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Messages - esoito

#451
General Discussion / Re: My questions for Kimo Li
December 07, 2013, 03:22:41 AM
The word 'good' doesn't do justice and is the understatement of the year..

Those results are simply astounding and outstanding. All are winning sessions bar one that lost next to nothing.

The overall profits for just 4 days of limited sessions indicate someone with self-discipline, with great skill, and well worth listening to.

Well done.  Very well done indeed!  :thumbsup: :thumbsup:
#452
Horse & Greyhound Racing Forum / Re: Back to basics
December 06, 2013, 11:58:12 PM
Meanwhile, moving on back to the question in the first post....

I think that would be a wonderful idea, Pockets.

In fact, why not consider whatever tuition/videos/ideas/etc you offer here as a sort of 'test bed'?

Then, make the whole kit-and-caboodle into a How To... Pack that you can sell online?

Just a thought.






#453

A common practice is to use static tests from, say, just one set of captured data -- spins or whatever.

But -- and it's a big but -- any set of fixed data contains its own biases and idiosyncrasies.

And testing with a static, captured database would be fine if you knew you could play the same decisions over and over.

But the real world doesn't offer that opportunity, does it?


The Contrarian View

Would it not be better to do testing only with random numbers generated on-the-spot?

Would that not be the closest thing to a real-life situation where every spin of the wheel or every draw of a card presents a new and not necessarily expected outcome?

#454
And 10% of the BR is not exactly a small profit!

Professional horse racing punters I know are content to make 2% profit-on-turnover. They do it consistently.

Finding a suitable system is like buying underwear -- it has to fit your comfort zone.

Once you have a system you are comfortable with (in terms of acceptable risk and we all have different tolerances of risk, don't we?) then settle for 1 or 2% PTO until you develop confidence.

At that point you're in the danger zone . OVER-confidence (greed) will bite you if you let it.

So keep the profits modest and the (inevitable) losses under control.





#455
ThomasGrant / Re: Roulette Bot Pro V4.0
December 05, 2013, 10:52:56 PM
Very helpful, Thomas.

That should settle the horses running wild in the top paddock.
#456
Horse & Greyhound Racing Forum / Re: Pockets' Play
December 04, 2013, 01:42:51 AM
Very impressive.  Drinks are on you  ;)
#457
Well done!  :thumbsup:

A lot of hard work is paying off for you.

I'm surprised there are no comments from others yet.
#458
ThomasGrant / Re: Roulette Bot Pro V4.0
November 29, 2013, 04:01:32 AM
Quote from: Chrisbis on November 29, 2013, 01:09:57 AM
Couldn't have said it any better than my colleague Esoito has stated.
.
Roulette Bot Plus turns up in all sorts of weird places when web surfing.....even in soft porn directories.
How I know that............I have no idea!!!!!! ::)

Uporn my word -- neither have I  >:D
#459
ThomasGrant / Re: Roulette Bot Pro V4.0
November 28, 2013, 11:09:51 PM
@ xxVR:  No such thing as a free lunch...Beware the so-called free bots.

The ones I've seen are configured to specific casinos with which the bot-writer has an affiliate relationship.

So your losses with the bot will line the bot-writer's pockets with commissions on your losses. [And the bot could be coded to ensure you lose when there's a big stake at risk!]

You are much better off paying one of the bot writers on this forum to write your own bot running your own selection method, or one of the several selection methods you'll find on this forum.
#460
Does your remark reveal discomfort to some degree with the idea of someone making and not revealing a discovery?

Or looking at it the other way, is there discomfort with the notion of someone keeping something private and confidential?

I know of  two professional, Aussie racing punters who have an edge because they have a selection method others have not yet discovered.

Their selections are generally well priced because the market doesn't recognize  them as strong contenders.

And -- sensibly -- they keep the details of their method to themselves. They know that revelation will quickly dilute their edge and subsequent returns.



#461
Ah, Turner, but what of those who have worked long, hard and quietly in the background -- either on or off the forum -- and end up with a CPB (Consistently Profitable Bet, aka The Grail) as opposed to a CWB (Consistently Winning Bet)?

As there's no compulsion for them to reveal anything, the temptation is to assume such a bet doesn't exist.

#462
And both the odds and edges are quite different, too.

Apples and pears are both fruit from trees, but look and taste quite different.
#463
Online Casinos / Re: BGO casino from Isle Of Man
November 25, 2013, 01:58:45 AM
Plus the Isle of Man is a reasonably 'safe' jurisdiction, certainly compared to some others.
#464
Gambling Philosophy / How strong is your MENTAL STRENGTH?
November 24, 2013, 11:34:43 PM
This article has particular relevance for all members.

Points 8 and 13 in particular will ring a few bells, I expect!

So here it is:


FOR all the time executives spend concerned about physical strength and health, when it comes down to it, mental strength can mean even more. Particularly for entrepreneurs, numerous articles talk about critical characteristics of mental strength-tenacity, "grit," optimism, and an unfailing ability as Forbes contributor David Williams says, to "fail up."

However, we can also define mental strength by identifying the things mentally strong individuals don't do. Over the weekend, I was impressed by this list compiled by Amy Morin, a psychotherapist and licensed clinical social worker, that she shared in LifeHack. It impressed me enough I'd also like to share her list here along with my thoughts on how each of these items is particularly applicable to entrepreneurs.

1. Waste time feeling sorry for themselves.

You don't see mentally strong people feeling sorry for their circumstances or dwelling on the way they've been mistreated. They have learned to take responsibility for their actions and outcomes, and they have an inherent understanding of the fact that frequently life is not fair. They are able to emerge from trying circumstances with self-awareness and gratitude for the lessons learned. When a situation turns out badly, they respond with phrases such as "Oh, well." Or perhaps simply, "Next!"

2. Give away their power.

Mentally strong people avoid giving others the power to make them feel inferior or bad. They understand they are in control of their actions and emotions. They know their strength is in their ability to manage the way they respond.


3. Shy away from change.

Mentally strong people embrace change and they welcome challenge. Their biggest "fear," if they have one, is not of the unknown, but of becoming complacent and stagnant. An environment of change and even uncertainty can energise a mentally strong person and bring out their best.


4. Waste energy on things they can't control.

Mentally strong people don't complain (much) about bad traffic, lost luggage, or especially about other people, as they recognize  that all of these factors are generally beyond their control. In a bad situation, they recognize  that the one thing they can always control is their own response and attitude, and they use these attributes well.

5. Worry about pleasing others.

Know any people pleasers? Or, conversely, people who go out of their way to dis-please others as a way of reinforcing an image of strength? Neither position is a good one. A mentally strong person strives to be kind and fair and to please others where appropriate, but is unafraid to speak up. They are able to withstand the possibility that someone will get upset and will navigate the situation, wherever possible, with grace.

6. Fear taking calculated risks.

A mentally strong person is willing to take calculated risks. This is a different thing entirely than jumping headlong into foolish risks. But with mental strength, an individual can weigh the risks and benefits thoroughly, and will fully assess the potential downsides and even the worst-case scenarios before they take action.

7. Dwell on the past.

There is strength in acknowledging the past and especially in acknowledging the things learned from past experiences-but a mentally strong person is able to avoid miring their mental energy in past disappointments or in fantasies of the "glory days" gone by. They invest the majority of their energy in creating an optimal present and future.


8. Make the same mistakes over and over.

We all know the definition of insanity, right? It's when we take the same actions again and again while hoping for a different and better outcome than we've gotten before. A mentally strong person accepts full responsibility for past behaviour and is willing to learn from mistakes. Research shows that the ability to be self-reflective in an accurate and productive way is one of the greatest strengths of spectacularly successful executives and entrepreneurs.

9. Resent other people's success.

It takes strength of character to feel genuine joy and excitement for other people's success. Mentally strong people have this ability. They don't become jealous or resentful when others succeed (although they may take close notes on what the individual did well). They are willing to work hard for their own chances at success, without relying on shortcuts.


10. Give up after failure.

Every failure is a chance to improve. Even the greatest entrepreneurs are willing to admit that their early efforts invariably brought many failures. Mentally strong people are willing to fail again and again, if necessary, as long as the learning experience from every "failure" can bring them closer to their ultimate goals.



11. Fear alone time.

Mentally strong people enjoy and even treasure the time they spend alone. They use their downtime to reflect, to plan, and to be productive. Most importantly, they don't depend on others to shore up their happiness and moods. They can be happy with others, and they can also be happy alone.

12. Feel the world owes them anything.

Particularly in the current economy, executives and employees at every level are gaining the realisation that the world does not owe them a salary, a benefits package and a comfortable life, regardless of their preparation and schooling. Mentally strong people enter the world prepared to work and succeed on their merits, at every stage of the game.

13. Expect immediate results.

Whether it's a workout plan, a nutritional regimen, or starting a business, mentally strong people are "in it for the long haul". They know better than to expect immediate results. They apply their energy and time in measured doses and they celebrate each milestone and increment of success on the way. They have "staying power." And they understand that genuine changes take time.

[Cheryl Snapp Conner is a frequent speaker and author on reputation and thought leadership topics. You can subscribe to her team's bi-weekly newsletter, The Snappington Post, here.

This article originally appeared on Forbes.]


And a final, relevant thought:

"I'm not all that clever. I just stick at solving the problems longer" - Einstein
#465
Off-topic / Re: I have just become a Grandad!!!
November 22, 2013, 11:14:16 PM
A lovely name, grandad.  :nod: