does), is totally up to him, not the casino or the game.  Therefore, most all players beat themselves ITLR.  And I am talking about darn close to 99% of all players.
#147
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
July 27, 2024, 09:39:19 AM
Quotealrelax:
"...My friend is there right now, he wagered $1,500 on first, full parlay on second, full parlay on third and then pulled down 6 times $6,000 wagers.  Lost the last one to the Natural 9 players win.  So he won $36k...."

    I like your friends full parlays early in the W streak. Its my belief if one chooses to do a pospro one must press early /often. The compounding on say hits number 4th,5th,6th,..10th,....etc is a direct function of what was compounded between wager#1 and wager#2.

??What was your friends buyin for the $1500 base unit??

Full explanation in my thread here:

https://betselection.cc/index.php?topic=11747.msg72223;topicseen#msg72223
#148
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
July 25, 2024, 07:52:07 PM
FYI.  $50 min to $20,000 on main floor and many tables at The Palms are NO COMMISSION.

The table shown is $50 min.  $20k max (this is a live pic texted to me after my friend's win).  Note the 9 iar bankers.  My friend is there right now, he wagered $1,500 on first, full parlay on second, full parlay on third and then pulled down 6 times $6,000 wagers.  Lost the last one to the Natural 9 players win.  So he won $36k.  He caught 5 doubles out of 6 wagers, profiting another $25k.  Walked away with $55k losing $6k attempting three more wagers at $2k each.

I tried to enhance the sharpness as much as possible to show the limits.  $50 min, $20,000 max and $3,000 max on tie. 

This is Vegas and off strip has better action by far these days.  I will post these in my thread now and comment.
#149
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
July 24, 2024, 03:42:39 AM
Stand corrected, it is not EZ, but it is 5 Treasures bac.  They do have other bac versions available, probably about 20 tables.

Anyways there are numerous properties outside of  Chicago. 

There is one with extremely high, no pressure, table max limits of $100k.  Depending on day, will determine the min wager but that is never more than $100 and usually a lot less.  Definitely less than Vegas HR rooms. 

Used to be in Vegas for 'Off The Street", no front money or large credit accounts of hundreds of thousands of dollars, the limits were either:

$50-100/$10,000
$200/$15,000
$300/$20,000
$300-500/$25,000

Those were at the larger places, Bellagio, Wynn, Caesar's, etc. 

"Off The Street", means you can walk up, no money deposited to determine special limits, no credit lines, etc.  Unlike Vegas which to the best of my knowledge, you would need at least 20-25 times deposited or credit line, to wager whatever it is you want over $25k or at other casinos over $10k max limits, etc.

#150
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
July 24, 2024, 01:27:22 AM
Yes you are correct.  And correct about Vegas.  But there are plenty of other 25/50/100 min-$10k tables in US. 

There is also "Off The Street", (no front money) $25 min to $100k (yes $100,000.00) max outside the Chicago area.  And it is mostly EZ. 

But so many jurisdictions having commission free.  Love-Hate with the F7 wager, but I have done well with it.