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Messages - alrelax

#16
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
March 11, 2024, 01:35:48 PM
QuoteBut I will tell you my worst shoes, where as I lost by the end of the shoe I would average, that I wagered around 25 times.
The shoes that I won, I would average, that I wagered around 40 times.


Definitely this is an interesting thing to think about.
Obviously you should compare how many units you've lost at those 25 hands bet shoes and how many units you have won by wagering 40 times.

In some way we could reduce the 25 and 40 hands by, say a 5 factor, thus getting us 5 bet hands at losing shoes and 8 bet hands at winning ones.

as.

Asym,  I will wager a greater amount of hands when I am winning,  some are pos progression wagers and others might be just the win money at risk once again.  But I almost never do what so many claim, the 1-2 or 3 and stop win for a shoe. 

When I am losing, I am looking for the recouping trend and a winning recovery possibility.  If you do not play, you cannot win.  No matter what the visual/stay out until you see virtual wins, etc., if you don't have money up on the table in play, you cannot win.  True you cannot lose also, but your loss will not be recovered either. A wicked catch-22.

And I do have absolutely great, large wins after a period of losses in a shoe.  Let's just say at times, it was a 'warm up' period before the end of the 3rd quarter.

#17
Here it is from the government.  And I will tell you, it is no game.  The casinos enforce it.  The world of the SAR is very strong and goes into play between $2,000.00 and $3,500.00 if the player is not a regular known ID on file player, etc.

https://www.fincen.gov/sites/default/files/shared/sar_guidance_casino.pdf
#18
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
March 06, 2024, 05:38:46 AM
I don't know your personal hard core betting numbers, just what you write.

But I will tell you my worst shoes, where as I lost by the end of the shoe I would average, that I wagered around 25 times. 

The shoes that I won, I would average, that I wagered around 40 times. 

Bear in mind, I am not satisfied with a one, two or a few unit win by any means.  Likewise, my buy-in is only a small percentage of my bank roll funds and as I have written, is pure risk capital with not much of a stop loss.

What I have found, that suits me best, is attempting in the most aggressive way to get into my M.M.M. stage. And be able to implement my 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd strategy, thus allowing my wagering to be strictly governed by my wins and losses effecting only a portion of my win money.

#19
Let's clarify the auto shuffler and the continuous shuffling machines.

The auto shuffler is used at bac tables as well as other card games that the dealer is not depositing every hand played back into the shuffler.  If the dealer is, then it is a continuous shuffling machine. 

In baccarat, I have never ever seen them used or heard of them being used. 

As far as the auto shuffler being used in bac, they are used with smart self reading shoes as well as without a smart self reading shoe.

#20
Lol, I forgot about those! 

🤓
#21
In my part if the central to upper Midwest, all I believe are using 8 deck shoes. 

The non-Macau style games are all using dual deck continuous shuffle decks.  Once the shoe is finished, the dealer removes approximately one deck from the discard tower and washes on the table.  Repeats 8 times.  Then reinserts into the machine.  Removes the other shuffled stack, cuts, burns, places into shoe.

Macau style games are a bit different all over.  But most in Midwest and Vegas are basically, pre shuffled shoe in locked plexiglass container is put on table from floor supervisor, zip lock ID cut & opened, deck cut by player if desired and cards burned.

I have witnessed a few casinos willing to do a quick mini shuffle of those after pre-shuffled shoe opened.  Depends on property and staff.
#22
Just thought some of you would like to know (as if we already all did not) where the majority of the new members signing on, first or second posts, attempting to insert their Links, Phishing, Spamming and everything related to those 'low-life' computer journey livelihood ventures people originate from.

Pakistan
India
Africa

There are others, but those are the top 3, that I catch, when I run their IP Locations.  Yes, some do use USA or other country 'Proxy' servers, but there are ways to catch those as well. 

And to reiterate myself and my policies here, I am not against well known and regular posting members inserting links to their posts.  However as far as links to online gambling websites, I rather those are not inserted for various reasons. 

One of those reasons is that I feel most of them are not honest in their business practices.  I tried to deal with a couple of them that are on other forums as well.  I have proven their business practices to be dishonest in many ways.  If they are dishonest in their business practices, I can only imagine what they engage in with their players. 

As far as someone that is honest coming on board here, posting and promoting honest and reputable gaming sites, I am open to that.  But, I want to know who the member is beyond an anonymous, by proxy, email contact only, as well as whom the gambling site is with references and certifications, etc., etc.  Then the person can sponsor our forum and promote business in a real and open way. 

Most likely won't happen because the way I look at those attempting to Link, Spam, Phish, etc., is the same as those that call our cell phones with their robot or off-shore call centers trying to sell after market car warranties, house warranties, burial insurance policies, etc., etc., etc.  And if you attempt to redial and call 99% of them back, your cell phone carrier will tell you, the number you reached has been disconnected and is out of service.  The more creative ones actually have started using your own area code and first three digits as their originating business number, and it is not.  Others have found computer programs to actually show call back numbers of real live businesses and others, that are in no way connected to them.  Oh yeah, I almost forgot.  Right along with those texting they are from the USPS or UPS and there is a package waiting, etc.,etc., just click the link to get it delivered.  Oh yeah one more.  The one about the $1,537.17 charge to Walmart or Amazon and if we made it there is no action required, but if we did not click the link to stop the pending credit card charge, etc., etc.

So, I have nothing against someone that desires to promote honest and reputable online gaming, but I want to know who the person is as well as the business.   

#23
Baccarat Forum / Re: Great Shoe
March 02, 2024, 02:35:00 PM
Picture at hand 65.

Remember, all I write about concerning low ties 0-1-2-3. Apply it and make money the majority of the times! A great superior indicator in my opinion, experience and when I remember some of the best shoes I experience.  Not a single doubt.

The beginning of the shoe, most all were verbally citing player heavy, player going to dominate the shoe coming up and started to wager heavily on the players side. And then when the bankers came out, they were very reluctant and didn't want to go against their ego driven methodology, thoughts and whatever systems they're using.

The ties were all 7-7 or natural ties in the beginning.

F7's at hands: 18-37-65.  And one of them was that rare Bankers having a 2 card 6 and the Players drawing a third card of 6 or 7 and the Bankers have to pull a 3rd card.  In this case the Players had a 5 and pulled a 7 and the Bankers had a 6 and flopped an Ace.

Reference Bankers Streaking.  There were 9 Bankers followed by 2 Players, then 7 more Bankers to form a "Perfect Box"!  The first six bankers of the nine streak as follows. The first two were 2 P6's and B7's.  Then P5 and a B zero.  Player pulls a 5 and Bankers pull an Ace.  The next 3 hands were the following.  Players natural 8 and Bankers natural 9. Players 7 and Bankers a natural 8.  Players a natural 8 and Bankers a natural 9.  Each hand falsely convincing many, that player was getting stronger and about to make a come back.  They verbally and repetitively were reciting that hand after hand.  The rest of the streak were hands such as players open a 4 and bankers open a 6, players 3rd card a face card.  Or players 6 and bankers 7.  Or players having under 6 and bankers having a 6-7 and players reducing to zero or a 1-2-3 and bankers not having to pull, etc.

LOL>>> The scoreboard was doing exactly what the casino wanted it to do. And why the casino spends money for them as well as the maintenance of them. Exactly! Many don't understand this.  They also allow the scoreboard to alter or control their betting, more so then what the actual presentments of the shoe are doing in such reality and visually sense!

There were 5 more ties, which 4 (yes 4!) of those 5 were iar! A 3-card both sides 7-7, a Natural 8 tie, a Natural 9 tie and something else within the 4iar ties.
#24
Baccarat Forum / Great Shoe
February 29, 2024, 11:07:28 PM
Absolutely great shoe. Will post later tonight.

But I will tell you one thing if people don't start posting and posting something viable about baccarat I'm going to change the way that the membership signs in and has access to the forum.
#25
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
February 28, 2024, 05:04:49 AM
"Of course when in doubt we won't risk a cent".


You are being facetious, right?

Or is that your rock solid m.o.? 
#26
Here are two more great shoes.  First one was a Bankers paradise finishing with +20.  One Fortune 7 near the beginning. 

Second one had another 13 hands after this picture.  Streak of 12 Players occurred, followed by the last hand which was the 6th Fortune 7! 

Fortune 7s at hands; 23-31-45-60-65-80.

38 Bankers, 40 Players, 7 Ties.

First Banker of the shoe (hand 6) opens with a banker 30:1 3 Card 9-0.  See picture. 

One of the Fortune 7s, (I snuck a picture) I had a $250 base bet (first of a new base series bet) black chip on bottom, $50 dragon bonus and $25 fortune 7 wager.  Dealer is cutting out my $1,000 F7 win-$500 black and $500 green.  2:1 for the dragon bonus, win by 5, already laid out, $100.
#27
Well, my opinion from actual years of experience. 

Caesars Palace.  Lots and lots of great times. Great dealers, staff and other personnel.  Huge experience and with the casino patron is right personalities, etc.  Note:  The article with the link refers to mostly 200.00 min tables in high limit.  Not true.  $100.00/$10,000.00 is the base table and always plenty of them. 

Bellagio.  Lot and lots of great times as well. Great dealers and staff no doubt.  Not as accommodating with casino patrons as Caesars, but case by case basis might change that.  Equally a great property with huge high limit room.  I am partial to the well known restaurants a bit more than the ones at Caesars, but they are close in taste, style and pricing (if you have to pay out of pocket).

The Mirage.  A bit lower class and style than both the above, but had some great trips and games there without a doubt when it was under the MGM umbrella.  Have not been there since it was sold and a bit prior to that.  Their bac high limit was super great in most all ways. 

Gold Coast.  Another type of property compared to the above three.  Usually crowded and lots of verbal arguments and fighting about anything and everything.  Mostly $2,000/$2,500 and $5,000 max tables.  Min's depend on crowd and time of day. 

Red Rock.  Great relaxed and beautiful quiet property.  High limit was nice with 4 bac tables.  $50/$100-$10,000 max unless you have larger front money or credit account set-up.  Very accommodating and players are valuable there.

Planet Hollywood.  Had some fantastic times there.  Was great all around property for countless reasons.

Lots of comments (neg) about The Wynn, Venetian-Palazzo as well, but will reserve those. Played plenty at another 10 plus properties as well.

The above is the top 5-6 properties IMO. 
#28
Baccarat Forum / Re: Coincidence Vs. "RRR"
February 25, 2024, 05:57:24 PM
Yeah, the above is 5.5 years old.  But, it was brought to my attention last night how much it has helped someone found certain realities and what an illusive repetitive nature the game of bac is. 

Think what you like, think what you have experienced, think what the stats dictate if that's what you like, think a trigger will work 90% or greater of the time, it's all good......, but THINK-THINK AND THINK!

But I must add the following today:

There are three things people have to understand: A) You can get on, you can get off; B) You get value, you do not get value;  C) You get confidence or not. And no matter what you do in life, confidence is the number one, absolutely #1. Let's say one fellow bets 20:1 shots. After 19 losses he hits the 20th one, he comes back a winner, and he's level. Another fellow's betting evens out as well. After 10 winners and 10 losses wagering his win money each time, he's level also. They have both got the same money, but he's been right 10 times. Who's going to have more confidence?

But nobody talks about confidence, the mental instabilities involved in gambling. And that's what it is all about in my opinion. It's all about how you perform under pressure, with real money, at the table, and how you perform when it all goes wrong.

And believe me, it will go wrong.
#29
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
February 19, 2024, 04:53:31 PM
"A "range" is formed by one or more patterns delimited by "boundaries" making such pattern(s) to stop at some point of any shoe dealt."

SECTIONS???

"The beauty of baccarat is that sometimes (say not so rarely) those boundaries do not happen at all, so leaving plenty of room to extract value upon those clustered pattern(s) situations not crossing  any losing spot."

BUT-THEY DO WITHIN NEW SECTIONS.  A PERSON JUST HAS TO BE ABLE TO DEFINE SECTIONS, WHICH WAS WHAT I WROTE AND DEFINED——WHAT SECTIONS ARE, HAPPENS AND ACTUALLY HAVE TO OCCUR IN EACH AND EVERY SINGLE SHOE PLAYED.

"Knowing that the 5/5+ streaks appearance is well limited per any shoe dealt (especially and foremost by utilizing specific random walks), a multilayered progressive betting scheme joined with a super selected betting will crush every casino in the world."

ANYTHING AND EVERYTHING HAPPENS AS WELL AS, NOTHING EXPECTED OR DESIRED OR ENVISIONED MIGHT AS WELL HAPPEN.

NOTE:  But the bottom line in actual wagering at a table of bac, is the ability to play with total consciousness, focus and enough buy-in to have a decent drawdown.  As well, if you depleted your buy-in, risk capital, you must leave and chalk it off.  Why?  Because then your emotions and frustrations will 100% set in.  The previous said is not fallacy or my opinion, it is multiple decades of experiences and facts.

ADDITIONAL NOTE:  Online testing is completely different than real table game wagering.  Online testing is either one of two results.  One, you eventually come out winning.  Two, the program is enticing you to signup and deposit real funds, etc. 
#30
Here is another shoe.  Played the Bankers hard with positive progressions.  Caught both Fortune 7s in the 5iar bankers.  The 2nd and 5th bankers in the 5iar.

And a few of us used the Bead Plate as guidance and wagered heavy every time the 2nd and 3rd lines came up.  It was sweet.