Saturday night 11-19. Played a shoe that was great. Started out with the proverbial classic start, Tie-Banker-Player. One of each! Whatever order of them, it is what I dub the classic start. Then 3 Players, followed by 3 Bankers, followed by 3 Players, followed by 1 Banker, then 3 more Players. Now we go into a few doubles and a single or two. We are sitting at about hand 24-25 or so. The female I always sit next to was that present last night. Another gentlemen I have played alongside many many times is down the other end. He looks at me and points to the Fortune 7. I will usually be at least a quarter on it, he generally is 2 or 3 nickels on it. It doesn't come. I kept up my quarter another couple of times on it. Then I had 4 nickels and thought to throw it up on the Fortune 7. Player had returned a 6 and Banker had two monkeys. We all yelled out for a 7 and sure enough the dealer flopped one over. Then the shoe took a turn and everything was Players. The shoe was basically pretty well equal in everything, repeats-doubles-singles-positioning of the naturals, etc., etc. The second Fortune 7 that hit shortly thereafter, the Player had a couple of monkeys and the Banker had blackjack. Player pulls a 2 and the one person wagering on the Player side is calling verbally out loud for a monkey. Low class in my book, but whatever. Dealer flops the 6 for the Fortune 7 win. I always have said the 7 and the 6 are the winning most Banker 3rd card flops for the Fortune 7.
So, we are playing along and every hand for the Player starts to be a 2 or 3 card 7-8 or 9. There were 4 Players in a row and then a double tie followed by 3 more Players and a tie. Darn and I mean WTF! These people are seriously playing for the cut with true and relentless conviction. Player clearly became dominant and stayed there. The aforesaid run of 7 with 3 ties brought the Players light down to the bottom and across to the right 4 squares. Then 1 Banker came with a natural 9, so most people got all hyped and convinced themselves that Banker would be strong and play catch up. So they wagered big on the 2nd Banker coming in their minds. Players once again, down for a solid 4 repeats making a complete closed box upon the board. Then 1 Banker prevailed. Then right back to Player with another solid 5 to connect once again, a complete box.
Then a series of 6's and 7's came out, all either 2 cards or 3 cards, didn't matter, out of the next 8 hands or so-probably all but 2 were the 6/7 totals. Every time the Player side prevailed except for 2.
Then 5 Bankers with 2 ties happened in a row. Everyone was citing how it was now established as a Players shoe and Banker would not make past a double. The kept up their wagering with the absurd doubling up progression Marty to recoup and get the one small unit profit. One did, the rest bailed from trying around hand 4.
Banker tried to catch up a bit at the end around hand 60. So many times, and I mean the upper majority, when it is lop-sided like it was, the deficient side does almost always make a good attempt at gaining some ground before the end. I guess you can label it more Clustering and Alignment than Regression to the Mean, but as the old saying goes in the is game, play long enough ad you will see everything.
T-P-B-PPP-BBB-PPP-B-PPP-BB-PP-BBT-P-B-P-B>(F-7)B-PPPPTTPPPT-B-PPPPP-B>(F-7)-PPPPP-BB-PPP-BT-PPP-BBBBTBT-P-BB-PTP-BBBB-P-B.
(I like the horizontal scoring method with the repeating hands going vertical, similar to the way the score boards does it). I wrote it out and attached it done that way as well.
Summation:
Ties=8
Banker=29
Player=41
F7=2
Caught both Fortune 7's, one for $800.00 and the second one for $1k. Did fairly well on the rest of the shoe, probably in the neighborhood of $2k plus. I would estimate I gave back at least $1k of some of the win, wagering against all the Players' like an unintelligent jerk! Cashed out $2,500.00 win, at the end and played the next shoe with $400.00 from the win and a portion of my original buy-in. Got on a roller-coaster and was about even at the end, maybe down a little, so I called it a night.
My downfall to really not cleaning house on this shoe, was my disbelief in the shoe producing what it was. I doubly got smacked on it for not profiting what I should have, cause the Players prevailing hands were constantly high in their groups. Like I previously said--and I will repeat it--almost every 3rd card was bringing the Players side up to 7-8 or 9. Almost every time the Banker had an 8, the Player's side would tie or prevail with a 9. Yes, I always say, play the shoe and don't try to change it. I did just the latter and tried to make it Banker hands instead of it was doing at the mid-way point. All I can do is, improve and I will certainly remember this one and when in a similar position of anything like it---I know my efforts will be improved. Sometimes we all need that slap on the face to get ingrained in the grooves we should be in.
So, we are playing along and every hand for the Player starts to be a 2 or 3 card 7-8 or 9. There were 4 Players in a row and then a double tie followed by 3 more Players and a tie. Darn and I mean WTF! These people are seriously playing for the cut with true and relentless conviction. Player clearly became dominant and stayed there. The aforesaid run of 7 with 3 ties brought the Players light down to the bottom and across to the right 4 squares. Then 1 Banker came with a natural 9, so most people got all hyped and convinced themselves that Banker would be strong and play catch up. So they wagered big on the 2nd Banker coming in their minds. Players once again, down for a solid 4 repeats making a complete closed box upon the board. Then 1 Banker prevailed. Then right back to Player with another solid 5 to connect once again, a complete box.
Then a series of 6's and 7's came out, all either 2 cards or 3 cards, didn't matter, out of the next 8 hands or so-probably all but 2 were the 6/7 totals. Every time the Player side prevailed except for 2.
Then 5 Bankers with 2 ties happened in a row. Everyone was citing how it was now established as a Players shoe and Banker would not make past a double. The kept up their wagering with the absurd doubling up progression Marty to recoup and get the one small unit profit. One did, the rest bailed from trying around hand 4.
Banker tried to catch up a bit at the end around hand 60. So many times, and I mean the upper majority, when it is lop-sided like it was, the deficient side does almost always make a good attempt at gaining some ground before the end. I guess you can label it more Clustering and Alignment than Regression to the Mean, but as the old saying goes in the is game, play long enough ad you will see everything.
T-P-B-PPP-BBB-PPP-B-PPP-BB-PP-BBT-P-B-P-B>(F-7)B-PPPPTTPPPT-B-PPPPP-B>(F-7)-PPPPP-BB-PPP-BT-PPP-BBBBTBT-P-BB-PTP-BBBB-P-B.
(I like the horizontal scoring method with the repeating hands going vertical, similar to the way the score boards does it). I wrote it out and attached it done that way as well.
Summation:
Ties=8
Banker=29
Player=41
F7=2
Caught both Fortune 7's, one for $800.00 and the second one for $1k. Did fairly well on the rest of the shoe, probably in the neighborhood of $2k plus. I would estimate I gave back at least $1k of some of the win, wagering against all the Players' like an unintelligent jerk! Cashed out $2,500.00 win, at the end and played the next shoe with $400.00 from the win and a portion of my original buy-in. Got on a roller-coaster and was about even at the end, maybe down a little, so I called it a night.
My downfall to really not cleaning house on this shoe, was my disbelief in the shoe producing what it was. I doubly got smacked on it for not profiting what I should have, cause the Players prevailing hands were constantly high in their groups. Like I previously said--and I will repeat it--almost every 3rd card was bringing the Players side up to 7-8 or 9. Almost every time the Banker had an 8, the Player's side would tie or prevail with a 9. Yes, I always say, play the shoe and don't try to change it. I did just the latter and tried to make it Banker hands instead of it was doing at the mid-way point. All I can do is, improve and I will certainly remember this one and when in a similar position of anything like it---I know my efforts will be improved. Sometimes we all need that slap on the face to get ingrained in the grooves we should be in.
I finally get up to $48.00 so I cash out. I head over to the baccarat table. Still no go. So I go back to the slots and find one of those Wheel of Fortune machines. Same thing, put another $40.00 in it and lose. Put $30.00 into it and go up and down between $3.00 and $40.00 or something. Finally cash out $22.00. Down about $50.00 or so.