It is a work of fiction but the author was very much involved in the casino industry in Las Vegas.  It is about a huge baccarat scheme at a fictional Las Vegas Casino.  I highly recommend this book, if you are looking for something baccarat and casino related in the fiction reading world.  Thumbs up!

https://www.amazon.com/Collusion-Felt-Michael-Pernatozzi/dp/0595512542

I only have one question.,,, did you invent a pricing strategy yet for your forthcoming book???  And how many parts???  And will you strategize it so you have to buy the future books to actually figure anything out?  Oops 3 questions,

It is okay, leave it, i have been wrong in the past, maybe some others will understand what you meant to convey and turn it positive for them!

                   Hindsight Haphazard Player Vs. A Skilled Baccarat Player

It is more complicated than you think.  But sit back read through my thoughts and read it over again.  I think the people that are on their ways to become great players will benefit and the others, will challenge, deny and crumble as they always do after attempting any self-improvement or gaining of another's 'been there and done that' type of knowledge.

Hindsight, 'Getting 2 in a row' correct or scoring a win on the 'cut' after that 3rd repeating banker, because the shoe will always produce more threes than fours and more fours than fives and more five repeats than streaks of 10 or more.  Yes, and you are correct, but no—you are also wrong.  Read on, please.

So many factors come into play which are not generally believed to do so by the highest majority of the players today.  The game has changed so much from pre-2000 to post-2000.  Probably due to the internet explosion, the exchange and belief in ideas, both on the player's side as well as the casino's side.  Don't discount the inceptions of so many things to old school baccarat such as EZ Baccarat and other items meant to speed up the slowness of the game as well as the profitability for the casino's side.  And, IMO they accomplished it beyond a reasonable doubt.  With things that the players have no say so over and still contending with the game, the factors the players need to consider are things like, 'point values' of hands won and lost when there is a clear and clutter of numerous hands together, 'formations' of winning and losing hands, 'low amount of ties' at a certain point of the shoe, how each side increases or reduces with its third card when drawn.  There are so many other factors which assists the skilled player in the 'getting ready' and 'pouncing on it' whatever formation that is emerging or about to emerge from the shoe.  And that is the basic definition I have been able to quantify for the difference between the common 'Hindsight Haphazard Player' and their counterpart, the 'Skilled Player'.

Some players are spot-on with their reasoning—gut feelings—shoe interpretations and perceptions.  However, and I do believe—there is a distinct difference in the Haphazard Hindsight Player and the Skilled Player.  The Hindsight Haphazard Player is where the highest majority of all baccarat players are these days.  This is the player belief and aura where so many get sucked in and remain both, aggravated and frustrated at the table.

To understand the picture I am attempting to paint, you have to understand that there are clearly two agendas happening during all games, if not continually throughout the shoe then sporadically on and off, adding to the confusion of the players.  The first agenda is the 'psych, beliefs and dependency on other players or against other players'.  As well, the way the player abides by money management, buy in beliefs, progressions, parlays and the many other wagering techniques and strategies.  The second agenda is the shoe and its presentment of what it will and how it will produce each hand, the sections, the tuning points and the formations that it will happen.  Those two agendas will be combined and have to be addressed by the players.  The Hindsight Haphazard Player basically pays attention to little and has huge beliefs that carry over from shoe to shoe and month to month, in his play.  That player's aura and style is a continual resemblance of himself rarely ever changing.  The Skilled Player will possess a solid understanding and knowledge of both agendas and practice whatever he feels is best from each, while coming at each shoe he plays from all directions, rather than the one direction the Hindsight Haphazard Player usually subscribes to.  The Skilled Player will also see the gloom and destruction that is always looming in the background, usually termed 'casino house advantage' or 'variations'—and stop his session being 100% thrilled with his win or chalking up any spent money without the chance of getting it back that session or trip.  However, the Skilled Player and the Hindsight Haphazard Player also has a very distinct outlook in each of their plays.  The Skilled Player views each and every session as a brand new, no historical win or loss plateau with the ability to reset each and every shoe, which allows the player to literally and physically maintain a perfectly clear mind and opinion status.  The Hindsight Haphazard Player is constantly comparing every shoe to countless previous ones as well as all of his losses and wins and is extremely judgmental, usually basing most every decision and confrontment he faces when playing, on all historical results that cloud, confuse and offer further fallacy to his decision making process.

The pending formations rewrite themselves repeatedly at times and other times do not.  Does that mean—that the reasoning those same formations prevailed the previous shoe or session were 'wrong'--that depends.  But so many love to say the words, "You say that, after you see it", adding confusion and doubt that Skilled Players actually can catch far more and profit superior to that of the Hindsight Haphazard Player in each ones gambling attempts at baccarat.

The whole key to it all—and here is where the really in-depth, intelligent, creative, factual and experienced Skilled Player will generally excel.  But, there is one huge additional factor that will weigh in and lead whatever player to success or greater success with playing baccarat.  That is, the player's 'frame-of-mind'.  Each of ours is different.  If you think you can go to the baccarat table with 'XYZ-$' and wager 'such and such' a few times, get a substantial reward consistently—you cannot.  And if you do, your frame-of-mind will not allow you to leave a winner.  I have definitively explained this and offered solutions to those that do win, but little to none responded, commented or expanded on the discussion and offerings. It is fine, they will learn the hard way after they finally get their system refined with the super-secret bet-selection that will never ever fail, shoe after shore, session after session.  I can only assume.

But hey—let me offer a system with a 75% or even a 80% reward for placing your wager, say on the losing side after two winnings repeats, if that was succeeded by a single-chop cut, then we get huge response, interest and input with something like 30 replies and a thousand plus view in one or two days.  Typical responses along the lines of "I have to try that", to "It will work but here is my input on it to make it better" and let's not forget, "OMG! Gold! Possibly the real deal!!!", etc.  Who are these people, where is their proof, where is the certified and audited results that they are promising, packaging and selling?  There is much more required on any player's part than merely reading a $9.99 book or purchasing a $99.99 or a $1,500.00 system.  All those and more, are geared towards the greedy, the selfish and of course the know everything player looking for that quick score.  In other words, many of the 'Hindsight Haphazard Players' will also have been victim or believer in those as well.  Sorry if you fall into the aforesaid couple of sentences, but what I said, is just about 'spot-on' and I have no doubt about that.  Okay, live and learn.

Baccarat, playing successful baccarat takes work.  It takes extended trials and errors to be learned and ingrained in yourself.  It takes a few years to even become acquainted with the better half of what can happen and what may not happen in each shoe.  I said acquainted, but unfortunately not knowing everything with definitive knowledge.  It will also take years of winning and losing sums of money to "Get your head straight", and be able to rationalize what is possible and the reality of all systems and those super-secret methods that the sellers offer sales techniques that are fairy tales and definitive fallacy, hoping the unsuspecting buyers will not question, just pay money to have the 'elite and special limited chance' to become rich playing baccarat.     

So many players look to a system—what cards produced won and why.  Then they deduce down their own answers with each new holy-grail or proven "Set of best triggers", etc.  And they are still missing the bulk of what can really help them.  The part that the harder work comes into the picture is along with the following.  The player's psych, the player's guaranteed hold on wins and how to construct one, understanding the reasoning with conscious thought throughout all aspects of playing.  There are additional ones as well, the relevancy of happening, the 3 or 4 sections and turning points in each shoe, following and not following other players, and so much more.

The problem is baccarat is easy.  Baccarat is picked up by the average person who was either dragged into the game by another or he overheard/read about how all the other people are winning so much easy money playing it.  That is it and then it starts.  He winds up at Bet-Selection or another internet message board and learns all kinds of stuff, the wrong stuff in many cases.  He is intelligent overall, it is just the game of baccarat over rode his common-sense and he fell suspect to easy money and quick riches.  In other words, he got sucked in and convinced by a group of unscrupulous failed gamblers turned con-men.  The real sad part is for the average person starting baccarat and risking his money—he knows more about every other thing he every tackled.  Such as golf, fitness, health, mountain biking, sporting teams and entire sporting leagues of historical scores.  And yet he sits at the baccarat table, explaining the game and its inner secrets and innuendoes to another person, while he drinks alcohol, chain smoking and blowing his snot form his nose on the floor—barely missing the shoes of the person so thrilled with what he is hearing.  EZ money, quick riches, quit the full time job and gamble, all the fallacies running in the player's head each and every session.  In fact, evidentially he will learn more about baccarat from every aspect and angle while he is attempting and trying numerous systems in his hopes to get paid back for all the money he has lost.

And this is the same person—the same player that is now going to show all the rest of us about his baccarat knowledge and skill level.  The typical player that will rationalize it all out while he states how and why he placed the wager each time.  Then how quickly he defends his wrong decision with the all-purpose, "Well we can't all be right every time", or the other one---"I should have listened to you—what do you think now"?

It is a never ending cycle with the baccarat players of today.  Nothing easy comes to those with no time or effort to invest.  Not just in baccarat, but really with just about everything.   

The game has its presentments which comes and goes either one of two ways.  First, with pure unfollowable, off-the-wall, out of the blue, pattern and trends that you are best off to sit back and wait it out or stop playing.  Second, with clear and concise, or at least ones that are readable—emerging patterns and trends that will be strong and long, or weak with great consistency.  Those are the proven and the givens.  No statistical or testing results will offer you any more or less mathematical or scientific data as to when those patterns/trends come and leave with consistency.  There is no discovery or learning any set of rules that will allow you to realize anything in this game with consistency that will prevail in every shoe or session.  It is a combination of lots of things that will help and assist the player to be successful more than he is unsuccessful with baccarat.

Once you get serious and really desire to be a successful baccarat player, you will realize the game is not about approaching it from one direction, let's say that is from the 'North'.  The way more successful players approach it is from 8 different directions, 'North-Northeast-East-Southeast-South-Southwest-West and the Northwest'.  That is the difference between wagering on the side that lost after two repeats which was succeeded by 'such-and-such' and the successful player that does not blow snot on the floor, chain smoking into other player's faces while explaining almost every wager and why it won or why it lost.

My only question is this.  How come that player wagered on the losing side with his detailed knowledge with the definitive reasoning already known, as to why his wager lost?

Movies are not reality, unless we are talking about the movie, Casino.

As well, my series of 1 of 10 articles was of a serious nature and many have emailed/PM'd me and e have discussed and those articles have helped quite a few players, I am asking you not to demean them with senseless comparisons to fictional movies.

Thanks. 

I have finally defined what I discovered in Baccarat, the 3 ratios that normally make-up a shoe.  I am working on the definement and other info relating to this.  Here is my visible outline.  Of course subjective to each of the experienced baccarat players to define and discuss their own identification, triggers, and literal outlines of each:

1)  Strong Ratio.  (Controlled Creation & Appearance)  Obvious, sectioned and distinctive formation of patterns.  Strong, whether that is repetitive or weak or anything in-between, just a once again, numerous occurring event within a section.  My own desire would be old school, is to follow it and lose only my last wager when I was triggered by the presence of the ratio. 

2)  Sound Ratio.  (Equally Orderly Response)  Everything happening in-between, the above and the below two ratios.

3)  Background Ratio.  (Continuous Portability)  Swing to even out, not much longevity of anything, but necessary and always has to happen.  The most dangerous and hardest wagers to be successful on.   

Most likely because of me, remember that thread I had with 10,000 views and all the response and humorous comments???  A couple of us went off into the Voodoo thing.  It has to be my fault.

Quote from 'Albalaha': "Remember one very important thing regarding progressions. They seek specific spots or ratio or order to win. None of them can handle all variety that can come. If you keep getting wins in your sweet spots, you win the game otherwise the same havenly progression will kill your money".

So, we should not bet at all because what you just said, can realistically cover anything and everything.  You double talk to the max!  You just in all essence covered great bets, sure bets, maybe bets, staying in the game, waiting to get a 'ripe' section after a turning point, anything and everything. You have become a master of double-talk.  None of anything anyone bets at anytime can handle all variety of anything that can appear.  You use words like 'ALL" and such definitive large and powerful meaning words that you paint a picture of how you are correct and never lose, the world's greatest (but actually failed website blogs and teacher yourself) and then come on and attempt to control and change Vic's board.  If it is so 'useless' and there are well over 90% (which is virtually the whole darn board) that is, as you say useless and not worthy to even read past the first sentence, well don't and post! 

IMO, you sit in a very desolate pat of the world and you thrive to connect all day to challenge anyone having a seemingly enjoyable time or actually benefiting from Vic's board in many ways.  That was IMO and I stand behind what I said from being the recipient of years of your insults, repeated degradation and insults.


Quote from 'Albalaha': "I am aghast with one or two members here who are taking a forum as their personal facebook. They are loading where they ate, moved, farted and everything except anything even slightly valuable to a gambling community. If members are OK with this or have no other option, none can help. Frankly speaking, 90% of discussions are not even worthy of being opened to read just from the subject line".

What you are doing is the same as the person that does not like or desire say, hot sauce at a restaurant.  Whereas, there is a condiment counter with ketchup, mustard, salt, pepper, napkins, etc.,  There is also hot sauce and jalapenos there.  When you visit that restaurant you demand and attempt to force the owners to remove them because you find them disgusting, distasteful, whatever.  That is the exact same thing you are doing here.  There is no difference.  If you don't like it or enjoy it, stay away.  Period.

So, simply do not read it.  Also, as in the past......stay off the Blog's which is 100% space assigned by Vic (the Owner of this board) to those members that desire to post regularly and are approved by Vic. As in my case, you have repeatedly came onto my Blog (Private Space) and chastised me and almost declared me to stop or remove things I posted.  I have sad sad news for you, you should not go onto any Blog or person's thread that you do not enjoy, feel you can benefit from or at least are interested in what they write.  The exact same as when and if you go to a library with reading and checking out books.  The same at a shopping mall with the selection and desire to go into stores to spend your time and your money.  If you do not like it--stay out.  Do you also go into stores and get upset and chastise them for their merchandise, displays and the aura of the store??  Well, do you??

And since many other feel this way, you are obnoxious and 100% set in your ways and it most certainly has to be your way or we are all unintelligent, retarded, foolish gamblers, etc.  I thought I was a stubborn, jerk off, obnoxious person at times--but hey, you top me by far!!!!,  Seriously, my five year old even confirmed that one!

So going to the casino and playing and playing, being reserved and trying to always stay conscious of the fact of the casino has huge odds and advantages over us and if we wager every hand and try to make a great living and get rich, we will most likely lose just about each time, even after we win numerous hands, but being of the fame-of-mind that we want to make tens of thousands if not hundreds of thousands of dollars each time, we will surrender our bank rolls and/or constant buy ins to the casino in the game that can be won by following a scheduled preconceived bet placement method that is so easily obtained by all those doing it or by purchasing a book form an expert baccarat player for say $29.99. 

And further more, that completely oblivious and unintelligent retard player that writes on a message board, doesn't know anything, pulls everything he thinks and writes about from the Captain Kangaroo and Mayberry RFD shows--not from his 30-35 years or so of claimed experience, he is just dreaming and complete fallacy spewing as to everything he has found, discovered, implements and more times than fails, earns something at the baccarat table with the wagered 15 to 25 hands or so a shoe, and occasionally smacking the casino for tens of thousands of dollars.  Oh yeah, that one guy also has no knowledge about real money management systems and the statistics and the only trivial 1.0% negative possible loss factor of the bankers or player wagers. 

Am I correct by saying that?

With all the millionaire expert authors that would instantly become billionaire authors, why only the following:

"Kyle T. from NYC says.........."

"George P. from Boondocks, Kansas says.............."

"Lori Y. from Detroit, Mich says........................"

"Johnny L. from S.F., CA says......................"

Etc., etc., etc.  If I was an author of a 'real' system that actually worked and was honestly what I discovered and wrote about, I would have an auditing company do a real audit and study with actual certification that can be verified, etc.  The same as they do for technical and other books and publications were studies and references and results are used as supporting documentation for the product you are selling, the system--the book. 

But then again, I can only assume (I think i am right---but hey, could be wrong) the newbie, rookie, desperate player--views the "Lori Y's" and the "George K's" and the "Robert W's" (as certified and real reviews) that the author is swearing up and down are all real (ha-ha-ha), the same as his multi million dollar, 'never work again system' for only $99.99, is real and the holy-grail, etc.  I guess??

Very few players these days can successfully ride an 8 to 15 hand chop chop!  Years ago it was common place.  Some of the easiest and biggest money to be won, is on the "science' mode I wrote about earlier today.  The 'science' mode contains that chop chop,  love it when it comes!  Caught one last week with over 15 squares,  and everyone was so amazed.

Thumbs up!

BTW, how about food recipes?  Game or no?

But hey, either way, nice to see something except a harp leading to drama!

Didn't get around to typing out my notes as I mentioned above today, Sunday.  Bar any emergencies tomorrow, I will try to get it done in the morning.  A separate thread in my blog called ' baccarat - an insiders approach'....

Quote from: TheMagician on July 09, 2017, 04:11:47 PM
Nothing I create through the continuous efforts of the Team I belong to is for sale. If you possess something that makes a lot of money, why sell it?  Only scammers, too lazy to implement creative and intellectual effort sell that promises numerical prescience and success where there, in fact, is none to be found. The true inventors and players devote time to their passion because of an endless curiosity and of course the rewards found in such a field.

As more sophisticated algorithms based on frequency and number harmonics are developed and as the design and numerical prescience become more accurate, new platforms are created rewarding their users with a view over the wheel, few gamblers in the world can dream of.

So, yes, there are ways to beat the roulette and of course fully enjoy this Kind of Random number generation so many fail to win on, consistently.

Thank you.

In so many words--tailored for each--you are 100% spot-on and extremely point blank, with the above statement.  Thanks for bringing it about!

What a great night!  I had my mind right,  you know what Babu wrote about the goof balls, the dirty and non respectful (lacking all common decency) monkeys-chimps and baboons at the table?? I visibly saw it and played with them just before.  LOL, I went into the casino and compared that to being back in NYC say 17 years ago. Placed myself down on Mott Street in Chinatown and then in middle of Times Square on 43rd and Boardway and then on Second Ave and 80th street.  I will explain later today the difference of each one as well as type out a 15 page article I long hand wrote on my break times from the table.  We had a shoe that gave us 20 to 30 more bankers than players.  Just the opposite of that heavy player shoe the other night.  This time I laughed harder and longer when they all lost their repeated buy ins with their systems and beliefs. I have a much clearer way to define all this now!! Later today on the way to sleep, its 4:30am.